Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cardinals have a 96% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1546, up 2 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals86-6796%83%
BrewersBrewers83-703.073%9%
CubsCubs82-714.032%7%
RedsReds72-8114.0
PiratesPirates65-8821.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/20Friday, Sept. 202:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154623+0=152346%
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
153812+24=155054%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 212:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15466+0=154048%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15386+24=155652%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
15462+0=154444%
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1538+24+24=158656%
9/23Monday, Sept. 239:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154654=153751%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15115+22=152849%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 249:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1546+38+0=158460%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151118+24=151740%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 253:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154623+0=152349%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15115+24=153051%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
153863=152945%
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15466+23=156355%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1538+24+0=156249%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
15462+24=156851%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153820+0=151843%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15465+24=156557%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1545+352=157849%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1539+21+24=158451%4
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 181:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1554+35+0=158954%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15436+24=156146%5
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1552+11+0=156349%6
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1545+0+24=156951%2
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1553+183=156851%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15436+24=156149%4
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
15191+0=151846%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154524+24=154554%6
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
15169+0=150736%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1547+37+24=160864%2
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1519+53=152145%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15449+21=155655%10
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1542+2+0=154457%10
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
14786+24=149643%3
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15436+0=153758%1
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
147723+24=147842%2
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1544241=151956%1
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
147519+23=147944%2
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1543+35+0=157860%2
PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
1479+1+24=150440%0
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154010+0=153051%10
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1482+14+24=152049%1
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1543+33=154357%4
PITPITPirates
McRae, Alex
McRae
147911+24=149243%9
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:15 p.m.SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
14791+0=147839%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15407+24=155761%10
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:45 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1478+34+0=151245%9
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154122+24=154355%8
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:45 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
14795+0=147433%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1541+31+24=159667%1
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
1480184=145837%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154012+24=155263%3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+19+0=151744%5
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
15416+24=155956%3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149920+0=147937%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1541+5+24=157063%4
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1500+29+0=152948%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154022+24=154252%3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 311:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1502+61=150743%6
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15387+27=155857%10
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 282:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1540+34+0=157458%1
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150715+24=151642%4
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1539+2+0=154151%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1509+0+24=153349%3
8/26Monday, Aug. 267 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153592=152447%12
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1512+6+24=154253%2
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
149118+0=147341%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153320+24=153759%11
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
149320+0=147340%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153110+24=154560%6
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149516+0=147935%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+32+24=158665%8
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:45 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1496+273=152044%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+5+24=155856%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1508+0+0=150844%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15304+24=155056%3
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1510+6+0=151648%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152823+24=152952%9
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
151263=150346%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152715+22=153454%3
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1526+32+0=155855%5
CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
15059+24=152045%4
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1528+9+0=153753%1
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150310+24=151747%6
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15253+0=152245%13
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1506+27+24=155755%4
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1525243=149843%1
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+23+22=155057%2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152319+0=150453%6
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1440+18+24=148247%0
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1522+28+0=155065%2
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144118+23=144635%0
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1474+7+0=148139%9
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1521+16+24=156161%11
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1475+6+0=148142%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15204+24=154058%3
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1477+81=148444%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
151918+22=152356%6
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 73:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1520+24+0=154445%1
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
158938+24=157555%2
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 610:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1521+16+0=153738%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1588+8+24=162062%3
8/5Monday, Aug. 510:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1523162=150541%0
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158639+24=157159%8
8/4Sunday, Aug. 44:07 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15243+0=152144%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15371+24=156056%4
8/3Saturday, Aug. 39:07 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1526162=150840%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1535+19+26=158060%8
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15346+0=152845%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+17+24=156455%8
7/31Wednesday, July 318 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+17+0=155048%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+14+24=156352%0
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534+3+0=153749%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15244+26=154651%2
7/28Sunday, July 282:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15763+0=157355%6
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152510+24=153945%2
7/27Saturday, July 277:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+30+0=160457%8
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1527+7+24=155843%2
7/26Friday, July 268:15 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1576321=154348%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1526+13+21=156052%5
7/25Thursday, July 2512:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1524+13+0=153751%6
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1491+14+24=152949%3
7/24Wednesday, July 247:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15224+0=151852%14
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149314+24=150348%8
7/23Tuesday, July 237:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152110+0=151149%4
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1494+2+24=152051%3
7/22Monday, July 227:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1520+102=152850%6
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1495+8+24=152750%5
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1519+12+0=153152%3
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150510+24=151948%1
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1520+13+0=153347%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+25+24=155353%3
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1519+2+0=152152%12
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150525+24=150448%11
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1517102=150548%7
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15067+22=152152%4
7/17Wednesday, July 171:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1498+3+0=150142%5
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1516+17+24=155758%6
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14961+0=149543%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1518+6+24=154857%1
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1499+122=150945%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+7+24=154655%7
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1515+40+0=155553%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15142+24=153647%5
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15173+0=151448%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
151210+24=152652%4
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+6+4=152546%4
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1514+15+27=155654%2
7/7Sunday, July 74:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1515+6+0=152154%0
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1467+5+24=149646%1
7/6Saturday, July 610:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+14+0=153152%4
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+26+24=151548%8
7/5Friday, July 510:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
151573=150554%9
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146711+24=148046%4
7/4Thursday, July 44:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
151410+0=150450%5
SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1474+4+24=150250%4
7/3Wednesday, July 310:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15123+0=150950%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1476+11+24=151150%2
7/2Tuesday, July 210:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1513+71=151952%4
SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1475+9+22=150648%5
6/30Sunday, June 304:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1512+13+0=152550%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1489+9+24=152250%3
6/29Saturday, June 2910:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1515+1+0=151650%2
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1486+9+24=151950%12
6/28Friday, June 2810:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1517132=150249%1
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1485+0+22=150751%3
6/26Wednesday, June 267:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15226+0=151647%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15187+24=153553%0
6/25Tuesday, June 258:15 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1520+52=152345%7
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1520+11+26=155755%3
6/23Sunday, June 237 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1504+7+0=151144%6
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1522+10+24=155656%4
6/22Saturday, June 222:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Ramirez, Noe
Ramirez
15056+0=149944%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15215+24=154056%4
6/21Friday, June 218 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1507+173=152149%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
151916+24=152751%5
6/20Thursday, June 207:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144018+0=142234%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15207+24=153766%6
6/19Wednesday, June 198:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1441+0+0=144135%1
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1520+5+24=154965%2
6/18Tuesday, June 188:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
14376+0=143132%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+14+24=156168%0
6/17Monday, June 178:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1438183=141731%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1522+11+21=155469%5
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15211+0=152049%4
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151111+24=152451%3
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152211+0=151146%7
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+8+24=154254%8
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1520+4+0=152451%9
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151216+24=152049%5
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1519+143=153043%5
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1513+37+25=157557%4
6/12Wednesday, June 127:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1523+14+0=153763%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
143715+24=144637%9
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15218+0=151360%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
143922+24=144140%1
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1520143=150356%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14416+24=145944%1
6/9Sunday, June 97 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15216+0=151541%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+19+24=158059%5
6/8Saturday, June 87:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1524+19+0=154348%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15346+24=155252%9
6/7Friday, June 72:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+152=153847%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1533+3+24=156053%3
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150716+2=149344%1
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152412+26=153856%3
6/4Tuesday, June 48:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1505+22+0=152749%4
STLSTLCardinals
Cabrera, Genesis
Cabrera
152520+26=153151%1
6/2Sunday, June 22:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1531+1+0=153250%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152413+24=153550%2
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1533+0+0=153345%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+19+24=156655%7
5/31Friday, May 318:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534141=151945%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1522+14+21=155755%2
5/30Thursday, May 301:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152016+0=150444%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15308+24=154656%3
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Cabrera, Genesis
Cabrera
152213+0=150940%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+24=157860%11
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1523131=150947%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152720+23=153053%4
5/26Sunday, May 267 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1520+10+0=153045%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1525+15+24=156455%3
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1522+24+0=154653%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152320+24=152747%6
5/24Friday, May 248:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
152014=151543%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+15+26=156657%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:45 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145218+0=143436%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15239+24=153864%10
5/22Wednesday, May 221:15 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+13+1=146339%8
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15268+26=154461%2
5/19Sunday, May 193:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1527+13+0=154055%4
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1474+7+24=150545%5
5/18Saturday, May 184 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152528+0=149751%8
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147612+24=148849%2
5/17Friday, May 178:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1527+233=154758%3
TEXTEXRangers
Leclerc, Jose
Leclerc
14745+22=149142%7
5/16Thursday, May 167:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15308+0=152246%2
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1512+11+24=154754%10
5/15Wednesday, May 157:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15329+0=152346%0
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1510+15+24=154954%4
5/14Tuesday, May 147:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1528+10+0=153849%14
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1514+9+22=154551%3
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149325+0=146842%10
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153031+24=152358%6
5/11Saturday, May 112:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149121+0=147035%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1532+19+24=157565%1
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+17+0=150744%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153311+24=154656%1
5/9Thursday, May 97:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
149313=148942%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15306+24=154858%17
5/8Wednesday, May 81:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15231+0=152243%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1533+13+24=157057%0
5/7Tuesday, May 77:45 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+27+0=154751%11
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153622+24=153849%1
5/6Monday, May 68 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152253=151442%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1534+14+22=157058%6
5/5Sunday, May 57 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153611+0=152545%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1534+1+24=155955%13
5/4Saturday, May 44:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15374+0=153348%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153313+24=154452%6
5/3Friday, May 32:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1539+113=154749%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+1+22=155451%4
5/2Thursday, May 24:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
154029+0=151143%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1524+12+24=156057%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1538+12+0=155045%5
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1526+32+24=158255%1
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153711+0=152649%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152720+24=153151%2
4/29Monday, April 297:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153533=152944%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1529+19+24=157256%3
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+5+0=150341%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1534+9+24=156759%5
4/27Saturday, April 272:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149923+0=147643%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153229+24=152757%6
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149482=148436%12
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1537+17+26=158064%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:15 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1527+13+0=154049%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153614+24=154651%5
4/23Tuesday, April 237:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+9+0=153747%3
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1535+0+24=155953%4
4/22Monday, April 227:45 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1530122=151643%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1532+9+24=156557%13
4/21Sunday, April 212:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1521+16+0=153751%4
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153126+24=152949%6
4/20Saturday, April 202:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
152267+0=145534%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+15+24=156866%10
4/19Friday, April 198:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1521301=149042%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15309+24=154558%4
4/17Wednesday, April 171:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15285+0=152349%6
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153430+24=152851%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+15+0=154549%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15323+24=155351%8
4/15Monday, April 157:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1532192=151144%7
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+20=155256%10
4/14Sunday, April 144 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+14+0=154458%9
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14947+0=148742%5
4/13Saturday, April 137:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153213+0=151955%2
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14938+2=148745%5
4/11Thursday, April 111:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1566+24+0=159055%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15302+24=155245%11
4/10Wednesday, April 107:45 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156810+0=155850%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1528+8+24=156050%7
4/9Tuesday, April 97:45 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
157012+0=155854%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152623+24=152746%4
4/8Monday, April 87:45 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
157123=156651%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1524+13+24=156149%4
4/7Sunday, April 72:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
14879+0=147843%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152317+24=153057%4
4/6Saturday, April 62:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1486+3+0=148942%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15251+24=154858%4
4/5Friday, April 54:15 p.m.SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1484+32=148540%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1527+9+23=155960%3
4/3Wednesday, April 37:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+17+2=154450%5
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+20+26=154550%4
4/1Monday, April 11 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1524162=150647%6
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1500+2+22=152453%5
3/31Sunday, March 312:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15253+0=152248%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
152915+24=153852%5
3/30Saturday, March 307:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152717+0=151045%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
152810+24=154255%4
3/29Friday, March 298:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1524+10+0=153447%9
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1530+2+24=155653%5
3/28Thursday, March 282:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+202=154346%4
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1529+16+24=156954%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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