Updated Jun. 15, 2019 at 3:56 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cubs have a 62% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1535, up 1 point from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers39-3067%44%
CubsCubs38-311.062%38%
CardinalsCardinals35-333.535%16%
RedsReds30-378.06%2%
PiratesPirates31-388.03%1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/15Saturday, June 159:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153512+0=152336%
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1583+16+24=162364%
6/16Sunday, June 167 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15352+0=153337%
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1583+18+24=162563%
6/18Tuesday, June 188 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146812+1=145734%
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+16+22=157366%
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1468+36+0=150444%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153511+24=154856%
6/20Thursday, June 208:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+83=151542%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1535+15+24=157458%
6/21Friday, June 212:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151011+0=149943%
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153512+24=154757%
6/22Saturday, June 222:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1510+0+0=151043%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15352+24=155757%
6/23Sunday, June 232:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1510+37+0=154746%
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+16+24=157554%
6/24Monday, June 248:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1522+213=154049%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153511+24=154851%
6/25Tuesday, June 258:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1522+0+0=152243%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1535+15+24=157457%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1522+4+0=152645%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
6/27Thursday, June 272:20 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1522+4+0=152645%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+02=153351%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+22=152549%
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152749%
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152749%
7/1Monday, July 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+02=153354%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+22=150646%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
7/4Thursday, July 44:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153556%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+26=149244%
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153556%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
14682+24=149044%
7/12Friday, July 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+5=148939%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+30=156561%
7/13Saturday, July 132:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+0=148439%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
7/14Sunday, July 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+0=148439%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
7/15Monday, July 158:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+03=150042%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155958%
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155958%
7/17Wednesday, July 172:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155958%
7/19Friday, July 192:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
148013=147638%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+26=156162%
7/20Saturday, July 202:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+0=147939%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
7/21Sunday, July 212:20 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+0=147939%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
7/22Monday, July 229:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+04=153158%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+24=147842%
7/23Tuesday, July 239:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153558%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+24=147842%
7/24Wednesday, July 243:45 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153558%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+24=147842%
7/26Friday, July 268:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+02=153346%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+26=156054%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153547%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+24=155853%
7/28Sunday, July 282:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153547%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+24=155853%
7/30Tuesday, July 308:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+26=154952%
7/31Wednesday, July 318:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+24=154752%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+24=154752%
8/2Friday, Aug. 22:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+34=153046%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+22=155754%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+0=153446%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155954%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+0=153446%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155954%
8/5Monday, Aug. 58:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+24=151544%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155956%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 68:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151944%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155956%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 72:20 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1517+2+0=151944%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155956%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+02=153351%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+26=152949%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152749%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152749%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+24=152749%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153549%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+22=154451%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154652%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1522+0+24=154652%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+02=153354%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+22=150646%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 187 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153557%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+0=148443%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+02=145235%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155965%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+0=145435%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155965%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 222:20 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1454+0+0=145435%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155965%
8/23Friday, Aug. 232:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1523+12=152245%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152445%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152445%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+01=153450%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+26=153850%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153550%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+24=153650%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153550%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+24=153650%
8/30Friday, Aug. 302:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+1=153547%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+21=155653%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 312:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+0=153446%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155954%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+0=153446%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155954%
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:20 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1476+23=147538%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155962%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1476+2+0=147839%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+1=153646%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+26=156054%
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153547%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+24=155853%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153547%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+24=155853%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153547%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1531+3+24=155853%
9/9Monday, Sept. 910:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+04=153154%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+24=150346%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153555%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+24=150345%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153555%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+24=150345%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153555%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
14801+24=150345%
9/13Friday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
148624=148039%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+20=155561%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+0=148439%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+0=148439%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155961%
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+04=149941%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155959%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155958%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1503+0+0=150342%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155958%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 198:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+12=152145%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
9/20Friday, Sept. 202:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+0=152345%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 212:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+0=152345%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+0=152345%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+24=155955%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153554%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14862+24=150846%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+03=153248%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+23=154652%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+24=154752%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1535+0+0=153548%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1522+1+24=154752%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/14Friday, June 1410 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+21+0=155743%3
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
15822+24=160457%5
6/13Thursday, June 1310:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153883=152739%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1581+1+25=160761%7
6/12Wednesday, June 123:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+9+0=154452%10
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
152013+24=153148%1
6/11Tuesday, June 118:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153550%3
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15179+24=153250%10
6/10Monday, June 108:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1538143=152143%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+32+20=156857%6
6/9Sunday, June 97 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15216+0=151541%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+19+24=158059%5
6/8Saturday, June 87:15 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1524+19+0=154348%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15346+24=155252%9
6/7Friday, June 72:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+152=153847%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1533+3+24=156053%3
6/6Thursday, June 62:20 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
151521+0=149441%3
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15353+24=155659%1
6/5Wednesday, June 58:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1517+37+0=155451%8
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153413+24=154549%9
6/4Tuesday, June 48:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
1518201=149739%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+21+24=157861%6
6/3Monday, June 34:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Bedrosian, Cam
Bedrosian
150654=149743%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15308+22=154457%8
6/2Sunday, June 22:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1531+1+0=153250%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152413+24=153550%2
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1533+0+0=153345%4
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+19+24=156655%7
5/31Friday, May 318:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534141=151945%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1522+14+21=155755%2
5/29Wednesday, May 298 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+19+0=155244%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158513+24=159656%1
5/28Tuesday, May 288:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15341+0=153345%6
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158443+24=156555%9
5/27Monday, May 272:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+73=153938%5
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1583+13+24=162062%6
5/26Sunday, May 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1503+2+0=150541%10
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+5+24=156759%2
5/25Saturday, May 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150413+0=149142%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153711+24=155058%8
5/24Friday, May 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150310+1=149438%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1539+14+24=157762%5
5/23Thursday, May 232:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+27+0=155148%9
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1540+1+24=156552%7
5/22Wednesday, May 228:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152610+0=151642%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1539+6+24=156958%8
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1527+0+0=152745%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156155%3
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152553=151746%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153914+21=154654%4
5/19Sunday, May 197 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1538+16+0=155457%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151838+24=150443%5
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1539+6+0=154548%2
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1516+16+24=155652%5
5/17Friday, May 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+82=154245%14
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1520+31+24=157555%6
5/16Thursday, May 166:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153547%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+29+24=155553%4
5/15Wednesday, May 156:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153819+0=151949%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15011+24=152451%6
5/14Tuesday, May 146:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+11+0=154854%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15023+22=152146%1
5/12Sunday, May 127 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1536+10+0=154647%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1536+5+24=156553%4
5/11Saturday, May 112:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+10+0=154747%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+7+24=156653%2
5/10Friday, May 102:20 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1534+0+1=153546%7
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+0+24=156254%0
5/9Thursday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14241+0=142333%1
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153718+24=154367%4
5/8Wednesday, May 87:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14246+0=141830%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+8+24=156870%3
5/7Tuesday, May 78 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+18+0=144333%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1535+7+24=156667%5
5/6Monday, May 68:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1424183=140328%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+9+24=157072%5
5/5Sunday, May 57 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153611+0=152545%5
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1534+1+24=155955%13
5/4Saturday, May 44:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15374+0=153348%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153313+24=154452%6
5/3Friday, May 32:20 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1539+113=154749%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+1+22=155451%4
5/1Wednesday, May 16:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1528+2+0=153048%11
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1496+21+24=154152%0
4/30Tuesday, April 3010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1527+131=153954%6
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149711+26=151246%5
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1526+4+0=153050%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15115+24=153050%5
4/27Saturday, April 278:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152313+0=151048%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151415+24=152352%1
4/26Friday, April 269:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1525+74=152848%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+13+20=154552%8
4/25Thursday, April 252:20 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15638+0=155551%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15262+24=154849%1
4/24Wednesday, April 248:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1564+22+0=158653%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1525+13+24=156247%7
4/23Tuesday, April 238:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156612+1=155551%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1522+0+26=154849%7
4/21Sunday, April 212:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1502+12+0=151450%1
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
152131+24=151450%2
4/20Saturday, April 202:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1500+18+0=151847%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152411+24=153753%0
4/19Friday, April 192:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150173=149142%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1522+4+23=154958%5
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1521+12+0=153362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14275+24=144638%0
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15191+0=151860%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14285+24=144740%0
4/15Monday, April 157:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
151781=150857%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+8+24=146243%2
4/13Saturday, April 132:20 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
150611+0=149542%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1519+7+24=155058%5
4/12Friday, April 122:20 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1508+52=151144%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1517+9+24=155056%5
4/11Thursday, April 117:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15011+0=150045%0
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15165+24=153555%2
4/10Wednesday, April 108:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149935+2=146640%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15184+26=154060%2
4/8Monday, April 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1502+212=152147%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1515+4+23=154253%10
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1516+13+0=152946%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15322+24=155454%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1513+8+0=152147%14
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
153517+24=154253%8
4/5Friday, April 58:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1515+23=151445%10
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
153310+24=154755%13
4/4Thursday, April 47:20 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15174+0=151346%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+2+24=154154%9
4/3Wednesday, April 37 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1518+2+2=152246%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1514+11+26=155154%6
4/1Monday, April 17 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1521+183=153651%0
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15114+21=152849%8
3/31Sunday, March 314 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1522+6+0=152856%10
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1458+4+24=148644%11
3/30Saturday, March 308:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15244+2=152256%6
TEXTEXRangers
Volquez, Edinson
Volquez
14576+26=147744%8
3/28Thursday, March 284:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
152123=151651%12
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1459+24+24=150749%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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