Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
The Braves are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves90-72 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
NationalsNationals82-80 | 8.0 | — | — | |||
PhilliesPhillies80-82 | 10.0 | — | — | |||
MetsMets77-85 | 13.0 | — | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins63-98 | 26.5 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/8Monday, Oct. 84:30 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Hill | 1580 | +4 | +0 | =1584 | 56% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1518 | +12 | +24 | =1554 | 44% | 2 | |
10/7Sunday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. | LADDodgers | Buehler | 1583 | +22 | –2 | =1603 | 65% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1516 | –13 | +22 | =1525 | 35% | 6 | |
10/5Friday, Oct. 59:37 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1517 | +4 | +0 | =1521 | 33% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1581 | +11 | +24 | =1616 | 67% | 3 | |
10/4Thursday, Oct. 48:37 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1521 | +16 | +3 | =1540 | 39% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Ryu | 1578 | –7 | +29 | =1600 | 61% | 6 | |
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gausman | 1523 | –2 | +0 | =1521 | 59% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1470 | –33 | +24 | =1461 | 41% | 3 | |
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1525 | +0 | +0 | =1525 | 49% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1467 | +44 | +24 | =1535 | 51% | 3 | |
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1522 | +14 | –1 | =1535 | 58% | 10 |
PHIPhillies | Eickhoff | 1471 | –11 | +20 | =1480 | 42% | 2 | |
9/27Thursday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1525 | –1 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | 1 |
NYMMets | Vargas | 1498 | –33 | +24 | =1489 | 45% | 4 | |
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1527 | –16 | +0 | =1511 | 41% | 0 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1496 | +51 | +24 | =1571 | 59% | 3 | |
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1524 | –7 | –1 | =1516 | 48% | 7 |
NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1499 | +9 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | 3 | |
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1482 | +42 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1523 | +2 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | 2 | |
9/22Saturday, Sept. 221:05 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Arrieta | 1484 | –1 | +0 | =1483 | 39% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1521 | +12 | +24 | =1557 | 61% | 5 | |
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Pivetta | 1485 | –8 | +0 | =1477 | 40% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1520 | +1 | +24 | =1545 | 60% | 6 | |
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:30 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1487 | –4 | –3 | =1480 | 41% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Gausman | 1518 | +0 | +24 | =1542 | 59% | 8 | |
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 1912:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1544 | +16 | +0 | =1560 | 54% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1515 | –7 | +24 | =1532 | 46% | 7 | |
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:30 p.m. | STLCardinals | Gomber | 1540 | –14 | +0 | =1526 | 48% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1519 | +0 | +24 | =1543 | 52% | 1 | |
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:35 p.m. | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1537 | +9 | –2 | =1544 | 47% | 11 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1522 | +19 | +24 | =1565 | 53% | 6 | |
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Roark | 1525 | –9 | +0 | =1516 | 47% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1524 | –11 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | 4 | |
9/15Saturday, Sept. 151:05 p.m. | WSHNationals | Hellickson | 1521 | –14 | +0 | =1507 | 44% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1528 | +1 | +24 | =1553 | 56% | 1 | |
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1524 | +57 | –3 | =1578 | 54% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Gausman | 1524 | +1 | +22 | =1547 | 46% | 10 | |
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 123:45 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1523 | –2 | +0 | =1521 | 53% | 2 |
SFGiants | Holland | 1481 | –1 | +24 | =1504 | 47% | 1 | |
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:15 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1521 | +13 | +0 | =1534 | 54% | 4 |
SFGiants | Suarez | 1483 | –3 | +24 | =1504 | 46% | 1 | |
9/10Monday, Sept. 1010:15 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1519 | –15 | –3 | =1501 | 45% | 4 |
SFGiants | Rodriguez | 1485 | +27 | +20 | =1532 | 55% | 1 | |
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1516 | –12 | +0 | =1504 | 44% | 9 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Ray | 1528 | –5 | +24 | =1547 | 56% | 5 | |
9/8Saturday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1514 | +0 | +0 | =1514 | 44% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Buchholz | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | 4 | |
