Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1466, up 4 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees98-53>99%
RaysRays89-629.063%<1%
Red SoxRed Sox79-7018.0<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays59-9138.5
OriolesOrioles49-10048.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14663+0=146352%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+14+22=144948%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1466+19+0=148559%
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
141313+24=142441%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
1466+0+0=146653%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+24=144447%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
146622=146230%
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1585+3+24=161270%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 211:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1466+4+0=147029%
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1585+21+24=163071%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14663+0=146328%
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1585+17+24=162672%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1413132=139835%
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1466+19+22=150765%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1413+7+0=142040%
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
1466+0+24=149060%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1413+1+0=141439%
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
14662+24=148861%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1543+81=155058%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1466+4+26=149642%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1543+8+0=155158%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1466+4+24=149442%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1543+8+0=155158%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1466+4+24=149442%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
158711+0=157660%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1464+16+24=150440%6
9/14Saturday, Sept. 143:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1585+20+0=160566%13
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1466+1+24=149134%3
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1586+52=158964%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
1465+2+24=149136%6
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
153815+0=152352%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1467+20+24=151148%4
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Poyner, Bobby
Poyner
154118+0=152353%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1464+14+24=150247%8
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
154222=153858%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
14623+23=148242%4
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1464+8+0=147238%3
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
15415+24=156062%8
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Kay, Anthony
Kay
14653+0=146233%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+24+24=158867%5
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1467+21+0=148845%0
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153837+24=152555%5
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14684+0=146438%4
TBTBRays
Pruitt, Austin
Pruitt
153713+26=155062%6
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1469+16+0=148539%2
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15423+24=156361%7
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1470+113=147834%3
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1541+27+24=159266%6
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1587+42+0=162967%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+13+24=150833%0
8/31Saturday, Aug. 313:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
158839+0=154955%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1469+19+24=151245%6
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:07 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1587113=157362%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14715+26=149238%4
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15352+0=153352%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1473+21+24=151848%4
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1537+283=156258%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+11+22=150442%3
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1472+18+0=149047%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+17+24=151053%3
8/24Saturday, Aug. 249:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+15+0=148651%7
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
147114+24=148149%5
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147223=146746%4
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+5+22=149654%7
8/22Thursday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1473+11+0=148433%2
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
159414+24=160467%3
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1474+14+0=148831%1
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1593+11+24=162869%2
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
147632=147129%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1592+13+22=162771%16
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146120+0=144139%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1479+14+24=151761%0
8/17Saturday, Aug. 173:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
McClain, Reggie
McClain
1460+7+0=146745%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14801+24=150355%3
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1462+72=146744%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1478+6+26=151056%7
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 1412:37 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
147616+0=146044%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14811+24=150456%3
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1477+40+0=151754%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
147916+24=148746%3
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
1481112=146846%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ramirez, Neil
Ramirez
14752+24=149754%19
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1585+1+0=158663%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14766+24=149437%0
8/10Saturday, Aug. 103:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15862+0=158461%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1474+11+24=150939%5
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15903+0=158763%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14712+24=149337%8
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1588+52=159164%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
14735+21=148936%6
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+7+0=147841%4
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
154021+24=154359%3
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1472+1+0=147340%6
TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
153923+24=154060%7
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1470+03=146733%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1541+25+24=159067%0
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
1471+0+0=147154%5
BALBALOrioles
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
1414+6+24=144446%6
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
14738+0=146553%4
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+6+24=144347%6
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+4+0=147556%5
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14145+24=143344%2
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
146813=146452%11
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1417+10+22=144948%2
7/31Wednesday, July 311:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
14673+0=146448%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1442+10+24=147652%1
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14642+0=146249%9
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1445+3+24=147251%2
7/29Monday, July 298:15 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
1462103=144944%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+20+24=149156%3
7/28Sunday, July 281:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1533+2+0=153558%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14629+24=147742%9
7/27Saturday, July 273:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
153429+0=150551%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1461+13+24=149849%10
7/26Friday, July 267:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Castillo, Diego
Castillo
1533181=151454%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
14633+26=148646%1
7/24Wednesday, July 247:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1541+10+0=155155%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1464+29+24=151745%0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1542+8+0=155061%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146313+24=147439%2
7/22Monday, July 227:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1541+162=155557%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1465+17+22=150443%3
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1466+0+0=146655%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1406+5+24=143545%4
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+3+0=146855%7
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1407+2+24=143345%5
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1462+263=148559%12
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
141012+23=142141%1
7/18Thursday, July 181:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
14639+0=145430%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1546+33+24=160370%5
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146313+0=145033%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1546+6+24=157667%5
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1460+3+0=146336%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
154910+24=156364%4
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1461+82=146738%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154817+24=155562%10
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1462+23+0=148532%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1581+10+24=161568%4
7/13Saturday, July 131:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146018+0=144229%2
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15836+24=160171%1
7/12Friday, July 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146114+5=145229%0
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15826+28=160471%4
7/7Sunday, July 71:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140822+0=138636%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1460+5+24=148964%6
7/6Saturday, July 63:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1405+14+0=141943%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146316+24=147157%1
7/5Friday, July 57:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1403+91=141141%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146515+24=147459%1
7/4Thursday, July 47:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154732+0=151554%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
1466+1+24=149146%7
7/3Wednesday, July 37:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1549+40+0=158964%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1464+2+24=149036%6
7/2Tuesday, July 27:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1548+16+0=156459%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+12+24=150141%6
7/1Monday, July 11:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1446+1+0=144747%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146320+24=146753%11
6/30Sunday, June 301:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1445+16+0=146148%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146412+24=147652%6
6/29Saturday, June 294:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14466+0=144040%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1463+24+24=151160%7
6/28Friday, June 287:07 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1447+6+0=145346%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14616+24=147954%6
6/26Wednesday, June 261:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1461+16+0=147732%7
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1577+10+24=161168%8
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146222+0=144031%3
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
157618+24=158269%4
6/24Monday, June 247 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1463112=145031%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
157611+24=158969%10
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1460+19+0=147937%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15546+24=157263%1
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
1458+2+0=146038%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
155631+24=154962%7
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1459+132=147029%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1555+45+23=162371%7
6/20Thursday, June 207:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
15094+0=150556%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145822+24=146044%7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1507+10+0=151755%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14594+24=147945%6
6/18Tuesday, June 187:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1506+1+0=150751%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1461+16+24=150149%1
6/17Monday, June 177:07 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
150373=149352%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
14632+21=148248%5
6/16Sunday, June 162:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1457+7+0=146431%12
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15858+24=160169%0
6/15Saturday, June 154:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145820+0=143830%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
158426+24=158270%7
6/14Friday, June 148:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1460+33=146028%2
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+16+26=162572%15
6/13Thursday, June 137 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1457+14+0=147155%12
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
1407+5+24=143645%3
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Law, Derek
Law
14562+0=145455%8
BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
140917+24=141645%6
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1457+7+0=146450%2
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1407+31+23=146150%4
6/9Sunday, June 91:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+8+0=152358%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145917+24=146642%2
6/8Saturday, June 83:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1513+30+0=154358%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1461+4+24=148942%0
6/7Friday, June 77:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1510132=149549%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1464+16+24=150451%2
6/6Thursday, June 67 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15723+0=156965%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
146528+24=146135%2
6/5Wednesday, June 57:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1575+18+0=159364%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1462+5+24=149136%11
6/4Tuesday, June 47:07 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1576+14+0=159068%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146120+23=146432%4
6/2Sunday, June 23:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1462+3+0=146542%1
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151618+24=152258%5
6/1Saturday, June 19:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1463+13+0=147641%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1515+3+24=154259%4
5/31Friday, May 318:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
1465212=144232%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1514+38+24=157668%13
5/29Wednesday, May 297:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1465+6+0=147132%3
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1544+35+24=160368%4
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
146622+0=144435%1
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154319+24=154865%3
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1468+23=146739%3
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
154215+21=154861%8
5/26Sunday, May 261:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Erlin, Robbie
Erlin
149217+0=147547%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1465+10+24=149953%10
5/25Saturday, May 253:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
148814+0=147450%19
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
146917+24=147650%4
5/24Friday, May 247:07 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1486+02=148448%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1471+3+24=149852%3
5/23Thursday, May 2312:37 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155242+0=151056%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
147327+24=147044%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155112+0=153956%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14741+24=149744%5
5/21Tuesday, May 217:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15542+0=155257%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+10+24=150543%10
5/20Monday, May 201:07 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1552+142=156462%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147314+22=148138%2
5/19Sunday, May 192:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14712+0=146946%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+15+24=149754%2
5/18Saturday, May 182:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Feierabend, Ryan
Feierabend
14739+0=146446%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1457+12+24=149354%4
5/17Friday, May 178:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14701+0=146948%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14604+24=148052%2
5/16Thursday, May 168:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1471+94=147651%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145913+26=147249%4
5/15Wednesday, May 153:45 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
147212+0=146047%3
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14602+24=148253%4
5/14Tuesday, May 149:45 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147032=146547%7
SFSFGiants
Vincent, Nick
Vincent
14622+26=148653%3
5/12Sunday, May 121:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1457+5+0=146245%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1472+1+24=149755%1
5/11Saturday, May 113:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14543+0=145142%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1475+9+24=150858%2
5/10Friday, May 107:07 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145592=144443%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Hudson, Daniel
Hudson
14749+26=149157%4
5/8Wednesday, May 87:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1526+0+0=152653%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1477+8+24=150947%1
5/7Tuesday, May 77:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1525+20+0=154556%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14783+24=149944%0
5/6Monday, May 67:07 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
1522202=150048%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+12+21=151452%0
5/5Sunday, May 53:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1484+14+0=149850%2
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1471+4+24=149950%10
5/4Saturday, May 48:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
148516+0=146946%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+4+24=149854%8
5/3Friday, May 38:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148483=147341%1
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+39+26=153659%0
5/2Thursday, May 210:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1486+0+0=148643%2
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1502+5+24=153157%6
5/1Wednesday, May 110:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1487+14+0=150145%3
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1501+14+24=153955%6
4/30Tuesday, April 3010:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1488+142=150048%3
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
15006+23=151752%4
4/28Sunday, April 281:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+6+0=152054%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148715+24=149646%5
4/27Saturday, April 273:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1517+3+0=152052%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14853+24=150648%7
4/26Friday, April 267:07 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1518+02=151650%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+9+26=151850%4
4/24Wednesday, April 244:07 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146513+0=145239%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1486+19+24=152961%0
4/23Tuesday, April 237:07 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14644+0=146045%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148713+22=149655%6
4/21Sunday, April 214:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14863+0=148341%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1515+6+24=154559%4
4/20Saturday, April 204:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1482+15+0=149743%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1519+6+24=154957%1
4/19Friday, April 1910:07 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+54=148040%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1521+2+26=154960%1
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1477+23+0=150045%7
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1513+0+24=153755%4
4/17Wednesday, April 177:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147910+0=146940%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+2+24=153860%4
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14772+0=147541%6
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1513+1+24=153859%5
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1476+163=148948%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
151533+24=150652%3
4/14Sunday, April 141:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+11+0=154956%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+5+24=150744%4
4/13Saturday, April 133:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+44+0=158359%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1476+21+24=152141%3
4/12Friday, April 127:07 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153819+0=151953%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
1478+1+22=150147%7
4/11Thursday, April 117:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14792+2=147937%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15474+26=156963%7
4/9Tuesday, April 92 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1477+171=149334%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1548+40+22=161066%5
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+2+0=148036%1
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1550+9+24=158364%3
4/6Saturday, April 64:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
147912+0=146735%2
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1549+2+24=157565%7
4/5Friday, April 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14803+0=147740%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154822+24=155060%3
4/4Thursday, April 46:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148142=147534%1
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+21+24=159266%4
4/3Wednesday, April 34:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Karns, Nate
Karns
1428+21+0=144940%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+12+24=151660%5
4/2Tuesday, April 27:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
142616+0=141036%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1481+4+24=150964%1
4/1Monday, April 17:07 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
1425+12=142440%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14829+24=149760%5
3/31Sunday, March 311:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Moore, Matt
Moore
144225+0=141739%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148411+24=149761%3
3/30Saturday, March 303:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1443+4+0=144742%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14826+24=150058%3
3/29Friday, March 297:07 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1445+14+0=145942%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Shoemaker, Matt
Shoemaker
1480+8+24=151258%6
3/28Thursday, March 283:37 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
144342=143740%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+2+24=150860%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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