Updated Aug. 18, 2019 at 10:34 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a >99% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1582, down 6 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros79-46>99%98%
AthleticsAthletics71-537.548%2%
RangersRangers60-6418.5<1%<1%
AngelsAngels62-6417.5<1%<1%
MarinersMariners52-7327.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
1397193=137522%
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15828+20=159478%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1397+16+0=141329%
HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158241+24=156571%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1397+2+0=139920%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1582+38+24=164480%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13979+0=138819%
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1582+32+24=163881%
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149230+0=146229%
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1582+15+24=162171%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1492+18+0=151038%
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15828+24=159862%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14924+0=148839%
HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158241+24=156561%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 278:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1542+281=156939%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1582+38+26=164661%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 288:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1542+15+0=155739%
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1582+32+24=163861%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 292:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154139%
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1582+15+24=162161%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+53=158461%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+26=150439%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 313:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158762%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+24=150238%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158762%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+24=150238%
9/2Monday, Sept. 24 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+52=158558%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15122+23=153342%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158758%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15122+24=153442%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+51=146931%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+23=161069%
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+5+0=147031%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161169%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+5+0=147031%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161169%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+5+0=147031%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161169%
9/9Monday, Sept. 98:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1542+04=153840%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161160%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1542+0+0=154240%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161160%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1542+0+0=154240%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161160%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 128:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1542+0+0=154240%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161160%
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+53=158467%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14371+22=145833%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158767%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14371+24=146033%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158767%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14371+24=146033%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+5+0=147732%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+23=161068%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1472+5+0=147732%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161168%
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
149213=148833%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+26=161367%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149133%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161167%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149133%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+24=161167%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+52=158563%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+5+22=149237%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158763%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+5+24=149437%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2610:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+53=158460%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151540%
9/27Friday, Sept. 2710:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158760%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151540%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 289:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158760%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151540%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1582+5+0=158760%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151540%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/18Sunday, Aug. 184:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1580+14+0=159455%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15435+24=156245%1
8/17Saturday, Aug. 174:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Armenteros, Rogelio
Armenteros
158232+0=155047%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1542+6+24=157253%8
8/16Friday, Aug. 1610:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1583+37+0=162058%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15401+24=156342%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 1510:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1584364=154444%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1539+22+23=158456%7
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15873+0=158467%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
145416+24=146233%13
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 139 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+30+0=161969%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1451+4+24=147931%4
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 134:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1588+121=159968%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
145210+26=146832%2
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1590+36+0=162675%7
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1407+2+24=143325%8
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158741+0=154666%23
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14116+24=142934%2
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158731=158369%3
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1411+8+26=144531%2
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 72:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15008+0=149230%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1585+30+24=163970%14
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1501+271=152736%6
HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1583+16+26=162564%11
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Tuivailala, Sam
Tuivailala
1464+7+0=147127%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1583+35+24=164273%3
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1466+22+0=148840%0
HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158048+24=155660%9
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146713+0=145431%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15792+21=159869%10
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+29+0=160657%7
CLECLEIndians
Salazar, Danny
Salazar
154713+24=155843%1
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157928+0=155150%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154419+24=154950%10
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+31+0=160953%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1545+18+23=158647%0
7/28Sunday, July 282:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15763+0=157355%6
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152510+24=153945%2
7/27Saturday, July 277:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+30+0=160457%8
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1527+7+24=155843%2
7/26Friday, July 268:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1576321=154348%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1526+13+21=156052%5
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1540+1+0=154138%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1575+29+24=162862%4
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1539+21+0=156045%4
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15764+24=159655%3
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
1541133=152536%1
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+28+24=162664%11
7/21Sunday, July 212:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1479+33+0=151243%3
HOUHOUAstros
Armenteros, Rogelio
Armenteros
157235+24=156157%5
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148114+0=146737%1
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157139+24=155663%6
7/19Friday, July 198:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1481+39+0=152035%3
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1570+35+21=162665%4
7/18Thursday, July 189:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15693+0=156656%6
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
151413+24=152544%2
7/17Wednesday, July 1710:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+28+0=159456%11
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1516+10+24=155044%2
7/16Tuesday, July 1610:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Rondon, Hector
Rondon
156834+0=153449%2
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1514+6+24=154451%7
7/15Monday, July 1510:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
James, Josh
James
1570233=154450%6
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1512+7+24=154350%9
7/14Sunday, July 143:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1568+33+0=160164%12
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
149014+24=150036%4
7/13Saturday, July 138:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15672+0=156552%7
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1491+39+24=155448%6
7/12Friday, July 128:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+29+0=159763%8
TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
148912+24=150137%9
7/11Thursday, July 118 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
157035+5=154050%0
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1487+27+28=154250%5
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150612+0=149441%10
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157034+24=156059%11
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1507+4+0=151135%0
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+23+24=161565%4
7/5Friday, July 58:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Ramirez, Noe
Ramirez
150682=149632%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1570+35+23=162868%4
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15697+0=156256%4
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
152022+24=152244%2
7/2Tuesday, July 28:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1568351=153244%9
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1521+25+26=157256%8
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1476+13+0=148933%1
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1567+21+24=161267%6
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147614+0=146227%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1566+42+24=163273%6
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1477+83=148236%1
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15659+24=158064%2
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1493+4+0=149737%10
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15706+24=158863%0
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14877+0=148037%14
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
157527+24=157263%2
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+231=151136%1
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+18+23=161564%5
6/23Sunday, June 232:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1572+38+0=161052%9
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15783+24=159948%4
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157312+0=156142%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1577+19+24=162058%7
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157410+0=156444%1
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1575+7+24=160656%4
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1576203=155347%6
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157323+24=157453%10
6/19Wednesday, June 1912:35 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+19+0=159662%2
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150719+24=151238%3
6/18Tuesday, June 187:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+41+0=162064%3
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150512+24=151736%4
6/17Monday, June 177:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1580113=156652%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+23+24=155148%3
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1457+7+0=146431%12
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15858+24=160169%0
6/15Saturday, June 154:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145820+0=143830%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
158426+24=158270%7
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1460+33=146028%2
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+16+26=162572%15
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1531+14+0=154535%6
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+41+24=165065%3
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
153271=152439%8
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15845+26=160561%10
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1408+12+0=142027%0
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158313+24=159473%4
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
14051+0=140427%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
158631+24=157973%1
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1405+62=140923%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+15+20=162177%4
6/6Thursday, June 63:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+42+0=162769%8
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14716+24=148931%7
6/5Wednesday, June 510:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15904+0=158663%1
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1465+7+24=149637%14
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158911+0=157862%11
SEASEAMariners
Moore, Andrew
Moore
14672+24=148938%5
6/3Monday, June 310 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
1588493=153656%4
SEASEAMariners
Gearrin, Cory
Gearrin
1468+5+24=149744%2
6/2Sunday, June 24:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+16+0=160258%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1519+4+24=154742%4
6/1Saturday, June 110:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+40+0=162562%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15203+24=154138%1
5/31Friday, May 3110:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
158442=157853%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1521+9+26=155647%2
5/29Wednesday, May 298 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+19+0=155244%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158513+24=159656%1
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15341+0=153345%6
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158443+24=156555%9
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+73=153938%5
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+13+24=162062%6
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15529+0=154335%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+40+24=164965%1
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1553+14+0=156745%3
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15858+24=160155%4
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1554+383=158950%3
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158315+24=159250%4
5/23Thursday, May 238:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1459+13+0=147236%4
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158636+24=157464%0
5/22Wednesday, May 228:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145514+0=144125%9
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1590+19+24=163375%4
5/21Tuesday, May 218:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145610+0=144624%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1589+36+24=164976%5
5/20Monday, May 208:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Burr, Ryan
Burr
1457+13=145531%0
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
158912+20=159769%3
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158915+0=157444%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1551+40+24=161556%4
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158832+0=155651%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155330+24=154749%3
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1587+191=160556%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155416+26=156444%1
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1586+35+0=162173%5
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
143812+24=145027%1
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158413+0=157169%11
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
144028+24=143631%4
5/13Monday, May 137:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
1582133=156661%8
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1442+27+21=149039%1
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14727+0=146536%5
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158037+24=156764%15
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
147317+0=145628%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1579+17+24=162072%11
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1474+2+0=147629%0
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+32+24=163471%3
5/9Thursday, May 98:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+433=151540%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157713+24=158860%4
5/8Wednesday, May 88:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145711+0=144631%0
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157617+24=158369%9
5/7Tuesday, May 78:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1452+6+0=145831%12
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15819+24=159669%2
5/6Monday, May 68:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1452+53=145428%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+20+21=162172%6
5/5Sunday, May 54 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+35+0=161466%10
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15015+0=149634%4
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1576142=156058%14
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
15043+2=150342%2
5/2Thursday, May 21 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157814+0=156450%2
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1520+20+24=156450%8
5/1Wednesday, May 18 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
158011+0=156958%2
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151726+24=151542%6
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+13+0=159058%11
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15209+24=153542%0
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+333=160959%0
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1519+4+24=154741%1
4/28Sunday, April 287 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1549+2+0=155145%1
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157714+24=158755%4
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154918+0=153142%3
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157616+24=158458%4
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15478+0=153942%6
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15787+24=159558%3
4/25Thursday, April 258:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1546+223=156543%2
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+13+24=161757%1
4/24Wednesday, April 248:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Stewart, Kohl
Stewart
151721+0=149631%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+31+24=163369%7
4/23Tuesday, April 238:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15185+0=151340%4
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157714+24=158760%10
4/22Monday, April 228:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1516+63=151940%9
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157912+22=158960%5
4/21Sunday, April 213:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
1580+2+0=158266%10
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147125+24=147034%11
4/20Saturday, April 208:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1584+19+0=160367%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
146712+24=147933%9
4/19Friday, April 198 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1582+262=160665%7
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+6+26=150135%2
4/17Wednesday, April 1710:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158319+0=156453%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1520+2+24=154647%2
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
158121=157856%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
152311+22=153444%1
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+19+0=159958%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+13+24=154542%2
4/13Saturday, April 139:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+24+0=160363%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150919+24=151437%1
4/12Friday, April 1210:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1577152=156054%10
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1511+4+20=153546%6
4/10Wednesday, April 107:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1565+7+0=157246%6
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15763+24=159754%8
4/9Tuesday, April 98 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156713+0=155441%3
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+20+24=161959%6
4/8Monday, April 87 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+153=157943%3
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1574+27+24=162557%4
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1521+16+0=153743%8
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157310+24=158757%9
4/6Saturday, April 67:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1523+6+0=152943%0
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157119+24=157657%6
4/5Friday, April 58:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
152424=151840%2
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15705+24=158960%3
4/3Wednesday, April 38:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1573+19+0=159262%0
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1460+22+24=150638%4
4/2Tuesday, April 28:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1575+32+0=160769%4
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
145819+24=146331%6
4/1Monday, April 18:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
1574143=155759%2
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1459+11+24=149441%1
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157517+0=155853%1
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
152616+24=153447%3
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15777+0=157057%1
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
152526+24=152343%3
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1579+20+0=159955%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1523+15+24=156245%4
3/28Thursday, March 284 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1577+313=160551%5
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1525+51+24=160049%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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