Updated Jul. 20, 2019 at 1:28 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves have a 94% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1529, down 2 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves59-4094%76%
NationalsNationals51-456.561%16%
PhilliesPhillies51-477.536%7%
MetsMets44-5314.04%<1%
MarlinsMarlins36-5921.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/20Saturday, July 207:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153416+0=151841%
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+30+24=158359%
7/21Sunday, July 217 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153434+0=150044%
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15299+24=154456%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1446+61=145134%
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1529+11+26=156666%
7/24Wednesday, July 247:20 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+16+0=146235%
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+13+24=156665%
7/26Friday, July 267:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+301=155854%
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15125+24=153146%
7/27Saturday, July 277:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15299+0=152049%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15127+24=152951%
7/28Sunday, July 281:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1529+11+0=154052%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15129+24=152748%
7/29Monday, July 297 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+132=154050%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153416+24=154250%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153546%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+24=156054%
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153546%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+24=156054%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+02=150242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+21=155658%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/5Monday, Aug. 58:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+63=153246%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153546%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156154%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+64=153160%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+21=146440%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153560%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146740%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153560%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146740%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153560%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146740%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
150441=149942%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+23=155858%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+0=150042%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+0=150042%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1586+13=158454%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155946%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1586+1+0=158754%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155946%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1586+1+0=158754%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155946%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
144411=144233%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+26=156167%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+0=144334%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155966%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+0=144334%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155966%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+63=153251%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+24=152449%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153552%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+24=152448%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153552%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+24=152448%
8/26Monday, Aug. 263:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+64=153151%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+21=152149%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+63=153256%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+22=149144%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:07 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153556%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+24=149344%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+23=145536%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+23=155864%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:20 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155964%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 15:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+2+0=145836%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155964%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+43=146637%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155963%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:20 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1465+4+0=146937%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155963%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+23=153346%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+26=156154%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+0=153647%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155953%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+0=153647%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155953%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+0=153647%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155953%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+63=153250%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+23=153650%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153550%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153750%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153550%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153750%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153550%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153750%
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+62=153347%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+21=155753%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 144:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153546%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+24=156054%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153546%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+24=156054%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+11=151243%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+23=155857%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151343%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155957%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151343%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155957%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1486+13=148439%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155961%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1486+1+0=148740%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155960%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1486+1+0=148740%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155960%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+61=153459%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+4+24=147441%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153559%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+4+24=147441%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+61=153451%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+24=152449%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153552%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+24=152448%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+0=153552%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+24=152448%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/19Friday, July 197:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1535+8+0=154347%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+10+24=156253%4
7/18Thursday, July 187:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+113=154049%13
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
15327+21=154651%4
7/17Wednesday, July 172:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1533+12+0=154550%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1513+7+24=154450%5
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153611+0=152545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1510+25+24=155955%13
7/15Monday, July 158:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1535+14=153253%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151126+24=150947%2
7/14Sunday, July 144:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1533+26+0=155959%4
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14819+24=149641%1
7/13Saturday, July 138:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1532+10+0=154254%7
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1482+11+24=151746%5
7/12Friday, July 1210:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1531+14+3=154854%5
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1483+10+30=152346%3
7/7Sunday, July 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14434+0=143933%3
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+12+24=156667%4
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1442+6+0=144834%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1532+8+24=156466%4
7/5Friday, July 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1442+33=144233%0
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1531+7+24=156267%1
7/4Thursday, July 47 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1512+2+0=151440%6
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+30+24=158360%12
7/3Wednesday, July 37:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151512+0=150345%2
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152711+24=154055%9
7/2Tuesday, July 27:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+331=154548%2
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1528+9+23=156052%0
6/30Sunday, June 307 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1530+9+0=153951%5
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1503+9+24=153649%8
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+10+0=153955%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150427+24=150145%4
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1527+303=155448%6
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1506+43+23=157252%2
6/27Thursday, June 272:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15288+0=152049%7
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153329+24=152851%9
6/26Wednesday, June 268:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1527+11+0=153848%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15345+24=155352%3
6/25Tuesday, June 258:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1526+6+0=153250%3
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
153525+24=153450%2
6/24Monday, June 248:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+163=154149%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153311+24=154651%8
6/23Sunday, June 231:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1527+29+0=155656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
152635+24=151544%3
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1525+5+0=153048%13
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15289+24=154352%9
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1526+121=153746%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1527+12+24=156354%4
6/19Wednesday, June 197:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151115+0=149642%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1524+2+24=155058%7
6/18Tuesday, June 187:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1508+39+0=154746%10
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1527+21+24=157254%2
6/17Monday, June 177:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1510+13=150840%3
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1525+28+24=157760%12
6/16Sunday, June 161:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15237+0=151645%1
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1521+2+24=154755%15
6/15Saturday, June 157:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+25+0=154751%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15227+24=153949%5
6/14Friday, June 147:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152341=151846%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+5+24=155054%9
6/13Thursday, June 1312:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1483+3+0=148639%5
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1521+20+24=156561%6
6/12Wednesday, June 127:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148414+0=147035%7
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1520+34+24=157865%8
6/11Tuesday, June 117:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14851+0=148441%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1519+1+24=154459%7
6/10Monday, June 107:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1487+13=148544%7
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
151712+21=152656%13
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1516+3+0=151957%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1442+2+24=146843%6
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+15+0=153058%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1442+4+24=147042%0
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+303=154061%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1444+1+21=146639%1
6/6Thursday, June 612:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1516+3+0=151951%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14883+24=150949%6
6/5Wednesday, June 57:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15174+0=151351%4
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14862+24=150849%7
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+9+0=152454%12
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148917+26=149846%5
6/2Sunday, June 21:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1430+32+0=146238%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+12+24=155062%7
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1431+1+0=143232%5
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+29+24=156668%10
5/31Friday, May 317:20 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1428+161=144336%8
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1516+5+26=154764%2
5/29Wednesday, May 297:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151422+0=149242%14
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1520+2+24=154658%4
5/28Tuesday, May 287:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1513+203=153047%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+8+24=155353%4
5/26Sunday, May 267 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1520+10+0=153045%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1525+15+24=156455%3
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1522+24+0=154653%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152320+24=152747%6
5/24Friday, May 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
152014=151543%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+15+26=156657%2
5/23Thursday, May 233:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+3+0=152252%5
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1460+25+24=150948%4
5/22Wednesday, May 229:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1516+10+0=152655%9
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1462+4+24=149045%2
5/21Tuesday, May 219:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+10+0=152856%3
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14611+24=148444%4
5/20Monday, May 209:45 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1516+194=153157%4
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1462+1+21=148443%1
5/19Sunday, May 191:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+5+0=154250%3
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15171+24=154050%2
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+8+0=154650%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1516+4+24=154450%4
5/17Friday, May 177:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1540+103=154750%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1514+8+24=154650%12
5/16Thursday, May 167:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15308+0=152246%2
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1512+11+24=154754%10
5/15Wednesday, May 157:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15329+0=152346%0
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1510+15+24=154954%4
5/14Tuesday, May 147:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1528+10+0=153849%14
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1514+9+22=154551%3
5/12Sunday, May 124:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1512+10+0=152252%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151123+24=151248%3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+2+0=151350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151224+24=151250%4
5/10Friday, May 109:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1510+8+0=151843%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1514+28+24=156657%1
5/9Thursday, May 99:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1511+122=152148%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15132+20=153152%3
5/8Wednesday, May 810:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1512+14+0=152639%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1569+12+24=160561%9
5/7Tuesday, May 710:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+18+0=153341%0
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1567+3+24=159459%9
5/6Monday, May 610:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1516+44=151637%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1566+18+23=160763%5
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+4+0=151959%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1425+4+24=145341%1
5/4Saturday, May 46:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+6+0=151960%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14271+24=145040%2
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+73=151559%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14281+26=145341%2
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1485+12+0=149742%11
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+18+24=155758%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14867+0=147940%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1513+14+24=155160%5
4/30Tuesday, April 307:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1485+20+0=150545%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+5+24=154355%3
4/29Monday, April 297:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148613=148242%1
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+0+24=153758%3
4/28Sunday, April 281:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
151311+0=150244%7
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1513+10+24=154756%8
4/27Saturday, April 277:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15111+0=151043%9
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1515+21+24=156057%5
4/26Friday, April 267:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1508141=149341%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1517+17+22=155659%4
4/25Thursday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+3+0=152147%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+24=154653%4
4/24Wednesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
15175+0=151250%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14955+24=151450%1
4/23Tuesday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+15+0=153352%6
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+5+22=152048%7
4/21Sunday, April 217 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+17+0=153246%11
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155011+24=156354%5
4/20Saturday, April 207:50 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
1514+0+0=151439%8
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+20+24=159561%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+51=152043%4
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15498+25=156657%8
4/18Thursday, April 1812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149912+0=148744%4
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
151813+24=152956%1
4/17Wednesday, April 177:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
149810+0=148841%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+10+24=155359%2
4/16Tuesday, April 167:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+172=151143%9
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+17+26=156457%6
4/14Sunday, April 147 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+48+0=157454%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1519+6+24=154946%7
4/13Saturday, April 137:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152830+0=149844%7
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15175+24=153656%11
4/12Friday, April 127:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1526+0+0=152648%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15195+24=153852%2
4/11Thursday, April 117:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1524173=150443%6
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1521+11+23=155557%3
4/9Tuesday, April 98:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1519+10+0=152946%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1504+28+24=155654%1
4/8Monday, April 88:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1517+83=152245%8
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1506+25+24=155555%6
4/7Sunday, April 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+6+0=144237%3
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15167+24=153363%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1434+7+0=144138%4
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151815+24=152762%2
4/5Friday, April 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+11=143534%0
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1517+7+24=154866%4
4/4Thursday, April 47:20 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15174+0=151346%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+2+24=154154%9
4/3Wednesday, April 37 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1518+2+2=152246%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+11+26=155154%6
4/1Monday, April 17 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1521+183=153651%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15114+21=152849%8
3/31Sunday, March 317 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151311+0=150244%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15224+24=154256%5
3/30Saturday, March 304:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15146+2=151046%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15219+26=153854%8
3/28Thursday, March 283:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+103=152341%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+46+24=158959%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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