Updated Oct. 20, 2019 at 12:49 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Chance of making …
Team
Division
Team rating
1-week change
Div. SeriesMake Div. Series
League champ.Make league champ.
World SeriesMake W.S.
Win World SeriesWin W.S.
Astros3-2, 4-2
Astros
AL West1593
+7
60%
NL East1579
+6
40%
AL East1585
-7
NL Central1541
-5
NL West1592
AL Central1537
NL East1539
AL East1551
AL West1556
NL Central1528
AL Central1546
NL East1533
NL West1517
AL East1534
NL Central1530
NL East1505
AL West1472
NL West1474
NL Central1493
AL Central1462
AL West1475
NL West1482
NL West1460
NL Central1468
AL West1466
AL East1474
AL Central1431
NL East1432
AL East1412
AL Central1384
Forecast from

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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