Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
The Astros are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AstrosAstros107-55 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
AthleticsAthletics97-65 | 10.0 | ✓ | — | |||
RangersRangers78-84 | 29.0 | — | — | |||
AngelsAngels72-90 | 35.0 | — | — | |||
MarinersMariners68-94 | 39.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/30Wednesday, Oct. 308:08 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1580 | +28 | +0 | =1608 | 48% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1591 | +1 | +24 | =1616 | 52% | 2 | |
10/29Tuesday, Oct. 298:07 p.m. | WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1576 | +22 | –1 | =1597 | 41% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1595 | +29 | +23 | =1647 | 59% | 2 | |
10/27Sunday, Oct. 278:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1593 | +48 | +0 | =1641 | 63% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Ross | 1579 | –30 | +24 | =1573 | 37% | 1 | |
10/26Saturday, Oct. 268:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1588 | –25 | +0 | =1563 | 41% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1584 | +1 | +24 | =1609 | 59% | 1 | |
10/25Friday, Oct. 258:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1585 | +2 | –1 | =1586 | 47% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1586 | –9 | +23 | =1600 | 53% | 1 | |
10/23Wednesday, Oct. 238:07 p.m. | WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1581 | +20 | +0 | =1601 | 41% | 12 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1591 | +34 | +24 | =1649 | 59% | 3 | |
10/22Tuesday, Oct. 228:08 p.m. | WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1579 | +28 | +4 | =1611 | 38% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1593 | +53 | +29 | =1675 | 62% | 4 | |
10/19Saturday, Oct. 198:08 p.m. | NYYYankees | Green | 1587 | –17 | –3 | =1567 | 46% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1591 | –22 | +21 | =1590 | 54% | 6 | |
10/18Friday, Oct. 187:08 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1593 | +33 | +0 | =1626 | 51% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Paxton | 1584 | +14 | +24 | =1622 | 49% | 4 | |
10/17Thursday, Oct. 178:08 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1590 | +1 | +2 | =1593 | 43% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Tanaka | 1588 | +14 | +26 | =1628 | 57% | 3 | |
10/15Tuesday, Oct. 154:08 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1587 | +52 | –1 | =1638 | 51% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1591 | +19 | +23 | =1633 | 49% | 1 | |
10/13Sunday, Oct. 138:08 p.m. | NYYYankees | Paxton | 1592 | +15 | +0 | =1607 | 43% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1586 | +35 | +24 | =1645 | 57% | 3 | |
10/12Saturday, Oct. 128:08 p.m. | NYYYankees | Tanaka | 1587 | +9 | +4 | =1600 | 46% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1590 | +3 | +26 | =1619 | 54% | 0 | |
10/10Thursday, Oct. 107:07 p.m. | TBRays | Glasnow | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 30% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1589 | +51 | +23 | =1663 | 70% | 6 | |
10/8Tuesday, Oct. 87:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1592 | +43 | +0 | =1635 | 66% | 1 |
TBRays | Castillo | 1549 | –23 | +24 | =1550 | 34% | 4 | |
10/7Monday, Oct. 71:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1597 | +9 | –1 | =1605 | 52% | 3 |
TBRays | Morton | 1544 | +29 | +23 | =1596 | 48% | 10 | |
10/5Saturday, Oct. 59:07 p.m. | TBRays | Snell | 1545 | +14 | +0 | =1559 | 31% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1596 | +45 | +24 | =1665 | 69% | 3 | |
10/4Friday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. | TBRays | Glasnow | 1547 | +2 | –2 | =1547 | 29% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1594 | +41 | +28 | =1663 | 71% | 6 | |
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1593 | +47 | +0 | =1640 | 71% | 8 |
LAAAngels | Peters | 1475 | –11 | +24 | =1488 | 29% | 5 | |
9/28Saturday, Sept. 289:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1593 | +42 | +0 | =1635 | 72% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1476 | –29 | +24 | =1471 | 28% | 3 | |
9/27Friday, Sept. 2710:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1591 | –31 | +0 | =1560 | 57% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1478 | +6 | +24 | =1508 | 43% | 0 | |
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2610:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1592 | –38 | –3 | =1551 | 57% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Barria | 1477 | +5 | +24 | =1506 | 43% | 4 | |
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1591 | +7 | +0 | =1598 | 68% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1466 | –19 | +24 | =1471 | 32% | 0 | |
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1591 | +45 | –2 | =1634 | 70% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Dunn | 1466 | +2 | +22 | =1490 | 30% | 0 | |
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Rodriguez | 1477 | +3 | +0 | =1480 | 26% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1589 | +48 | +24 | =1661 | 74% | 13 | |
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1475 | +7 | +0 | =1482 | 36% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1592 | –31 | +24 | =1585 | 64% | 4 | |
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Barria | 1475 | +11 | –3 | =1483 | 30% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1591 | +9 | +26 | =1626 | 70% | 6 | |
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Allard | 1471 | –3 | +0 | =1468 | 25% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1591 | +43 | +24 | =1658 | 75% | 3 | |
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Lynn | 1472 | +39 | +0 | =1511 | 30% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1590 | +47 | +23 | =1660 | 70% | 4 | |
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1588 | –31 | +0 | =1557 | 63% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Junis | 1431 | +10 | +24 | =1465 | 37% | 3 | |
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1587 | +9 | +0 | =1596 | 68% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Montgomery | 1432 | +6 | +24 | =1462 | 32% | 1 | |
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1586 | +42 | –3 | =1625 | 72% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Duffy | 1433 | +7 | +22 | =1462 | 28% | 1 | |
9/12Thursday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Bailey | 1555 | –9 | +0 | =1546 | 34% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1588 | +50 | +24 | =1662 | 66% | 2 | |
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Anderson | 1553 | –8 | +0 | =1545 | 45% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1589 | –36 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | 3 | |
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Roark | 1548 | +6 | +0 | =1554 | 44% | 21 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1594 | –22 | +24 | =1596 | 56% | 7 | |
9/9Monday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1552 | +9 | –4 | =1557 | 41% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1591 | +5 | +24 | =1620 | 59% | 15 | |
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Hernandez | 1464 | –13 | +0 | =1451 | 24% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1589 | +37 | +24 | =1650 | 76% | 21 | |
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1464 | –14 | +0 | =1450 | 23% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1588 | +50 | +24 | =1662 | 77% | 2 | |
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | McClain | 1466 | +4 | +0 | =1470 | 37% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1587 | –46 | +24 | =1565 | 63% | 7 | |
9/5Thursday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1466 | +16 | –1 | =1481 | 34% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1587 | –12 | +23 | =1598 | 66% | 11 | |
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:40 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1588 | +8 | +0 | =1596 | 61% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Lyles | 1510 | –12 | +24 | =1522 | 39% | 4 | |
9/2Monday, Sept. 24 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1588 | +34 | –2 | =1620 | 62% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1511 | +1 | +23 | =1535 | 38% | 2 | |
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1587 | +42 | +0 | =1629 | 67% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Font | 1471 | +13 | +24 | =1508 | 33% | 0 | |
8/31Saturday, Aug. 313:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1588 | –39 | +0 | =1549 | 55% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Buchholz | 1469 | +19 | +24 | =1512 | 45% | 6 | |
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1587 | –11 | –3 | =1573 | 62% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Thornton | 1471 | –5 | +26 | =1492 | 38% | 4 | |
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. | TBRays | Kittredge | 1531 | –23 | +0 | =1508 | 34% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1589 | +12 | +24 | =1625 | 66% | 8 | |
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m. | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1531 | +18 | +0 | =1549 | 36% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1588 | +35 | +24 | =1647 | 64% | 8 | |
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m. | TBRays | Morton | 1534 | +29 | –1 | =1562 | 37% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1585 | +40 | +26 | =1651 | 63% | 15 | |
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Barria | 1489 | +7 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1582 | –45 | +24 | =1561 | 59% | 11 | |
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Peters | 1490 | –9 | +0 | =1481 | 34% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1581 | –11 | +24 | =1594 | 66% | 5 | |
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1491 | –31 | +0 | =1460 | 29% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1581 | +15 | +24 | =1620 | 71% | 5 | |
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. | DETTigers | Zimmermann | 1398 | –8 | +0 | =1390 | 19% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1581 | +32 | +24 | =1637 | 81% | 6 | |
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. | DETTigers | Norris | 1396 | +3 | +0 | =1399 | 19% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1583 | +39 | +24 | =1646 | 81% | 1 | |
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1397 | +16 | +0 | =1413 | 29% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Sanchez | 1582 | –40 | +24 | =1566 | 71% | 6 | |
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. | DETTigers | Jackson | 1397 | –19 | –3 | =1375 | 22% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1582 | –8 | +20 | =1594 | 78% | 5 | |
8/18Sunday, Aug. 184:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1580 | +14 | +0 | =1594 | 55% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Anderson | 1543 | –5 | +24 | =1562 | 45% | 1 | |
8/17Saturday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Armenteros | 1582 | –32 | +0 | =1550 | 47% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Bassitt | 1542 | +6 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | 8 | |
8/16Friday, Aug. 1610:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1583 | +37 | +0 | =1620 | 58% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Roark | 1540 | –1 | +24 | =1563 | 42% | 3 | |
8/15Thursday, Aug. 1510:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Sanchez | 1584 | –36 | –4 | =1544 | 44% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1539 | +22 | +23 | =1584 | 56% | 7 | |
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1587 | –3 | +0 | =1584 | 67% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Detwiler | 1454 | –16 | +24 | =1462 | 33% | 13 | |
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 139 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1589 | +30 | +0 | =1619 | 69% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Nova | 1451 | +4 | +24 | =1479 | 31% | 4 | |
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 134:40 p.m. | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1588 | +12 | –1 | =1599 | 68% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1452 | –10 | +26 | =1468 | 32% | 2 | |
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1590 | +36 | +0 | =1626 | 75% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Wojciechowski | 1407 | +2 | +24 | =1433 | 25% | 8 | |
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Sanchez | 1587 | –41 | +0 | =1546 | 66% | 23 |
BALOrioles | Brooks | 1411 | –6 | +24 | =1429 | 34% | 2 | |
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1587 | –3 | –1 | =1583 | 69% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Bundy | 1411 | +8 | +26 | =1445 | 31% | 2 | |
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. | COLRockies | Lambert | 1500 | –8 | +0 | =1492 | 30% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1585 | +30 | +24 | =1639 | 70% | 14 | |
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. | COLRockies | Marquez | 1501 | +27 | –1 | =1527 | 36% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1583 | +16 | +26 | =1625 | 64% | 11 | |
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Tuivailala | 1464 | +7 | +0 | =1471 | 27% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1583 | +35 | +24 | =1642 | 73% | 3 | |
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1466 | +22 | +0 | =1488 | 40% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Sanchez | 1580 | –48 | +24 | =1556 | 60% | 9 | |
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1467 | –13 | +0 | =1454 | 31% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1579 | –2 | +21 | =1598 | 69% | 10 | |
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1577 | +29 | +0 | =1606 | 57% | 7 |
CLEIndians | Salazar | 1547 | –13 | +24 | =1558 | 43% | 1 | |
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1579 | –28 | +0 | =1551 | 50% | 4 |
CLEIndians | Plesac | 1544 | –19 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | 10 | |
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1578 | +31 | +0 | =1609 | 53% | 2 |
CLEIndians | Bieber | 1545 | +18 | +23 | =1586 | 47% | 0 | |
7/28Sunday, July 282:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1576 | –3 | +0 | =1573 | 55% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1525 | –10 | +24 | =1539 | 45% | 2 | |
7/27Saturday, July 277:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1574 | +30 | +0 | =1604 | 57% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Ponce de Leon | 1527 | +7 | +24 | =1558 | 43% | 2 | |
7/26Friday, July 268:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1576 | –32 | –1 | =1543 | 48% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1526 | +13 | +21 | =1560 | 52% | 5 | |
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Bassitt | 1540 | +1 | +0 | =1541 | 38% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1575 | +29 | +24 | =1628 | 62% | 4 | |
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1539 | +21 | +0 | =1560 | 45% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1576 | –4 | +24 | =1596 | 55% | 3 | |
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Bailey | 1541 | –13 | –3 | =1525 | 36% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1574 | +28 | +24 | =1626 | 64% | 11 | |
7/21Sunday, July 212:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Lynn | 1479 | +33 | +0 | =1512 | 43% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Armenteros | 1572 | –35 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | 5 | |
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Jurado | 1481 | –14 | +0 | =1467 | 37% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1571 | –39 | +24 | =1556 | 63% | 6 | |
7/19Friday, July 198:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Minor | 1481 | +39 | +0 | =1520 | 35% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1570 | +35 | +21 | =1626 | 65% | 4 | |
7/18Thursday, July 189:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1569 | –3 | +0 | =1566 | 56% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Harvey | 1514 | –13 | +24 | =1525 | 44% | 2 | |
7/17Wednesday, July 1710:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1566 | +28 | +0 | =1594 | 56% | 11 |
LAAAngels | Pena | 1516 | +10 | +24 | =1550 | 44% | 2 | |
7/16Tuesday, July 1610:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Rondon | 1568 | –34 | +0 | =1534 | 49% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Heaney | 1514 | +6 | +24 | =1544 | 51% | 7 | |
7/15Monday, July 1510:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | James | 1570 | –23 | –3 | =1544 | 50% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Canning | 1512 | +7 | +24 | =1543 | 50% | 9 | |
7/14Sunday, July 143:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1568 | +33 | +0 | =1601 | 64% | 12 |
TEXRangers | Jurado | 1490 | –14 | +24 | =1500 | 36% | 4 | |
7/13Saturday, July 138:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1567 | –2 | +0 | =1565 | 52% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Minor | 1491 | +39 | +24 | =1554 | 48% | 6 | |
7/12Friday, July 128:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1568 | +29 | +0 | =1597 | 63% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Chavez | 1489 | –12 | +24 | =1501 | 37% | 9 | |
7/11Thursday, July 118 p.m. | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1570 | –35 | +5 | =1540 | 50% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Lynn | 1487 | +27 | +28 | =1542 | 50% | 5 | |
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1506 | –12 | +0 | =1494 | 41% | 10 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1570 | –34 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 11 | |
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m. | LAAAngels | Heaney | 1507 | +4 | +0 | =1511 | 35% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1568 | +23 | +24 | =1615 | 65% | 4 | |
7/5Friday, July 58:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Ramirez | 1506 | –8 | –2 | =1496 | 32% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1570 | +35 | +23 | =1628 | 68% | 4 | |
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1569 | –7 | +0 | =1562 | 56% | 4 |
COLRockies | Lambert | 1520 | –22 | +24 | =1522 | 44% | 2 | |
7/2Tuesday, July 28:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1568 | –35 | –1 | =1532 | 44% | 9 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1521 | +25 | +26 | =1572 | 56% | 8 | |
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1476 | +13 | +0 | =1489 | 33% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1567 | +21 | +24 | =1612 | 67% | 6 | |
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m. | SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1476 | –14 | +0 | =1462 | 27% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1566 | +42 | +24 | =1632 | 73% | 6 | |
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m. | SEAMariners | Carasiti | 1477 | +8 | –3 | =1482 | 36% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1565 | –9 | +24 | =1580 | 64% | 2 | |
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Musgrove | 1493 | +4 | +0 | =1497 | 37% | 10 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1570 | –6 | +24 | =1588 | 63% | 0 | |
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Agrazal | 1487 | –7 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | 14 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1575 | –27 | +24 | =1572 | 63% | 2 | |
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Williams | 1489 | +23 | –1 | =1511 | 36% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1574 | +18 | +23 | =1615 | 64% | 5 | |
6/23Sunday, June 232:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1572 | +38 | +0 | =1610 | 52% | 9 |
NYYYankees | Happ | 1578 | –3 | +24 | =1599 | 48% | 4 | |
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1573 | –12 | +0 | =1561 | 42% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Tanaka | 1577 | +19 | +24 | =1620 | 58% | 7 | |
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Peacock | 1574 | –10 | +0 | =1564 | 44% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Paxton | 1575 | +7 | +24 | =1606 | 56% | 4 | |
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1576 | –20 | –3 | =1553 | 47% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Green | 1573 | –23 | +24 | =1574 | 53% | 10 | |
6/19Wednesday, June 1912:35 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1577 | +19 | +0 | =1596 | 62% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1507 | –19 | +24 | =1512 | 38% | 3 | |
6/18Tuesday, June 187:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1579 | +41 | +0 | =1620 | 64% | 3 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1505 | –12 | +24 | =1517 | 36% | 4 | |
6/17Monday, June 177:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1580 | –11 | –3 | =1566 | 52% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +23 | +24 | =1551 | 48% | 3 | |
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m. | TORBlue Jays | Thornton | 1457 | +7 | +0 | =1464 | 31% | 12 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1585 | –8 | +24 | =1601 | 69% | 0 | |
6/15Saturday, June 154:10 p.m. | TORBlue Jays | Richard | 1458 | –20 | +0 | =1438 | 30% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1584 | –26 | +24 | =1582 | 70% | 7 | |
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m. | TORBlue Jays | Sanchez | 1460 | +3 | –3 | =1460 | 28% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1583 | +16 | +26 | =1625 | 72% | 15 | |
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1531 | +14 | +0 | =1545 | 35% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1585 | +41 | +24 | =1650 | 65% | 3 | |
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1532 | –7 | –1 | =1524 | 39% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1584 | –5 | +26 | =1605 | 61% | 10 | |
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m. | BALOrioles | Bundy | 1408 | +12 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1583 | –13 | +24 | =1594 | 73% | 4 | |
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m. | BALOrioles | Cashner | 1405 | –1 | +0 | =1404 | 27% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1586 | –31 | +24 | =1579 | 73% | 1 | |
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m. | BALOrioles | Ynoa | 1405 | +6 | –2 | =1409 | 23% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1586 | +15 | +20 | =1621 | 77% | 4 | |
6/6Thursday, June 63:40 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1585 | +42 | +0 | =1627 | 69% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Milone | 1471 | –6 | +24 | =1489 | 31% | 7 | |
6/5Wednesday, June 510:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Peacock | 1590 | –4 | +0 | =1586 | 63% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Leake | 1465 | +7 | +24 | =1496 | 37% | 14 | |
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1589 | –11 | +0 | =1578 | 62% | 11 |
SEAMariners | Moore | 1467 | –2 | +24 | =1489 | 38% | 5 | |
6/3Monday, June 310 p.m. | HOUAstros | Martin | 1588 | –49 | –3 | =1536 | 56% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gearrin | 1468 | +5 | +24 | =1497 | 44% | 2 | |
6/2Sunday, June 24:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1586 | +16 | +0 | =1602 | 58% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Bassitt | 1519 | +4 | +24 | =1547 | 42% | 4 | |
6/1Saturday, June 110:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1585 | +40 | +0 | =1625 | 62% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Anderson | 1520 | –3 | +24 | =1541 | 38% | 1 | |
5/31Friday, May 3110:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Peacock | 1584 | –4 | –2 | =1578 | 53% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1521 | +9 | +26 | =1556 | 47% | 2 | |
5/29Wednesday, May 298 p.m. | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1533 | +19 | +0 | =1552 | 44% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1585 | –13 | +24 | =1596 | 56% | 1 | |
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Lester | 1534 | –1 | +0 | =1533 | 45% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Martin | 1584 | –43 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | 9 | |
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Hamels | 1535 | +7 | –3 | =1539 | 38% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1583 | +13 | +24 | =1620 | 62% | 6 | |
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m. | BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1552 | –9 | +0 | =1543 | 35% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1585 | +40 | +24 | =1649 | 65% | 1 | |
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m. | BOSRed Sox | Price | 1553 | +14 | +0 | =1567 | 45% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1585 | –8 | +24 | =1601 | 55% | 4 | |
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m. | BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1554 | +38 | –3 | =1589 | 50% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1583 | –15 | +24 | =1592 | 50% | 4 | |
5/23Thursday, May 238:10 p.m. | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1459 | +13 | +0 | =1472 | 36% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Martin | 1586 | –36 | +24 | =1574 | 64% | 0 | |
5/22Wednesday, May 228:10 p.m. | CHWWhite Sox | Nova | 1455 | –14 | +0 | =1441 | 25% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1590 | +19 | +24 | =1633 | 75% | 4 | |
5/21Tuesday, May 218:10 p.m. | CHWWhite Sox | Covey | 1456 | –10 | +0 | =1446 | 24% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1589 | +36 | +24 | =1649 | 76% | 5 | |
5/20Monday, May 208:10 p.m. | CHWWhite Sox | Burr | 1457 | +1 | –3 | =1455 | 31% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1589 | –12 | +20 | =1597 | 69% | 3 | |
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1589 | –15 | +0 | =1574 | 44% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1551 | +40 | +24 | =1615 | 56% | 4 | |
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m. | HOUAstros | Martin | 1588 | –32 | +0 | =1556 | 51% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Velazquez | 1553 | –30 | +24 | =1547 | 49% | 3 | |
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1587 | +19 | –1 | =1605 | 56% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Porcello | 1554 | –16 | +26 | =1564 | 44% | 1 | |
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1586 | +35 | +0 | =1621 | 73% | 5 |
DETTigers | Soto | 1438 | –12 | +24 | =1450 | 27% | 1 | |
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1584 | –13 | +0 | =1571 | 69% | 11 |
DETTigers | Carpenter | 1440 | –28 | +24 | =1436 | 31% | 4 | |
5/13Monday, May 137:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Peacock | 1582 | –13 | –3 | =1566 | 61% | 8 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1442 | +27 | +21 | =1490 | 39% | 1 | |
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Sampson | 1472 | –7 | +0 | =1465 | 36% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Martin | 1580 | –37 | +24 | =1567 | 64% | 15 | |
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Chavez | 1473 | –17 | +0 | =1456 | 28% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1579 | +17 | +24 | =1620 | 72% | 11 | |
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Lynn | 1474 | +2 | +0 | =1476 | 29% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1578 | +32 | +24 | =1634 | 71% | 3 | |
5/9Thursday, May 98:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Minor | 1475 | +43 | –3 | =1515 | 40% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1577 | –13 | +24 | =1588 | 60% | 4 | |
5/8Wednesday, May 88:10 p.m. | KCRoyals | Lopez | 1457 | –11 | +0 | =1446 | 31% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1576 | –17 | +24 | =1583 | 69% | 9 | |
5/7Tuesday, May 78:10 p.m. | KCRoyals | Duffy | 1452 | +6 | +0 | =1458 | 31% | 12 |
HOUAstros | McHugh | 1581 | –9 | +24 | =1596 | 69% | 2 | |
5/6Monday, May 68:10 p.m. | KCRoyals | Junis | 1452 | +5 | –3 | =1454 | 28% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1580 | +20 | +21 | =1621 | 72% | 6 | |
5/5Sunday, May 54 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1579 | +35 | +0 | =1614 | 66% | 10 |
LAAAngels | Harvey | 1501 | –5 | +0 | =1496 | 34% | 4 | |
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1576 | –14 | –2 | =1560 | 58% | 14 |
LAAAngels | Cahill | 1504 | –3 | +2 | =1503 | 42% | 2 | |
5/2Thursday, May 21 p.m. | HOUAstros | Peacock | 1578 | –14 | +0 | =1564 | 50% | 2 |
MINTwins | Berrios | 1520 | +20 | +24 | =1564 | 50% | 8 | |
5/1Wednesday, May 18 p.m. | HOUAstros | McHugh | 1580 | –11 | +0 | =1569 | 58% | 2 |
MINTwins | Perez | 1517 | –26 | +24 | =1515 | 42% | 6 | |
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1577 | +13 | +0 | =1590 | 58% | 11 |
MINTwins | Pineda | 1520 | –9 | +24 | =1535 | 42% | 0 | |
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1579 | +33 | –3 | =1609 | 59% | 0 |
MINTwins | Odorizzi | 1519 | +4 | +24 | =1547 | 41% | 1 | |
4/28Sunday, April 287 p.m. | CLEIndians | Carrasco | 1549 | +2 | +0 | =1551 | 45% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1577 | –14 | +24 | =1587 | 55% | 4 | |
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m. | CLEIndians | Bieber | 1549 | –18 | +0 | =1531 | 42% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1576 | –16 | +24 | =1584 | 58% | 4 | |
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m. | CLEIndians | Kluber | 1547 | –8 | +0 | =1539 | 42% | 6 |
HOUAstros | McHugh | 1578 | –7 | +24 | =1595 | 58% | 3 | |
4/25Thursday, April 258:10 p.m. | CLEIndians | Bauer | 1546 | +22 | –3 | =1565 | 43% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1580 | +13 | +24 | =1617 | 57% | 1 | |
4/24Wednesday, April 248:10 p.m. | MINTwins | Stewart | 1517 | –21 | +0 | =1496 | 31% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1578 | +31 | +24 | =1633 | 69% | 7 | |
4/23Tuesday, April 238:10 p.m. | MINTwins | Pineda | 1518 | –5 | +0 | =1513 | 40% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1577 | –14 | +24 | =1587 | 60% | 10 | |
4/22Monday, April 228:10 p.m. | MINTwins | Odorizzi | 1516 | +6 | –3 | =1519 | 40% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1579 | –12 | +22 | =1589 | 60% | 5 | |
4/21Sunday, April 213:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | McHugh | 1580 | +2 | +0 | =1582 | 66% | 10 |
TEXRangers | Miller | 1471 | –25 | +24 | =1470 | 34% | 11 | |
4/20Saturday, April 208:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1584 | +19 | +0 | =1603 | 67% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Sampson | 1467 | –12 | +24 | =1479 | 33% | 9 | |
4/19Friday, April 198 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1582 | +26 | –2 | =1606 | 65% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Smyly | 1469 | +6 | +26 | =1501 | 35% | 2 | |
4/17Wednesday, April 1710:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1583 | –19 | +0 | =1564 | 53% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1520 | +2 | +24 | =1546 | 47% | 2 | |
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:07 p.m. | HOUAstros | McHugh | 1581 | –2 | –1 | =1578 | 56% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Estrada | 1523 | –11 | +22 | =1534 | 44% | 1 | |
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1580 | +19 | +0 | =1599 | 58% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1508 | +13 | +24 | =1545 | 42% | 2 | |
4/13Saturday, April 139:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1579 | +24 | +0 | =1603 | 63% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Hernandez | 1509 | –19 | +24 | =1514 | 37% | 1 | |
4/12Friday, April 1210:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1577 | –15 | –2 | =1560 | 54% | 10 |
SEAMariners | LeBlanc | 1511 | +4 | +20 | =1535 | 46% | 6 | |
4/10Wednesday, April 107:40 p.m. | NYYYankees | Paxton | 1565 | +7 | +0 | =1572 | 46% | 6 |
HOUAstros | McHugh | 1576 | –3 | +24 | =1597 | 54% | 8 | |
4/9Tuesday, April 98 p.m. | NYYYankees | Loaisiga | 1567 | –13 | +0 | =1554 | 41% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Cole | 1575 | +20 | +24 | =1619 | 59% | 6 | |
4/8Monday, April 87 p.m. | NYYYankees | Tanaka | 1567 | +15 | –3 | =1579 | 43% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1574 | +27 | +24 | =1625 | 57% | 4 | |
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1521 | +16 | +0 | =1537 | 43% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Peacock | 1573 | –10 | +24 | =1587 | 57% | 9 | |
4/6Saturday, April 67:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Brooks | 1523 | +6 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Miley | 1571 | –19 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | 6 | |
4/5Friday, April 58:10 p.m. | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1524 | –2 | –4 | =1518 | 40% | 2 |
HOUAstros | McHugh | 1570 | –5 | +24 | =1589 | 60% | 3 | |
4/3Wednesday, April 38:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1573 | +19 | +0 | =1592 | 62% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Minor | 1460 | +22 | +24 | =1506 | 38% | 4 | |
4/2Tuesday, April 28:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1575 | +32 | +0 | =1607 | 69% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Miller | 1458 | –19 | +24 | =1463 | 31% | 6 | |
4/1Monday, April 18:05 p.m. | HOUAstros | Peacock | 1574 | –14 | –3 | =1557 | 59% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Smyly | 1459 | +11 | +24 | =1494 | 41% | 1 | |
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1575 | –17 | +0 | =1558 | 53% | 1 |
TBRays | Chirinos | 1526 | –16 | +24 | =1534 | 47% | 3 | |
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | McHugh | 1577 | –7 | +0 | =1570 | 57% | 1 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1525 | –26 | +24 | =1523 | 43% | 3 | |
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1579 | +20 | +0 | =1599 | 55% | 2 |
TBRays | Morton | 1523 | +15 | +24 | =1562 | 45% | 4 | |
3/28Thursday, March 284 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1577 | +31 | –3 | =1605 | 51% | 5 |
TBRays | Snell | 1525 | +51 | +24 | =1600 | 49% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments