Updated Apr. 21, 2019 at 10:35 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPostseason Chances
Team
Division
Team rating
1-Week Change
RecordProj.
rec.
Run Diff.
Make PlayoffsMake
Play-
offs
Win
Division
Win
Div.
Win World SeriesWin
W.S.
AL West1579
-2
100-62+17092%81%19%
NL West1566
+4
97-65+14689%81%15%
AL East1563
+3
93-69+13373%45%11%
AL Central1547
+1
94-68+10279%66%8%
AL East1542
-4
87-75+3949%20%5%
AL East1536
-3
91-71+10563%32%5%
NL East1534
-4
88-74+7254%32%5%
NL Central1532
87-75+6453%33%5%
NL Central1530
87-75+3850%30%4%
NL Central1522
+5
83-79+3835%18%2%
NL East1522
+1
86-76+4747%26%3%
NL East1519
-5
84-78+738%20%3%
NL East1518
-3
85-77+4443%22%3%
AL Central1516
+1
88-74+5752%31%3%
AL West1514
-9
81-81+723%6%1%
NL West1507
+7
79-83-2018%6%1%
NL Central1506
+3
82-80032%16%2%
AL West1506
-1
84-78+3134%9%2%
NL West1501
+5
80-82-522%8%1%
AL West1499
-8
77-85-3210%2%<1%
NL Central1493
74-88-329%4%<1%
AL East1487
+11
76-86-3010%2%<1%
NL West1480
-8
75-87-739%3%<1%
AL West1472
+9
76-86-569%2%<1%
NL West1464
69-93-972%<1%<1%
AL Central1454
+1
70-92-1033%1%<1%
AL Central1447
66-96-1191%<1%<1%
AL Central1445
-2
70-92-1143%1%<1%
NL East1428
-2
59-103-204<1%<1%<1%
AL East1420
-1
60-102-211<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/22Monday, April 227 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1522+64=152450%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151918+21=152250%
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
145442=144851%
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+1+24=144549%
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1501102=148944%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1506+2+24=153256%
4/22Monday, April 227:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+163=145831%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+31+21=159469%
4/22Monday, April 227:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+233=146738%
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15368+24=155262%
4/22Monday, April 227:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1530122=151643%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1532+9+24=156557%
4/22Monday, April 228:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1516+63=151940%
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157912+22=158960%
4/22Monday, April 228:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1534254=150546%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+24=153254%
4/22Monday, April 2210:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
1563124=154755%
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149913+24=151045%
4/22Monday, April 2210:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+354=150345%
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+2+24=154055%
4/23Tuesday, April 236:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
142831=142430%
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+1+26=157470%
4/23Tuesday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+15+0=153352%
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+5+22=152048%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1454+2+0=145653%
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14207+24=143747%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15019+0=149243%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1506+14+24=154457%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:07 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14644+0=146045%
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148713+22=149655%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1445+8+0=145334%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1542+1+24=156766%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152213+0=150944%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+7+24=155056%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144718+0=142932%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156068%
4/23Tuesday, April 237:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1530+8+0=153848%
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15322+24=155452%
4/23Tuesday, April 238:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156612+1=155551%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1522+0+26=154849%
4/23Tuesday, April 238:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15165+0=151139%
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157915+24=158861%
4/23Tuesday, April 238:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1534+16+0=155050%
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1507+18+24=154950%
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156321+0=154254%
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
149911+24=151246%
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1472+8+0=148040%
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1514+9+24=154760%
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
1506+3+1=151050%
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1480+1+26=150750%
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14286+0=142230%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
1547+0+24=157170%
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+2+0=144934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+24=156066%
4/24Wednesday, April 241:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+12+0=154250%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153213+24=154350%
4/24Wednesday, April 243:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153417+0=151744%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1507+27+24=155856%
4/24Wednesday, April 243:37 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1472+5+0=147741%
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1514+0+24=153859%
4/24Wednesday, April 243:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150618+0=148846%
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1480+9+24=151354%
4/24Wednesday, April 244:07 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146413+0=145139%
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1487+19+24=153061%
4/24Wednesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
15186+0=151250%
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14934+24=151350%
4/24Wednesday, April 247 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15221+0=152151%
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151927+24=151649%
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14548+0=144650%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1420+0+24=144450%
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150113+0=148848%
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150627+24=150352%
4/24Wednesday, April 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1445+0+0=144534%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15425+24=156166%
4/24Wednesday, April 248:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1566+20+0=158654%
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1522+14+24=156046%
4/24Wednesday, April 248:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+0+0=151634%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+31+24=163466%
4/24Wednesday, April 2410:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15634+0=155953%
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1499+12+24=153547%
4/25Thursday, April 2512:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1501+20+0=152147%
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1506+13+24=154353%
4/25Thursday, April 252:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15669+0=155752%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15221+24=154548%
4/25Thursday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+3+0=152152%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14938+24=150948%
4/25Thursday, April 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+132=143932%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+29+23=157468%
4/25Thursday, April 257:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14458+0=143735%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154222+24=154465%
4/25Thursday, April 258:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
154773=153739%
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1579+14+24=161761%
4/25Thursday, April 259:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1563+11+0=157457%
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1499+2+24=152543%
4/25Thursday, April 2510:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1472103=145939%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1506+13+21=154061%
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14282+0=142635%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15229+24=153765%
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1480+92=148736%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+27+22=158364%
4/26Friday, April 267:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1514+12=151349%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1487+8+26=152151%
4/26Friday, April 267:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+91=154444%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1542+22+24=158856%
4/26Friday, April 267:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1530+121=154148%
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1519+12+26=155752%
4/26Friday, April 267:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1507141=149240%
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1518+21+22=156160%
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1445+13=144342%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1454+22+23=149958%
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+23+0=157046%
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15796+24=159754%
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1420+51=142431%
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1516+22+23=156169%
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1499+143=151057%
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
144712+23=145843%
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+292=152045%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1532+0+26=155855%
4/26Friday, April 269:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1522+94=152749%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1501+14+20=153551%
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1506+14=150339%
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15664+20=158261%
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147224+0=144839%
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15067+24=152361%
4/26Friday, April 2610:15 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+142=157560%
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1464+16+22=150240%
4/27Saturday, April 272:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1420+10+0=143038%
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151629+24=151162%
4/27Saturday, April 272:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149321+0=147242%
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153228+24=152858%
4/27Saturday, April 273:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1514+5+0=151951%
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14872+24=150949%
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153616+0=152039%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+31+24=159761%
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154717+0=153041%
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157912+24=159159%
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
156312+0=155160%
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14645+24=148340%
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14809+0=147137%
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1534+8+24=156663%
4/27Saturday, April 276:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1428+4+0=143233%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1522+6+24=155267%
4/27Saturday, April 277:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+16+0=146147%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+4+24=148253%
4/27Saturday, April 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15305+0=152547%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1519+1+24=154453%
4/27Saturday, April 277:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
149913+0=148654%
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144711+24=146046%
4/27Saturday, April 277:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15071+0=150642%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1518+17+24=155958%
4/27Saturday, April 278:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152213+0=150949%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
150110+24=151551%
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1506+2+0=150837%
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1566+12+24=160263%
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+35+0=150747%
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15061+24=152953%
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+0+0=153646%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1542+1+24=156754%
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14283+0=142535%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152213+24=153365%
4/28Sunday, April 281:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+2+0=151653%
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148713+24=149847%
4/28Sunday, April 281:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1530+0+0=153051%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151918+24=152549%
4/28Sunday, April 281:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150843%
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+15+24=155757%
4/28Sunday, April 281:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14801+0=147937%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1534+16+24=157463%
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1445+8+0=145346%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+24=147854%
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14201+0=141933%
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1516+5+24=154567%
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
149911+0=148849%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+23+24=149451%
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+5+0=149840%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1532+9+24=156560%
4/28Sunday, April 284:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156321+0=154256%
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1464+14+24=150244%
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1522+0+0=152251%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15019+24=151649%
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1506+14+0=152039%
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1566+10+24=160061%
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1472+8+0=148042%
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
1506+3+24=153358%
4/28Sunday, April 287 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+1+0=154844%
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157915+24=158856%
4/29Monday, April 297 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1514+92=152144%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15425+24=156156%
4/29Monday, April 297:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153223=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153417+24=154152%
4/29Monday, April 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149343=148641%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+7+24=155059%
4/29Monday, April 297:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1480+13=147842%
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
15186+24=153658%
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1507+183=152245%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1530+8+21=155955%
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+313=160759%
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1516+6+24=154641%
4/29Monday, April 298:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1420+12=141941%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1454+2+24=148059%

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
4/21Sunday, April 217 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+17+0=153246%11
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155011+24=156354%5
4/21Sunday, April 214:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149422+0=147246%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14793+24=150054%4
4/21Sunday, April 214:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14863+0=148341%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1515+6+24=154559%4
4/21Sunday, April 214:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1507+2+0=150946%6
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1498+12+24=153454%8
4/21Sunday, April 213:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152310+0=151349%1
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15056+24=152351%4
4/21Sunday, April 213:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
1580+2+0=158266%10
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147125+24=147034%11
4/21Sunday, April 212:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1502+12+0=151450%1
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
152131+24=151450%2
4/21Sunday, April 212:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1521+16+0=153751%4
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153126+24=152949%6
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1541+21+0=156253%4
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153717+24=154447%3
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+11+0=157654%6
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15314+24=155146%5
4/21Sunday, April 211:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1462+14+0=147642%3
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1507+4+24=153558%2
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+3+0=153561%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+4+24=145839%0
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1455+2+2=145949%3
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14442+26=146851%4
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144713+0=143428%6
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1563+9+24=159672%7
4/21Sunday, April 211:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1515+2+0=151761%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
14212+24=144339%3
4/20Saturday, April 209:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15063+0=150346%6
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1499+7+24=153054%5
4/20Saturday, April 208:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+0=152254%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14808+24=149646%2
4/20Saturday, April 208:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+31+0=155355%8
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150714+24=151745%5
4/20Saturday, April 208:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1584+19+0=160367%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
146712+24=147933%9
4/20Saturday, April 208 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151228+0=148453%16
BALBALOrioles
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1424+19+24=146747%7
4/20Saturday, April 207:50 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
1514+0+0=151439%8
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+20+24=159561%7
4/20Saturday, April 207:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15685+0=156350%0
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1529+7+24=156050%5
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154024+0=151642%6
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+10+24=157358%5
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+35+0=157167%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14262+24=144833%9
4/20Saturday, April 204:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+51=152043%4
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15498+25=156657%8
4/20Saturday, April 204:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1482+15+0=149743%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1519+6+24=154957%1
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14634+0=145938%1
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1506+12+24=154262%3
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1511+261=153662%6
BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1424+6+23=145338%5
4/20Saturday, April 202:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1500+18+0=151847%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152411+24=153753%0
4/20Saturday, April 202:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
152267+0=145534%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+15+24=156866%10
4/20Saturday, April 201:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
14485+0=144329%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1562+11+24=159771%9
4/19Friday, April 1910:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149210+0=148246%3
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1482+1+24=150754%2
4/19Friday, April 1910:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+54=148040%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1521+2+26=154960%1
4/19Friday, April 1910:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1504+12+0=151647%5
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1500+12+24=153653%3
4/19Friday, April 198:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15233+0=152044%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1506+30+24=156056%4
4/19Friday, April 198:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1521301=149042%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15309+24=154558%4
4/19Friday, April 198:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15669+0=155749%5
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+12+24=156651%3
4/19Friday, April 198 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1582+262=160665%7
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+6+26=150135%2
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
153841=153348%6
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154018+24=154652%4
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1537163=151858%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+10+26=146142%3
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1453+22+0=147552%7
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14466+24=146448%3
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+172=148047%1
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150532+24=149753%4
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+3+0=145232%2
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15614+24=158168%6
4/19Friday, April 192:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150173=149142%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1522+4+23=154958%5
4/18Thursday, April 1810:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149051=148445%4
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1483+12+26=152155%1
4/18Thursday, April 1810:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1503203=148045%11
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
15029+21=151455%10
4/18Thursday, April 188:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1524124=150845%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1504+14+23=154155%6
4/18Thursday, April 188:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1565204=154147%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1532+6+24=156253%1
4/18Thursday, April 187:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142311+0=141233%6
TBTBRays
Wood, Hunter
Wood
154228+24=153867%5
4/18Thursday, April 186:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1446253=141830%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156420+24=156870%1
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1477+23+0=150045%7
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+0+24=153755%4
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1455+52=145848%7
DETDETTigers
Ross, Tyson
Ross
1445+3+24=147252%9
4/18Thursday, April 181:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146612+0=145434%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1536+12+24=157266%4
4/18Thursday, April 1812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149912+0=148744%4
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
151813+24=152956%1
4/17Wednesday, April 1710:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158319+0=156453%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1520+2+24=154647%2
4/17Wednesday, April 178:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150314+0=148949%4
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1468+7+24=149951%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147910+0=146940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+2+24=153860%4
4/17Wednesday, April 177:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
149810+0=148841%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+10+24=155359%2
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1424+6+0=143034%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+24=154566%8
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1521+12+0=153362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14275+24=144638%0
4/17Wednesday, April 177:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14673+0=146440%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153523+24=153660%9
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15485+0=154353%1
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15044+24=152447%0
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1504+14+0=151857%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+1+24=147143%2
4/17Wednesday, April 176:30 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15399+0=153043%3
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
156310+24=157757%5
4/17Wednesday, April 173:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+4+0=149534%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1564+20+24=160866%3
4/17Wednesday, April 172:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1445+24+0=146950%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
145610+24=147050%3
4/17Wednesday, April 171:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15285+0=152349%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153430+24=152851%3
4/17Wednesday, April 171:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1522+5+0=152746%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1523+5+24=155254%3
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154711+0=153651%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1506+1+24=153149%2
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149219+0=147336%1
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156211+24=157564%6
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
158121=157856%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
152311+22=153444%1
4/16Tuesday, April 169:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15016+0=149547%8
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1486+9+24=151953%2
4/16Tuesday, April 168:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144611+0=143544%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1454+1+24=147956%5
4/16Tuesday, April 168:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1505+11+0=151650%0
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1466+29+24=151950%5
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14772+0=147541%6
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1513+1+24=153859%5
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+15+0=154549%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15323+24=155351%8
4/16Tuesday, April 167:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+172=151143%9
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+17+26=156457%6
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
142573=141532%2
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
153920+23=154268%4
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15191+0=151860%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14285+24=144740%0
4/16Tuesday, April 167:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1464+122=147437%7
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+4+26=156863%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152512+0=151348%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152015+24=152952%14
4/16Tuesday, April 166:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1503+0+0=150352%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+15+23=148548%3
4/16Tuesday, April 166:35 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1542+352=157548%0
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1560+3+26=158952%8
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1546+204=156255%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15072+24=152945%4
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1500132=148546%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14881+22=150954%2
4/15Monday, April 1510 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+304=151939%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1562+13+24=159961%4
4/15Monday, April 158:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
144762=143946%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Santana, Ervin
Santana
14535+21=146954%5
4/15Monday, April 158:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1507+91=151557%7
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
146322+24=146543%12
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1476+163=148948%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151533+24=150652%3
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1532192=151144%7
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+20=155256%10
4/15Monday, April 157:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
151781=150857%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+8+24=146243%2
4/15Monday, April 157 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+163=153744%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+35+21=157756%6
4/15Monday, April 1511:05 a.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
1421+1+0=142233%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154627+24=154367%1
4/14Sunday, April 147 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+48+0=157454%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1519+6+24=154946%7
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+19+0=159958%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+13+24=154542%2
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1532+17+0=154947%1
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155911+24=157253%7
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14908+0=148242%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1495+17+24=153658%8
4/14Sunday, April 144:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1498+26+0=152455%4
SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14663+24=148745%0
4/14Sunday, April 144 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+14+0=154458%9
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14947+0=148742%5
4/14Sunday, April 143:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1524+1+2=152756%7
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14623+26=148544%8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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