Hawaii

Solid D

>99 in 100

Chance the Democrat wins (>99.9%)

<1 in 100

Chance the Republican wins (<0.1%)

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# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in Hawaii

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of the race (if available), polls of similar races (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings.

  • Adjusted polls

  • D+46.6

    CANTOR

  • D+53.4

    Fundamentals

  • D+54.6

    Experts

  • D+46.6

    icon_lite_2

    Lite

  • D+52.7

    icon_classic_2

    Classic

  • D+53.3

    icon_deluxe_2

    Deluxe

  • <0.1

  • <0.1

Historical adjustment

Key

More weight

Less

#Latest polls in Hawaii

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this race. Know of one? Send us an email.

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