2018 MLB Predictions

The Reds are done for the season.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Brewers Brewers96-67	—	✓	✓
Cubs Cubs95-68	1.0	✓	—
Cardinals Cardinals88-74	7.5	—	—
Pirates Pirates82-79	13.0	—	—
Reds Reds67-95	28.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Holmes	1502	–29	+0	=1473	50%	6
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Romano	1453	–7	+24	=1470	50%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1504	+25	+0	=1529	59%	0
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294 p.m.	CINReds	Lorenzen	1450	–5	+24	=1469	41%	3
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1502	–35	–2	=1465	47%	8
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1453	+10	+26	=1489	53%	4
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1432	–6	+0	=1426	45%	6
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1456	–21	+24	=1459	55%	1
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1431	–14	+0	=1417	41%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1458	+1	+23	=1482	59%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	CINReds	Lorenzen	1462	+4	+0	=1466	53%	0
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1429	–6	+24	=1447	47%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1464	+9	+0	=1473	52%	1
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1427	+9	+24	=1460	48%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1466	+26	+0	=1492	56%	0
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1425	+2	+24	=1451	44%	1
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1464	–27	–3	=1434	49%	4
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1427	–11	+26	=1442	51%	2
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1467	+6	+0	=1473	41%	0
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Gonzalez	1529	–17	+24	=1536	59%	7
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	CINReds	Lorenzen	1464	+0	+0	=1464	37%	3
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1532	+3	+24	=1559	63%	1
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1467	+14	–1	=1480	41%	0
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1529	–8	+24	=1545	59%	8
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1466	+25	+0	=1491	38%	2
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1548	+7	+24	=1579	62%	1
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1466	–35	+0	=1431	32%	0
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1547	–8	+24	=1563	68%	1
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1467	+3	+0	=1470	35%	2
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1546	+13	+21	=1580	65%	3
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 1212:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1555	–6	+0	=1549	55%	8
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 1212:35 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1470	+19	+24	=1513	45%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1557	–12	+0	=1545	54%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1468	+24	+24	=1516	46%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1560	–4	–3	=1553	64%	6
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1465	–35	+24	=1454	36%	10
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1445	+9	+0	=1454	46%	7
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1466	–7	+24	=1483	54%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1447	+4	+0	=1451	45%	2
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1464	+1	+24	=1489	55%	7
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1450	–4	+0	=1446	41%	6
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1461	+24	+24	=1509	59%	12
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1446	–4	–2	=1440	40%	6
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1464	+26	+22	=1512	60%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1465	–25	+0	=1440	36%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1494	+21	+24	=1539	64%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1467	–32	+0	=1435	39%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1492	–2	+24	=1514	61%	7
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1469	+0	–3	=1466	41%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1490	+15	+22	=1527	59%	5
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1467	+23	+0	=1490	42%	6
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1543	–21	+24	=1546	58%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1464	+20	+0	=1484	39%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Poncedeleon	1546	–9	+24	=1561	61%	0
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1466	–21	–2	=1443	33%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gomber	1544	–5	+24	=1563	67%	12
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1513	–16	+0	=1497	56%	2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1467	–37	+24	=1454	44%	1
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1512	+8	+0	=1520	53%	13
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1468	+4	+24	=1496	47%	12
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1514	–13	+0	=1501	48%	7
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1467	+24	+24	=1515	52%	9
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1469	–19	+0	=1450	32%	0
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1548	+9	+24	=1581	68%	9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1471	+23	+0	=1494	39%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1547	+0	+24	=1571	61%	10
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1472	+0	+0	=1472	38%	2
8/24Friday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Mills	1546	–13	+24	=1557	62%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1474	+26	–1	=1499	39%	1
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1543	+12	+22	=1577	61%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	CINReds	Stephenson	1476	+2	+0	=1478	42%	0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1513	–3	+24	=1534	58%	4
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1474	–5	+0	=1469	41%	9
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1515	–10	+24	=1529	59%	7
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1475	–22	–2	=1451	38%	2
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1514	+2	+22	=1538	62%	5
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1495	+0	+0	=1495	47%	4
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1472	+19	+24	=1515	53%	11
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Bumgarner	1499	+29	+0	=1528	56%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1468	–5	+24	=1487	44%	7
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Kelly	1500	–27	–2	=1471	44%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1467	+24	+26	=1517	56%	2
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1564	–27	+0	=1537	56%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.	CINReds	Stephenson	1468	+6	+24	=1498	44%	3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1561	+18	+0	=1579	62%	8
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1471	+2	+24	=1497	38%	1
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1559	–5	–2	=1552	60%	10
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1474	–19	+24	=1479	40%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1526	–5	+0	=1521	50%	9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1477	+21	+24	=1522	50%	2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1529	–5	+0	=1524	55%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1475	–10	+24	=1489	45%	6
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1531	–4	–2	=1525	52%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1472	+16	+23	=1511	48%	3
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.	CINReds	Stephenson	1476	+8	+0	=1484	43%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1460	+50	+24	=1534	57%	8
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1473	+1	+0	=1474	53%	6
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1462	–31	+24	=1455	47%	1
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1474	–11	–2	=1461	43%	4
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1461	+25	+24	=1510	57%	6
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1476	+23	+0	=1499	43%	1
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1529	–7	+24	=1546	57%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1478	–5	+0	=1473	42%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1527	–19	+24	=1532	58%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1474	+12	+2	=1488	42%	7
8/4Saturday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1531	–11	+26	=1546	58%	1
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1475	–5	–2	=1468	32%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1529	+50	+24	=1603	68%	10
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1477	+0	+0	=1477	49%	4
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1450	+7	+24	=1481	51%	7
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1479	–18	+0	=1461	47%	1
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+5	+26	=1480	53%	2
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–14	+0	=1495	47%	0
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1476	+18	+24	=1518	53%	4
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1511	+4	+0	=1515	53%	2
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1474	–6	+24	=1492	47%	6
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1513	–18	+0	=1495	48%	4
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1472	+14	+24	=1510	52%	6
7/26Thursday, July 267 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1510	–20	–2	=1488	48%	9
7/26Thursday, July 267 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1475	+2	+24	=1501	52%	4
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1512	+4	+0	=1516	53%	3
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1472	+0	+24	=1496	47%	7
7/24Tuesday, July 247 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gomber	1511	–17	+0	=1494	52%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 247 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1474	–21	+24	=1477	48%	2
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Poncedeleon	1512	–16	–2	=1494	47%	1
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1473	+16	+24	=1513	53%	2
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1491	–5	+0	=1486	48%	9
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1476	+2	+24	=1502	52%	2
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1488	+0	+0	=1488	46%	6
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1479	+15	+24	=1518	54%	2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1483	+16	+5	=1504	48%	12
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1484	+6	+29	=1519	52%	1
7/15Sunday, July 152:15 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1486	+20	+0	=1506	44%	4
7/15Sunday, July 152:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1506	+20	+24	=1550	56%	6
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1482	+12	+0	=1494	44%	8
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1510	+0	+24	=1534	56%	2
7/13Friday, July 138:15 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1477	–2	+0	=1475	40%	9
7/13Friday, July 138:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1515	+9	+24	=1548	60%	1
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1481	+12	+0	=1493	39%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1550	–1	+24	=1573	61%	19
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1478	–3	+0	=1475	33%	7
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1554	+18	+24	=1596	67%	4
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1476	+17	–2	=1491	38%	7
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1556	–1	+24	=1579	62%	5
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1477	+13	+0	=1490	34%	5
7/8Sunday, July 82:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1564	+15	+24	=1603	66%	6
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1478	–3	+0	=1475	36%	7
7/7Saturday, July 72:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1563	–14	+24	=1573	64%	8
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1476	+10	+0	=1486	35%	3
7/6Friday, July 62:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1565	+2	+26	=1593	65%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1441	–18	+0	=1423	40%	4
7/4Wednesday, July 47 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1474	–1	+24	=1497	60%	7
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	–6	+0	=1432	37%	12
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1477	+21	+24	=1522	63%	8
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1439	+9	–3	=1445	41%	3
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1476	+10	+24	=1510	59%	5
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	+10	+0	=1538	57%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1472	–8	+24	=1488	43%	8
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1533	–2	+0	=1531	54%	3
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1468	+10	+24	=1502	46%	12
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1530	+3	+0	=1533	55%	8
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1470	+1	+24	=1495	45%	2
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1528	+5	–2	=1531	52%	6
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1472	+24	+22	=1518	48%	4
6/27Wednesday, June 2712:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1470	+14	+0	=1484	41%	6
6/27Wednesday, June 2712:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1510	+11	+24	=1545	59%	5
6/26Tuesday, June 267:35 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1468	–11	+0	=1457	40%	5
6/26Tuesday, June 267:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1512	–8	+24	=1528	60%	3
6/25Monday, June 257:35 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1469	+11	–2	=1478	40%	4
6/25Monday, June 257:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1511	+16	+24	=1551	60%	5
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1556	+2	+0	=1558	59%	6
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1467	+3	+24	=1494	41%	8
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Farrell	1560	–34	+0	=1526	52%	2
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1463	+24	+24	=1511	48%	11
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1563	+2	+0	=1565	60%	3
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1460	+14	+24	=1498	40%	6
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1567	+5	–2	=1570	65%	2
6/21Thursday, June 217:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1456	–14	+24	=1466	35%	6
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1462	+19	+0	=1481	49%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1454	+12	+24	=1490	51%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1464	+12	+0	=1476	50%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1452	+1	+24	=1477	50%	9
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1450	+26	+0	=1476	46%	8
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1488	–8	+24	=1504	54%	6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1452	+19	+0	=1471	46%	2
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1486	–8	+24	=1502	54%	6
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1453	–15	–1	=1437	40%	2
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1485	+2	+22	=1509	60%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1450	+10	+0	=1460	52%	7
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1428	–5	+24	=1447	48%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1447	–2	–1	=1444	51%	5
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1431	–16	+22	=1437	49%	1
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1519	+16	+0	=1535	55%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1445	+29	+24	=1498	45%	6
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1518	+8	+0	=1526	55%	6
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1446	+21	+24	=1491	45%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1516	–7	–2	=1507	57%	7
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1448	–12	+24	=1460	43%	6
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1496	+0	+0	=1496	52%	5
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1446	+10	+24	=1480	48%	7
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1494	+8	+0	=1502	55%	6
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1448	–2	+24	=1470	45%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1492	+3	–1	=1494	49%	9
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1450	+31	+22	=1503	51%	6
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1452	+24	+0	=1476	46%	3
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1458	+21	+24	=1503	54%	6
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1455	–11	+0	=1444	48%	2
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1455	–19	+24	=1460	52%	8
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1452	+8	+0	=1460	46%	7
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lockett	1458	+4	+24	=1486	54%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 303:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1449	–1	+0	=1448	34%	7
5/30Wednesday, May 303:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1525	+16	+24	=1565	66%	4
5/29Tuesday, May 299:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1450	+26	+0	=1476	42%	2
5/29Tuesday, May 299:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1523	–11	+24	=1536	58%	5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1453	–16	–3	=1434	37%	5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1521	–14	+21	=1528	63%	12
5/27Sunday, May 273:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1455	–12	+0	=1443	40%	2
5/27Sunday, May 273:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1495	–8	+24	=1511	60%	8
5/26Saturday, May 269:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1454	+5	+0	=1459	41%	6
5/26Saturday, May 269:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1496	+2	+24	=1522	59%	5
5/25Friday, May 258:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1455	–1	–3	=1451	39%	4
5/25Friday, May 258:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1495	+10	+23	=1528	61%	5
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1492	–6	+0	=1486	48%	4
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1453	+23	+24	=1500	52%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1491	–1	+0	=1490	54%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1454	–14	+24	=1464	46%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1495	+8	+0	=1503	56%	2
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1451	–16	+26	=1461	44%	7
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1559	–6	+0	=1553	60%	6
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1453	+8	+24	=1485	40%	1
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1556	–3	+0	=1553	60%	10
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1457	+3	+24	=1484	40%	0
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1558	+18	+0	=1576	61%	4
5/19Saturday, May 191:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1455	+23	+24	=1502	39%	5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1555	+0	+0	=1555	62%	8
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1457	–10	+22	=1469	38%	1
5/16Wednesday, May 163:45 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1455	–18	+0	=1437	39%	6
5/16Wednesday, May 163:45 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1498	–6	+24	=1516	61%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:15 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1456	+13	+0	=1469	44%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1497	–11	+24	=1510	56%	5
5/14Monday, May 1410:15 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1458	+6	–2	=1462	42%	7
5/14Monday, May 1410:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1495	+3	+20	=1518	58%	10
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1455	+19	+0	=1474	37%	5
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1538	+3	+24	=1565	63%	3
5/12Saturday, May 129:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1453	–10	+0	=1443	35%	5
5/12Saturday, May 129:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1541	–12	+24	=1553	65%	3
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1449	–25	+0	=1424	32%	6
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1545	–13	+24	=1556	68%	2
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1445	+11	–4	=1452	34%	4
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1548	–5	+24	=1567	66%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1488	–21	+0	=1467	49%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1444	+3	+24	=1471	51%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1490	–22	+0	=1468	48%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1441	+18	+24	=1483	52%	7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Conlon	1489	–7	–3	=1479	52%	7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1443	–3	+24	=1464	48%	6
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1442	–10	+0	=1432	45%	8
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1445	–3	+24	=1466	55%	5
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1439	+11	+0	=1450	45%	6
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1449	+10	+24	=1483	55%	0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	+10	–1	=1450	47%	1
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1447	+1	+26	=1474	53%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1513	–33	+0	=1480	49%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1449	+17	+24	=1490	51%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+19	+0	=1531	58%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1450	+0	+24	=1474	42%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1510	–7	–2	=1501	54%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1451	–1	+21	=1471	46%	5
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1447	+3	+0	=1450	38%	8
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1498	+14	+24	=1536	62%	2
4/28Saturday, April 282:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1447	+2	+0	=1449	40%	1
4/28Saturday, April 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1498	–2	+24	=1520	60%	3
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1443	+24	–3	=1464	45%	15
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Hughes	1502	–24	+21	=1499	55%	9
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1490	–2	+0	=1488	52%	7
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1445	+2	+24	=1471	48%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:40 p.m.	ATLBraves	Wisler	1489	–8	+0	=1481	52%	5
4/25Wednesday, April 256:40 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1446	–1	+24	=1469	48%	4
4/24Tuesday, April 246:40 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1491	+6	+0	=1497	55%	7
4/24Tuesday, April 246:40 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1444	–4	+24	=1464	45%	9
4/23Monday, April 236:40 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1494	–3	+0	=1491	54%	4
4/23Monday, April 236:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1441	–2	+22	=1461	46%	10
4/22Sunday, April 222:15 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1443	+27	+0	=1470	39%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1531	–7	+24	=1548	61%	9
4/21Saturday, April 212:15 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1444	+4	+0	=1448	32%	3
4/21Saturday, April 212:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1530	+23	+24	=1577	68%	4
4/20Friday, April 208:15 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1445	+2	+0	=1447	36%	2
4/20Friday, April 208:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1529	–6	+22	=1545	64%	4
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1447	–3	+0	=1444	39%	0
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1503	–2	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1448	–5	+0	=1443	39%	0
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1502	–1	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1444	+26	–2	=1468	42%	10
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–5	+21	=1522	58%	4
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1528	+19	+0	=1547	61%	3
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1445	+1	+24	=1470	39%	2
4/14Saturday, April 141:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1525	–11	+0	=1514	55%	6
4/14Saturday, April 141:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1448	+7	+24	=1479	45%	1
4/13Friday, April 136:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1524	+9	+0	=1533	58%	5
4/13Friday, April 136:40 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1449	+1	+24	=1474	42%	3
4/12Thursday, April 126:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1520	–4	–2	=1514	56%	13
4/12Thursday, April 126:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1453	–3	+22	=1472	44%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1454	+25	+0	=1479	47%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1489	–12	+24	=1501	53%	4
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1456	–6	+0	=1450	38%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1487	+23	+24	=1534	62%	6
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1457	–41	–2	=1414	37%	5
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1486	–6	+24	=1504	63%	6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1459	+10	+0	=1469	42%	0
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1490	+14	+24	=1528	58%	5
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1456	–2	+0	=1454	40%	7
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1493	+5	+24	=1522	60%	4
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1460	+28	+0	=1488	44%	3
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1489	+19	+24	=1532	56%	14
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1462	–5	+3	=1460	44%	2
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1487	–8	+24	=1503	56%	5
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1555	–7	–3	=1545	59%	0
4/2Monday, April 24:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1461	–1	+24	=1484	41%	1
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1550	–7	+0	=1543	58%	6
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1462	–1	+24	=1485	42%	5
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1547	+37	+0	=1584	59%	13
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1464	+33	+24	=1521	41%	7
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1546	+34	–2	=1578	63%	2
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1465	–7	+24	=1482	37%	0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments