2018 MLB Predictions

The Rays are done for the season.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Red Sox Red Sox108-54	—	✓	✓
Yankees Yankees100-62	8.0	✓	—
Rays Rays90-72	18.0	—	—
Blue Jays Blue Jays73-89	35.0	—	—
Orioles Orioles47-115	61.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1472	–10	+0	=1462	38%	4
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Stanek	1541	–20	+24	=1545	62%	9
9/29Saturday, Sept. 296:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1473	+17	+0	=1490	33%	3
9/29Saturday, Sept. 296:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1540	+48	+24	=1612	67%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1471	+3	–1	=1473	41%	7
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1542	–28	+24	=1538	59%	6
9/27Thursday, Sept. 271:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1564	–8	+0	=1556	51%	12
9/27Thursday, Sept. 271:10 p.m.	TBRays	Schultz	1547	–21	+24	=1550	49%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1566	+18	+0	=1584	55%	7
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1545	–18	+24	=1551	45%	8
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+12	+0	=1575	53%	9
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1549	–16	+24	=1557	47%	2
9/24Monday, Sept. 247 p.m.	NYYYankees	Holder	1560	–25	–3	=1532	46%	4
9/24Monday, Sept. 247 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1551	–12	+21	=1560	54%	1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:07 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1550	+42	+0	=1592	62%	5
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1473	+13	+24	=1510	38%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1552	–31	+0	=1521	53%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Pannone	1470	+3	+24	=1497	47%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:07 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1549	–8	+0	=1541	56%	11
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1474	–2	+24	=1496	44%	3
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1550	–16	–3	=1531	57%	8
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1472	–12	+22	=1482	43%	9
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 192:05 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1547	–12	+0	=1535	54%	9
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 192:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Mendez	1480	+4	+24	=1508	46%	3
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1546	+40	+0	=1586	63%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1481	–16	+24	=1489	37%	0
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:05 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1544	–37	–3	=1504	49%	3
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Sampson	1484	+4	+21	=1509	51%	0
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1561	+15	+0	=1576	53%	4
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1542	–11	+24	=1555	47%	5
9/15Saturday, Sept. 156:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Hendriks	1563	–9	+0	=1554	51%	5
9/15Saturday, Sept. 156:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1540	–14	+24	=1550	49%	7
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1561	–15	–3	=1543	49%	2
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1542	–16	+26	=1552	51%	1
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1557	+11	+0	=1568	45%	1
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1540	+39	+24	=1603	55%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1555	–28	+0	=1527	50%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1542	–39	+24	=1527	50%	0
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1556	+22	–3	=1575	54%	5
9/10Monday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1540	–15	+24	=1549	46%	6
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Rogers	1411	+6	+0	=1417	32%	3
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1539	–11	+24	=1552	68%	8
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1413	+1	+0	=1414	32%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1537	–15	+24	=1546	68%	10
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1415	–1	–2	=1412	26%	2
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1535	+39	+23	=1597	74%	14
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1539	–34	+0	=1505	52%	3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1465	+5	+24	=1494	48%	10
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1537	–13	+0	=1524	56%	4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1467	–6	+24	=1485	44%	0
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1534	–14	–2	=1518	51%	7
9/3Monday, Sept. 37:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1471	+17	+21	=1509	49%	1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1531	–18	+0	=1513	38%	6
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1561	+11	+24	=1596	62%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1530	+37	+0	=1567	51%	5
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1562	–29	+24	=1557	49%	3
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1531	–39	–1	=1491	35%	0
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1561	+14	+24	=1599	65%	3
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:35 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1529	–13	+0	=1516	47%	8
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1522	–7	+24	=1539	53%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:35 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1531	–13	+0	=1518	47%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1520	–4	+23	=1539	53%	9
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1596	–14	+0	=1582	49%	1
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1527	+35	+24	=1586	51%	9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1600	–10	+0	=1590	59%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1524	–22	+24	=1526	41%	5
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1604	–32	–3	=1569	56%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1520	–14	+24	=1530	44%	10
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1407	+15	+0	=1422	39%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1519	–40	+24	=1503	61%	4
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1408	+10	+0	=1418	35%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1517	–13	+24	=1528	65%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1409	+3	+0	=1412	28%	1
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1516	+35	+24	=1575	72%	4
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1410	–6	–3	=1401	34%	0
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1516	–21	+21	=1516	66%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1513	–17	+0	=1496	36%	2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1605	–32	+24	=1597	64%	0
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1514	–42	+0	=1472	29%	2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1604	+3	+24	=1631	71%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1516	–11	–2	=1503	36%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1603	–25	+24	=1602	64%	7
8/16Thursday, Aug. 161:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1514	+32	+0	=1546	41%	3
8/16Thursday, Aug. 161:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1572	+11	+24	=1607	59%	1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1510	–10	+0	=1500	39%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1576	–21	+24	=1579	61%	1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1511	–20	+0	=1491	35%	1
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1574	+3	+24	=1601	65%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1512	–46	+0	=1466	43%	1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1480	+9	+24	=1513	57%	2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1511	–10	+0	=1501	52%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1481	–16	+24	=1489	48%	1
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1507	+29	–3	=1533	53%	7
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1485	+6	+24	=1515	47%	0
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1431	–21	+0	=1410	35%	4
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1507	–13	+24	=1518	65%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1429	+1	+0	=1430	37%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1508	–7	+24	=1525	63%	4
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1430	+4	–1	=1433	43%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1507	–51	+26	=1482	57%	4
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+3	+0	=1440	38%	8
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1509	–10	+24	=1523	62%	7
8/4Saturday, Aug. 46:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1435	+38	+0	=1473	37%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 46:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1511	+30	+24	=1565	63%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1433	–5	–3	=1425	36%	3
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1513	–9	+24	=1528	64%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 21:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1511	+8	+0	=1519	50%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 21:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1511	–14	+24	=1521	50%	4
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1514	–9	+0	=1505	54%	2
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1508	–54	+24	=1478	46%	7
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1517	+19	–2	=1534	52%	6
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1505	–8	+23	=1520	48%	10
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1509	–9	+0	=1500	55%	5
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1429	+11	+24	=1464	45%	11
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1514	–4	+0	=1510	57%	2
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1424	+14	+24	=1462	43%	11
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1519	+1	+0	=1520	60%	5
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1418	+9	+24	=1451	40%	15
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1518	–18	–3	=1497	58%	4
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1419	–3	+26	=1442	42%	3
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1588	–22	+0	=1566	54%	2
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1517	–5	+24	=1536	46%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1586	+7	+0	=1593	59%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1519	–15	+24	=1528	41%	0
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1588	+34	–1	=1621	64%	6
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1517	–19	+24	=1522	36%	7
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1453	+1	+0	=1454	38%	4
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1515	+0	+24	=1539	62%	6
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1451	–5	+0	=1446	37%	3
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1517	–3	+24	=1538	63%	2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1449	–3	+5	=1451	37%	6
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1519	–3	+28	=1544	63%	5
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1522	–4	+0	=1518	52%	7
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1492	–10	+24	=1506	48%	11
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1516	+0	+0	=1516	46%	19
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1498	+22	+24	=1544	54%	6
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1518	+5	+0	=1523	51%	8
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1495	–2	+24	=1517	49%	11
7/12Thursday, July 128:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1521	+31	–3	=1549	53%	1
7/12Thursday, July 128:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1493	+9	+24	=1526	47%	5
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1448	+0	+0	=1448	39%	2
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1519	–20	+24	=1523	61%	4
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	–3	+0	=1446	38%	2
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1518	–8	+24	=1534	62%	5
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1450	–6	–3	=1441	36%	9
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1517	+0	+21	=1538	64%	10
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1514	–2	+0	=1512	60%	9
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Flexen	1467	–48	+24	=1443	40%	0
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1512	+30	+0	=1542	57%	3
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1469	–3	+24	=1490	43%	0
7/6Friday, July 67:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1514	–7	–1	=1506	46%	1
7/6Friday, July 67:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1467	+43	+24	=1534	54%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1517	–15	+0	=1502	54%	0
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1441	+10	+24	=1475	46%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1515	–22	+0	=1493	53%	9
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1443	+4	+24	=1471	47%	6
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1516	–1	–2	=1513	58%	2
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	–4	+24	=1461	42%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1604	+0	+0	=1604	56%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1515	+27	+24	=1566	44%	3
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1608	+35	+0	=1643	66%	2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1512	–7	+24	=1529	34%	5
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1609	+4	+0	=1613	62%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1510	–3	+24	=1531	38%	3
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1608	–16	–3	=1589	59%	1
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1511	–9	+26	=1528	41%	0
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1532	+50	+0	=1582	58%	0
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1509	–4	+24	=1529	42%	1
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1536	–10	–3	=1523	46%	0
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1505	+25	+24	=1554	54%	11
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1587	–15	+0	=1572	58%	6
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1503	–10	+24	=1517	42%	7
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1590	–14	+0	=1576	59%	0
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1500	–8	+24	=1516	41%	4
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1592	–6	–3	=1583	59%	1
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1498	–6	+23	=1515	41%	2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1500	+0	+0	=1500	33%	1
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1609	–7	+24	=1626	67%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1498	+24	+0	=1522	29%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1611	+41	+24	=1676	71%	1
6/18Monday, June 188:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1498	–9	–3	=1486	29%	4
6/18Monday, June 188:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1610	+6	+21	=1637	71%	5
6/17Sunday, June 172:05 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1496	–12	+0	=1484	33%	3
6/17Sunday, June 172:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1590	–7	+24	=1607	67%	1
6/16Saturday, June 161:05 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1497	–11	+0	=1486	29%	1
6/16Saturday, June 161:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1589	+32	+24	=1645	71%	4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1499	+1	+0	=1500	39%	0
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1587	–30	+24	=1581	61%	5
6/14Thursday, June 147:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1500	+28	–3	=1525	42%	3
6/14Thursday, June 147:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1586	–27	+24	=1583	58%	4
6/13Wednesday, June 131:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1489	+28	+0	=1517	51%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 131:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1498	–13	+24	=1509	49%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1491	–17	+0	=1474	45%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1496	–14	+24	=1506	55%	4
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1493	–5	–3	=1485	48%	4
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1494	–16	+24	=1502	52%	8
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1530	+37	+0	=1567	57%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1495	+2	+24	=1521	43%	4
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1532	–13	+0	=1519	46%	3
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1493	+30	+24	=1547	54%	7
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1531	–11	+0	=1520	52%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1494	–15	+24	=1503	48%	3
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1529	–9	–3	=1517	52%	5
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1495	–15	+21	=1501	48%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 61:05 p.m.	TBRays	Venters	1499	–16	+0	=1483	39%	2
6/6Wednesday, June 61:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1550	–16	+24	=1558	61%	11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1500	+1	–2	=1499	34%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1549	+38	+23	=1610	66%	4
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1501	+24	+0	=1525	49%	1
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1525	–17	+24	=1532	51%	2
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1503	+7	+0	=1510	46%	1
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1524	–12	+24	=1536	54%	3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1504	–21	–3	=1480	42%	3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1523	–9	+24	=1538	58%	4
5/31Thursday, May 313:35 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1506	–13	+0	=1493	43%	3
5/31Thursday, May 313:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1500	+18	+24	=1542	57%	7
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:05 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1502	–3	+0	=1499	45%	6
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1504	+10	+24	=1538	55%	0
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1501	+22	+0	=1523	54%	4
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Gossett	1505	–30	+24	=1499	46%	3
5/28Monday, May 284:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1499	+5	–4	=1500	46%	1
5/28Monday, May 284:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1507	–3	+24	=1528	54%	0
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1451	+26	+0	=1477	46%	3
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1497	–14	+24	=1507	54%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1453	+3	+0	=1456	43%	1
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1495	–14	+24	=1505	57%	5
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1450	–7	–3	=1440	40%	2
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1497	–11	+24	=1510	60%	0
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1573	–5	+0	=1568	54%	3
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1494	+18	+24	=1536	46%	6
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1571	–1	+0	=1570	57%	4
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1496	+3	+24	=1523	43%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1570	+37	–1	=1606	63%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1498	–5	+22	=1515	37%	2
5/20Sunday, May 204:07 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1499	–11	+0	=1488	43%	2
5/20Sunday, May 204:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+2	+24	=1541	57%	5
5/19Saturday, May 199:07 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1497	–13	+0	=1484	43%	5
5/19Saturday, May 199:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1517	–9	+24	=1532	57%	3
5/18Friday, May 1810:07 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1494	+17	+0	=1511	46%	8
5/18Friday, May 1810:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1521	–3	+24	=1542	54%	3
5/17Thursday, May 1710:07 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1490	–1	–3	=1486	41%	7
5/17Thursday, May 1710:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1525	+2	+24	=1551	59%	1
5/16Wednesday, May 162:15 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1488	–2	+0	=1486	56%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 162:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1434	–11	+24	=1447	44%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 158:15 p.m.	TBRays	Banda	1487	–15	+0	=1472	53%	6
5/15Tuesday, May 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1435	–9	+24	=1450	47%	5
5/14Monday, May 147 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1486	–15	–3	=1468	54%	2
5/14Monday, May 147 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1437	–17	+21	=1441	46%	1
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1493	+24	+0	=1517	56%	1
5/13Sunday, May 131:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1448	+6	+24	=1478	44%	17
5/12Saturday, May 126:35 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1489	–8	+0	=1481	50%	10
5/12Saturday, May 126:35 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1452	+5	+24	=1481	50%	3
5/12Saturday, May 123:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1492	+1	+0	=1493	53%	3
5/12Saturday, May 123:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1450	–1	+24	=1473	47%	6
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1494	+0	–1	=1493	49%	4
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1447	+29	+24	=1500	51%	9
5/9Wednesday, May 97:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1500	+7	+0	=1507	50%	5
5/9Wednesday, May 97:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1497	–17	+24	=1504	50%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1498	+5	+0	=1503	44%	1
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1498	+21	+26	=1545	56%	0
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1512	–5	+0	=1507	48%	2
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1500	–3	+24	=1521	52%	1
5/5Saturday, May 56:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1513	+12	+0	=1525	51%	3
5/5Saturday, May 56:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1498	–1	+24	=1521	49%	5
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1516	+28	–3	=1541	55%	2
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	TBRays	Kittredge	1495	–13	+23	=1505	45%	6
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1496	+22	+0	=1518	53%	2
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1450	+27	+24	=1501	47%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1498	–4	+0	=1494	52%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+4	+24	=1477	48%	2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1497	–6	–3	=1488	55%	3
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1450	–22	+22	=1450	45%	2
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1498	–9	+0	=1489	36%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1570	–3	+24	=1591	64%	4
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1493	–4	+0	=1489	34%	12
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1575	+6	+24	=1605	66%	6
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1491	+20	–2	=1509	39%	4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1576	–8	+22	=1590	61%	3
4/26Thursday, April 267:05 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1488	+1	+0	=1489	47%	9
4/26Thursday, April 267:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1457	+30	+24	=1511	53%	5
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1486	–4	+2	=1484	50%	8
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1460	+0	+26	=1486	50%	4
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Hughes	1512	–23	+0	=1489	48%	6
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1484	–5	+24	=1503	52%	8
4/21Saturday, April 216:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1516	–6	+0	=1510	49%	1
4/21Saturday, April 216:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1480	+16	+24	=1520	51%	10
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1518	–3	–1	=1514	51%	7
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1479	–1	+26	=1504	49%	8
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1487	+19	+0	=1506	52%	2
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1477	–5	+24	=1496	48%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1484	–15	+0	=1469	44%	7
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1480	+4	+24	=1508	56%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1486	–10	–3	=1473	44%	4
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1478	+14	+24	=1516	56%	8
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1495	–12	+0	=1483	48%	10
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1481	–10	+24	=1495	52%	4
4/14Saturday, April 146:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1492	+14	+0	=1506	49%	9
4/14Saturday, April 146:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1484	+5	+24	=1513	51%	4
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1490	–10	–1	=1479	47%	2
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1486	–11	+23	=1498	53%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 112:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1487	–1	+0	=1486	54%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 112:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1451	–14	+24	=1461	46%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 102:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1486	+11	+0	=1497	53%	6
4/10Tuesday, April 102:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1452	+3	+24	=1479	47%	5
4/9Monday, April 92:30 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1485	+8	–3	=1490	51%	5
4/9Monday, April 92:30 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1453	+2	+24	=1479	49%	4
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	TBRays	Kittredge	1486	–11	+0	=1475	36%	7
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1558	–4	+24	=1578	64%	8
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1488	+1	+2	=1491	40%	3
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1555	–20	+26	=1561	60%	10
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1489	–10	–2	=1477	34%	2
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1554	+12	+23	=1589	66%	3
4/4Wednesday, April 41:05 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1491	+14	+0	=1505	36%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1567	+14	+24	=1605	64%	7
4/3Tuesday, April 34 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1493	+8	–1	=1500	38%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 34 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1565	–4	+24	=1585	62%	11
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1550	–27	+0	=1523	50%	2
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1495	+2	+24	=1521	50%	1
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1548	–20	+0	=1528	53%	3
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.	TBRays	Kittredge	1496	–12	+24	=1508	47%	2
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1547	+10	+0	=1557	53%	1
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1497	+11	+24	=1532	47%	0
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1549	+31	–3	=1577	57%	4
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1495	+9	+24	=1528	43%	6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

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2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

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Comments