Uncontested

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Forecasted turnout
Partisan lean

# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in the New York 5th

This race is uncontested, so we don’t forecast any result.

#Latest polls

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this district. Know of one? Send us an email.

Our latest coverage

#Similar districts and CANTOR

Our district similarity scores are based on demographic, geographic and political characteristics; if two districts have a score of 100, it means they are perfectly identical. These scores inform a system we use — CANTOR, or Congressional Algorithm using Neighboring Typologies to Optimize Regression — to infer what polling would say in unpolled or lightly polled districts, given what it says in similar districts.

Districts most similar to the New York 5th
Sim. score Polling avg.
NJ-1076
NY-869
NY-958
IL-747
MA-744
NY-743
NY-1341
MD-440
PA-340
NY-1639

How this forecast works

Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2018 midterms forecast. Read more …

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