Election 2018

Massachusetts 1st

Solid D

Uncontested

us_map2See the national overview
Forecasted turnout
Partisan lean

# What goes into the
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classic forecast in the Massachusetts 1st

This race is uncontested, so we don’t forecast any result.

#Latest polls

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this district. Know of one? Send us an email.

Our latest coverage

#Similar districts and CANTOR

Our district similarity scores are based on demographic, geographic and political characteristics; if two districts have a score of 100, it means they are perfectly identical. These scores inform a system we use — CANTOR, or Congressional Algorithm using Neighboring Typologies to Optimize Regression — to infer what polling would say in unpolled or lightly polled districts, given what it says in similar districts.

Districts most similar to the Massachusetts 1st
Sim. score Polling avg.
MA-273—
RI-273—
RI-164—
NY-2064—
MA-962—
NY-2462R+13.8
MA-361—
CT-156—
NJ-155—
NY-2655—

How this forecast works

Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2018 midterms forecast. Read more …

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