Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have a 67% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1538, up 5 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers28-211.067%38%
CubsCubs27-1865%38%
CardinalsCardinals24-234.039%16%
PiratesPirates24-202.518%6%
RedsReds21-267.09%3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15023+0=149941%
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1538+0+23=156159%
5/22Wednesday, May 221:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+30+0=153244%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1538+12+24=157456%
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152751=152143%
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1538+7+26=157157%
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15274+0=152343%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+7+24=156957%
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1527+0+0=152744%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+7+24=156956%
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1538+02=153649%
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
153716+24=154551%
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1538+12+0=155050%
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153712+24=154950%
5/30Thursday, May 307:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1538+71=154454%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14971+22=151846%
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+7+0=154554%
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14975+24=151646%
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
6/2Sunday, June 21:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+02=142231%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156469%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156469%
6/6Thursday, June 62:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156469%
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149440%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+21=153939%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+26=161561%
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161360%
6/14Friday, June 1410:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153857%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+26=148943%
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148742%
6/16Sunday, June 164:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148742%
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153855%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+21=150545%
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150845%
6/19Wednesday, June 193:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150845%
6/20Thursday, June 208:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150041%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156059%
6/21Friday, June 218:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
6/23Sunday, June 232:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148338%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156662%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149340%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
7/12Friday, July 128:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+3=146636%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+29=156964%
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146336%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
7/14Sunday, July 142:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146336%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
7/15Monday, July 158:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+34=151743%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156457%
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152144%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
7/17Wednesday, July 172:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152144%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
7/18Thursday, July 189:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+24=153651%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+21=153149%
7/19Friday, July 199:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153449%
7/20Saturday, July 208:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153449%
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153449%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150041%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156059%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+02=153646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156654%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153846%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153846%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
7/30Tuesday, July 3010:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153849%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+26=154351%
7/31Wednesday, July 3110:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154050%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154150%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 13:37 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154050%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154150%
8/2Friday, Aug. 22:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+24=153647%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+22=156053%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156253%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156253%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156462%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156462%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147638%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156462%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153746%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156654%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 142:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153746%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+21=153950%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+26=154150%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154050%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153950%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154050%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153950%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153749%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+22=154751%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154049%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154951%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154049%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154951%
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150842%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156458%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151042%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156458%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151042%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156458%
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152612=152344%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152544%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 282:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152544%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
8/30Friday, Aug. 302:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+1=154147%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+21=155953%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 312:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156253%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156253%
9/2Monday, Sept. 24 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+02=158753%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+23=156347%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158954%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156446%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+1=153946%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156654%
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153846%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153846%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153846%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156454%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154063%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144837%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154063%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144837%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154063%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144837%
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153749%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+21=154651%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154049%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154951%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154049%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154951%
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148139%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+22=156261%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 194:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148439%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149440%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+26=152848%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2612:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153751%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+21=153149%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153449%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153449%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/19Sunday, May 191:20 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+5+0=154250%3
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15171+24=154050%2
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+8+0=154650%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1516+4+24=154450%4
5/17Friday, May 177:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1540+103=154750%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1514+8+24=154650%12
5/16Thursday, May 161:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+12+0=154950%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+1+24=155050%3
5/15Wednesday, May 157:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1535+1+0=153649%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15275+24=154651%2
5/14Tuesday, May 147:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1533+2+0=153547%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
1529+3+24=155653%1
5/13Monday, May 137 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1534143=151742%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+21=157558%7
5/12Sunday, May 127 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1536+10+0=154647%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1536+5+24=156553%4
5/11Saturday, May 112:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+10+0=154747%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+7+24=156653%2
5/10Friday, May 102:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1534+0+1=153546%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+0+24=156254%0
5/8Wednesday, May 81:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151929+0=149041%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15321+24=155559%7
5/7Tuesday, May 77:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1521+14+0=153550%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153019+24=153550%6
5/6Monday, May 67:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1523+303=155048%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1528+13+24=156552%5
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151526+0=148940%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+11+24=156360%3
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+8+0=152446%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15272+24=154954%4
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1517153=149943%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1525+0+24=154957%3
5/2Thursday, May 21:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15124+0=150844%11
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+0+24=155256%6
5/1Wednesday, May 17:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150912+0=149743%11
MILMILBrewers
Barnes, Jacob
Barnes
153111+24=154457%4
4/30Tuesday, April 307:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1510+30+0=154047%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+10+24=156453%4
4/29Monday, April 297:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1512+213=153046%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+21=155854%5
4/28Sunday, April 281:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15304+0=152650%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151615+24=152550%5
4/27Saturday, April 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15294+0=152546%8
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1518+11+24=155354%6
4/26Friday, April 267:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1525+131=153742%10
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+48+26=159558%2
4/24Wednesday, April 241:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1527+13+0=154049%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153614+24=154651%5
4/23Tuesday, April 237:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+0=153747%3
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1535+0+24=155953%4
4/22Monday, April 227:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1530122=151643%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1532+9+24=156557%13
4/21Sunday, April 212:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+11+0=157654%6
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15314+24=155146%5
4/20Saturday, April 207:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15685+0=156350%0
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1529+7+24=156050%5
4/19Friday, April 198:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15669+0=155749%5
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1530+12+24=156651%3
4/18Thursday, April 188:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1565204=154147%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1532+6+24=156253%1
4/17Wednesday, April 171:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15285+0=152349%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153430+24=152851%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+15+0=154549%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15323+24=155351%8
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1532192=151144%7
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+20=155256%10
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1532+17+0=154947%1
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155911+24=157253%7
4/13Saturday, April 139:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1531+1+0=153247%4
LADLADDodgers
Ferguson, Caleb
Ferguson
156130+24=155553%1
4/12Friday, April 1210:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
152823+1=150641%8
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
156315+20=156859%5
4/10Wednesday, April 1010:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15309+0=152147%2
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1506+10+24=154053%4
4/9Tuesday, April 910:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1532+8+0=154053%8
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150413+24=151547%11
4/8Monday, April 810:07 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1533+174=154652%2
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1503+5+24=153248%5
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1516+13+0=152946%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15322+24=155454%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1513+8+0=152147%14
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153517+24=154253%8
4/5Friday, April 58:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1515+23=151445%10
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
153310+24=154755%13
4/3Wednesday, April 312:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15324+0=152848%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+23+24=154052%0
4/2Tuesday, April 26:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1531+16+0=154754%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1494+0+24=151846%3
4/1Monday, April 16:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
153022=152651%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14951+24=151849%3
3/31Sunday, March 312:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15253+0=152248%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
152915+24=153852%5
3/30Saturday, March 307:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152717+0=151045%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
152810+24=154255%4
3/29Friday, March 298:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1524+10+0=153447%9
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+24=155653%5
3/28Thursday, March 282:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+202=154346%4
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1529+16+24=156954%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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