2018 MLB Predictions

The Blue Jays are done for the season.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Red Sox Red Sox108-54	—	✓	✓
Yankees Yankees100-62	8.0	✓	—
Rays Rays90-72	18.0	—	—
Blue Jays Blue Jays73-89	35.0	—	—
Orioles Orioles47-115	61.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1472	–10	+0	=1462	38%	4
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Stanek	1541	–20	+24	=1545	62%	9
9/29Saturday, Sept. 296:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1473	+17	+0	=1490	33%	3
9/29Saturday, Sept. 296:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1540	+48	+24	=1612	67%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1471	+3	–1	=1473	41%	7
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1542	–28	+24	=1538	59%	6
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Devenski	1603	–30	+0	=1573	62%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1468	–5	+24	=1487	38%	3
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	James	1601	–31	+0	=1570	62%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1470	–10	+24	=1484	38%	1
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1600	–15	–3	=1582	63%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1471	–10	+24	=1485	37%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:07 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1550	+42	+0	=1592	62%	5
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1473	+13	+24	=1510	38%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1552	–31	+0	=1521	53%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1470	+3	+24	=1497	47%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:07 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1549	–8	+0	=1541	56%	11
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1474	–2	+24	=1496	44%	3
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1550	–16	–3	=1531	57%	8
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1472	–12	+22	=1482	43%	9
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1473	–12	+0	=1461	55%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1404	+2	+24	=1430	45%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1472	+7	+0	=1479	57%	6
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1406	+1	+24	=1431	43%	4
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1469	+4	–2	=1471	55%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Phillips	1408	+7	+24	=1439	45%	0
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1468	–2	+0	=1466	36%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1562	–19	+24	=1567	64%	2
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1466	–8	+0	=1458	32%	8
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1564	–2	+24	=1586	68%	7
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1468	–4	–2	=1462	31%	0
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1561	+20	+23	=1604	69%	11
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1469	–9	+0	=1460	28%	3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1594	+4	+24	=1622	72%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1469	+5	+0	=1474	28%	0
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1593	+20	+24	=1637	72%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1470	+0	+0	=1470	23%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1593	+64	+26	=1683	77%	7
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:07 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1559	+0	+0	=1559	60%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1467	–2	+24	=1489	40%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1558	–42	+0	=1516	53%	9
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1468	+0	+24	=1492	47%	8
9/7Friday, Sept. 77 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1560	+6	+0	=1566	61%	2
9/7Friday, Sept. 77 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1466	–5	+24	=1485	39%	3
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:07 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1557	–30	–2	=1525	55%	9
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1469	–5	+24	=1488	45%	4
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1539	–34	+0	=1505	52%	3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1465	+5	+24	=1494	48%	10
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1537	–13	+0	=1524	56%	4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1467	–6	+24	=1485	44%	0
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1534	–14	–2	=1518	51%	7
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1471	+17	+21	=1509	49%	1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1468	–10	+0	=1458	50%	6
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1437	–6	+24	=1455	50%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1470	+1	+0	=1471	52%	3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1435	+1	+24	=1460	48%	6
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1469	+9	–1	=1477	54%	6
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–7	+23	=1452	46%	5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1472	–2	+0	=1470	51%	5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1419	+18	+24	=1461	49%	10
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1476	+9	+0	=1485	56%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Rogers	1415	+1	+24	=1440	44%	12
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1480	–7	–2	=1471	56%	0
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1411	–5	+24	=1430	44%	7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:07 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1495	+0	+0	=1495	48%	8
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1483	+4	+24	=1511	52%	3
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:07 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1497	–13	+0	=1484	46%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1481	+10	+24	=1515	54%	8
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:07 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1499	+4	–2	=1501	51%	2
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1480	–10	+26	=1496	49%	4
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2212:37 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1419	–14	+0	=1405	37%	0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2212:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1477	–3	+24	=1498	63%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1421	+4	+0	=1425	41%	2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1475	–12	+24	=1487	59%	8
8/20Monday, Aug. 207 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1422	+6	–2	=1426	39%	3
8/20Monday, Aug. 207 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1474	+7	+22	=1503	61%	5
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1476	+2	+0	=1478	32%	2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1572	+8	+24	=1604	68%	10
8/18Saturday, Aug. 181 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1477	–9	+0	=1468	31%	6
8/18Saturday, Aug. 181 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1571	+11	+24	=1606	69%	11
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1478	+12	–3	=1487	37%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1570	–12	+24	=1582	63%	7
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1481	–12	+0	=1469	55%	2
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1410	+0	+24	=1434	45%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1480	+4	+0	=1484	57%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1411	–1	+24	=1434	43%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1479	+5	+0	=1484	56%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1412	+8	+24	=1444	44%	5
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1481	–9	–3	=1469	54%	1
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+9	+24	=1443	46%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1512	–46	+0	=1466	43%	1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1480	+9	+24	=1513	57%	2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1511	–10	+0	=1501	52%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1481	–16	+24	=1489	48%	1
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1507	+29	–3	=1533	53%	7
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1485	+6	+24	=1515	47%	0
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1602	–11	+0	=1591	61%	5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1482	+11	+24	=1517	39%	8
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1600	–25	+0	=1575	61%	10
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Hauschild	1484	–10	+24	=1498	39%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1598	–33	+0	=1565	58%	10
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1486	+3	+22	=1511	42%	7
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1488	–17	+0	=1471	42%	3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1507	–5	+24	=1526	58%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1484	+1	+0	=1485	39%	5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1510	+32	+24	=1566	61%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1481	+5	+0	=1486	42%	7
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1514	+7	+24	=1545	58%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Clippard	1478	–8	–3	=1467	43%	7
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1517	–23	+24	=1518	57%	3
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 13:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1480	+8	+0	=1488	38%	3
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 13:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1537	+15	+24	=1576	62%	8
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1481	–11	+0	=1470	37%	2
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1535	+3	+24	=1562	63%	6
7/30Monday, July 3010:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1485	+3	–4	=1484	43%	1
7/30Monday, July 3010:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1532	–21	+21	=1532	57%	10
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1483	–2	+0	=1481	47%	7
7/29Sunday, July 292:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1439	+37	+24	=1500	53%	4
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Axford	1485	–10	+0	=1475	52%	5
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–1	+24	=1459	48%	9
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1483	+6	+0	=1489	54%	10
7/27Friday, July 278:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1439	+3	+20	=1462	46%	5
7/25Wednesday, July 254:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1495	+12	+0	=1507	51%	12
7/25Wednesday, July 254:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1486	–11	+24	=1499	49%	6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1492	+20	+0	=1512	51%	5
7/24Tuesday, July 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1489	–4	+24	=1509	49%	0
7/23Monday, July 237:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Mejia	1489	–12	–3	=1474	45%	8
7/23Monday, July 237:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Santos	1492	–10	+24	=1506	55%	3
7/22Sunday, July 221:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1419	+7	+0	=1426	36%	4
7/22Sunday, July 221:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1491	+13	+24	=1528	64%	5
7/21Saturday, July 211:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1421	–2	+0	=1419	36%	1
7/21Saturday, July 211:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1490	+4	+24	=1518	64%	4
7/20Friday, July 207:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1422	+15	+5	=1442	41%	7
7/20Friday, July 207:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1488	–10	+29	=1507	59%	8
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1490	+4	+0	=1494	37%	2
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1589	–26	+24	=1587	63%	5
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1491	–11	+0	=1480	32%	2
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1588	+3	+24	=1615	68%	6
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1487	+6	+0	=1493	34%	13
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1592	–8	+24	=1608	66%	7
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1488	+15	–3	=1500	35%	4
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1591	–9	+24	=1606	65%	6
7/11Wednesday, July 117:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1490	–8	+0	=1482	40%	5
7/11Wednesday, July 117:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1509	+17	+24	=1550	60%	9
7/10Tuesday, July 107:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1487	–1	–1	=1485	43%	6
7/10Tuesday, July 107:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1512	–4	+23	=1531	57%	2
7/8Sunday, July 81:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1588	–27	+0	=1561	57%	2
7/8Sunday, July 81:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1488	+0	+24	=1512	43%	1
7/7Saturday, July 74:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1586	+42	+0	=1628	63%	8
7/7Saturday, July 74:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1489	+22	+24	=1535	37%	5
7/6Friday, July 67:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1589	–20	+0	=1569	59%	2
7/6Friday, July 67:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1486	–9	+26	=1503	41%	6
7/4Wednesday, July 47:07 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1464	–25	+0	=1439	39%	6
7/4Wednesday, July 47:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1489	+3	+24	=1516	61%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 37:07 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1465	–9	–1	=1455	41%	6
7/3Tuesday, July 37:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1488	+5	+24	=1517	59%	8
7/2Monday, July 21:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1449	–5	+0	=1444	42%	3
7/2Monday, July 21:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1489	–10	+24	=1503	58%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1444	–11	+0	=1433	34%	9
7/1Sunday, July 11:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1495	+27	+24	=1546	66%	1
6/30Saturday, June 301:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1445	+3	+0	=1448	42%	3
6/30Saturday, June 301:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1494	–11	+24	=1507	58%	4
6/29Friday, June 297:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1446	+0	–2	=1444	40%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1493	+0	+23	=1516	60%	3
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1493	+7	+0	=1500	34%	6
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1608	–19	+24	=1613	66%	7
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1495	–13	+0	=1482	31%	0
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1606	–6	+24	=1624	69%	7
6/25Monday, June 258:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1492	+29	–3	=1518	29%	6
6/25Monday, June 258:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1609	+40	+24	=1673	71%	3
6/24Sunday, June 244:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1490	–12	+0	=1478	43%	7
6/24Sunday, June 244:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1517	–12	+24	=1529	57%	6
6/23Saturday, June 239:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1487	–2	+0	=1485	43%	4
6/23Saturday, June 239:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1519	–8	+24	=1535	57%	1
6/22Friday, June 2210:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1489	+4	+0	=1493	43%	1
6/22Friday, June 2210:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1518	–3	+24	=1539	57%	2
6/21Thursday, June 2110:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1491	+5	–4	=1492	47%	5
6/21Thursday, June 2110:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Lamb	1516	–30	+26	=1512	53%	8
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:37 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1516	–8	+0	=1508	45%	4
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1489	+29	+24	=1542	55%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:07 p.m.	ATLBraves	Soroka	1513	–10	–1	=1502	50%	11
6/19Tuesday, June 197:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1493	–20	+26	=1499	50%	4
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1545	–13	+0	=1532	54%	6
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1491	–11	+24	=1504	46%	8
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1547	+44	+0	=1591	61%	0
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1489	–1	+24	=1512	39%	2
6/15Friday, June 157:07 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1549	–7	+0	=1542	54%	5
6/15Friday, June 157:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1487	+4	+23	=1514	46%	6
6/13Wednesday, June 131:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1489	+28	+0	=1517	51%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 131:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1498	–13	+24	=1509	49%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1491	–17	+0	=1474	45%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1496	–14	+24	=1506	55%	4
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1493	–5	–3	=1485	48%	4
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1494	–16	+24	=1502	52%	8
6/10Sunday, June 101:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1440	+3	+0	=1443	40%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1490	–3	+24	=1511	60%	13
6/9Saturday, June 91:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1441	+14	+0	=1455	41%	3
6/9Saturday, June 91:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1489	+3	+24	=1516	59%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1442	–1	+0	=1441	37%	1
6/8Friday, June 87:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1487	+24	+24	=1535	63%	5
6/7Thursday, June 77:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1443	+4	–2	=1445	44%	4
6/7Thursday, June 77:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1486	–20	+24	=1490	56%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 67:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1584	–16	+0	=1568	59%	3
6/6Wednesday, June 67:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1488	–9	+24	=1503	41%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1582	–9	–2	=1571	59%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 57:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1490	–4	+24	=1510	41%	2
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1487	+4	+0	=1491	49%	8
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1459	+14	+24	=1497	51%	4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1490	+29	+0	=1519	54%	4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1456	+13	+24	=1493	46%	7
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1492	–14	–1	=1477	49%	2
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1454	+6	+24	=1484	51%	5
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1493	–8	+0	=1485	34%	4
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1573	+1	+24	=1598	66%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1495	–4	+0	=1491	37%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1571	–9	+24	=1586	63%	8
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1496	+6	–2	=1500	37%	3
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1569	+4	+24	=1597	63%	8
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1495	+26	+0	=1521	49%	5
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1508	–4	+24	=1528	51%	3
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1496	–19	+0	=1477	38%	1
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1507	+27	+24	=1558	62%	2
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1494	–10	–2	=1482	46%	6
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–26	+26	=1509	54%	5
5/24Thursday, May 2412:37 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1517	–8	+0	=1509	48%	8
5/24Thursday, May 2412:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1498	+0	+24	=1522	52%	1
5/23Wednesday, May 237:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1515	+4	+0	=1519	49%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1499	+6	+24	=1529	51%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1517	+13	–2	=1528	47%	3
5/22Tuesday, May 227:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1498	+25	+26	=1549	53%	5
5/20Sunday, May 201:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1505	+8	+0	=1513	52%	9
5/20Sunday, May 201:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Biagini	1501	–24	+24	=1501	48%	2
5/19Saturday, May 191:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1503	+24	+0	=1527	52%	5
5/19Saturday, May 191:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1502	–15	+24	=1511	48%	4
5/18Friday, May 187:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1501	–29	+0	=1472	42%	3
5/18Friday, May 187:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1504	+0	+24	=1528	58%	1
5/17Thursday, May 177:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Triggs	1498	–3	–2	=1493	43%	10
5/17Thursday, May 177:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1508	+9	+22	=1539	57%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1503	+20	+0	=1523	54%	12
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1491	–17	+24	=1498	46%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1507	–14	+0	=1493	43%	2
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1487	+33	+25	=1545	57%	12
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1570	–11	+0	=1559	57%	5
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Biagini	1509	–23	+24	=1510	43%	3
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1568	–7	+0	=1561	54%	5
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1510	+0	+24	=1534	46%	2
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1570	+34	–2	=1602	58%	3
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1508	+11	+24	=1543	42%	5
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1514	–11	+0	=1503	41%	9
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1512	+27	+24	=1563	59%	3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1516	–15	+0	=1501	48%	2
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1510	–17	+24	=1517	52%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1513	+33	–2	=1544	51%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1513	+3	+23	=1539	49%	0
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1512	–5	+0	=1507	48%	2
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1500	–3	+24	=1521	52%	1
5/5Saturday, May 56:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1513	+12	+0	=1525	51%	3
5/5Saturday, May 56:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1498	–1	+24	=1521	49%	5
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1516	+28	–3	=1541	55%	2
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	TBRays	Kittredge	1495	–13	+23	=1505	45%	6
5/3Thursday, May 38:30 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Biagini	1520	–24	+0	=1496	43%	4
5/3Thursday, May 38:30 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1560	–38	+24	=1546	57%	13
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1517	–16	–3	=1498	36%	13
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1562	+14	+24	=1600	64%	11
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1520	–1	+0	=1519	52%	0
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1490	–10	+24	=1504	48%	4
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1518	–6	+0	=1512	49%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1493	+6	+24	=1523	51%	4
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1516	+11	–3	=1524	52%	7
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1494	–8	+24	=1510	48%	5
4/29Sunday, April 291:07 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1486	–16	+0	=1470	37%	2
4/29Sunday, April 291:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1514	+24	+24	=1562	63%	7
4/28Saturday, April 284:07 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1483	–13	+0	=1470	42%	7
4/28Saturday, April 284:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1517	–13	+24	=1528	58%	4
4/27Friday, April 277:07 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1481	+11	–1	=1491	42%	6
4/27Friday, April 277:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1519	+1	+24	=1544	58%	4
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+31	+0	=1606	59%	5
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1520	–5	+24	=1539	41%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1574	–5	+0	=1569	52%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1521	+8	+24	=1553	48%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1575	–8	–2	=1565	51%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1520	+18	+24	=1562	49%	4
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1522	–12	+0	=1510	37%	1
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1556	+23	+24	=1603	63%	5
4/21Saturday, April 211:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1525	+6	+0	=1531	44%	1
4/21Saturday, April 211:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1553	–4	+24	=1573	56%	9
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1522	–1	+0	=1521	43%	8
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1555	–10	+24	=1569	57%	5
4/19Thursday, April 196:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1524	+8	–2	=1530	43%	3
4/19Thursday, April 196:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1554	–2	+26	=1578	57%	4
4/18Wednesday, April 184:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1445	–5	+0	=1440	33%	5
4/18Wednesday, April 184:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1521	+17	+24	=1562	67%	15
4/17Tuesday, April 177:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1446	+12	+0	=1458	41%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 177:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Biagini	1520	–26	+24	=1518	59%	5
4/17Tuesday, April 173:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1448	–37	+2	=1413	33%	3
4/17Tuesday, April 173:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1518	–12	+29	=1535	67%	11
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1515	+6	+0	=1521	40%	8
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1574	–7	+24	=1591	60%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1516	+0	+0	=1516	52%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1471	+7	+24	=1502	48%	5
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1515	+3	+0	=1518	53%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1472	+4	+24	=1500	47%	1
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1512	+15	–3	=1524	51%	7
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1475	+22	+22	=1519	49%	1
4/8Sunday, April 83:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1510	–13	+0	=1497	44%	7
4/8Sunday, April 83:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1494	+23	+24	=1541	56%	4
4/7Saturday, April 78:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1512	+10	+0	=1522	51%	1
4/7Saturday, April 78:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1492	+2	+24	=1518	49%	5
4/6Friday, April 68:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1510	–2	–1	=1507	51%	8
4/6Friday, April 68:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1494	–15	+20	=1499	49%	5
4/4Wednesday, April 47:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1458	+1	+0	=1459	39%	4
4/4Wednesday, April 47:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1512	+3	+24	=1539	61%	3
4/3Tuesday, April 37:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1461	+8	+0	=1469	38%	5
4/3Tuesday, April 37:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1509	+17	+24	=1550	62%	14
4/2Monday, April 27:07 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1462	–10	–1	=1451	41%	2
4/2Monday, April 27:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1507	–16	+24	=1515	59%	4
4/1Sunday, April 11:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1567	–9	+0	=1558	52%	4
4/1Sunday, April 11:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1505	+11	+24	=1540	48%	7
3/31Saturday, March 314:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1569	–2	+0	=1567	56%	3
3/31Saturday, March 314:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1503	–2	+24	=1525	44%	5
3/30Friday, March 307:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1567	+17	+0	=1584	57%	4
3/30Friday, March 307:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1505	+6	+24	=1535	43%	2
3/29Thursday, March 293:37 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1565	+12	–2	=1575	54%	6
3/29Thursday, March 293:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1507	+18	+24	=1549	46%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments