Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have a 48% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1520, up 5 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals83-6686%60%
CubsCubs81-682.066%30%
BrewersBrewers80-693.048%10%
RedsReds70-8013.5<1%
PiratesPirates65-8518.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1472+213=149043%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15204+22=153857%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1472+22+0=149443%
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1520+0+24=154457%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1472+15+0=148742%
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1520+0+24=154458%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 194:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1472+9+0=148142%
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
15208+24=153658%
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
147412=147140%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1520+1+24=154560%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1474+0+0=147441%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15204+24=154059%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147414+0=146038%
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1520+0+24=154462%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1520+0+0=152045%
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+29+26=155355%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
15208+0=151252%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149827+24=149548%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2612:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1520+1+0=152147%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+18+24=154053%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
152013=151654%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
148013+21=148846%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15201+0=151954%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
148013+24=149146%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15201+0=151954%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
148013+24=149146%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
15191+0=151846%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154524+24=154554%6
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
15169+0=150736%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1547+37+24=160864%2
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1519+53=152145%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15449+21=155655%10
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1519+1+0=152059%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1430+6+24=146041%2
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15173+0=151458%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1431+5+24=146042%5
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
15171+0=151660%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14319+24=144640%3
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1515113=150157%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14339+24=144843%3
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153414+0=152047%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1513+3+24=154053%8
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+12+0=154752%2
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15121+24=153548%3
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1538+1+0=153951%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15105+24=152949%7
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1536+6+1=154351%10
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+0+26=153849%5
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1588+8+0=159661%2
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151012+24=152239%4
9/2Monday, Sept. 24 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+342=162062%3
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1511+1+23=153538%2
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15091+0=150847%4
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153528+24=153153%0
8/31Saturday, Aug. 312:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15077+0=150041%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+1+24=156259%0
8/30Friday, Aug. 302:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1509+6+1=151644%1
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1535+5+21=156156%7
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 282:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1540+34+0=157458%1
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150715+24=151642%4
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1539+2+0=154151%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1509+0+24=153349%3
8/26Monday, Aug. 267 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153592=152447%12
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1512+6+24=154253%2
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+17+0=152549%5
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15147+24=153151%2
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1510+18+0=152848%0
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+2+24=153852%4
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151292=150148%1
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151022+24=151252%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1508+0+0=150844%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15304+24=155056%3
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1510+6+0=151648%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152823+24=152952%9
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
151263=150346%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152715+22=153454%3
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1515+15+0=153051%8
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154241+24=152549%16
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151420+0=149441%15
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
154313+24=155459%14
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1514121=150139%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1543+9+26=157861%2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1538+1+0=153949%5
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1513+9+24=154651%6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153628+0=150843%7
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1515+14+26=155557%5
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+32+0=151250%1
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151625+24=151550%0
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
148117+0=146442%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151520+24=151958%3
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
148221+0=146138%5
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1514+10+24=154862%6
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
151219+0=149346%8
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1479+16+24=151954%3
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1511+17+0=152853%4
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1480+4+24=150847%3
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1509242=148346%9
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
1482+3+24=150954%7
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151117+0=149440%2
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+3+24=156260%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1513+9+0=152243%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1534+16+24=157457%4
8/2Friday, Aug. 22:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
151444=150645%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
153210+22=154455%6
8/1Thursday, Aug. 13:37 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1516+14+0=153049%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
153421+24=153751%5
7/31Wednesday, July 3110:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151429+0=148540%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15355+24=155460%2
7/30Tuesday, July 3010:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1515242=148940%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1534+2+26=156260%3
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15319+0=152247%11
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1518+2+24=154453%4
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15329+0=152346%3
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1516+13+24=155354%5
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+162=154750%2
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1515+6+26=154750%3
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Sims, Lucas
Sims
150833+0=147542%4
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15147+24=153158%5
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15059+0=149642%14
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1518+8+24=155058%6
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1503+152=151645%6
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1519+12+20=155155%5
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+27+0=154551%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15172+24=153949%4
7/20Saturday, July 208:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1515+4+0=151941%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1520+36+24=158059%3
7/19Friday, July 199:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15173+0=151451%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151838+24=150449%10
7/18Thursday, July 189:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1514+44=151447%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15204+21=153753%1
7/17Wednesday, July 172:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1533+12+0=154550%4
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1513+7+24=154450%5
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
153611+0=152545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1510+25+24=155955%13
7/15Monday, July 158:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1535+14=153253%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151126+24=150947%2
7/14Sunday, July 142:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
147010+0=146039%8
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15142+24=153661%3
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1470+23+0=149343%4
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1513+2+24=153957%5
7/12Friday, July 128:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
14683+3=146838%10
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1516+7+29=155262%7
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1517+7+0=152448%5
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1502+10+24=153652%6
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152020+0=150047%2
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14994+24=151953%12
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
151912=151650%7
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
15006+24=151850%6
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1520+24+0=154449%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1510+17+24=155151%1
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15212+0=151948%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1508+1+24=153352%3
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1522+7+0=152949%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1507+4+24=153551%5
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1521162=150348%8
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150817+24=151552%6
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14979+0=148842%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15201+24=154358%2
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14985+0=149340%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1519+21+24=156460%3
6/28Friday, June 288 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
149753=148942%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15201+24=154358%2
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1478+11+0=148942%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1519+6+24=154958%4
6/26Wednesday, June 268 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1477+6+0=148343%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152111+24=153457%2
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1474+142=148640%8
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1524+4+26=155460%3
6/23Sunday, June 232:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15129+0=150341%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+19+24=156559%7
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1514+23+0=153749%5
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1521+2+24=154751%6
6/21Friday, June 218:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1511+2+0=151344%11
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1524+6+24=155456%7
6/20Thursday, June 208 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
150822=150443%7
MILMILBrewers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
1527+10+20=155757%1
6/19Wednesday, June 193:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+0=153754%7
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1484+5+24=151346%8
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1530+18+0=154856%1
SDSDPadres
Allen, Logan
Allen
14813+24=150244%4
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1531+02=152953%0
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1480+8+21=150947%2
6/16Sunday, June 164:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1530+6+0=153657%5
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1455+6+24=148543%3
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
1531+9+0=154055%7
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1454+28+24=150645%8
6/14Friday, June 1410:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1533+112=154261%3
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
145212+26=146639%5
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1531+14+0=154535%6
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+41+24=165065%3
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
153271=152439%8
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15845+26=160561%10
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148817+0=147138%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1531+3+24=155862%5
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14895+0=148438%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1530+13+24=156762%5
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Davis, Rookie
Davis
1491332=145635%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1528+11+24=156365%10
6/6Thursday, June 62:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1446+11+0=145738%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152710+24=154162%5
6/5Wednesday, June 57:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144212+0=143031%8
MILMILBrewers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
1530+15+24=156969%3
6/4Tuesday, June 47:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
143532=143031%16
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1537+7+24=156869%0
6/2Sunday, June 21:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1536+11+0=154755%4
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14905+24=150945%2
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1535+16+0=155160%12
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149136+24=147940%10
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1537+3+0=154055%4
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14895+24=150845%9
5/30Thursday, May 307:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1535+61=154054%11
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1491+1+22=151446%5
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+5+0=154249%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
154523+24=154651%5
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1535+12=153447%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154717+24=155453%4
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1530+1+0=153145%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1533+9+24=156655%9
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15272+0=152544%7
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1535+9+24=156856%2
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152541=152043%6
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1537+8+26=157157%4
5/22Wednesday, May 221:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+29+0=153344%9
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1536+12+24=157256%11
5/21Tuesday, May 217:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15023+0=149941%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1538+0+23=156159%0
5/19Sunday, May 191:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+5+0=154250%3
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15171+24=154050%2
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+8+0=154650%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1516+4+24=154450%4
5/17Friday, May 177:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1540+103=154750%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1514+8+24=154650%12
5/16Thursday, May 161:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+12+0=154950%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+1+24=155050%3
5/15Wednesday, May 157:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1535+1+0=153649%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15275+24=154651%2
5/14Tuesday, May 147:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1533+2+0=153547%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
1529+3+24=155653%1
5/13Monday, May 137 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1534143=151742%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+21=157558%7
5/12Sunday, May 127 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1536+10+0=154647%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1536+5+24=156553%4
5/11Saturday, May 112:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+10+0=154747%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+7+24=156653%2
5/10Friday, May 102:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1534+0+1=153546%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+0+24=156254%0
5/8Wednesday, May 81:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151929+0=149041%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15321+24=155559%7
5/7Tuesday, May 77:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1521+14+0=153550%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153019+24=153550%6
5/6Monday, May 67:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1523+303=155048%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1528+13+24=156552%5
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151526+0=148940%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+11+24=156360%3
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+8+0=152446%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15272+24=154954%4
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1517153=149943%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1525+0+24=154957%3
5/2Thursday, May 21:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15124+0=150844%11
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+0+24=155256%6
5/1Wednesday, May 17:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150912+0=149743%11
MILMILBrewers
Barnes, Jacob
Barnes
153111+24=154457%4
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1510+30+0=154047%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+10+24=156453%4
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1512+213=153046%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+21=155854%5
4/28Sunday, April 281:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15304+0=152650%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151615+24=152550%5
4/27Saturday, April 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15294+0=152546%8
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1518+11+24=155354%6
4/26Friday, April 267:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1525+131=153742%10
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+48+26=159558%2
4/24Wednesday, April 241:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1527+13+0=154049%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153614+24=154651%5
4/23Tuesday, April 237:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+0=153747%3
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1535+0+24=155953%4
4/22Monday, April 227:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1530122=151643%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1532+9+24=156557%13
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+11+0=157654%6
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15314+24=155146%5
4/20Saturday, April 207:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15685+0=156350%0
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1529+7+24=156050%5
4/19Friday, April 198:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15669+0=155749%5
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+12+24=156651%3
4/18Thursday, April 188:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1565204=154147%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1532+6+24=156253%1
4/17Wednesday, April 171:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15285+0=152349%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153430+24=152851%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+15+0=154549%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15323+24=155351%8
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1532192=151144%7
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+20=155256%10
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1532+17+0=154947%1
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155911+24=157253%7
4/13Saturday, April 139:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1531+1+0=153247%4
LADLADDodgers
Ferguson, Caleb
Ferguson
156130+24=155553%1
4/12Friday, April 1210:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
152823+1=150641%8
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
156315+20=156859%5
4/10Wednesday, April 1010:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15309+0=152147%2
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1506+10+24=154053%4
4/9Tuesday, April 910:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1532+8+0=154053%8
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150413+24=151547%11
4/8Monday, April 810:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1533+174=154652%2
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1503+5+24=153248%5
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1516+13+0=152946%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15322+24=155454%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1513+8+0=152147%14
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153517+24=154253%8
4/5Friday, April 58:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1515+23=151445%10
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
153310+24=154755%13
4/3Wednesday, April 312:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15324+0=152848%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+23+24=154052%0
4/2Tuesday, April 26:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1531+16+0=154754%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1494+0+24=151846%3
4/1Monday, April 16:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
153022=152651%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14951+24=151849%3
3/31Sunday, March 312:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15253+0=152248%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
152915+24=153852%5
3/30Saturday, March 307:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152717+0=151045%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
152810+24=154255%4
3/29Friday, March 298:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1524+10+0=153447%9
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+24=155653%5
3/28Thursday, March 282:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+202=154346%4
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1529+16+24=156954%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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