2018 MLB Predictions

The Red Sox have a 100% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Red Sox Red Sox108-54	—	✓	✓
Yankees Yankees100-62	8.0	✓	—
Rays Rays90-72	18.0	—	—
Blue Jays Blue Jays73-89	35.0	—	—
Orioles Orioles47-115	61.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/28Sunday, Oct. 288:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Price	1606	+11	+0	=1617	52%	5
10/28Sunday, Oct. 288:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1576	+9	+24	=1609	48%	1
10/27Saturday, Oct. 278:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1603	+0	+0	=1603	49%	9
10/27Saturday, Oct. 278:09 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1580	+4	+24	=1608	51%	6
10/26Friday, Oct. 268:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1605	–11	–2	=1592	44%	2
10/26Friday, Oct. 268:09 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1578	+21	+22	=1621	56%	3
10/24Wednesday, Oct. 248:09 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1580	–7	+0	=1573	38%	2
10/24Wednesday, Oct. 248:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1603	+9	+24	=1636	62%	4
10/23Tuesday, Oct. 238:09 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1582	+14	+2	=1598	35%	4
10/23Tuesday, Oct. 238:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1600	+50	+27	=1677	65%	8
10/18Thursday, Oct. 188:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1596	+5	+0	=1601	40%	4
10/18Thursday, Oct. 188:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1602	+29	+24	=1655	60%	1
10/17Wednesday, Oct. 178:39 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1593	–6	+0	=1587	43%	8
10/17Wednesday, Oct. 178:39 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1606	–7	+24	=1623	57%	6
10/16Tuesday, Oct. 165:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1587	–1	–2	=1584	45%	8
10/16Tuesday, Oct. 165:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1611	–20	+22	=1613	55%	2
10/14Sunday, Oct. 147:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1614	+14	+0	=1628	53%	5
10/14Sunday, Oct. 147:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1585	+6	+24	=1615	47%	7
10/13Saturday, Oct. 138:09 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1609	+27	+4	=1640	44%	7
10/13Saturday, Oct. 138:09 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1590	+52	+29	=1671	56%	2
10/9Tuesday, Oct. 98:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1587	–9	+0	=1578	48%	4
10/9Tuesday, Oct. 98:07 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1567	–2	+24	=1589	52%	3
10/8Monday, Oct. 87:40 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1577	–5	+0	=1572	41%	16
10/8Monday, Oct. 87:40 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1578	+15	+24	=1617	59%	1
10/6Saturday, Oct. 68:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1573	+15	+0	=1588	44%	6
10/6Saturday, Oct. 68:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1581	+13	+24	=1618	56%	2
10/5Friday, Oct. 57:32 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1575	+10	+0	=1585	35%	4
10/5Friday, Oct. 57:32 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1580	+53	+31	=1664	65%	5
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1575	–25	+0	=1550	44%	2
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1577	–10	+24	=1591	56%	10
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1572	–28	+0	=1544	43%	8
9/29Saturday, Sept. 291:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1579	–7	+24	=1596	57%	5
9/28Friday, Sept. 287 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1569	+9	–3	=1575	49%	11
9/28Friday, Sept. 287 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1582	–25	+26	=1583	51%	6
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1405	+10	+0	=1415	19%	10
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1590	+56	+24	=1670	81%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 261:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Meisinger	1407	+7	+2	=1416	22%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 261:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1588	+17	+26	=1631	78%	19
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1408	+2	–2	=1408	25%	2
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1587	–11	+21	=1597	75%	6
9/23Sunday, Sept. 237 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1589	–40	+0	=1549	52%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 237 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1554	–46	+24	=1532	48%	4
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1590	–8	+0	=1582	50%	4
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1552	+5	+24	=1581	50%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1589	+58	–2	=1645	56%	7
9/21Friday, Sept. 217 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1554	+25	+24	=1603	44%	5
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1586	+7	+0	=1593	47%	11
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1565	+22	+24	=1611	53%	6
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1590	+22	+0	=1612	53%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1561	+8	+24	=1593	47%	10
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1591	–19	+0	=1572	47%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1560	+7	+26	=1593	53%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1498	+49	+0	=1547	33%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1590	+59	+24	=1673	67%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1499	–34	+0	=1465	31%	3
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1590	–10	+24	=1604	69%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1494	+10	–2	=1502	38%	8
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Cuevas	1595	–28	+24	=1591	62%	0
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1469	–9	+0	=1460	28%	3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 137 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1594	+4	+24	=1622	72%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1469	+5	+0	=1474	28%	0
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1593	+20	+24	=1637	72%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1470	+0	+0	=1470	23%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1593	+64	+26	=1683	77%	7
9/9Sunday, Sept. 98 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1600	–8	+0	=1592	48%	5
9/9Sunday, Sept. 98 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1591	–7	+24	=1608	52%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1598	–6	+0	=1592	45%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 84:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1593	+10	+24	=1627	55%	3
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1596	+10	–2	=1604	46%	6
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1596	+15	+23	=1634	54%	3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 512:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1594	–39	+0	=1555	51%	9
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 512:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1515	+12	+24	=1551	49%	8
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:35 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1592	–10	+0	=1582	58%	5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1517	–13	+24	=1528	42%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 31 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1589	–18	–3	=1568	55%	8
9/3Monday, Sept. 31 p.m.	ATLBraves	Toussaint	1520	–13	+24	=1531	45%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1595	–19	+0	=1576	64%	0
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1453	–5	+24	=1472	36%	8
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1593	+6	+0	=1599	61%	6
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1456	+40	+24	=1520	39%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1597	–16	+0	=1581	64%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1452	+2	+24	=1478	36%	6
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1595	–9	–3	=1583	65%	9
8/30Thursday, Aug. 308:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1453	–2	+21	=1472	35%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1438	+10	+0	=1448	26%	6
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1593	+15	+24	=1632	74%	14
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1438	+4	–1	=1441	29%	7
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1593	–21	+23	=1595	71%	8
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1596	–14	+0	=1582	49%	1
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1527	+35	+24	=1586	51%	9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1600	–10	+0	=1590	59%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1524	–22	+24	=1526	41%	5
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1604	–32	–3	=1569	56%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1520	–14	+24	=1530	44%	10
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:05 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1566	–38	+0	=1528	36%	0
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1602	+6	+24	=1632	64%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1569	+9	+0	=1578	47%	4
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1599	–23	+24	=1600	53%	10
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1567	–32	+0	=1535	39%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1601	–13	+24	=1612	61%	3
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1565	+19	–3	=1581	45%	5
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1603	–10	+24	=1617	55%	4
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	TBRays	Castillo	1513	–17	+0	=1496	36%	2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1605	–32	+24	=1597	64%	0
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1514	–42	+0	=1472	29%	2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1604	+3	+24	=1631	71%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1516	–11	–2	=1503	36%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 177 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1603	–25	+24	=1602	64%	7
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1605	–14	+0	=1591	58%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1508	+0	+24	=1532	42%	7
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1604	–16	+1	=1589	60%	2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1509	–14	+22	=1517	40%	1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1604	+56	+0	=1660	76%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1425	+7	+24	=1456	24%	1
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:20 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1603	–29	+0	=1574	68%	6
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:20 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1426	–5	+24	=1445	32%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1601	+1	+0	=1602	70%	5
8/11Saturday, Aug. 111 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1428	+4	+24	=1456	30%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1599	–2	–2	=1595	68%	19
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1430	+16	+21	=1467	32%	12
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1602	–11	+0	=1591	61%	5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1482	+11	+24	=1517	39%	8
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1600	–25	+0	=1575	61%	10
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Hauschild	1484	–10	+24	=1498	39%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1598	–33	+0	=1565	58%	10
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1486	+3	+22	=1511	42%	7
8/5Sunday, Aug. 58 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1574	+19	+0	=1593	47%	4
8/5Sunday, Aug. 58 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1597	–6	+24	=1615	53%	5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 44:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Adams	1575	–24	+0	=1551	42%	1
8/4Saturday, Aug. 44:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1595	–10	+24	=1609	58%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1578	+20	+0	=1598	50%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1593	–18	+24	=1599	50%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1581	–3	–2	=1576	47%	7
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1589	–20	+26	=1595	53%	15
7/31Tuesday, July 317 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1505	–3	+0	=1502	38%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 317 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1592	–32	+24	=1584	62%	1
7/30Monday, July 307 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1506	+39	–3	=1542	41%	1
7/30Monday, July 307 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1591	–6	+24	=1609	59%	2
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1497	+23	+0	=1520	39%	0
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1589	–13	+24	=1600	61%	3
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1499	–3	+0	=1496	36%	4
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1587	–17	+24	=1594	64%	10
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1500	–13	+0	=1487	26%	3
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1586	+55	+24	=1665	74%	4
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1498	+12	–2	=1508	38%	2
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1588	–23	+24	=1589	62%	1
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1590	–26	+0	=1564	66%	6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1417	+7	+24	=1448	34%	7
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1589	–20	–2	=1567	66%	5
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1418	+15	+22	=1455	34%	3
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1587	+53	+0	=1640	72%	9
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1451	+0	+24	=1475	28%	1
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1591	–25	+0	=1566	63%	0
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1447	+4	+24	=1475	37%	5
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1590	–6	+4	=1588	66%	1
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+0	+28	=1476	34%	0
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1490	+4	+0	=1494	37%	2
7/15Sunday, July 151:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1589	–26	+24	=1587	63%	5
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1491	–11	+0	=1480	32%	2
7/14Saturday, July 141:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1588	+3	+24	=1615	68%	6
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1487	+6	+0	=1493	34%	13
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1592	–8	+24	=1608	66%	7
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1488	+15	–3	=1500	35%	4
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1591	–9	+24	=1606	65%	6
7/11Wednesday, July 117 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1483	–9	+0	=1474	25%	2
7/11Wednesday, July 117 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1591	+51	+24	=1666	75%	4
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1484	–20	+0	=1464	33%	4
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1589	–26	+24	=1587	67%	8
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1486	+21	–3	=1504	36%	0
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1587	–1	+21	=1607	64%	5
7/8Sunday, July 82:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1586	–8	+0	=1578	70%	7
7/8Sunday, July 82:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1409	+0	+24	=1433	30%	4
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1583	–6	+0	=1577	67%	15
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1412	+22	+24	=1458	33%	4
7/6Friday, July 68:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1583	+50	–1	=1632	77%	10
7/6Friday, July 68:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1413	–14	+26	=1425	23%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1581	–4	+0	=1577	61%	3
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1527	–48	+24	=1503	39%	0
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1577	–24	+0	=1553	52%	11
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1530	–14	+24	=1540	48%	4
7/2Monday, July 27 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1576	–6	–2	=1568	45%	4
7/2Monday, July 27 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1532	+52	+22	=1606	55%	3
7/1Sunday, July 18 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1579	+4	+0	=1583	41%	1
7/1Sunday, July 18 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1585	+37	+24	=1646	59%	11
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+44	+0	=1619	53%	11
6/30Saturday, June 307:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1589	–14	+24	=1599	47%	0
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1578	–2	–2	=1574	46%	1
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1586	–6	+25	=1605	54%	8
6/28Thursday, June 287 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1509	–5	+0	=1504	40%	2
6/28Thursday, June 287 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1577	–28	+24	=1573	60%	4
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1511	+0	+0	=1511	38%	6
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1575	–5	+24	=1594	62%	9
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Lamb	1513	–32	–3	=1478	33%	1
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1573	+3	+26	=1602	67%	9
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1532	–11	+0	=1521	34%	0
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1571	+39	+24	=1634	66%	5
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1528	–7	+0	=1521	39%	7
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1575	+2	+24	=1601	61%	2
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1530	–5	–2	=1523	42%	10
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1573	–16	+21	=1578	58%	14
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1570	–12	+0	=1558	52%	9
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1509	+11	+24	=1544	48%	2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1572	+4	+0	=1576	57%	1
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1506	–4	+24	=1526	43%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+34	–1	=1608	59%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1503	+18	+23	=1544	41%	6
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1572	+1	+0	=1573	53%	9
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1538	–6	+24	=1556	47%	3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1574	–16	+0	=1558	52%	0
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1536	–14	+24	=1546	48%	1
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1575	–10	+0	=1565	45%	6
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1535	+38	+24	=1597	55%	7
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1574	+2	–4	=1572	54%	2
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1536	–17	+24	=1543	46%	1
6/13Wednesday, June 133:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1572	+34	+0	=1606	70%	5
6/13Wednesday, June 133:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1434	–1	+24	=1457	30%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1571	+4	+0	=1575	65%	6
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1435	+7	+24	=1466	35%	4
6/11Monday, June 117:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1570	–19	–2	=1549	60%	2
6/11Monday, June 117:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1436	+21	+22	=1479	40%	0
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1441	+12	+0	=1453	31%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1573	–9	+24	=1588	69%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1442	+25	+0	=1467	32%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1572	+3	+24	=1599	68%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1440	–13	–3	=1424	23%	1
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+32	+24	=1631	77%	0
6/7Thursday, June 77 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1454	+13	+0	=1467	35%	7
6/7Thursday, June 77 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Beeks	1579	–28	+24	=1575	65%	2
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1455	+10	+0	=1465	31%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1577	+3	+24	=1604	69%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Lewicki	1457	–12	–3	=1442	32%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1575	–24	+22	=1573	68%	6
6/3Sunday, June 37:30 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1572	–8	+0	=1564	42%	9
6/3Sunday, June 37:30 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1601	–6	+24	=1619	58%	3
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1570	+4	+0	=1574	37%	5
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1603	+40	+24	=1667	63%	4
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1572	+35	+0	=1607	47%	3
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1601	+3	+24	=1628	53%	7
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1574	–21	–4	=1549	43%	2
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1599	–20	+21	=1600	57%	4
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1493	–8	+0	=1485	34%	4
5/30Wednesday, May 301:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1573	+1	+24	=1598	66%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1495	–4	+0	=1491	37%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1571	–9	+24	=1586	63%	8
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1496	+6	–2	=1500	37%	3
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1569	+4	+24	=1597	63%	8
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1505	+2	+0	=1507	32%	7
5/27Sunday, May 271:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1574	+39	+24	=1637	68%	1
5/26Saturday, May 261:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1506	+13	+0	=1519	42%	6
5/26Saturday, May 261:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1572	–17	+24	=1579	58%	8
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1508	+2	+0	=1510	39%	2
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1570	–1	+21	=1590	61%	6
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1573	–5	+0	=1568	54%	3
5/24Thursday, May 247:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1494	+18	+24	=1536	46%	6
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1571	–1	+0	=1570	57%	4
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1496	+3	+24	=1523	43%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1570	+37	–1	=1606	63%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1498	–5	+22	=1515	37%	2
5/20Sunday, May 201:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1454	+1	+0	=1455	32%	0
5/20Sunday, May 201:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1568	–3	+24	=1589	68%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1455	+11	+0	=1466	33%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1567	–4	+24	=1587	67%	6
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1452	+3	+0	=1455	33%	7
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1570	–13	+24	=1581	67%	4
5/17Thursday, May 177:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1453	+28	–2	=1479	35%	2
5/17Thursday, May 177:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1569	–6	+24	=1587	65%	6
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1499	–2	+0	=1497	32%	4
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1568	+38	+24	=1630	68%	6
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1496	+7	+0	=1503	38%	5
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1570	–2	+24	=1592	62%	3
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1495	+26	–2	=1519	40%	6
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1572	–1	+22	=1593	60%	5
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1570	–11	+0	=1559	57%	5
5/13Sunday, May 131:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Biagini	1509	–23	+24	=1510	43%	3
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1568	–7	+0	=1561	54%	5
5/12Saturday, May 124:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1510	+0	+24	=1534	46%	2
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1570	+34	–2	=1602	58%	3
5/11Friday, May 117:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1508	+11	+24	=1543	42%	5
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1569	–6	+0	=1563	43%	5
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1587	+4	+24	=1615	57%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 97 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1571	+3	+0	=1574	44%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 97 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1585	+9	+24	=1618	56%	9
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1572	–11	–1	=1560	39%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1584	+24	+26	=1634	61%	3
5/6Sunday, May 63:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1570	+32	+0	=1602	63%	6
5/6Sunday, May 63:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1484	+5	+24	=1513	37%	1
5/5Saturday, May 58:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1568	–5	+0	=1563	55%	6
5/5Saturday, May 58:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1485	+23	+24	=1532	45%	5
5/4Friday, May 48:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1567	+1	+0	=1568	59%	5
5/4Friday, May 48:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1487	–10	+24	=1501	41%	1
5/3Thursday, May 38:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1570	+1	–4	=1567	57%	5
5/3Thursday, May 38:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1483	+12	+21	=1516	43%	11
5/2Wednesday, May 21:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1434	+10	+0	=1444	31%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 21:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1570	–10	+24	=1584	69%	5
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1431	+13	+0	=1444	26%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1572	+30	+24	=1626	74%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1433	–2	–3	=1428	28%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1571	–3	+24	=1592	72%	10
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1498	–9	+0	=1489	36%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1570	–3	+24	=1591	64%	4
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1493	–4	+0	=1489	34%	12
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1575	+6	+24	=1605	66%	6
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1491	+20	–2	=1509	39%	4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1576	–8	+22	=1590	61%	3
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+31	+0	=1606	59%	5
4/26Thursday, April 267:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1520	–5	+24	=1539	41%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1574	–5	+0	=1569	52%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 257:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1521	+8	+24	=1553	48%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1575	–8	–2	=1565	51%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1520	+18	+24	=1562	49%	4
4/22Sunday, April 224:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1578	+6	+0	=1584	59%	1
4/22Sunday, April 224:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1493	+6	+24	=1523	41%	4
4/21Saturday, April 219:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1581	+31	+0	=1612	61%	0
4/21Saturday, April 219:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1491	+19	+24	=1534	39%	3
4/20Friday, April 2010:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1579	–6	–2	=1571	59%	7
4/20Friday, April 2010:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Graveman	1493	–13	+26	=1506	41%	3
4/19Thursday, April 1910:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1576	–5	+0	=1571	53%	8
4/19Thursday, April 1910:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1526	+3	+24	=1553	47%	2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1572	–11	+0	=1561	50%	9
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1530	+5	+24	=1559	50%	0
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:07 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1568	+7	–2	=1573	51%	10
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1534	+6	+26	=1566	49%	1
4/15Sunday, April 151:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1469	+26	+0	=1495	33%	1
4/15Sunday, April 151:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1567	+31	+24	=1622	67%	3
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1471	+15	+0	=1486	39%	3
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1564	–26	+24	=1562	61%	10
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1472	–42	+0	=1430	30%	3
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1563	–6	+24	=1581	70%	7
4/12Thursday, April 127:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1559	–6	+0	=1553	48%	3
4/12Thursday, April 127:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1561	–16	+24	=1569	52%	6
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1557	+20	+0	=1577	46%	10
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1563	+15	+24	=1602	54%	7
4/10Tuesday, April 107 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1561	+18	+0	=1579	45%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1559	+31	+26	=1616	55%	14
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	TBRays	Kittredge	1486	–11	+0	=1475	36%	7
4/8Sunday, April 81:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1558	–4	+24	=1578	64%	8
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1488	+1	+2	=1491	40%	3
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1555	–20	+26	=1561	60%	10
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1489	–10	–2	=1477	34%	2
4/5Thursday, April 52:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1554	+12	+23	=1589	66%	3
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1553	+32	+0	=1585	67%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1444	–2	+24	=1466	33%	2
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1551	–26	–2	=1523	57%	7
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1446	+3	+24	=1473	43%	3
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1550	–27	+0	=1523	50%	2
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1495	+2	+24	=1521	50%	1
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1548	–20	+0	=1528	53%	3
3/31Saturday, March 316:10 p.m.	TBRays	Kittredge	1496	–12	+24	=1508	47%	2
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1547	+10	+0	=1557	53%	1
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1497	+11	+24	=1532	47%	0
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1549	+31	–3	=1577	57%	4
3/29Thursday, March 294 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1495	+9	+24	=1528	43%	6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments