Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves have a 100% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1548, up 3 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves93-58>99%
NationalsNationals82-669.593%<1%
MetsMets77-7215.05%
PhilliesPhillies76-7215.5<1%
MarlinsMarlins52-9740.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1509101=149838%
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1548+8+23=157962%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150912+0=149739%
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1548+4+24=157661%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+40+0=154944%
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1548+21+24=159356%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
147493=146234%
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1548+5+24=157766%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1474+13+0=148738%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15482+24=157062%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
147417+0=145733%
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1548+8+24=158067%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1548+41=155162%
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1429+11+24=146438%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1548+21+0=156965%
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1429+6+24=145935%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1548+81=155549%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1528+7+24=155951%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1548+8+0=155650%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1528+7+24=155950%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1548+8+0=155650%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1528+7+24=155950%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1551+2+0=155349%0
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
155116+24=155951%7
9/14Saturday, Sept. 144:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1548+1+0=154950%10
WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
155431+24=154750%1
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1545+182=156142%5
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1556+39+21=161658%0
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1547+11+0=155854%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15094+24=152946%9
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1546+5+0=155154%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151111+24=152446%1
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1547+8+0=155553%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1509+1+24=153447%6
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
154543=153845%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+39+23=157455%2
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1552+40+0=159250%9
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1547+20+24=159150%4
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
155330+0=152342%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1546+8+24=157858%5
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1554+16+0=157050%3
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1545+3+24=157250%4
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1555+213=157350%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1544+3+26=157350%4
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1469+16+0=148539%2
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15423+24=156361%7
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1470+113=147834%3
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1541+27+24=159266%6
9/1Sunday, Sept. 15:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1454+40+0=149439%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1540+10+24=157461%5
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1456+7+0=146335%5
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1538+6+24=156865%11
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1457+103=146436%7
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1537+2+23=156264%10
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15352+0=153352%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1473+21+24=151848%4
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1537+283=156258%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+11+22=150442%3
8/26Monday, Aug. 263:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1538+64=154056%1
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
148913+21=149744%3
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1537+3+0=154051%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152516+24=153349%1
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1535+6+0=154149%9
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15273+24=154851%5
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
153443=152741%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1528+42+24=159459%1
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14365+0=143129%2
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1534+29+24=158771%3
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1438+10+0=144834%0
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1532+6+24=156266%5
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1439111=142731%1
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1531+5+26=156269%5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
159333+0=156050%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1530+9+24=156350%5
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1594+18+0=161259%3
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15292+24=155141%4
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1592153=157448%8
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1531+31+24=158652%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1520+1+0=152143%10
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1532+13+24=156957%8
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152120+0=150142%4
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15311+24=155458%6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+71=152946%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1530+7+23=156054%5
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15291+0=152861%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
144317+24=145039%4
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1531+28+0=155965%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144213+24=145335%7
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+14+0=154359%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+14+24=148141%4
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1533+104=153963%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144014+21=144737%9
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1531+3+0=153449%11
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154225+24=154151%7
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15282+0=152641%12
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1545+20+24=158959%7
8/5Monday, Aug. 58:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1530+263=155348%3
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
15441+24=156752%5
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+16+0=152143%6
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1531+14+24=156957%4
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1506+17+0=152344%4
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+10+24=156456%5
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
15046+0=149843%5
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15329+24=154757%2
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:20 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150522=150143%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1531+1+21=155357%4
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1530+25+0=155551%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153713+24=154849%4
7/30Tuesday, July 307 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+15+0=154353%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153843+24=151947%8
7/29Monday, July 297 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+132=154146%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1537+6+24=156754%6