9/7Friday, Sept. 79:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gausman | 1516 | +6 | +0 | =1522 | 42% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Corbin | 1528 | +23 | +24 | =1575 | 58% | 5 | |
9/6Thursday, Sept. 69:30 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1514 | –2 | –4 | =1508 | 41% | 7 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Greinke | 1530 | +16 | +26 | =1572 | 59% | 6 | |
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 512:10 p.m. | BOSRed Sox | Velazquez | 1594 | –39 | +0 | =1555 | 51% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1515 | +12 | +24 | =1551 | 49% | 8 | |
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:35 p.m. | BOSRed Sox | Porcello | 1592 | –10 | +0 | =1582 | 58% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1517 | –13 | +24 | =1528 | 42% | 1 | |
9/3Monday, Sept. 31 p.m. | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1589 | –18 | –3 | =1568 | 55% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1520 | –13 | +24 | =1531 | 45% | 2 | |
9/2Sunday, Sept. 25:05 p.m. | PITPirates | Kingham | 1492 | –22 | +0 | =1470 | 40% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1518 | –3 | +24 | =1539 | 60% | 5 | |
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Archer | 1494 | +0 | +0 | =1494 | 42% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Gausman | 1517 | +8 | +24 | =1549 | 58% | 5 | |
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:35 p.m. | PITPirates | Taillon | 1492 | +23 | –2 | =1513 | 46% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1518 | –2 | +24 | =1540 | 54% | 2 | |
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:35 p.m. | CHCCubs | Montgomery | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 48% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1520 | +15 | +24 | =1559 | 52% | 4 | |
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:35 p.m. | TBRays | Castillo | 1529 | –13 | +0 | =1516 | 47% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1522 | –7 | +24 | =1539 | 53% | 5 | |
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:35 p.m. | TBRays | Stanek | 1531 | –13 | +0 | =1518 | 47% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1520 | –4 | +23 | =1539 | 53% | 9 | |
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gausman | 1518 | +3 | +0 | =1521 | 57% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1440 | +5 | +24 | =1469 | 43% | 0 | |
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1520 | –5 | +0 | =1515 | 58% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Chen | 1438 | –1 | +24 | =1461 | 42% | 3 | |
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1522 | +12 | +0 | =1534 | 62% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Straily | 1436 | –10 | +24 | =1450 | 38% | 1 | |
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1519 | –10 | –3 | =1506 | 57% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1439 | –5 | +24 | =1458 | 43% | 0 | |
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1518 | –5 | +0 | =1513 | 48% | 2 |
PITPirates | Williams | 1494 | +10 | +24 | =1528 | 52% | 1 | |
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gausman | 1515 | +2 | +0 | =1517 | 50% | 6 |
PITPirates | Nova | 1497 | –7 | +24 | =1514 | 50% | 1 | |
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Wilson | 1513 | –16 | –2 | =1495 | 45% | 1 |
PITPirates | Archer | 1499 | +6 | +24 | =1529 | 55% | 0 | |
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m. | COLRockies | Marquez | 1517 | –2 | +0 | =1515 | 47% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1515 | –1 | +24 | =1538 | 53% | 2 | |
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1515 | –16 | +0 | =1499 | 42% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1517 | +11 | +24 | =1552 | 58% | 3 | |
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:35 p.m. | COLRockies | Freeland | 1511 | +11 | +0 | =1522 | 47% | 11 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1521 | –2 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | 5 | |
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:30 p.m. | COLRockies | Gray | 1509 | +10 | –3 | =1516 | 46% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1523 | –6 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | 3 | |
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Urena | 1429 | +0 | +0 | =1429 | 33% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Gausman | 1521 | +3 | +24 | =1548 | 67% | 5 | |
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Richards | 1430 | +17 | +0 | =1447 | 36% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1520 | +3 | +24 | =1547 | 64% | 10 | |
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Gonzalez | 1432 | –1 | +0 | =1431 | 34% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1518 | +7 | +24 | =1549 | 66% | 6 | |
8/13Monday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1435 | +7 | –3 | =1439 | 38% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1515 | –14 | +24 | =1525 | 62% | 9 | |
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m. | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1515 | +6 | +0 | =1521 | 47% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1514 | +6 | +24 | =1544 | 53% | 8 | |
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Miley | 1513 | –19 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1516 | –10 | +24 | =1530 | 55% | 2 | |
