2018 MLB Predictions

The Astros are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros103-59	—	✓	✓
Athletics Athletics97-65	6.0	✓	—
Mariners Mariners89-73	14.0	—	—
Angels Angels80-82	23.0	—	—
Rangers Rangers67-95	36.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/18Thursday, Oct. 188:09 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Price	1596	+5	+0	=1601	40%	4
10/18Thursday, Oct. 188:09 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1602	+29	+24	=1655	60%	1
10/17Wednesday, Oct. 178:39 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1593	–6	+0	=1587	43%	8
10/17Wednesday, Oct. 178:39 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1606	–7	+24	=1623	57%	6
10/16Tuesday, Oct. 165:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1587	–1	–2	=1584	45%	8
10/16Tuesday, Oct. 165:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1611	–20	+22	=1613	55%	2
10/14Sunday, Oct. 147:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1614	+14	+0	=1628	53%	5
10/14Sunday, Oct. 147:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1585	+6	+24	=1615	47%	7
10/13Saturday, Oct. 138:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1609	+27	+4	=1640	44%	7
10/13Saturday, Oct. 138:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1590	+52	+29	=1671	56%	2
10/8Monday, Oct. 81:30 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1603	–21	–1	=1581	50%	11
10/8Monday, Oct. 81:30 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1551	+7	+23	=1581	50%	3
10/6Saturday, Oct. 64:37 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1553	+15	+0	=1568	37%	1
10/6Saturday, Oct. 64:37 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+11	+24	=1636	63%	3
10/5Friday, Oct. 52:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1555	+16	+4	=1575	35%	2
10/5Friday, Oct. 52:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1599	+28	+28	=1655	65%	7
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1603	–6	+0	=1597	71%	0
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1411	+8	+24	=1443	29%	4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1602	–18	+0	=1584	71%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1412	–6	+24	=1430	29%	2
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1601	+25	+0	=1626	75%	4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1413	+0	+24	=1437	25%	3
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+11	+0	=1612	73%	2
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1413	+0	+24	=1437	27%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Devenski	1603	–30	+0	=1573	62%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1468	–5	+24	=1487	38%	3
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	James	1601	–31	+0	=1570	62%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1470	–10	+24	=1484	38%	1
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1600	–15	–3	=1582	63%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1471	–10	+24	=1485	37%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1501	+6	+0	=1507	35%	2
9/23Sunday, Sept. 232:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1599	–6	+24	=1617	65%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1502	+5	+0	=1507	32%	5
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1597	+20	+24	=1641	68%	10
9/21Friday, Sept. 218:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1504	+10	–4	=1510	33%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 218:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1595	+10	+26	=1631	67%	11
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Festa	1508	–9	+0	=1499	34%	9
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–12	+24	=1613	66%	0
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	+4	+0	=1515	40%	0
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	James	1598	–37	+24	=1585	60%	7
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1508	+2	–3	=1507	38%	4
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1601	–37	+24	=1588	62%	1
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1519	+15	+0	=1534	35%	4
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1600	+18	+24	=1642	65%	5
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1521	–14	+0	=1507	35%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1598	–5	+24	=1617	65%	10
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1519	–4	–3	=1512	36%	4
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–10	+23	=1614	64%	2
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1600	+12	+0	=1612	70%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1441	–3	+24	=1462	30%	4
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1599	–30	+0	=1569	65%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	–4	+24	=1462	35%	4
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1599	+16	–3	=1612	72%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1443	–21	+24	=1446	28%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 98 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1600	–8	+0	=1592	48%	5
9/9Sunday, Sept. 98 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1591	–7	+24	=1608	52%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1598	–6	+0	=1592	45%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1593	+10	+24	=1627	55%	3
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1596	+10	–2	=1604	46%	6
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1596	+15	+23	=1634	54%	3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1479	+13	+0	=1492	37%	1
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1593	–31	+24	=1586	63%	9
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	MINTwins	May	1480	–6	+0	=1474	29%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1592	+12	+24	=1628	71%	5
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1481	+10	–2	=1489	34%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1591	–9	+24	=1606	66%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 28 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1509	+16	+0	=1525	36%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 28 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1589	+11	+24	=1624	64%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1511	+3	+0	=1514	42%	3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	James	1587	–39	+24	=1572	58%	7
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1508	+3	+0	=1511	40%	3
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1590	–34	+24	=1580	60%	0
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1505	+5	–1	=1509	33%	5
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1593	+12	+24	=1629	67%	2
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1556	+4	+0	=1560	43%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1592	–9	+24	=1607	57%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1554	–20	+0	=1534	38%	4
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%	3
8/27Monday, Aug. 278 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1557	–10	–3	=1544	39%	4
8/27Monday, Aug. 278 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1591	+12	+21	=1624	61%	11
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1590	–39	+0	=1551	53%	3
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1506	+1	+24	=1531	47%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 259:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1587	+13	+0	=1600	59%	8
8/25Saturday, Aug. 259:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1508	+6	+24	=1538	41%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 2410:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1585	–11	–1	=1573	55%	9
8/24Friday, Aug. 2410:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1511	+6	+24	=1541	45%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1583	+1	+0	=1584	57%	10
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1509	–1	+24	=1532	43%	7
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Peacock	1582	–20	+0	=1562	55%	3
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Vincent	1510	–11	+24	=1523	45%	2
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1585	+13	–3	=1595	63%	4
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1507	–28	+24	=1503	37%	7
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1582	+16	+0	=1598	52%	9
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1551	+8	+24	=1583	48%	4
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1585	–11	+0	=1574	50%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1548	+1	+24	=1573	50%	7
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1587	–1	–2	=1584	54%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1546	–14	+26	=1558	46%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1512	+9	+0	=1521	37%	1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1583	+9	+24	=1616	63%	12
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1509	–7	–1	=1501	32%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1587	+16	+26	=1629	68%	1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1512	–11	+0	=1501	36%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1589	–11	+24	=1602	64%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1510	–2	+0	=1508	35%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1591	+1	+24	=1616	65%	2
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1506	–3	+0	=1503	33%	5
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1594	+9	+24	=1627	67%	2
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1504	+33	–2	=1535	35%	8
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1597	+26	+22	=1645	65%	6
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 73:45 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1595	–15	+0	=1580	54%	2
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 73:45 p.m.	SFGiants	Bumgarner	1500	+29	+24	=1553	46%	1
8/6Monday, Aug. 610:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1594	–2	–2	=1590	56%	3
8/6Monday, Aug. 610:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1502	+21	+21	=1544	44%	1
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1596	+9	+0	=1605	53%	2
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1558	+3	+24	=1585	47%	3
8/4Saturday, Aug. 49:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1590	–19	+0	=1571	48%	14
8/4Saturday, Aug. 49:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1564	–6	+24	=1582	52%	0
8/3Friday, Aug. 310 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1588	+23	–1	=1610	53%	2
8/3Friday, Aug. 310 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1565	–1	+24	=1588	47%	1
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 14:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1586	–13	+0	=1573	55%	8
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 14:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1519	–4	+24	=1539	45%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1584	–2	+0	=1582	56%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1521	–6	+24	=1539	44%	2
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1586	+9	–4	=1591	54%	0
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1519	+26	+21	=1566	46%	2
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1480	+15	+0	=1495	36%	4
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1588	–19	+24	=1593	64%	3
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1476	–2	+0	=1474	27%	7
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1592	+28	+24	=1644	73%	3
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1469	–15	–2	=1452	29%	11
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1599	–11	+23	=1611	71%	2
7/25Wednesday, July 258:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1600	–4	+0	=1596	59%	2
7/25Wednesday, July 258:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1508	+4	+24	=1536	41%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 248:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1598	+4	–1	=1601	57%	8
7/24Tuesday, July 248:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1511	+20	+23	=1554	43%	2
7/22Sunday, July 224 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1603	–14	+0	=1589	58%	5
7/22Sunday, July 224 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1510	–1	+24	=1533	42%	14
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1601	+26	+0	=1627	64%	7
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1513	–10	+24	=1527	36%	0
7/20Friday, July 2010:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1599	–15	+4	=1588	54%	3
7/20Friday, July 2010:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1514	+16	+30	=1560	46%	1
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1443	–10	+0	=1433	21%	6
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1603	+32	+24	=1659	79%	3
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1445	+19	+0	=1464	28%	1
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1602	+3	+24	=1629	72%	9
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1446	+5	–1	=1450	29%	0
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–18	+24	=1607	71%	3
7/12Thursday, July 122:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1524	+4	+0	=1528	36%	6
7/12Thursday, July 122:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1603	–2	+24	=1625	64%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 118:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1520	–2	+0	=1518	35%	8
7/11Wednesday, July 118:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1607	–8	+24	=1623	65%	3
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1520	+15	+0	=1535	33%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1606	+29	+24	=1659	67%	6
7/9Monday, July 98:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1518	–9	–3	=1506	33%	2
7/9Monday, July 98:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1609	–1	+24	=1632	67%	0
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–10	+0	=1426	25%	1
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1609	–19	+24	=1614	75%	2
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1438	+13	+0	=1451	26%	6
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1607	+0	+24	=1631	74%	12
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1439	+12	+0	=1451	28%	4
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1606	–11	+24	=1619	72%	11
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1440	+26	–3	=1463	25%	3
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1605	+30	+22	=1657	75%	4
7/4Wednesday, July 47:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1604	+3	+0	=1607	60%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 47:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1488	+22	+24	=1534	40%	4
7/3Tuesday, July 38:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1603	–22	–1	=1580	58%	5
7/3Tuesday, July 38:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Bibens-Dirkx	1490	+6	+26	=1522	42%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1604	+0	+0	=1604	56%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1515	+27	+24	=1566	44%	3
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1608	+35	+0	=1643	66%	2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1512	–7	+24	=1529	34%	5
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1609	+4	+0	=1613	62%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1510	–3	+24	=1531	38%	3
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1608	–16	–3	=1589	59%	1
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1511	–9	+26	=1528	41%	0
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1493	+7	+0	=1500	34%	6
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1608	–19	+24	=1613	66%	7
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1495	–13	+0	=1482	31%	0
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1606	–6	+24	=1624	69%	7
6/25Monday, June 258:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1492	+29	–3	=1518	29%	6
6/25Monday, June 258:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1609	+40	+24	=1673	71%	3
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1418	–4	+0	=1414	22%	3
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1608	+4	+24	=1636	78%	11
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1418	–10	+0	=1408	23%	3
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1608	–17	+24	=1615	77%	4
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1416	+4	–1	=1419	24%	1
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1610	–20	+26	=1616	76%	0
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1500	+0	+0	=1500	33%	1
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1609	–7	+24	=1626	67%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1498	+24	+0	=1522	29%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1611	+41	+24	=1676	71%	1
6/18Monday, June 188:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1498	–9	–3	=1486	29%	4
6/18Monday, June 188:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1610	+6	+21	=1637	71%	5
6/17Sunday, June 172:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1609	–16	+0	=1593	70%	7
6/17Sunday, June 172:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1421	+1	+24	=1446	30%	4
6/16Saturday, June 162:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1607	–22	+0	=1585	68%	10
6/16Saturday, June 162:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1424	+6	+24	=1454	32%	2
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1606	–8	–4	=1594	68%	7
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1425	+15	+26	=1466	32%	3
6/14Thursday, June 143:35 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1604	+42	+0	=1646	66%	7
6/14Thursday, June 143:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1500	+10	+24	=1534	34%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 1310:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+9	+0	=1610	62%	13
6/13Wednesday, June 1310:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1503	+2	+24	=1529	38%	5
6/12Tuesday, June 1210:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1599	–18	–2	=1579	56%	6
6/12Tuesday, June 1210:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1505	+10	+26	=1541	44%	3
6/10Sunday, June 103:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1599	–17	+0	=1582	64%	8
6/10Sunday, June 103:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1479	–22	+24	=1481	36%	7
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1598	–9	+0	=1589	62%	4
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1480	–3	+24	=1501	38%	3
6/8Friday, June 88:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1596	+42	+0	=1638	68%	7
6/8Friday, June 88:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1481	+5	+24	=1510	32%	3
6/7Thursday, June 78:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1595	+5	–2	=1598	59%	5
6/7Thursday, June 78:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1483	+31	+24	=1538	41%	2
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1531	–12	+0	=1519	38%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1593	–16	+24	=1601	62%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1527	+35	–2	=1560	43%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1597	–14	+26	=1609	57%	1
6/3Sunday, June 37:30 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1572	–8	+0	=1564	42%	9
6/3Sunday, June 37:30 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1601	–6	+24	=1619	58%	3
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1570	+4	+0	=1574	37%	5
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1603	+40	+24	=1667	63%	4
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1572	+35	+0	=1607	47%	3
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+3	+24	=1628	53%	7
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1574	–21	–4	=1549	43%	2
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1599	–20	+21	=1600	57%	4
5/30Wednesday, May 306:30 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–13	+0	=1588	43%	3
5/30Wednesday, May 306:30 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1579	+32	+24	=1635	57%	5
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1602	–5	+0	=1597	50%	5
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1578	–5	+24	=1597	50%	6
5/28Monday, May 281 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1600	+40	–2	=1638	59%	5
5/28Monday, May 281 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1580	–29	+24	=1575	41%	1
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+1	+0	=1602	53%	9
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1556	+4	+24	=1584	47%	10
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1603	–14	+0	=1589	50%	6
5/26Saturday, May 267:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1554	+10	+24	=1588	50%	8
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1599	–15	+0	=1584	45%	11
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1558	+34	+24	=1616	55%	2
5/24Thursday, May 246:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1595	–7	–3	=1585	50%	8
5/24Thursday, May 246:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1562	–1	+22	=1583	50%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 232:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Samardzija	1494	+6	+0	=1500	29%	1
5/23Wednesday, May 232:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1594	+38	+24	=1656	71%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1496	–7	–2	=1487	32%	2
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1592	+0	+26	=1618	68%	11
5/20Sunday, May 208 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1557	+12	+0	=1569	46%	1
5/20Sunday, May 208 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1590	–19	+24	=1595	54%	3
5/19Saturday, May 194:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1556	+34	+0	=1590	48%	5
5/19Saturday, May 194:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1592	–10	+24	=1606	52%	4
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1557	+3	–1	=1559	44%	1
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1590	–9	+23	=1604	56%	4
5/16Wednesday, May 169:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1589	+36	+0	=1625	59%	2
5/16Wednesday, May 169:40 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1526	+10	+24	=1560	41%	0
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1587	+5	+0	=1592	56%	5
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1528	–3	+24	=1549	44%	3
5/14Monday, May 1410:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1589	–20	–3	=1566	54%	1
5/14Monday, May 1410:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1526	–15	+24	=1535	46%	2
5/13Sunday, May 132:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1482	–23	+0	=1459	31%	1
5/13Sunday, May 132:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1587	–13	+24	=1598	69%	6
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1483	+2	+0	=1485	34%	1
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1585	–11	+24	=1598	66%	6
5/11Friday, May 118:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1481	+25	+0	=1506	31%	1
5/11Friday, May 118:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1587	+37	+22	=1646	69%	0
5/9Wednesday, May 93:35 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1586	+6	+0	=1592	60%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 93:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1494	+4	+24	=1522	40%	1
5/8Tuesday, May 810:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1584	–17	+0	=1567	53%	4
5/8Tuesday, May 810:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1496	+27	+24	=1547	47%	2
5/7Monday, May 710:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1580	–15	–3	=1562	58%	16
5/7Monday, May 710:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1500	–22	+24	=1502	42%	2
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1582	+39	+0	=1621	59%	1
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1543	–7	+24	=1560	41%	3
5/5Saturday, May 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1583	–8	+0	=1575	50%	3
5/5Saturday, May 58:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1542	+12	+24	=1578	50%	4
5/4Friday, May 49:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1580	–2	–3	=1575	54%	8
5/4Friday, May 49:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Medlen	1545	–20	+24	=1549	46%	0
5/3Thursday, May 32:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1578	+12	+0	=1590	50%	6
5/3Thursday, May 32:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1581	–16	+24	=1589	50%	5
5/2Wednesday, May 28 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1575	+22	+0	=1597	50%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 28 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	–13	+24	=1594	50%	0
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1572	–5	+0	=1567	39%	4
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1587	+35	+24	=1646	61%	0
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1573	–21	–3	=1549	43%	1
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1586	–10	+24	=1600	57%	2
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1500	–11	+0	=1489	34%	4
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1584	–2	+24	=1606	66%	8
4/28Saturday, April 287:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1504	+7	+0	=1511	39%	0
4/28Saturday, April 287:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1581	–18	+24	=1587	61%	11
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1499	+24	+0	=1523	38%	8
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1585	–6	+26	=1605	62%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1521	+1	+0	=1522	33%	2
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1584	+37	+24	=1645	67%	5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1520	+2	+0	=1522	38%	8
4/24Tuesday, April 248:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1586	–2	+24	=1608	62%	7
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1517	+3	–3	=1517	38%	2
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1588	–4	+21	=1605	62%	0
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1586	–20	+0	=1566	63%	7
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1439	+9	+24	=1472	37%	1
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	–7	+0	=1576	64%	10
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1441	+14	+24	=1479	36%	1
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1581	+35	–4	=1612	71%	10
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	–9	+22	=1456	29%	0
4/19Thursday, April 193:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1579	–6	+0	=1573	60%	9
4/19Thursday, April 193:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1508	–33	+24	=1499	40%	2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1576	–5	+0	=1571	55%	7
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	+1	+24	=1536	45%	1
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1574	–23	+0	=1551	53%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Miranda	1513	–9	+24	=1528	47%	1
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1575	–6	–4	=1565	50%	1
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1512	+27	+24	=1563	50%	2
4/15Sunday, April 158 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1483	–19	+0	=1464	27%	3
4/15Sunday, April 158 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1578	+35	+24	=1637	73%	1
4/14Saturday, April 144:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1481	+12	+0	=1493	35%	6
4/14Saturday, April 144:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1580	–3	+24	=1601	65%	5
4/13Friday, April 138:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1482	+20	+0	=1502	37%	2
4/13Friday, April 138:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1579	–5	+23	=1597	63%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 111:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1581	–14	+0	=1567	54%	8
4/11Wednesday, April 111:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1515	–2	+24	=1537	46%	9
4/10Tuesday, April 108:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	–4	+0	=1579	56%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1513	+1	+24	=1538	44%	4
4/9Monday, April 98:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1582	+31	–3	=1610	60%	2
4/9Monday, April 98:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1514	–4	+26	=1536	40%	0
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1450	+2	+0	=1452	30%	1
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1581	–5	+24	=1600	70%	4
4/7Saturday, April 77:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1451	+4	+0	=1455	31%	0
4/7Saturday, April 77:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1580	–10	+24	=1594	69%	1
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1447	–13	–3	=1431	27%	4
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1584	–11	+26	=1599	73%	1
4/4Wednesday, April 42:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1468	+20	+0	=1488	34%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 42:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	+0	+24	=1607	66%	3
4/3Tuesday, April 38:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Wright Jr.	1469	–21	+0	=1448	25%	6
4/3Tuesday, April 38:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1582	+35	+24	=1641	75%	10
4/2Monday, April 27 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1471	–37	–3	=1431	28%	1
4/2Monday, April 27 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1581	–8	+22	=1595	72%	6
4/1Sunday, April 13:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1578	–16	+0	=1562	57%	8
4/1Sunday, April 13:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1495	–4	+24	=1515	43%	2
3/31Saturday, March 314:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1576	–13	+0	=1563	58%	9
3/31Saturday, March 314:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1498	–15	+24	=1507	42%	3
3/30Friday, March 308:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1579	+2	+0	=1581	59%	1
3/30Friday, March 308:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1495	+0	+24	=1519	41%	5
3/29Thursday, March 293:30 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1577	+35	–2	=1610	59%	4
3/29Thursday, March 293:30 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1497	+24	+24	=1545	41%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments