Updated Jun. 23, 2018 at 1:19 AM

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 98% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1575, up 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees50-23>99%62%
Red SoxRed Sox51-261.098%38%
RaysRays35-4016.04%<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays34-4117.01%<1%
OriolesOrioles22-5228.5<1%<1%

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15287+0=152139%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+2+24=160161%
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15289+0=151934%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+38+24=163766%
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Lamb, John
Lamb
1519323=148433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+3+26=160467%
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
15191+0=151839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15754+24=159561%
6/28Thursday, June 287 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
15198+0=151141%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157525+24=157459%
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+22=157546%
NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
159014+25=160154%
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+38+0=161352%
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
159015+24=159948%
7/1Sunday, July 18 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+3+0=157849%
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
159028+24=158651%
7/2Monday, July 27 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157542=156945%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+47+22=160555%
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157525+0=155051%
WSHWSHNationals
Roark, Tanner
Roark
153619+24=154149%
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1575+2+0=157759%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153648+24=151241%
7/6Friday, July 68:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+381=161273%
KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
14184+26=144027%
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+3+0=157867%
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1418+10+24=145233%
7/8Sunday, July 82:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15754+0=157168%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1418+0+24=144232%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+21=159766%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148534%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160066%
7/11Wednesday, July 117 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148534%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160066%
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+23=148634%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160066%
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148935%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148935%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148935%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+4=158063%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+28=148537%
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157663%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148137%
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157663%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+24=148137%
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+12=157466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+22=146134%
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146334%
7/25Wednesday, July 257:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146334%
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150036%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+22=159864%
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150236%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150236%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150236%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
7/30Monday, July 307:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+03=150236%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+0=150537%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160063%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
159032=158547%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+26=160253%
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160052%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 44:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160052%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 58 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160052%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157659%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+22=151141%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157659%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151341%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157659%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+24=151341%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+12=157466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+21=146034%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146334%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146334%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+1=157757%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+22=152743%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157657%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1505+0+24=152943%
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+12=149936%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150136%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+0=150136%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160064%
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
155933=155343%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160057%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+0=155644%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160056%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+0=155644%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160056%
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+0=155644%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160056%
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+13=157357%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152543%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157657%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152543%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157657%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1500+1+24=152543%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+21=143428%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+23=159972%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1433+2+0=143528%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160072%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+13=157366%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+21=145834%
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146134%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146134%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157666%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1435+2+24=146134%
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+13=157356%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153644%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157656%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153644%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 512:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157656%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+24=153644%
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+02=160651%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+23=159949%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+0=160851%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160049%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 912 a.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1608+0+0=160851%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160049%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148934%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+29=160566%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148935%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1487+2+0=148935%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160065%
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
147512=147232%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160068%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160067%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 1612 a.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
14751+0=147433%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160067%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 181:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+3=157945%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+26=161355%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157645%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+24=161155%
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157645%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+24=161155%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+12=157449%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+24=158051%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157650%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+24=158050%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+0=157650%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15593+24=158050%
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+32=143728%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+21=159772%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143928%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160072%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143928%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160072%
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
159033=158447%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+26=160253%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 2912 a.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+0=158748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+24=160052%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15903+2=158948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1575+1+26=160252%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153052=152342%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157316+21=157858%14
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157012+0=155852%9
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1509+11+24=154448%2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1572+4+0=157657%1
MINMINTwins
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
15064+24=152643%4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+341=160859%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1503+18+23=154441%6
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1572+1+0=157353%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15386+24=155647%3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157416+0=155852%0
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
153614+24=154648%1
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157510+0=156545%6
SEASEAMariners
Paxton, James
Paxton
1535+38+24=159755%7
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1574+24=157254%2
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
153617+24=154346%1
6/13Wednesday, June 133:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1572+34+0=160670%5
BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14341+24=145730%1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1571+4+0=157565%6
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1435+7+24=146635%4
6/11Monday, June 117:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
1570192=154960%2
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1436+21+22=147940%0
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1441+12+0=145331%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15739+24=158869%2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1442+25+0=146732%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1572+3+24=159968%4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
1440133=142423%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+32+24=163177%0
6/7Thursday, June 77 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1454+13+0=146735%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
157928+24=157565%2
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Hardy, Blaine
Hardy
1455+10+0=146531%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1577+3+24=160469%7
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Lewicki, Artie
Lewicki
1457123=144232%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wright, Steven
Wright
157524+22=157368%6
6/3Sunday, June 37:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15728+0=156442%9
HOUHOUAstros
Morton, Charlie
Morton
16016+24=161958%3
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1570+4+0=157437%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1603+40+24=166763%4
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1572+35+0=160747%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1601+3+24=162853%7
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
1574214=154943%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
159920+21=160057%4
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Gaviglio, Sam
Gaviglio
14938+0=148534%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1573+1+24=159866%6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
14954+0=149137%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15719+24=158663%8
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1496+62=150037%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1569+4+24=159763%8
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1505+2+0=150732%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1574+39+24=163768%1
5/26Saturday, May 261:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
1506+13+0=151942%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157217+24=157958%8
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1508+2+0=151039%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15701+21=159061%6
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15735+0=156854%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1494+18+24=153646%6
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15711+0=157057%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1496+3+24=152343%1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+371=160663%4
TBTBRays
Faria, Jacob
Faria
14985+22=151537%2
5/20Sunday, May 201:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1454+1+0=145532%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15683+24=158968%5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1455+11+0=146633%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15674+24=158767%6
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1452+3+0=145533%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157013+24=158167%4
5/17Thursday, May 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1453+282=147935%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15696+24=158765%6
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
14992+0=149732%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1568+38+24=163068%6
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1496+7+0=150338%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15702+24=159262%3
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1495+262=151940%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15721+22=159360%5
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157011+0=155957%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Biagini, Joe
Biagini
150923+24=151043%3
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
15687+0=156154%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
1510+0+24=153446%2
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+342=160258%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1508+11+24=154342%5
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15696+0=156343%5
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
1587+4+24=161557%4
5/9Wednesday, May 97 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1571+3+0=157444%6
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1585+9+24=161856%9
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
1572111=156039%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1584+24+26=163461%3
5/6Sunday, May 63:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1570+32+0=160263%6
TEXTEXRangers
Fister, Doug
Fister
1484+5+24=151337%1
5/5Saturday, May 58:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15685+0=156355%6
TEXTEXRangers
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1485+23+24=153245%5
5/4Friday, May 48:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1567+1+0=156859%5
TEXTEXRangers
Colon, Bartolo
Colon
148710+24=150141%1
5/3Thursday, May 38:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1570+14=156757%5
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1483+12+21=151643%11
5/2Wednesday, May 21:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1434+10+0=144431%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157010+24=158469%5
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1431+13+0=144426%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1572+30+24=162674%6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Hammel, Jason
Hammel
143323=142828%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15713+24=159272%10
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
14989+0=148936%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15703+24=159164%4
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
14934+0=148934%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1575+6+24=160566%6
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1491+202=150939%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
15768+22=159061%3
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1575+31+0=160659%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
15205+24=153941%4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15745+0=156952%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1521+8+24=155348%3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157582=156551%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1520+18+24=156249%4
4/22Sunday, April 224:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1578+6+0=158459%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
1493+6+24=152341%4
4/21Saturday, April 219:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1581+31+0=161261%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1491+19+24=153439%3
4/20Friday, April 2010:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
157962=157159%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Graveman, Kendall
Graveman
149313+26=150641%3
4/19Thursday, April 1910:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15765+0=157153%8
LAALAAAngels
Tropeano, Nick
Tropeano
1526+3+24=155347%2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
157211+0=156150%9
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1530+5+24=155950%0
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1568+72=157351%10
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1534+6+26=156649%1
4/15Sunday, April 151:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1469+26+0=149533%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1567+31+24=162267%3
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1471+15+0=148639%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
156426+24=156261%10
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Tillman, Chris
Tillman
147242+0=143030%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15636+24=158170%7
4/12Thursday, April 127:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15596+0=155348%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
156116+24=156952%6
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1557+20+0=157746%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1563+15+24=160254%7
4/10Tuesday, April 107 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1561+18+0=157945%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1559+31+26=161655%14
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
148611+0=147536%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15584+24=157864%8
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Faria, Jacob
Faria
1488+1+2=149140%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155520+26=156160%10
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1489102=147734%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1554+12+23=158966%3
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1553+32+0=158567%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14442+24=146633%2
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
1551262=152357%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1446+3+24=147343%3
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155027+0=152350%2
TBTBRays
Faria, Jacob
Faria
1495+2+24=152150%1
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154820+0=152853%3
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
149612+24=150847%2
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+10+0=155753%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1497+11+24=153247%0
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1549+313=157757%4
TBTBRays
Archer, Chris
Archer
1495+9+24=152843%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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