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m. | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1517 | +8 | –3 | =1522 | 49% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Gausman | 1512 | –2 | +21 | =1531 | 51% | 10 | |
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1514 | +4 | +0 | =1518 | 48% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Gonzalez | 1527 | –18 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | 6 | |
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1511 | +8 | +0 | =1519 | 50% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Milone | 1530 | –36 | +24 | =1518 | 50% | 3 | |
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1509 | +7 | +0 | =1516 | 37% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1533 | +49 | +24 | =1606 | 63% | 1 | |
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 71:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Fried | 1512 | –2 | +0 | =1510 | 49% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Rodriguez | 1530 | –40 | +26 | =1516 | 51% | 8 | |
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1510 | –8 | +0 | =1502 | 55% | 5 |
NYMMets | Oswalt | 1462 | –15 | +24 | =1471 | 45% | 4 | |
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gausman | 1513 | +0 | +0 | =1513 | 55% | 0 |
NYMMets | Wheeler | 1460 | –2 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | 3 | |
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 47% | 2 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1461 | +49 | +24 | =1534 | 53% | 1 | |
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1510 | +9 | –1 | =1518 | 59% | 4 |
NYMMets | Vargas | 1463 | –30 | +22 | =1455 | 41% | 2 | |
7/31Tuesday, July 317:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Straily | 1449 | –2 | +0 | =1447 | 40% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Allard | 1508 | –14 | +24 | =1518 | 60% | 11 | |
7/30Monday, July 307:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Chen | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 39% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1507 | –7 | +24 | =1524 | 61% | 5 | |
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m. | LADDodgers | Stripling | 1566 | –2 | +0 | =1564 | 55% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1504 | –1 | +24 | =1527 | 45% | 4 | |
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m. | LADDodgers | Wood | 1564 | –5 | +0 | =1559 | 55% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1506 | –8 | +24 | =1522 | 45% | 1 | |
7/27Friday, July 277:35 p.m. | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1562 | +20 | +0 | =1582 | 55% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1508 | +12 | +24 | =1544 | 45% | 1 | |
7/26Thursday, July 267:35 p.m. | LADDodgers | Hill | 1559 | +1 | –3 | =1557 | 53% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1511 | +3 | +23 | =1537 | 47% | 2 | |
7/24Tuesday, July 2412:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1515 | +2 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Chen | 1447 | –3 | +24 | =1468 | 43% | 9 | |
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1511 | –4 | –3 | =1504 | 53% | 12 |
MIAMarlins | Urena | 1452 | +6 | +22 | =1480 | 47% | 1 | |
7/22Sunday, July 221:35 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1513 | +13 | +2 | =1528 | 40% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1519 | +50 | +26 | =1595 | 60% | 6 | |
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1510 | +2 | +4 | =1516 | 40% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1522 | +34 | +29 | =1585 | 60% | 5 | |
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m. | ARIDiamondbacks | Corbin | 1526 | +20 | +0 | =1546 | 52% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1507 | –2 | +24 | =1529 | 48% | 5 | |
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m. | ARIDiamondbacks | Greinke | 1524 | +19 | +0 | =1543 | 52% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1509 | –3 | +24 | =1530 | 48% | 0 | |
7/13Friday, July 137:35 p.m. | ARIDiamondbacks | Godley | 1523 | –11 | –3 | =1509 | 46% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1511 | +0 | +26 | =1537 | 54% | 1 | |
7/11Wednesday, July 117:35 p.m. | TORBlue Jays | Gaviglio | 1490 | –8 | +0 | =1482 | 40% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1509 | +17 | +24 | =1550 | 60% | 9 | |
7/10Tuesday, July 107:35 p.m. | TORBlue Jays | Stroman | 1487 | –1 | –1 | =1485 | 43% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1512 | –4 | +23 | =1531 | 57% | 2 | |
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1515 | +2 | +0 | =1517 | 44% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Guerra | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 56% | 10 | |
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1512 | –7 | +0 | =1505 | 46% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Wilkerson | 1532 | –19 | +24 | =1537 | 54% | 1 | |
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1513 | +19 | +0 | =1532 | 46% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1531 | +6 | +24 | =1561 | 54% | 5 | |
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Fried | 1516 | –4 | –3 | =1509 | 44% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Chacin | 1528 | –2 | +24 | =1550 | 56% | 7 | |
7/4Wednesday, July 41:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1517 | –3 | +0 | =1514 | 37% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Sabathia | 1588 | –1 | +24 | =1611 | 63% | 6 | |
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1519 | +7 | +0 | =1526 | 42% | 5 |
NYYYankees | German | 1586 | –26 | +24 | =1584 | 58% | 8 | |
7/2Monday, July 27:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1517 | –10 | –3 | =1504 | 37% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Loaisiga | 1588 | –18 | +24 | =1594 | 63% | 3 | |
7/1Sunday, July 12:15 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1516 | +14 | +0 | =1530 | 51% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Gant | 1509 | –10 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | 5 | |
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m. | ATLBraves | Fried | 1512 | –14 | +0 | =1498 | 46% | 11 |
STLCardinals | Weaver | 1513 | –11 | +24 | =1526 | 54% | 4 | |
6/29Friday, June 298:15 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1508 | –6 | +0 | =1502 | 41% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1516 | +20 | +26 | =1562 | 59% | 1 | |
6/27Wednesday, June 2712:10 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1470 | +14 | +0 | =1484 | 41% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1510 | +11 | +24 | =1545 | 59% | 5 | |
6/26Tuesday, June 267:35 p.m. | CINReds | Harvey | 1468 | –11 | +0 | =1457 | 40% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1512 | –8 | +24 | =1528 | 60% | 3 | |
6/25Monday, June 257:35 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1469 | +11 | –2 | =1478 | 40% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1511 | +16 | +24 | =1551 | 60% | 5 | |
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m. | BALOrioles | Hess | 1439 | –8 | +0 | =1431 | 38% | 3 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1510 | –15 | +24 | =1519 | 62% | 7 | |
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m. | BALOrioles | Bundy | 1436 | +24 | +0 | =1460 | 40% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1512 | –2 | +24 | =1534 | 60% | 5 | |
6/22Friday, June 227:35 p.m. | BALOrioles | Cobb | 1433 | –7 | –3 | =1423 | 33% | 10 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1515 | +9 | +23 | =1547 | 67% | 7 | |
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:37 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1516 | –8 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Happ | 1489 | +29 | +24 | =1542 | 55% | 5 | |
6/19Tuesday, June 197:07 p.m. | ATLBraves | Soroka | 1513 | –10 | –1 | =1502 | 50% | 11 |
TORBlue Jays | Garcia | 1493 | –20 | +26 | =1499 | 50% | 4 | |
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m. | SDPadres | Strahm | 1467 | +5 | +0 | =1472 | 42% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1511 | –8 | +24 | =1527 | 58% | 4 | |
6/16Saturday, June 165:10 p.m. | SDPadres | Lyles | 1468 | –21 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1510 | +6 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | 1 | |
6/15Friday, June 157:35 p.m. | SDPadres | Richard | 1464 | +9 | +0 | =1473 | 43% | 9 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1514 | –14 | +24 | =1524 | 57% | 3 | |
6/14Thursday, June 147:35 p.m. | SDPadres | Ross | 1466 | +17 | –2 | =1481 | 44% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1512 | –11 | +24 | =1525 | 56% | 4 | |
6/13Wednesday, June 1312:10 p.m. | NYMMets | deGrom | 1475 | +40 | +0 | =1515 | 50% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Soroka | 1511 | –16 | +24 | =1519 | 50% | 2 | |
6/12Tuesday, June 127:30 p.m. | NYMMets | Wheeler | 1478 | –18 | –1 | =1459 | 38% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1508 | +15 | +22 | =1545 | 62% | 8 | |
6/10Sunday, June 104:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1511 | +12 | +0 | =1523 | 42% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Stripling | 1551 | +4 | +24 | =1579 | 58% | 7 | |
6/9Saturday, June 99:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1508 | –12 | +0 | =1496 | 39% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Wood | 1554 | –2 | +24 | =1576 | 61% | 3 | |
6/8Friday, June 810:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1510 | –9 | +1 | =1502 | 39% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1552 | +5 | +20 | =1577 | 61% | 7 | |
6/6Wednesday, June 63:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1512 | +14 | +0 | =1526 | 56% | 1 |
SDPadres | Strahm | 1460 | +1 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | 3 | |
6/5Tuesday, June 510:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1508 | +10 | +0 | =1518 | 56% | 14 |
SDPadres | Lyles | 1464 | –10 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 1 | |
6/4Monday, June 410:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1512 | +1 | –4 | =1509 | 53% | 4 |
SDPadres | Richard | 1460 | +2 | +24 | =1486 | 47% | 11 | |
6/3Sunday, June 31:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Hellickson | 1551 | –30 | +0 | =1521 | 51% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1510 | –17 | +24 | =1517 | 49% | 4 | |
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m. | WSHNationals | Gonzalez | 1549 | –5 | +0 | =1544 | 53% | 5 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1512 | –12 | +24 | =1524 | 47% | 3 | |
6/1Friday, June 17:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1552 | +20 | +0 | =1572 | 55% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1509 | +7 | +24 | =1540 | 45% | 4 | |
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Roark | 1554 | –13 | –3 | =1538 | 50% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1507 | +10 | +24 | =1541 | 50% | 4 | |
5/30Wednesday, May 307:35 p.m. | NYMMets | Vargas | 1487 | –23 | +0 | =1464 | 40% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1510 | +3 | +24 | =1537 | 60% | 1 | |
5/29Tuesday, May 297:35 p.m. | NYMMets | Matz | 1488 | –11 | +0 | =1477 | 44% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1509 | –11 | +24 | =1522 | 56% | 7 | |
5/28Monday, May 287:10 p.m. | NYMMets | Conlon | 1485 | –13 | +0 | =1472 | 42% | 8 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1511 | –8 | +24 | =1527 | 58% | 5 | |
5/28Monday, May 281:10 p.m. | NYMMets | deGrom | 1486 | +39 | –3 | =1522 | 51% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1510 | –12 | +21 | =1519 | 49% | 4 | |
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 32% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1574 | +39 | +24 | =1637 | 68% | 1 | |
5/26Saturday, May 261:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1506 | +13 | +0 | =1519 | 42% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Pomeranz | 1572 | –17 | +24 | =1579 | 58% | 8 | |
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1508 | +2 | +0 | =1510 | 39% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1570 | –1 | +21 | =1590 | 61% | 6 | |
5/23Wednesday, May 237:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gohara | 1511 | –4 | +0 | =1507 | 45% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Arrieta | 1506 | +10 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | 4 | |
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1509 | –10 | +0 | =1499 | 47% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1508 | –10 | +24 | =1522 | 53% | 1 | |
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 49% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Pivetta | 1506 | –9 | +21 | =1518 | 51% | 3 | |
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Chen | 1435 | –1 | +0 | =1434 | 35% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1510 | +7 | +24 | =1541 | 65% | 10 | |
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Urena | 1437 | +7 | +0 | =1444 | 36% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1508 | +11 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | 8 | |
5/18Friday, May 187:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Straily | 1435 | –7 | –3 | =1425 | 36% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Wisler | 1510 | –14 | +26 | =1522 | 64% | 0 | |
5/16Wednesday, May 167:35 p.m. | CHCCubs | Chatwood | 1558 | –2 | +0 | =1556 | 55% | 1 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1507 | –13 | +24 | =1518 | 45% | 4 | |
5/15Tuesday, May 157:35 p.m. | CHCCubs | Darvish | 1556 | –5 | –3 | =1548 | 53% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1509 | +0 | +21 | =1530 | 47% | 2 | |
5/14Monday, May 142:20 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1507 | +11 | –3 | =1515 | 40% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Quintana | 1558 | +4 | +24 | =1586 | 60% | 5 | |
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1506 | +9 | +0 | =1515 | 57% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Urena | 1435 | +9 | +24 | =1468 | 43% | 3 | |
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Soroka | 1503 | –9 | +0 | =1494 | 53% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Garcia | 1438 | +11 | +24 | =1473 | 47% | 5 | |
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1506 | –7 | +0 | =1499 | 57% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Straily | 1435 | –8 | +24 | =1451 | 43% | 6 | |
5/10Thursday, May 107:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1502 | –4 | –2 | =1496 | 52% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Smith | 1439 | +22 | +21 | =1482 | 48% | 2 | |
5/9Wednesday, May 97:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1500 | +7 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | 5 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1497 | –17 | +24 | =1504 | 50% | 2 | |
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1498 | +5 | +0 | =1503 | 44% | 1 |
TBRays | Snell | 1498 | +21 | +26 | =1545 | 56% | 0 | |
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m. | SFGiants | Suarez | 1507 | –5 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Soroka | 1500 | –3 | +24 | =1521 | 53% | 3 | |
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m. | SFGiants | Blach | 1502 | –15 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 11 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1505 | +3 | +24 | =1532 | 56% | 2 | |
5/4Friday, May 47:35 p.m. | SFGiants | Stratton | 1499 | +5 | –2 | =1502 | 46% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1508 | –1 | +21 | =1528 | 54% | 4 | |
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1503 | –1 | +0 | =1502 | 50% | 11 |
NYMMets | Vargas | 1499 | –18 | +24 | =1505 | 50% | 0 | |
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1499 | –3 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | 7 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1503 | +31 | +24 | =1558 | 59% | 0 | |
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Soroka | 1497 | –7 | +1 | =1491 | 40% | 3 |
NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1505 | +35 | +22 | =1562 | 60% | 2 | |
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1492 | +4 | +0 | =1496 | 47% | 10 |
PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1501 | –8 | +24 | =1517 | 53% | 1 | |
4/28Saturday, April 286:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1490 | +0 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Pivetta | 1503 | –6 | +24 | =1521 | 55% | 1 | |
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1492 | +4 | –2 | =1494 | 42% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1501 | +26 | +24 | =1551 | 58% | 7 | |
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1490 | –2 | +0 | =1488 | 52% | 7 |
CINReds | Bailey | 1445 | +2 | +24 | =1471 | 48% | 4 | |
4/25Wednesday, April 256:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Wisler | 1489 | –8 | +0 | =1481 | 52% | 5 |
CINReds | Finnegan | 1446 | –1 | +24 | =1469 | 48% | 4 | |
4/24Tuesday, April 246:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1491 | +6 | +0 | =1497 | 55% | 7 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1444 | –4 | +24 | =1464 | 45% | 9 | |
4/23Monday, April 236:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1494 | –3 | +0 | =1491 | 54% | 4 |
CINReds | Romano | 1441 | –2 | +22 | =1461 | 46% | 10 | |
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m. | NYMMets | deGrom | 1507 | +23 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1493 | –3 | +24 | =1514 | 48% | 4 | |
4/20Friday, April 207:35 p.m. | NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1505 | +33 | +0 | =1538 | 53% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1494 | –3 | +24 | =1515 | 47% | 3 | |
4/19Thursday, April 197:35 p.m. | NYMMets | Harvey | 1508 | –33 | –3 | =1472 | 46% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Wisler | 1491 | –13 | +24 | =1502 | 54% | 12 | |
4/18Wednesday, April 187:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1499 | –6 | +0 | =1493 | 46% | 3 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1489 | +8 | +24 | =1521 | 54% | 7 | |
4/17Tuesday, April 177:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Pivetta | 1497 | –9 | +0 | =1488 | 46% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1491 | –2 | +24 | =1513 | 54% | 1 | |
4/16Monday, April 167:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1498 | +25 | –2 | =1521 | 51% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1490 | –2 | +23 | =1511 | 49% | 2 | |
4/14Saturday, April 142:20 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1492 | +1 | +0 | =1493 | 37% | 10 |
CHCCubs | Quintana | 1552 | +12 | +24 | =1588 | 63% | 14 | |
4/13Friday, April 132:20 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1488 | –11 | –1 | =1476 | 35% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Darvish | 1556 | +4 | +24 | =1584 | 65% | 0 | |
4/11Wednesday, April 111:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1486 | +8 | +0 | =1494 | 47% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Cole | 1541 | –46 | +24 | =1519 | 53% | 3 | |
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1488 | +0 | +0 | =1488 | 35% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1539 | +32 | +24 | =1595 | 65% | 4 | |
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1489 | –2 | –4 | =1483 | 34% | 0 |
WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1538 | +33 | +24 | =1595 | 66% | 2 | |
4/8Sunday, April 83:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1486 | –4 | +0 | =1482 | 45% | 4 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1501 | –11 | +24 | =1514 | 55% | 0 | |
4/7Saturday, April 78:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | Sanchez | 1487 | –10 | +0 | =1477 | 43% | 2 |
COLRockies | Bettis | 1500 | –1 | +24 | =1523 | 57% | 3 | |
4/6Friday, April 64:10 p.m. | ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1484 | +9 | –1 | =1492 | 46% | 8 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1503 | –1 | +21 | =1523 | 54% | 3 | |
4/4Wednesday, April 412:10 p.m. | WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1550 | +37 | +0 | =1587 | 62% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1480 | –1 | +24 | =1503 | 38% | 7 | |
4/3Tuesday, April 37:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Cole | 1554 | –35 | +0 | =1519 | 52% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1476 | +7 | +24 | =1507 | 48% | 13 | |
4/2Monday, April 27:35 p.m. | WSHNationals | Roark | 1551 | –21 | –2 | =1528 | 53% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Newcomb | 1479 | –1 | +26 | =1504 | 47% | 1 | |
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1489 | –5 | +0 | =1484 | 47% | 2 |
ATLBraves | McCarthy | 1474 | +8 | +24 | =1506 | 53% | 15 | |
3/30Friday, March 307:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Pivetta | 1487 | –17 | +0 | =1470 | 46% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Foltynewicz | 1476 | –3 | +24 | =1497 | 54% | 4 | |
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1490 | +24 | –3 | =1511 | 51% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1474 | +8 | +24 | =1506 | 49% | 8 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments