2019 March Madness Predictions
In-game win probabilities and chances of advancing, updating live.
See also:
ESPN coverage
Men
Women
Women’s predictions coming March 18
March 19 (play-in)
March 20 (play-in)
March 21 (1st round)
March 22 (1st round)
March 23 (2nd round)
March 24 (2nd round)
March 28 (Sweet 16)
March 29 (Sweet 16)
March 30 (Elite Eight)
March 31 (Elite Eight)
April 6 (Final Four)
April 8 (championship)
March 22 (1st round)
March 23 (1st round)
March 24 (2nd round)
March 25 (2nd round)
March 29 (Sweet 16)
March 30 (Sweet 16)
March 31 (Elite Eight)
April 1 (Elite Eight)
April 5 (Final Four)
April 7 (championship)
Don't know which games to watch? Look for a high excitement index.
3.6
Final
Score
Win Prob.
Baylor
1
82
100%
Notre Dame
1
81
0%
HALF
0%
100%
Don't know which games to watch? Look for a high excitement index.
Round-by-round probabilities
Bracket
Table
Hover to see each team’s path to the championship.
Click to advance a team in the bracket.
Reset
Greensboro
Chicago
Portland
Albany
1ST ROUND
1ST ROUND
2ND ROUND
2ND ROUND
SWEET 16
SWEET 16
ELITE EIGHT
ELITE EIGHT
FINAL FOUR
FINAL FOUR
CHAMPIONSHIP
Baylor
1
100%
CHANCE OF
WINNING
TOURNAMENT
Notre Dame
1
Notre Dame
1
Notre Dame
1
Notre Dame
1
Notre Dame
1
Notre Dame
1
Beth.-Cook.
16
Michigan St.
9
Cen. Mich.
8
Michigan St.
9
Texas A&M
4
Marquette
5
Marquette
5
Rice
12
Texas A&M
4
Texas A&M
4
Wright State
13
Stanford
2
Missouri St.
11
Missouri St.
11
DePaul
6
Missouri St.
11
Iowa State
3
Iowa State
3
NM State
14
Stanford
2
BYU
7
BYU
7
Auburn
10
Stanford
2
Stanford
2
UC-Davis
15
UConn
2
Louisville
1
Louisville
1
Louisville
1
Louisville
1
Rob. Morris
16
Michigan
8
Michigan
8
Kansas State
9
Oregon St.
4
Gonzaga
5
Gonzaga
5
Ark.-LR
12
Oregon St.
4
Oregon St.
4
Boise State
13
UConn
2
UCLA
6
UCLA
6
UCLA
6
Tennessee
11
Maryland
3
Maryland
3
Radford
14
UConn
2
Buffalo
10
Rutgers
7
Buffalo
10
UConn
2
UConn
2
Towson
15
1
Baylor
1
Baylor
1
Baylor
1
Baylor
1
Baylor
1
Baylor
16
Abilene Chr.
8
California
8
California
9
UNC
4
S. Carolina
5
Florida State
5
Florida State
12
Bucknell
4
S. Carolina
4
S. Carolina
13
Belmont
2
Iowa
3
NC State
6
Kentucky
6
Kentucky
11
Princeton
3
NC State
3
NC State
14
Maine
2
Iowa
7
Missouri
7
Missouri
10
Drake
2
Iowa
2
Iowa
15
Mercer
2
Oregon
1
Miss. State
1
Miss. State
1
Miss. State
1
Miss. State
16
Southern
9
Clemson
8
S. Dakota
9
Clemson
5
Arizona St.
5
Arizona St.
5
Arizona St.
12
UCF
4
Miami
4
Miami
13
FGCU
2
Oregon
6
S. Dakota St.
6
S. Dakota St.
6
S. Dakota St.
11
Quinnipiac
3
Syracuse
3
Syracuse
14
Fordham
2
Oregon
10
Indiana
7
Texas
10
Indiana
2
Oregon
2
Oregon
15
Portland St.
Chance of Reaching Round
Chance of reaching round (%)
Team
Region
Power rating
1st
2nd
Sweet 16
16
Elite Eight
8
Final Four
4
Champ.
2
Win
Baylor
1
Greensboro
109.8
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
Notre Dame
1
Chicago
105.4
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
Oregon
2
Portland
100.4
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
—
UConn
2
Albany
103.5
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
—
Iowa
2
Greensboro
92.8
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
Miss. State
1
Portland
103.5
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
Louisville
1
Albany
100.4
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
Stanford
2
Chicago
94.5
✓
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
S. Carolina
4
Greensboro
91.8
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
NC State
3
Greensboro
90.3
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
Arizona St.
5
Portland
89.5
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
S. Dakota St.
6
Portland
88.3
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
Oregon St.
4
Albany
91.8
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
UCLA
6
Albany
91.3
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
Texas A&M
4
Chicago
88.8
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
Missouri St.
11
Chicago
81.5
✓
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
California
8
Greensboro
85.4
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Florida State
5
Greensboro
86.5
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Kentucky
6
Greensboro
85.2
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Missouri
7
Greensboro
87.2
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Clemson
9
Portland
77.9
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Miami
4
Portland
87.6
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Syracuse
3
Portland
89.1
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Indiana
10
Portland
82.8
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Michigan
8
Albany
86.6
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Gonzaga
5
Albany
85.0
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Maryland
3
Albany
91.3
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Buffalo
10
Albany
85.2
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Michigan St.
9
Chicago
83.3
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Marquette
5
Chicago
91.7
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Iowa State
3
Chicago
89.1
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
BYU
7
Chicago
78.1
✓
✓
—
—
—
—
—
Abilene Chr.
16
Greensboro
65.1
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
UNC
9
Greensboro
80.4
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Bucknell
12
Greensboro
76.6
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Belmont
13
Greensboro
80.0
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Princeton
11
Greensboro
80.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Maine
14
Greensboro
75.7
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Drake
10
Greensboro
81.9
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Mercer
15
Greensboro
74.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Southern
16
Portland
61.9
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
S. Dakota
8
Portland
82.9
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
UCF
12
Portland
79.9
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
FGCU
13
Portland
79.8
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Quinnipiac
11
Portland
80.5
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Fordham
14
Portland
76.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Texas
7
Portland
89.6
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Portland St.
15
Portland
72.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Rob. Morris
16
Albany
66.9
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Kansas State
9
Albany
81.1
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Ark.-LR
12
Albany
74.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Boise State
13
Albany
76.0
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Tennessee
11
Albany
85.4
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Radford
14
Albany
70.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Rutgers
7
Albany
83.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Towson
15
Albany
66.6
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Beth.-Cook.
16
Chicago
63.5
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Cen. Mich.
8
Chicago
86.2
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Rice
12
Chicago
77.6
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Wright State
13
Chicago
76.3
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
DePaul
6
Chicago
88.9
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
NM State
14
Chicago
67.0
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Auburn
10
Chicago
80.7
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
UC-Davis
15
Chicago
76.8
✓
—
—
—
—
—
—
Forecast from
Current
Pre-tournament
March 19 (play-in)
March 20 (play-in)
March 21 (1st round)
March 22 (1st round)
March 23 (2nd round)
March 24 (2nd round)
March 28 (Sweet 16)
March 29 (Sweet 16)
March 30 (Elite Eight)
March 31 (Elite Eight)
April 6 (Final Four)
Current
Pre-tournament
March 22 (1st round)
March 23 (1st round)
March 24 (2nd round)
March 25 (2nd round)
March 29 (Sweet 16)
March 30 (Sweet 16)
March 31 (Elite Eight)
April 1 (Elite Eight)
April 5 (Final Four)
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