2018 MLB Predictions

The Orioles are done for the season.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Red Sox Red Sox108-54	—	✓	✓
Yankees Yankees100-62	8.0	✓	—
Rays Rays90-72	18.0	—	—
Blue Jays Blue Jays73-89	35.0	—	—
Orioles Orioles47-115	61.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Morton	1603	–6	+0	=1597	71%	0
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1411	+8	+24	=1443	29%	4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1602	–18	+0	=1584	71%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1412	–6	+24	=1430	29%	2
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1601	+25	+0	=1626	75%	4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1413	+0	+24	=1437	25%	3
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+11	+0	=1612	73%	2
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1413	+0	+24	=1437	27%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1405	+10	+0	=1415	19%	10
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1590	+56	+24	=1670	81%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 261:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Meisinger	1407	+7	+2	=1416	22%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 261:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1588	+17	+26	=1631	78%	19
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1408	+2	–2	=1408	25%	2
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1587	–11	+21	=1597	75%	6
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1404	+22	+0	=1426	27%	6
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1564	+9	+24	=1597	73%	3
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1405	–2	+0	=1403	27%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1563	–16	+24	=1571	73%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1406	+2	+0	=1408	27%	8
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1562	–9	+24	=1577	73%	10
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1473	–12	+0	=1461	55%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1404	+2	+24	=1430	45%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1472	+7	+0	=1479	57%	6
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1406	+1	+24	=1431	43%	4
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1469	+4	–2	=1471	55%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Phillips	1408	+7	+24	=1439	45%	0
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1447	–1	+0	=1446	52%	4
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1405	+1	+24	=1430	48%	8
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1445	+8	+0	=1453	54%	2
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1407	–5	+24	=1426	46%	0
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1444	–3	–1	=1440	50%	8
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ortiz	1409	+7	+24	=1440	50%	6
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1564	–9	+0	=1555	68%	3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1406	–3	+24	=1427	32%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Hendriks	1561	–10	+0	=1551	67%	10
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1409	–1	+24	=1432	33%	0
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1560	+12	–2	=1570	66%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1410	+20	+23	=1453	34%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Rogers	1411	+6	+0	=1417	32%	3
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1539	–11	+24	=1552	68%	8
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1413	+1	+0	=1414	32%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1537	–15	+24	=1546	68%	10
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1415	–1	–2	=1412	26%	2
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1535	+39	+23	=1597	74%	14
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1416	+0	+0	=1416	34%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1505	+0	+24	=1529	66%	5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1414	+15	+0	=1429	35%	5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1507	+3	+24	=1534	65%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Rogers	1414	+2	–4	=1412	35%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1506	–9	+21	=1518	65%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1418	+3	+0	=1421	48%	1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1421	–10	+24	=1435	52%	9
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1419	–2	+0	=1417	47%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1420	–3	+24	=1441	53%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1422	+4	–1	=1425	45%	2
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1417	+14	+26	=1457	55%	9
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1472	–2	+0	=1470	51%	5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1419	+18	+24	=1461	49%	10
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1476	+9	+0	=1485	56%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Rogers	1415	+1	+24	=1440	44%	12
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1480	–7	–2	=1471	56%	0
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1411	–5	+24	=1430	44%	7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 268 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1575	+11	+0	=1586	71%	5
8/26Sunday, Aug. 268 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1412	–3	+24	=1433	29%	3
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1574	–19	+0	=1555	66%	5
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1414	+3	+24	=1441	34%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 251 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1572	+7	+0	=1579	69%	10
8/25Saturday, Aug. 251 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1415	+2	+24	=1441	31%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1571	+3	–1	=1573	66%	7
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1416	+17	+24	=1457	34%	5
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2212:37 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1419	–14	+0	=1405	37%	0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 2212:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1477	–3	+24	=1498	63%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1421	+4	+0	=1425	41%	2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1475	–12	+24	=1487	59%	8
8/20Monday, Aug. 207 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1422	+6	–2	=1426	39%	3
8/20Monday, Aug. 207 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1474	+7	+22	=1503	61%	5
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1424	–2	+0	=1422	29%	0
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1563	–9	+24	=1578	71%	8
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1422	+9	+0	=1431	34%	4
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1566	–44	+24	=1546	66%	2
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1422	–20	+0	=1402	25%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1565	+7	+24	=1596	75%	2
