Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1471, up 1 point from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees29-1788%56%
RaysRays27-171.066%22%
Red SoxRed Sox25-224.566%22%
Blue JaysBlue Jays19-2810.5<1%<1%
OriolesOrioles15-3214.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15542+0=155257%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+10+24=150543%
5/22Wednesday, May 227:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14711+24=149441%
5/23Thursday, May 2312:37 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155413+0=154159%
TORTORBlue Jays
Feierabend, Ryan
Feierabend
147113+24=148241%
5/24Friday, May 247:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1483+12=148248%
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1471+5+24=150052%
5/25Saturday, May 253:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
148313+0=147049%
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147115+24=148051%
5/26Sunday, May 261:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1483+30+0=151351%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+10+24=150549%
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
147113=146737%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155863%
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147032%
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1536+37+24=159768%
5/29Wednesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1471+5+0=147637%
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+11+24=157163%
5/31Friday, May 318:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
1471152=145435%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+31+24=156465%
6/1Saturday, June 19:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147041%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153459%
6/2Sunday, June 23:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147041%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153459%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+23=149339%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
6/6Thursday, June 67:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
6/7Friday, June 77:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150852%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149448%
6/8Saturday, June 83:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151052%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149448%
6/9Sunday, June 91:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151052%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149448%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+23=143645%
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
6/13Thursday, June 137:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146730%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+26=161570%
6/15Saturday, June 154:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161370%
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147030%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161370%
6/17Monday, June 177:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+03=149851%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+21=149149%
6/18Tuesday, June 187:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150151%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149449%
6/19Wednesday, June 197:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150151%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149449%
6/20Thursday, June 207:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150151%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149449%
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146835%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+23=157765%
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
6/24Monday, June 247:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146833%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
6/28Friday, June 287:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149456%
6/29Saturday, June 294:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149456%
6/30Sunday, June 301:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149456%
7/1Monday, July 11:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149456%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149441%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149441%
7/4Thursday, July 47:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149441%
7/5Friday, July 57:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+11=141238%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149462%
7/6Saturday, July 63:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
7/7Sunday, July 71:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+5=147533%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+28=159767%
7/13Saturday, July 131:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146835%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
7/18Thursday, July 181:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147035%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157865%
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146752%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+23=145648%
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145748%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145748%
7/22Monday, July 227:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
153942=153356%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+22=149244%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153556%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
7/24Wednesday, July 247:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153556%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
7/26Friday, July 267:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153656%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149644%
7/27Saturday, July 273:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
7/28Sunday, July 281:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
7/29Monday, July 298:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146749%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147251%
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147050%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147250%
7/31Wednesday, July 311:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147050%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+24=147250%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146754%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143546%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146737%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156761%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+21=149139%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 103:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+12=147447%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149453%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147648%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149452%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 1412:37 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147648%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149452%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148348%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149652%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 173:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149451%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149451%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146832%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+22=159668%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147032%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159868%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147032%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159868%
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146744%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150756%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 249:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+33=151854%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+22=149246%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152154%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149446%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+03=158663%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149637%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 313:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158963%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149437%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158963%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149437%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146739%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154561%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147039%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154561%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147037%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+02=155258%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+23=149342%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149441%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155459%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149441%
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157122=156760%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149440%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 143:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156961%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149439%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+22=143545%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147055%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143745%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147112=146833%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 211:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147033%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+24=159367%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+12=141139%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+22=149261%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141339%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149461%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153656%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149644%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153756%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149444%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 201:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+142=156462%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147314+22=148138%2
5/19Sunday, May 192:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14712+0=146946%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+15+24=149754%2
5/18Saturday, May 182:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Feierabend, Ryan
Feierabend
14739+0=146446%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1457+12+24=149354%4
5/17Friday, May 178:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14701+0=146948%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14604+24=148052%2
5/16Thursday, May 168:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+94=147651%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145913+26=147249%4
5/15Wednesday, May 153:45 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147212+0=146047%3
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14602+24=148253%4
5/14Tuesday, May 149:45 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147032=146547%7
SFSFGiants
Vincent, Nick
Vincent
14622+26=148653%3
5/12Sunday, May 121:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1457+5+0=146245%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1472+1+24=149755%1
5/11Saturday, May 113:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14543+0=145142%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1475+9+24=150858%2
5/10Friday, May 107:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145592=144443%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Hudson, Daniel
Hudson
14749+26=149157%4
5/8Wednesday, May 87:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1526+0+0=152653%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1477+8+24=150947%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1525+20+0=154556%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14783+24=149944%0
5/6Monday, May 67:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
1522202=150048%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+12+21=151452%0
5/5Sunday, May 53:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1484+14+0=149850%2
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1471+4+24=149950%10
5/4Saturday, May 48:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
148516+0=146946%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+4+24=149854%8
5/3Friday, May 38:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148483=147341%1
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+39+26=153659%0
5/2Thursday, May 210:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1486+0+0=148643%2
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1502+5+24=153157%6
5/1Wednesday, May 110:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1487+14+0=150145%3
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1501+14+24=153955%6
4/30Tuesday, April 3010:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1488+142=150048%3
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
15006+23=151752%4
4/28Sunday, April 281:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+6+0=152054%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148715+24=149646%5
4/27Saturday, April 273:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1517+3+0=152052%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14853+24=150648%7
4/26Friday, April 267:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1518+02=151650%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+9+26=151850%4
4/24Wednesday, April 244:07 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146513+0=145239%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1486+19+24=152961%0
4/23Tuesday, April 237:07 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14644+0=146045%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148713+22=149655%6
4/21Sunday, April 214:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14863+0=148341%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1515+6+24=154559%4
4/20Saturday, April 204:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1482+15+0=149743%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1519+6+24=154957%1
4/19Friday, April 1910:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+54=148040%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1521+2+26=154960%1
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1477+23+0=150045%7
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+0+24=153755%4
4/17Wednesday, April 177:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147910+0=146940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+2+24=153860%4
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14772+0=147541%6
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1513+1+24=153859%5
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1476+163=148948%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151533+24=150652%3
4/14Sunday, April 141:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+11+0=154956%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+5+24=150744%4
4/13Saturday, April 133:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+44+0=158359%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1476+21+24=152141%3
4/12Friday, April 127:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153819+0=151953%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1478+1+22=150147%7
4/11Thursday, April 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14792+2=147937%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15474+26=156963%7
4/9Tuesday, April 92 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1477+171=149334%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1548+40+22=161066%5
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+2+0=148036%1
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1550+9+24=158364%3
4/6Saturday, April 64:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
147912+0=146735%2
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1549+2+24=157565%7
4/5Friday, April 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14803+0=147740%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154822+24=155060%3
4/4Thursday, April 46:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148142=147534%1
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+21+24=159266%4
4/3Wednesday, April 34:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1428+21+0=144940%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+12+24=151660%5
4/2Tuesday, April 27:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142616+0=141036%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+4+24=150964%1
4/1Monday, April 17:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+12=142440%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14829+24=149760%5
3/31Sunday, March 311:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Moore, Matt
Moore
144225+0=141739%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148411+24=149761%3
3/30Saturday, March 303:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+4+0=144742%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14826+24=150058%3
3/29Friday, March 297:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+14+0=145942%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+8+24=151258%6
3/28Thursday, March 283:37 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144342=143740%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+2+24=150860%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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