Updated Oct. 20, 2019 at 12:49 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cubs are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals91-71
BrewersBrewers89-732.0
CubsCubs84-787.0
RedsReds75-8716.0
PiratesPirates69-9322.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Holland, Derek
Holland
153223+0=150936%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1544+45+24=161364%9
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
15315+0=152645%8
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15459+24=156055%6
9/27Friday, Sept. 278 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
152853=152044%8
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15488+23=156356%2
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
153010+0=152051%5
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1468+19+24=151149%9
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153121+0=151055%2
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
146712+24=147945%4
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1535+18+0=155361%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14639+24=147839%9
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
15481+0=154745%3
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1536+24+24=158455%2
9/21Saturday, Sept. 212:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15476+0=154148%9
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15376+24=155552%8
9/20Friday, Sept. 202:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154623+0=152346%2
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
153812+24=155054%1
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1545+352=157849%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1539+21+24=158451%4
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149827+0=147140%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
154121+24=154460%2
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1497+30+0=152741%4
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1542+23+24=158959%2
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1498274=146737%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
15413+24=156263%8
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1476+7+0=148339%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156161%16
9/14Saturday, Sept. 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
1479+6+0=148537%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+19+24=157963%14
9/13Friday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1482+114=148943%8
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153317+20=153657%17
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1532+17+0=154955%4
SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1477+12+24=151345%1
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
15343+0=153152%0
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1475+16+24=151548%4
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1535+5+0=154056%8
SDSDPadres
Bolanos, Ronald
Bolanos
1474+3+24=150144%9
9/9Monday, Sept. 910:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+194=154858%10
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14766+24=149442%2
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153414+0=152047%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1513+3+24=154053%8
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+12+0=154752%2
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15121+24=153548%3
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1538+1+0=153951%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15105+24=152949%7
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1536+6+1=154351%10
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+0+26=153849%5
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
146814+0=145438%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153418+24=154062%6
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:20 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
146933=146335%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+14+24=157165%5
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15091+0=150847%4
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153528+24=153153%0
8/31Saturday, Aug. 312:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15077+0=150041%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+1+24=156259%0
8/30Friday, Aug. 302:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1509+6+1=151644%1
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1535+5+21=156156%7
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153218+0=151439%4
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+47+24=159261%1
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+21+0=155249%10
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1522+14+24=156051%7
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1529+81=153649%5
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15244+26=154651%2
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1556+11+0=156752%7
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1530+1+24=155548%5
8/24Saturday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
155421+0=153345%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1533+8+24=156555%2
8/23Friday, Aug. 232:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1551182=153148%9
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153515+24=154452%3
8/22Thursday, Aug. 222:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1483+19+0=150240%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1535+15+24=157460%1
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1483+4+0=148738%11
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534+12+24=157062%12
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
1484182=146437%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1533+1+24=155863%5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 187 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1531+3+0=153460%7
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147712+0=146540%1
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153016+0=151451%2
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1478+3+24=150549%0
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+132=154255%2
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1477+6+22=150545%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1532+9+0=154153%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15078+24=152347%7
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+13+0=154948%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+36+24=156452%11
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1537+1+0=153851%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1502+4+22=152849%4
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153516+0=151944%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1512+24+24=156056%3
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1538+23+0=156152%1
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1509+18+24=155148%10
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1540+6+0=154650%2
CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1507+14+24=154550%5
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+182=155353%12
CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
15105+26=153147%5
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 72:20 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
154019+0=152146%1
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15358+24=155154%10
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15375+0=153247%11
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153810+24=155253%4
8/5Monday, Aug. 58 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1538+54=153944%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+19+24=158056%6
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151117+0=149440%2
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+3+24=156260%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1513+9+0=152243%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1534+16+24=157457%4
8/2Friday, Aug. 22:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
151444=150645%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
153210+22=154455%6
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15346+0=152845%0
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+17+24=156455%8
7/31Wednesday, July 318 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+17+0=155048%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+14+24=156352%0
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534+3+0=153749%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15244+26=154651%2
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15319+0=152247%11
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1518+2+24=154453%4
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15329+0=152346%3
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1516+13+24=155354%5
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+162=154750%2
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1515+6+26=154750%3
7/24Wednesday, July 243:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153230+0=150249%4
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
1486+2+24=151251%1
7/23Tuesday, July 239:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1533+6+0=153951%4
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1485+24+24=153349%5
7/22Monday, July 229:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
1534154=151553%4
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
148413+24=149547%5
7/21Sunday, July 212:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Morejon, Adrian
Morejon
14752+0=147336%5
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+15+24=157664%1
7/20Saturday, July 202:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1476+12+0=148840%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15364+24=155660%6
7/19Friday, July 192:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1477+53=147939%5
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15357+26=155461%6
7/17Wednesday, July 172:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1508+14+0=152245%2
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534+0+24=155855%5
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15099+0=150044%3
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
153317+24=154056%4
7/15Monday, July 158:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1507+263=153044%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1535+15+24=157456%3
7/14Sunday, July 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1501+18+0=151945%3
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15334+24=155355%8
7/13Saturday, July 132:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150310+0=149342%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15316+24=154958%10
7/12Friday, July 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15033+5=150543%3
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15305+30=155557%4
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1532+18+0=155060%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14638+24=147940%3
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15305+0=152550%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+35+26=152550%3
7/4Thursday, July 44 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15275+0=152250%11
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
15033+24=152450%3
7/3Wednesday, July 37:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15285+0=152350%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15024+24=152250%6
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1530+20+0=155053%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1500+6+24=153047%5
7/1Monday, July 17 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1534202=151246%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+20+22=153854%18
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15357+0=152851%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150712+24=151949%8
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
153211+0=152146%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1510+18+24=155254%0
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1534+202=155253%3
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1508+0+22=153047%6
6/27Thursday, June 272:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15288+0=152049%7
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153329+24=152851%9
6/26Wednesday, June 268:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1527+11+0=153848%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15345+24=155352%3
6/25Tuesday, June 258:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1526+6+0=153250%3
CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
153525+24=153450%2
6/24Monday, June 248:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+163=154149%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153311+24=154651%8
6/23Sunday, June 232:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1512+42+0=155447%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1532+20+24=157653%5
6/22Saturday, June 222:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15091+0=150843%10
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15354+24=155557%2
6/21Friday, June 212:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15089+0=149942%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15376+24=155558%4
6/20Thursday, June 208:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1509433=146341%4
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153530+24=152959%7
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1467+37+0=150444%3
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153413+24=154556%7
6/18Tuesday, June 188 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146511+1=145534%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+15+22=157366%1
6/16Sunday, June 167 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15363+0=153337%2
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1582+17+24=162363%3
6/15Saturday, June 159:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153512+0=152336%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1583+16+24=162364%1
6/14Friday, June 1410 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+21+0=155743%3
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
15822+24=160457%5
6/13Thursday, June 1310:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153883=152739%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1581+1+25=160761%7
6/12Wednesday, June 123:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+9+0=154452%10
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
152013+24=153148%1
6/11Tuesday, June 118:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153550%3
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15179+24=153250%10
6/10Monday, June 108:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1538143=152143%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+32+20=156857%6
6/9Sunday, June 97 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15216+0=151541%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+19+24=158059%5
6/8Saturday, June 87:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1524+19+0=154348%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15346+24=155252%9
6/7Friday, June 72:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+152=153847%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1533+3+24=156053%3
6/6Thursday, June 62:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
151521+0=149441%3
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15353+24=155659%1
6/5Wednesday, June 58:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1517+37+0=155451%8
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153413+24=154549%9
6/4Tuesday, June 48:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
1518201=149739%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+21+24=157861%6
6/3Monday, June 34:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bedrosian, Cam
Bedrosian
150654=149743%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15308+22=154457%8
6/2Sunday, June 22:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1531+1+0=153250%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152413+24=153550%2
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1533+0+0=153345%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+19+24=156655%7
5/31Friday, May 318:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534141=151945%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1522+14+21=155755%2
5/29Wednesday, May 298 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+19+0=155244%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158513+24=159656%1
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15341+0=153345%6
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158443+24=156555%9
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+73=153938%5
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+13+24=162062%6
5/26Sunday, May 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1503+2+0=150541%10
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+5+24=156759%2
5/25Saturday, May 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150413+0=149142%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153711+24=155058%8
5/24Friday, May 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150310+1=149438%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1539+14+24=157762%5
5/23Thursday, May 232:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+27+0=155148%9
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1540+1+24=156552%7
5/22Wednesday, May 228:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152610+0=151642%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1539+6+24=156958%8
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1527+0+0=152745%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156155%3
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152553=151746%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153914+21=154654%4
5/19Sunday, May 197 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1538+16+0=155457%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151838+24=150443%5
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1539+6+0=154548%2
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1516+16+24=155652%5
5/17Friday, May 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+82=154245%14
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1520+31+24=157555%6
5/16Thursday, May 166:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153547%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+29+24=155553%4
5/15Wednesday, May 156:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153819+0=151949%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15011+24=152451%6
5/14Tuesday, May 146:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+11+0=154854%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15023+22=152146%1
5/12Sunday, May 127 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1536+10+0=154647%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1536+5+24=156553%4
5/11Saturday, May 112:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+10+0=154747%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+7+24=156653%2
5/10Friday, May 102:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1534+0+1=153546%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+0+24=156254%0
5/9Thursday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14241+0=142333%1
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153718+24=154367%4
5/8Wednesday, May 87:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14246+0=141830%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+8+24=156870%3
5/7Tuesday, May 78 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+18+0=144333%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1535+7+24=156667%5
5/6Monday, May 68:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1424183=140328%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+9+24=157072%5
5/5Sunday, May 57 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153611+0=152545%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1534+1+24=155955%13
5/4Saturday, May 44:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15374+0=153348%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153313+24=154452%6
5/3Friday, May 32:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1539+113=154749%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+1+22=155451%4
5/1Wednesday, May 16:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1528+2+0=153048%11
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1496+21+24=154152%0
4/30Tuesday, April 3010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1527+131=153954%6
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149711+26=151246%5
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1526+4+0=153050%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15115+24=153050%5
4/27Saturday, April 278:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152313+0=151048%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151415+24=152352%1
4/26Friday, April 269:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1525+74=152848%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+13+20=154552%8
4/25Thursday, April 252:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15638+0=155551%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15262+24=154849%1
4/24Wednesday, April 248:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1564+22+0=158653%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1525+13+24=156247%7
4/23Tuesday, April 238:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156612+1=155551%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1522+0+26=154849%7
4/21Sunday, April 212:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1502+12+0=151450%1
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
152131+24=151450%2
4/20Saturday, April 202:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1500+18+0=151847%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152411+24=153753%0
4/19Friday, April 192:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150173=149142%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1522+4+23=154958%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1521+12+0=153362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14275+24=144638%0
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15191+0=151860%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14285+24=144740%0
4/15Monday, April 157:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
151781=150857%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+8+24=146243%2
4/13Saturday, April 132:20 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
150611+0=149542%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1519+7+24=155058%5
4/12Friday, April 122:20 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1508+52=151144%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1517+9+24=155056%5
4/11Thursday, April 117:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15011+0=150045%0
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15165+24=153555%2
4/10Wednesday, April 108:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149935+2=146640%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15184+26=154060%2
4/8Monday, April 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1502+212=152147%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1515+4+23=154253%10
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1516+13+0=152946%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15322+24=155454%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1513+8+0=152147%14
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153517+24=154253%8
4/5Friday, April 58:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1515+23=151445%10
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
153310+24=154755%13
4/4Thursday, April 47:20 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15174+0=151346%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+2+24=154154%9
4/3Wednesday, April 37 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1518+2+2=152246%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+11+26=155154%6
4/1Monday, April 17 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1521+183=153651%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15114+21=152849%8
3/31Sunday, March 314 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1522+6+0=152856%10
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1458+4+24=148644%11
3/30Saturday, March 308:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15244+2=152256%6
TEXTEXRangers
Volquez, Edinson
Volquez
14576+26=147744%8
3/28Thursday, March 284:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
152123=151651%12
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1459+24+24=150749%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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