7/28Sunday, July 281:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15324+0=152844%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1508+39+24=157156%9
7/27Saturday, July 277:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1529+4+0=153351%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15119+24=152649%7
7/26Friday, July 267:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1526+241=154953%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15138+24=152947%2
7/24Wednesday, July 247:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1448+14+0=146236%2
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+12+24=156464%0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1446+61=145134%5
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+10+26=156666%4
7/21Sunday, July 217 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
153634+0=150244%1
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15289+24=154356%7
7/20Saturday, July 207:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153416+0=151841%5
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+30+24=158359%3
7/19Friday, July 197:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1535+8+0=154347%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+10+24=156253%4
7/18Thursday, July 187:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+113=154049%13
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
15327+21=154651%4
7/17Wednesday, July 172:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1533+12+0=154550%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1513+7+24=154450%5
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153611+0=152545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1510+25+24=155955%13
7/15Monday, July 158:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1535+14=153253%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151126+24=150947%2
7/14Sunday, July 144:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1533+26+0=155959%4
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14819+24=149641%1
7/13Saturday, July 138:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1532+10+0=154254%7
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1482+11+24=151746%5
7/12Friday, July 1210:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1531+14+3=154854%5
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1483+10+30=152346%3
7/7Sunday, July 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14434+0=143933%3
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+12+24=156667%4
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1442+6+0=144834%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1532+8+24=156466%4
7/5Friday, July 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1442+33=144233%0
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1531+7+24=156267%1
7/4Thursday, July 47 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1512+2+0=151440%6
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+30+24=158360%12
7/3Wednesday, July 37:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151512+0=150345%2
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152711+24=154055%9
7/2Tuesday, July 27:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+331=154548%2
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1528+9+23=156052%0
6/30Sunday, June 307 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1530+9+0=153951%5
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1503+9+24=153649%8
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+10+0=153955%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150427+24=150145%4
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1527+303=155448%6
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1506+43+23=157252%2
6/27Thursday, June 272:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15288+0=152049%7
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153329+24=152851%9
6/26Wednesday, June 268:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1527+11+0=153848%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15345+24=155352%3
6/25Tuesday, June 258:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1526+6+0=153250%3
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
153525+24=153450%2
6/24Monday, June 248:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+163=154149%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153311+24=154651%8
6/23Sunday, June 231:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1527+29+0=155656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
152635+24=151544%3
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1525+5+0=153048%13
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15289+24=154352%9
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1526+121=153746%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1527+12+24=156354%4
6/19Wednesday, June 197:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151115+0=149642%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1524+2+24=155058%7
6/18Tuesday, June 187:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1508+39+0=154746%10
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1527+21+24=157254%2
6/17Monday, June 177:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1510+13=150840%3
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1525+28+24=157760%12
6/16Sunday, June 161:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15237+0=151645%1
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1521+2+24=154755%15
6/15Saturday, June 157:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+25+0=154751%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15227+24=153949%5
6/14Friday, June 147:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152341=151846%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+5+24=155054%9
6/13Thursday, June 1312:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1483+3+0=148639%5
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1521+20+24=156561%6
6/12Wednesday, June 127:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148414+0=147035%7
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1520+34+24=157865%8
6/11Tuesday, June 117:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14851+0=148441%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1519+1+24=154459%7
6/10Monday, June 107:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1487+13=148544%7
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
151712+21=152656%13
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1516+3+0=151957%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1442+2+24=146843%6
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+15+0=153058%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1442+4+24=147042%0
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+303=154061%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1444+1+21=146639%1
6/6Thursday, June 612:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1516+3+0=151951%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14883+24=150949%6
6/5Wednesday, June 57:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15174+0=151351%4
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14862+24=150849%7
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+9+0=152454%12
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148917+26=149846%5
6/2Sunday, June 21:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1430+32+0=146238%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+12+24=155062%7
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1431+1+0=143232%5
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+29+24=156668%10
5/31Friday, May 317:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1428+161=144336%8
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1516+5+26=154764%2
5/29Wednesday, May 297:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151422+0=149242%14
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1520+2+24=154658%4
5/28Tuesday, May 287:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1513+203=153047%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+8+24=155353%4
5/26Sunday, May 267 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1520+10+0=153045%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1525+15+24=156455%3
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1522+24+0=154653%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152320+24=152747%6
5/24Friday, May 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
152014=151543%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+15+26=156657%2
5/23Thursday, May 233:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+3+0=152252%5
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1460+25+24=150948%4
5/22Wednesday, May 229:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1516+10+0=152655%9
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1462+4+24=149045%2
5/21Tuesday, May 219:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+10+0=152856%3
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14611+24=148444%4
5/20Monday, May 209:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1516+194=153157%4
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1462+1+21=148443%1
5/19Sunday, May 191:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+5+0=154250%3
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15171+24=154050%2
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+8+0=154650%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1516+4+24=154450%4
5/17Friday, May 177:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1540+103=154750%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1514+8+24=154650%12
5/16Thursday, May 167:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15308+0=152246%2
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1512+11+24=154754%10
5/15Wednesday, May 157:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15329+0=152346%0
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1510+15+24=154954%4
5/14Tuesday, May 147:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1528+10+0=153849%14
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1514+9+22=154551%3
5/12Sunday, May 124:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1512+10+0=152252%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151123+24=151248%3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+2+0=151350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151224+24=151250%4
5/10Friday, May 109:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1510+8+0=151843%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1514+28+24=156657%1
5/9Thursday, May 99:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1511+122=152148%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15132+20=153152%3
5/8Wednesday, May 810:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1512+14+0=152639%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1569+12+24=160561%9
5/7Tuesday, May 710:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+18+0=153341%0
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1567+3+24=159459%9
5/6Monday, May 610:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1516+44=151637%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1566+18+23=160763%5
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+4+0=151959%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1425+4+24=145341%1
5/4Saturday, May 46:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+6+0=151960%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14271+24=145040%2
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+73=151559%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14281+26=145341%2
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1485+12+0=149742%11
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+18+24=155758%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14867+0=147940%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1513+14+24=155160%5
4/30Tuesday, April 307:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1485+20+0=150545%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+5+24=154355%3
4/29Monday, April 297:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148613=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+0+24=153758%3
4/28Sunday, April 281:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
151311+0=150244%7
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1513+10+24=154756%8
4/27Saturday, April 277:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15111+0=151043%9
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+21+24=156057%5
4/26Friday, April 267:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1508141=149341%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1517+17+22=155659%4
4/25Thursday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+3+0=152147%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+24=154653%4
4/24Wednesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
15175+0=151250%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14955+24=151450%1
4/23Tuesday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+15+0=153352%6
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+5+22=152048%7
4/21Sunday, April 217 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+17+0=153246%11
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155011+24=156354%5
4/20Saturday, April 207:50 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
1514+0+0=151439%8
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+20+24=159561%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+51=152043%4
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15498+25=156657%8
4/18Thursday, April 1812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149912+0=148744%4
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
151813+24=152956%1
4/17Wednesday, April 177:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
149810+0=148841%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+10+24=155359%2
4/16Tuesday, April 167:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+172=151143%9
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+17+26=156457%6
4/14Sunday, April 147 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+48+0=157454%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1519+6+24=154946%7
4/13Saturday, April 137:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152830+0=149844%7
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15175+24=153656%11
4/12Friday, April 127:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1526+0+0=152648%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15195+24=153852%2
4/11Thursday, April 117:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1524173=150443%6
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1521+11+23=155557%3
4/9Tuesday, April 98:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1519+10+0=152946%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1504+28+24=155654%1
4/8Monday, April 88:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1517+83=152245%8
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1506+25+24=155555%6
4/7Sunday, April 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+6+0=144237%3
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15167+24=153363%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1434+7+0=144138%4
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151815+24=152762%2
4/5Friday, April 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+11=143534%0
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1517+7+24=154866%4
4/4Thursday, April 47:20 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15174+0=151346%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+2+24=154154%9
4/3Wednesday, April 37 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1518+2+2=152246%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+11+26=155154%6
4/1Monday, April 17 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1521+183=153651%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15114+21=152849%8
3/31Sunday, March 317 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151311+0=150244%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15224+24=154256%5
3/30Saturday, March 304:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15146+2=151046%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15219+26=153854%8
3/28Thursday, March 283:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+103=152341%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+46+24=158959%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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