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1466	+5	+0	=1471	52%	16
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1427	+8	+24	=1459	48%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1468	–36	–2	=1430	47%	3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1425	+3	+26	=1454	53%	6
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1604	+56	+0	=1660	76%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1425	+7	+24	=1456	24%	1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:20 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1603	–29	+0	=1574	68%	6
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:20 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1426	–5	+24	=1445	32%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1601	+1	+0	=1602	70%	5
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1428	+4	+24	=1456	30%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1599	–2	–2	=1595	68%	19
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1430	+16	+21	=1467	32%	12
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1431	–21	+0	=1410	35%	4
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1507	–13	+24	=1518	65%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1429	+1	+0	=1430	37%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1508	–7	+24	=1525	63%	4
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1430	+4	–1	=1433	43%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1507	–51	+26	=1482	57%	4
8/5Sunday, Aug. 53:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1427	+4	+0	=1431	40%	9
8/5Sunday, Aug. 53:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hutchison	1490	–11	+24	=1503	60%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 48:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1429	+15	+0	=1444	38%	1
8/4Saturday, Aug. 48:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1489	+18	+24	=1531	62%	3
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1431	–15	+0	=1416	36%	3
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1486	+4	+24	=1514	64%	11
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1434	+9	–3	=1440	42%	8
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1483	–11	+23	=1495	58%	17
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1431	–3	+0	=1428	28%	7
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1584	–13	+24	=1595	72%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1432	+6	+0	=1438	26%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1583	+14	+26	=1623	74%	6
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1509	–9	+0	=1500	55%	5
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1429	+11	+24	=1464	45%	11
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1514	–4	+0	=1510	57%	2
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1424	+14	+24	=1462	43%	11
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1519	+1	+0	=1520	60%	5
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1418	+9	+24	=1451	40%	15
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1518	–18	–3	=1497	58%	4
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1419	–3	+26	=1442	42%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1590	–26	+0	=1564	66%	6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1417	+7	+24	=1448	34%	7
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1589	–20	–2	=1567	66%	5
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1418	+15	+22	=1455	34%	3
7/22Sunday, July 221:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1419	+7	+0	=1426	36%	4
7/22Sunday, July 221:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1491	+13	+24	=1528	64%	5
7/21Saturday, July 211:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1421	–2	+0	=1419	36%	1
7/21Saturday, July 211:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1490	+4	+24	=1518	64%	4
7/20Friday, July 207:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1422	+15	+5	=1442	41%	7
7/20Friday, July 207:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1488	–10	+29	=1507	59%	8
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1482	+21	+0	=1503	59%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Castro	1420	–6	+24	=1438	41%	6
7/14Saturday, July 147:15 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1483	–16	+0	=1467	54%	0
7/14Saturday, July 147:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1418	+0	+24	=1442	46%	1
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1482	+14	+0	=1496	58%	5
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1420	–4	+24	=1440	42%	4
7/12Thursday, July 126:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1509	–21	–2	=1486	53%	5
7/12Thursday, July 126:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1421	+21	+24	=1466	47%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1587	–23	+0	=1564	64%	9
7/11Wednesday, July 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1424	+18	+24	=1466	36%	0
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1589	+6	+0	=1595	70%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1421	+4	+24	=1449	30%	6
7/9Monday, July 97:40 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1587	–29	+0	=1558	65%	10
7/9Monday, July 97:40 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1424	+4	+24	=1452	35%	2
7/9Monday, July 94:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1589	+1	–2	=1588	70%	4
7/9Monday, July 94:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1422	–2	+21	=1441	30%	5
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1425	–4	+0	=1421	37%	1
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1491	–5	+24	=1510	63%	10
7/7Saturday, July 72:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1426	+20	+0	=1446	39%	4
7/7Saturday, July 72:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1490	+7	+24	=1521	61%	5
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1428	+24	+0	=1452	43%	2
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1488	–9	+24	=1503	57%	6
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1429	+2	–3	=1428	40%	2
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Slegers	1487	–12	+22	=1497	60%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 44 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1430	–2	+0	=1428	32%	1
7/4Wednesday, July 44 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1503	+34	+24	=1561	68%	4
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1431	–7	+1	=1425	37%	2
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1502	–11	+26	=1517	63%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:05 p.m.	LAAAngels	McGuire	1513	–14	+0	=1499	54%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1428	+18	+24	=1470	46%	8
6/30Saturday, June 304:05 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1511	+13	+0	=1524	60%	6
6/30Saturday, June 304:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1430	+1	+24	=1455	40%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1508	–12	–2	=1494	57%	7
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1432	–12	+24	=1444	43%	1
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1533	–1	+0	=1532	61%	4
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1434	–2	+24	=1456	39%	2
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1532	–10	+0	=1522	59%	8
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1435	–3	+24	=1456	41%	7
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1531	+26	+0	=1557	62%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1436	+15	+24	=1475	38%	2
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1530	–13	–2	=1515	58%	5
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1437	+0	+21	=1458	42%	3
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1439	–8	+0	=1431	38%	3
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1510	–15	+24	=1519	62%	7
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1436	+24	+0	=1460	40%	7
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1512	–2	+24	=1534	60%	5
6/22Friday, June 227:35 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1433	–7	–3	=1423	33%	10
6/22Friday, June 227:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1515	+9	+23	=1547	67%	7
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1434	+16	+0	=1450	28%	2
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1541	+47	+24	=1612	72%	4
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1431	–2	+0	=1429	32%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1545	–11	+24	=1558	68%	0
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1432	–1	+1	=1432	36%	7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1543	–36	+24	=1531	64%	9
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1439	+4	+0	=1443	45%	4
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1429	+27	+24	=1480	55%	10
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1438	–4	+0	=1434	48%	5
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1431	–6	+24	=1449	52%	4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1436	+6	–3	=1439	45%	2
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1433	+15	+26	=1474	55%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 133:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1572	+34	+0	=1606	70%	5
6/13Wednesday, June 133:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1434	–1	+24	=1457	30%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1571	+4	+0	=1575	65%	6
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1435	+7	+24	=1466	35%	4
6/11Monday, June 117:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1570	–19	–2	=1549	60%	2
6/11Monday, June 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1436	+21	+22	=1479	40%	0
6/10Sunday, June 101:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1440	+3	+0	=1443	40%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1490	–3	+24	=1511	60%	13
6/9Saturday, June 91:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1441	+14	+0	=1455	41%	3
6/9Saturday, June 91:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1489	+3	+24	=1516	59%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1442	–1	+0	=1441	37%	1
6/8Friday, June 87:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1487	+24	+24	=1535	63%	5
6/7Thursday, June 77:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1443	+4	–2	=1445	44%	4
6/7Thursday, June 77:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1486	–20	+24	=1490	56%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1442	+16	+0	=1458	47%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1479	–21	+24	=1482	53%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1440	+0	+3	=1443	44%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1481	–22	+26	=1485	56%	1
6/2Saturday, June 24:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1582	+9	+0	=1591	65%	8
6/2Saturday, June 24:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1442	+18	+24	=1484	35%	5
6/1Friday, June 17:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1581	–19	+0	=1562	63%	4
6/1Friday, June 17:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1443	+0	+26	=1469	37%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1553	+33	+0	=1586	66%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1444	+2	+24	=1470	34%	0
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1552	–29	+0	=1523	55%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1445	+19	+24	=1488	45%	2
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1549	–7	–3	=1539	60%	6
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1448	–1	+21	=1468	40%	0
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1451	+26	+0	=1477	46%	3
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1497	–14	+24	=1507	54%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1453	+3	+0	=1456	43%	1
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1495	–14	+24	=1505	57%	5
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1450	–7	–3	=1440	40%	2
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1497	–11	+24	=1510	60%	0
5/24Thursday, May 242:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1447	+12	+0	=1459	49%	9
5/24Thursday, May 242:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1439	+1	+24	=1464	51%	3
5/23Wednesday, May 238:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1452	+3	+0	=1455	54%	1
5/23Wednesday, May 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1434	–28	+24	=1430	46%	11
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1453	+25	+0	=1478	53%	2
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1432	+4	+24	=1460	47%	3
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1452	+6	–3	=1455	51%	3
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1434	–10	+24	=1448	49%	2
5/20Sunday, May 201:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1454	+1	+0	=1455	32%	0
5/20Sunday, May 201:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1568	–3	+24	=1589	68%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1455	+11	+0	=1466	33%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1567	–4	+24	=1587	67%	6
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1452	+3	+0	=1455	33%	7
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1570	–13	+24	=1581	67%	4
5/17Thursday, May 177:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1453	+28	–2	=1479	35%	2
5/17Thursday, May 177:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1569	–6	+24	=1587	65%	6
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1506	–14	+4	=1496	51%	4
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1455	+4	+29	=1488	49%	1
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1493	+24	+0	=1517	56%	1
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1448	+6	+24	=1478	44%	17
5/12Saturday, May 126:35 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1489	–8	+0	=1481	50%	10
5/12Saturday, May 126:35 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1452	+5	+24	=1481	50%	3
5/12Saturday, May 123:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1492	+1	+0	=1493	53%	3
5/12Saturday, May 123:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1450	–1	+24	=1473	47%	6
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1494	+0	–1	=1493	49%	4
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1447	+29	+24	=1500	51%	9
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1441	–4	+0	=1437	51%	6
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1444	–36	+24	=1432	49%	11
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1442	–26	+0	=1416	42%	3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1442	+5	+24	=1471	58%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1438	+6	–1	=1443	44%	15
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1447	+16	+22	=1485	56%	7
5/6Sunday, May 64:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1448	–1	+0	=1447	40%	1
5/6Sunday, May 64:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Triggs	1499	–5	+24	=1518	60%	2
5/5Saturday, May 59:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1449	+19	+0	=1468	44%	0
5/5Saturday, May 59:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1498	–10	+24	=1512	56%	2
5/4Friday, May 410:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1451	+7	–2	=1456	41%	4
5/4Friday, May 410:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1496	+3	+21	=1520	59%	6
5/3Thursday, May 310:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1453	–32	+0	=1421	35%	3
5/3Thursday, May 310:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1516	–10	+24	=1530	65%	12
5/2Wednesday, May 210:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1455	+22	+0	=1477	44%	7
5/2Wednesday, May 210:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1515	–17	+24	=1522	56%	10
5/1Tuesday, May 110:07 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1456	–2	–2	=1452	38%	2
5/1Tuesday, May 110:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1514	+1	+26	=1541	62%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1451	–1	+0	=1450	44%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1455	+15	+24	=1494	56%	5
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1448	+5	+0	=1453	45%	9
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1458	+10	+24	=1492	55%	5
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	–9	–2	=1441	51%	0
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1454	–42	+24	=1436	49%	6
4/26Thursday, April 267:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1488	+1	+0	=1489	47%	9
4/26Thursday, April 267:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1457	+30	+24	=1511	53%	5
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1486	–4	+2	=1484	50%	8
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1460	+0	+26	=1486	50%	4
4/23Monday, April 237:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1572	+17	+0	=1589	63%	2
4/23Monday, April 237:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1461	+9	+24	=1494	37%	1
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1571	+40	+0	=1611	66%	7
4/22Sunday, April 221:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1462	+11	+24	=1497	34%	3
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1569	–11	+0	=1558	66%	4
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1464	–44	+24	=1444	34%	0
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1572	–7	–1	=1564	58%	1
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1462	+28	+22	=1512	42%	3
4/19Thursday, April 191:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1465	+8	+0	=1473	52%	8
4/19Thursday, April 191:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1449	–17	+24	=1456	48%	13
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1466	+10	+0	=1476	50%	5
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+6	+24	=1478	50%	6
4/17Tuesday, April 176:40 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1468	+11	–1	=1478	50%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 176:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1446	+4	+31	=1481	50%	4
4/15Sunday, April 151:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1469	+26	+0	=1495	33%	1
4/15Sunday, April 151:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1567	+31	+24	=1622	67%	3
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1471	+15	+0	=1486	39%	3
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1564	–26	+24	=1562	61%	10
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1472	–42	+0	=1430	30%	3
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1563	–6	+24	=1581	70%	7
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1516	+0	+0	=1516	52%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1471	+7	+24	=1502	48%	5
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1515	+3	+0	=1518	53%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1472	+4	+24	=1500	47%	1
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1512	+15	–3	=1524	51%	7
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1475	+22	+22	=1519	49%	1
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Wright Jr.	1473	–20	+0	=1453	32%	8
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1563	–4	+24	=1583	68%	7
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1474	–41	+0	=1433	31%	3
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1562	–10	+24	=1576	69%	8
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1471	+6	+0	=1477	35%	7
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1566	–3	+24	=1587	65%	3
4/5Thursday, April 56:35 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1467	+1	–3	=1465	30%	5
4/5Thursday, April 56:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1569	+18	+24	=1611	70%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 42:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1468	+20	+0	=1488	34%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 42:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	+0	+24	=1607	66%	3
4/3Tuesday, April 38:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Wright Jr.	1469	–21	+0	=1448	25%	6
4/3Tuesday, April 38:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1582	+35	+24	=1641	75%	10
4/2Monday, April 27 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1471	–37	–3	=1431	28%	1
4/2Monday, April 27 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1581	–8	+22	=1595	72%	6
4/1Sunday, April 11:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1511	–3	+0	=1508	50%	7
4/1Sunday, April 11:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1474	+12	+24	=1510	50%	0
3/31Saturday, March 317:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1509	–5	+2	=1506	50%	6
3/31Saturday, March 317:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1477	+3	+26	=1506	50%	2
3/29Thursday, March 293:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1510	+2	–3	=1509	50%	2
3/29Thursday, March 293:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1475	+12	+24	=1511	50%	3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments