Updated Aug. 15, 2018 at 6:52 PM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a >99% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1605, up 5 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
Red SoxRed Sox86-35>99%97%
YankeesYankees75-4410.0>99%3%
RaysRays60-5925.0<1%<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays54-6531.0<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles36-8449.5<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160514+0=159158%
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1508+0+24=153242%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
151072=150135%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160525+24=160465%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
151041+0=146928%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1605+3+24=163272%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15107+0=150326%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1605+57+24=168674%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1564+203=158145%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160511+24=161855%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
156427+0=153739%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160514+24=161561%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1564+6+0=157045%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160525+24=160455%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
156443+0=152134%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1605+3+24=163266%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1605+573=165968%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15107+24=152732%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160511+0=159460%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15107+24=152740%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
160514+0=159154%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1510+32+24=156646%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1429+01=142827%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160525+23=160373%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Straily, Dan
Straily
14296+0=142323%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1605+3+24=163277%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1605+573=165977%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14355+21=145123%
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160770%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146130%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160770%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146130%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160770%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146130%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+23=160458%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1521+1+24=154642%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160759%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1521+1+24=154641%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 512:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160759%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1521+1+24=154641%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1583+02=158143%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+23=163057%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1583+0+0=158343%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163157%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 98 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1583+0+0=158343%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163157%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14801+0=147929%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+26=163371%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14801+0=147929%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163171%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14801+0=147929%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163171%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1466+72=147129%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163171%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1466+7+0=147329%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163171%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 1612 a.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1466+7+0=147329%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163171%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 181:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+3=161051%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+2+26=160449%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160751%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+2+24=160249%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160751%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+2+24=160249%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+22=160554%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15648+24=158046%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160754%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15648+24=158046%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+0=160754%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15648+24=158046%
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1427+02=142524%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+21=162876%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1427+0+0=142724%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163176%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1427+0+0=142724%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163176%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+23=157542%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+26=163358%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 2912 a.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+2+0=157842%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+24=163158%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+2+2=158042%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1605+2+26=163358%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160416+1=158960%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150914+22=151740%1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1604+56+0=166076%4
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1425+7+24=145624%1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:20 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
160329+0=157468%6
BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14265+24=144532%4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1601+1+0=160270%5
BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1428+4+24=145630%0
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
159922=159568%19
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1430+16+21=146732%12
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
160211+0=159161%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1482+11+24=151739%8
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
160025+0=157561%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Hauschild, Mike
Hauschild
148410+24=149839%5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
159833+0=156558%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1486+3+22=151142%7
8/5Sunday, Aug. 58 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1574+19+0=159347%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15976+24=161553%5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 44:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Adams, Chance
Adams
157524+0=155142%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
159510+24=160958%4
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1578+20+0=159850%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
159318+24=159950%4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
158132=157647%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
158920+26=159553%15
7/31Tuesday, July 317 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15053+0=150238%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
159232+24=158462%1
7/30Monday, July 307 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+393=154241%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15916+24=160959%2
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1497+23+0=152039%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
158913+24=160061%3
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
14993+0=149636%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
158717+24=159464%10
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
150013+0=148726%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1586+55+24=166574%4
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1498+122=150838%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
158823+24=158962%1
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
159026+0=156466%6
BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
1417+7+24=144834%7
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1589202=156766%5
BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1418+15+22=145534%3
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1587+53+0=164072%9
DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1451+0+24=147528%1
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
159125+0=156663%0
DETDETTigers
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1447+4+24=147537%5
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15906+4=158866%1
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1448+0+28=147634%0
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1490+4+0=149437%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
158926+24=158763%5
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
149111+0=148032%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1588+3+24=161568%6
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1487+6+0=149334%13
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15928+24=160866%7
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1488+153=150035%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15919+24=160665%6
7/11Wednesday, July 117 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
14839+0=147425%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1591+51+24=166675%4
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Gallardo, Yovani
Gallardo
148420+0=146433%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
158926+24=158767%8
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1486+213=150436%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15871+21=160764%5
7/8Sunday, July 82:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15868+0=157870%7
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1409+0+24=143330%4
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15836+0=157767%15
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1412+22+24=145833%4
7/6Friday, July 68:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1583+501=163277%10
KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
141314+26=142523%5
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15814+0=157761%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152748+24=150339%0
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
157724+0=155352%11
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153014+24=154048%4
7/2Monday, July 27 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157662=156845%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+52+22=160655%3
7/1Sunday, July 18 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1579+4+0=158341%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1585+37+24=164659%11
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+44+0=161953%11
NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
158914+24=159947%0
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
157822=157446%1
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15866+25=160554%8
6/28Thursday, June 287 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15095+0=150440%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
157728+24=157360%4
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1511+0+0=151138%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15755+24=159462%9
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Lamb, John
Lamb
1513323=147833%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1573+3+26=160267%9
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153211+0=152134%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1571+39+24=163466%5
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152139%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+2+24=160161%2
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153052=152342%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157316+21=157858%14
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157012+0=155852%9
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1509+11+24=154448%2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1572+4+0=157657%1
MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
15064+24=152643%4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+341=160859%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1503+18+23=154441%6
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1572+1+0=157353%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15386+24=155647%3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157416+0=155852%0
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153614+24=154648%1
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157510+0=156545%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1535+38+24=159755%7
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1574+24=157254%2
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153617+24=154346%1
6/13Wednesday, June 133:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1572+34+0=160670%5
BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14341+24=145730%1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1571+4+0=157565%6
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1435+7+24=146635%4
6/11Monday, June 117:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
1570192=154960%2
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1436+21+22=147940%0
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1441+12+0=145331%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15739+24=158869%2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1442+25+0=146732%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1572+3+24=159968%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
1440133=142423%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+32+24=163177%0
6/7Thursday, June 77 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1454+13+0=146735%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
157928+24=157565%2
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1455+10+0=146531%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1577+3+24=160469%7
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Lewicki, Artie
Lewicki
1457123=144232%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157524+22=157368%6
6/3Sunday, June 37:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15728+0=156442%9
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
16016+24=161958%3
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1570+4+0=157437%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1603+40+24=166763%4
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1572+35+0=160747%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1601+3+24=162853%7
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
1574214=154943%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
159920+21=160057%4
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
14938+0=148534%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1573+1+24=159866%6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14954+0=149137%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15719+24=158663%8
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1496+62=150037%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1569+4+24=159763%8
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1505+2+0=150732%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1574+39+24=163768%1
5/26Saturday, May 261:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1506+13+0=151942%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157217+24=157958%8
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1508+2+0=151039%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15701+21=159061%6
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15735+0=156854%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1494+18+24=153646%6
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15711+0=157057%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1496+3+24=152343%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+371=160663%4
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
14985+22=151537%2
5/20Sunday, May 201:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1454+1+0=145532%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15683+24=158968%5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1455+11+0=146633%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15674+24=158767%6
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1452+3+0=145533%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157013+24=158167%4
5/17Thursday, May 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1453+282=147935%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15696+24=158765%6
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14992+0=149732%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1568+38+24=163068%6
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1496+7+0=150338%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15702+24=159262%3
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1495+262=151940%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15721+22=159360%5
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157011+0=155957%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Biagini, Joe
Biagini
150923+24=151043%3
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15687+0=156154%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1510+0+24=153446%2
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+342=160258%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1508+11+24=154342%5
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15696+0=156343%5
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
1587+4+24=161557%4
5/9Wednesday, May 97 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1571+3+0=157444%6
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1585+9+24=161856%9
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
1572111=156039%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1584+24+26=163461%3
5/6Sunday, May 63:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+32+0=160263%6
TEXTEXRangers
Fister, Doug
Fister
1484+5+24=151337%1
5/5Saturday, May 58:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15685+0=156355%6
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1485+23+24=153245%5
5/4Friday, May 48:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1567+1+0=156859%5
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148710+24=150141%1
5/3Thursday, May 38:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1570+14=156757%5
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1483+12+21=151643%11
5/2Wednesday, May 21:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1434+10+0=144431%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157010+24=158469%5
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1431+13+0=144426%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1572+30+24=162674%6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
143323=142828%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15713+24=159272%10
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
14989+0=148936%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15703+24=159164%4
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
14934+0=148934%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+6+24=160566%6
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1491+202=150939%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
15768+22=159061%3
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+31+0=160659%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15205+24=153941%4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15745+0=156952%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1521+8+24=155348%3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157582=156551%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1520+18+24=156249%4
4/22Sunday, April 224:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1578+6+0=158459%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1493+6+24=152341%4
4/21Saturday, April 219:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1581+31+0=161261%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1491+19+24=153439%3
4/20Friday, April 2010:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157962=157159%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Graveman, Kendall
Graveman
149313+26=150641%3
4/19Thursday, April 1910:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15765+0=157153%8
LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
1526+3+24=155347%2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157211+0=156150%9
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1530+5+24=155950%0
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1568+72=157351%10
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1534+6+26=156649%1
4/15Sunday, April 151:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1469+26+0=149533%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1567+31+24=162267%3
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1471+15+0=148639%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
156426+24=156261%10
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Tillman, Chris
Tillman
147242+0=143030%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15636+24=158170%7
4/12Thursday, April 127:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15596+0=155348%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
156116+24=156952%6
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1557+20+0=157746%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1563+15+24=160254%7
4/10Tuesday, April 107 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1561+18+0=157945%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1559+31+26=161655%14
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
148611+0=147536%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15584+24=157864%8
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
1488+1+2=149140%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155520+26=156160%10
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1489102=147734%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1554+12+23=158966%3
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+32+0=158567%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14442+24=146633%2
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
1551262=152357%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1446+3+24=147343%3
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155027+0=152350%2
TBTBRays
Faria, Jake
Faria
1495+2+24=152150%1
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+0=152853%3
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
149612+24=150847%2
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+10+0=155753%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1497+11+24=153247%0
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1549+313=157757%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+9+24=152843%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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