Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1513, down 10 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers97-54
DbacksDiamondbacks76-7420.5<1%
GiantsGiants72-7824.5<1%
PadresPadres68-8128.0<1%
RockiesRockies65-8531.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/16Monday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
142913=142534%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1513+4+24=154166%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 179:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+4+0=143336%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15133+24=153464%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1429+13+0=144239%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151317+24=152061%
9/20Friday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15135+0=150853%
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14723+20=148947%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 218:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1513+22+0=153558%
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
147214+24=148242%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 224:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1513+4+0=151750%
SDSDPadres
Richards, Garrett
Richards
1472+21+24=151750%
9/23Monday, Sept. 239:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154364=153350%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15133+22=153250%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 249:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1543+36+0=157958%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151317+24=152042%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 253:40 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154322+0=152149%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15135+24=153251%
9/27Friday, Sept. 279:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1472+142=148442%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1513+2+26=154158%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1472+14+0=148642%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1513+2+24=153958%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1472+14+0=148642%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1513+2+24=153958%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
14975+0=149240%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1514+26+24=156460%1
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1497+0+0=149746%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151310+24=152754%1
9/13Friday, Sept. 139:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1496+223=151550%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151416+20=151850%3
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
1518+7+0=152548%1
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
152710+24=154152%11
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1521+10+0=153149%0
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152412+24=153651%9
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1522+23+0=154550%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15223+24=154350%3
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1523123=150839%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+43+24=158861%3
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
152421+0=150348%3
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14951+24=151852%4
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15229+0=151346%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1497+18+24=153954%0
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1521+112=153054%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149816+24=150646%5
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1476+11+0=148740%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1520+16+24=156060%4
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 39:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Bolanos, Ronald
Bolanos
14771+0=147643%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151914+24=152957%2
9/2Monday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1479+43=148044%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151716+24=152556%14
9/1Sunday, Sept. 14:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
158617+0=156955%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15187+24=153545%3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1588+12+0=160056%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+17+24=155744%6
8/30Friday, Aug. 309:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158925+0=156451%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1515+14+24=155349%5
8/29Thursday, Aug. 299:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1592+72=159761%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151215+23=152039%11
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 279:45 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151119+0=149244%3
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1485+23+24=153256%2
8/26Monday, Aug. 269:45 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151094=149751%6
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
148620+23=148949%4
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+17+0=152549%5
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15147+24=153151%2
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1510+18+0=152848%0
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1512+2+24=153852%4
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151292=150148%1
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151022+24=151252%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 213:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
149325+0=146843%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151419+24=151957%2
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 209:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14945+0=148944%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151410+24=152856%8
8/19Monday, Aug. 199:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
1495243=146838%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1513+15+24=155262%5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 184:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1487+32+0=151949%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151112+24=152351%6
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
14845+0=147944%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151319+24=151856%6
8/16Friday, Aug. 169:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1483+18+0=150147%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151418+24=152053%9
8/15Thursday, Aug. 159:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
148013=147642%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15175+21=153358%0
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 143:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1518+12+0=153053%6
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14902+24=151247%7
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 138:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1516+15+0=153154%9
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
149211+24=150546%3
8/12Monday, Aug. 128:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1515123=150051%8
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149420+21=149549%6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 114:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151711+0=150633%3
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1590+16+24=163067%9
8/10Saturday, Aug. 109:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15181+0=151739%0
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
158819+24=159361%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+6+0=152235%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+16+26=163265%2
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 79:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1508+2+0=151045%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1515+6+24=154555%6
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 69:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15108+0=150246%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
15139+24=152854%8
8/5Monday, Aug. 59:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150854=149946%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151513+24=152654%3
8/4Sunday, Aug. 44:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1534+12+0=154655%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151325+24=151245%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+19+0=155752%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1510+6+24=154048%18
8/2Friday, Aug. 29:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1536352=149946%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15116+22=152754%0
7/31Wednesday, July 311:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1513+39+0=155242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1577+5+24=160658%7
7/30Tuesday, July 307:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
1511333=147532%4
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15791+24=160268%2
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15136+0=150754%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1445+13+24=148246%11
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+8+0=152360%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144211+24=145540%5
7/27Saturday, July 276:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15133+0=151055%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1445+3+24=147245%2
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1515+392=155264%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144314+23=145236%3
7/24Wednesday, July 243:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1411+32+0=144342%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151340+24=149758%5
7/23Tuesday, July 239:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1408+3+0=141132%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1517+1+24=154268%2
7/22Monday, July 229:40 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1409+34=140831%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+8+24=154869%6
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1518+27+0=154551%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15172+24=153949%4
7/20Saturday, July 208:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1515+4+0=151941%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1520+36+24=158059%3
7/19Friday, July 199:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15173+0=151451%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151838+24=150449%10
7/18Thursday, July 189:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1514+44=151447%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15204+21=153753%1
7/17Wednesday, July 178:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+9+0=152555%19
TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
148515+24=149445%4
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151361=150644%9
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+33+26=154756%2
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1515+40+0=155553%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15142+24=153647%5
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15173+0=151448%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
151210+24=152652%4
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+6+4=152546%4
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1514+15+27=155654%2
7/7Sunday, July 74:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1515+26+0=154153%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151416+24=152247%5
7/6Saturday, July 610:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1517+16+0=153349%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+6+24=154251%4
7/5Friday, July 59:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1519131=150541%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+38+24=157259%8
7/3Wednesday, July 310:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1511+1+0=151234%4
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1584+21+24=162966%5
7/2Tuesday, July 210:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151131+0=148034%4
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
158314+23=159266%5
6/30Sunday, June 304:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1514+11+0=152553%4
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1455+22+24=150147%10
6/29Saturday, June 2910:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1513+35+0=154861%4
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
145612+24=146839%3
6/28Friday, June 2810:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1515+3+0=151855%3
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
1454+6+24=148445%6
6/27Thursday, June 279:45 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
1514183=149354%5
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
145617+24=146346%1
6/26Wednesday, June 263:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
158637+0=154957%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151136+24=149943%8
6/25Tuesday, June 259:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
158517+0=156853%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+11+24=154747%2
6/24Monday, June 249:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1587+02=158552%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+36+24=157048%8
6/23Sunday, June 234:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
1457+3+0=146039%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1509+2+24=153561%3
6/22Saturday, June 2210 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
145514+0=144140%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151124+24=151160%4
6/21Friday, June 219:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1453+62=145742%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151427+24=151158%5
6/20Thursday, June 203:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
152118+0=150343%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+10+24=155057%4
6/19Wednesday, June 199:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1519+8+0=152743%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1517+37+24=157857%4
6/18Tuesday, June 189:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1516161=149944%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1520+2+22=154456%1
6/16Sunday, June 161:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bradley, Archie
Bradley
152320+0=150346%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15209+24=153554%15
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
152028+0=149239%10
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1523+20+24=156761%3
6/14Friday, June 147:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1521+9+0=153042%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1522+40+24=158658%7
6/13Thursday, June 137:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1520+312=154955%5
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152436+23=151145%0
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15188+0=151044%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+2+24=155156%0
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
151915+0=150445%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15239+24=153855%7
6/10Monday, June 107:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
1517212=149443%13
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15268+24=154257%8
6/9Sunday, June 91:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+8+0=152358%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Richard, Clayton
Richard
145917+24=146642%2
6/8Saturday, June 83:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1513+30+0=154358%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1461+4+24=148942%0
6/7Friday, June 77:07 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1510132=149549%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1464+16+24=150451%2
6/5Wednesday, June 53:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
158514+0=157158%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
150920+24=151342%3
6/4Tuesday, June 49:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1582+14+0=159662%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151123+24=151238%0
6/3Monday, June 39:40 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1581+82=158756%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1513+8+24=154544%1
6/2Sunday, June 24:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151314+0=149948%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151020+24=151452%7
6/1Saturday, June 110:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+36+0=155047%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+38+24=157153%6
5/31Friday, May 319:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1513+102=152151%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
151019+21=151249%4
5/30Thursday, May 303:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151118+0=149344%10
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1513+1+24=153856%11
5/29Wednesday, May 298:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+10+0=152251%4
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151220+24=151649%5
5/28Tuesday, May 288:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151427+0=148746%2
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151018+24=151654%6
5/27Monday, May 273:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1515+353=154752%3
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1509+1+24=153448%4
5/26Sunday, May 264:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1513+2+0=151555%6
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
1452+3+24=147945%2
5/25Saturday, May 254:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151117+0=149452%10
SFSFGiants
Suarez, Andrew
Suarez
1455+2+24=148148%4
5/24Friday, May 2410:15 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1507+11+0=151856%18
SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
14597+24=147644%2
5/22Wednesday, May 223:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150917+0=149249%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148412+24=149651%5
5/21Tuesday, May 2110:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+35+0=154553%2
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+16+24=152347%3
5/20Monday, May 2010:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1511+02=150947%1
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1482+26+24=153253%2
5/19Sunday, May 194 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
14618+0=145337%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+11+24=154763%2
5/18Saturday, May 1810:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1459+25+0=148446%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151424+24=151454%5
5/17Friday, May 179:40 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1461+51=146543%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151222+26=151657%7
5/15Wednesday, May 153:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14961+0=149540%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+31+24=156460%11
5/14Tuesday, May 149:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14936+0=148743%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1512+1+24=153757%2
5/13Monday, May 139:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1495373=145537%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1510+12+24=154663%9
5/12Sunday, May 124:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1512+10+0=152252%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151123+24=151248%3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+2+0=151350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151224+24=151250%4
5/10Friday, May 109:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1510+8+0=151843%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1514+28+24=156657%1
5/9Thursday, May 99:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1511+122=152148%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15132+20=153152%3
5/8Wednesday, May 81:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1511+11+0=152242%3
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+15+24=157858%2
5/7Tuesday, May 77:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151317+0=149644%3
TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153721+24=154056%6
5/6Monday, May 67:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1515124=149937%1
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+31+23=158963%12
5/5Sunday, May 53:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1516+28+0=154447%7
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1511+33+24=156853%8
5/4Saturday, May 48:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15138+0=150543%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1514+19+24=155757%2
5/3Friday, May 38:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+121=152350%10
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
151514+21=152250%9
5/1Wednesday, May 13:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+6+0=157357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151113+24=152243%3
4/30Tuesday, April 309:40 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
156881=155950%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1510+26+26=156250%3
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1526+4+0=153050%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15115+24=153050%5
4/27Saturday, April 278:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152313+0=151048%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
151415+24=152352%1
4/26Friday, April 269:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1525+74=152848%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1512+13+20=154552%8
4/25Thursday, April 2512:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+21+0=153049%5
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1498+13+24=153551%0
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150613+0=149349%11
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150128+24=149751%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15058+0=149744%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1503+14+24=154156%1
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1501102=148944%12
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1506+2+24=153256%4
4/21Sunday, April 212:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1502+12+0=151450%1
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
152131+24=151450%2
4/20Saturday, April 202:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1500+18+0=151847%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
152411+24=153753%0
4/19Friday, April 192:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150173=149142%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1522+4+23=154958%5
4/18Thursday, April 1812:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149912+0=148744%4
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
151813+24=152956%1
4/17Wednesday, April 177:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
149810+0=148841%3
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1519+10+24=155359%2
4/16Tuesday, April 167:20 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+172=151143%9
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+17+26=156457%6
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14908+0=148242%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1495+17+24=153658%8
4/13Saturday, April 138:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
14897+0=148245%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
14962+24=151855%4
4/12Friday, April 129:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1487+5+0=149248%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149715+24=150652%1
4/11Thursday, April 119:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Avila, Pedro
Avila
148623=148145%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
14988+24=151455%6
4/10Wednesday, April 109:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1461+4+0=146540%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1500+14+24=153860%2
4/9Tuesday, April 99:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1462+28+0=149043%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1499+17+26=154257%5
4/7Sunday, April 74:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
154733+0=151450%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150012+24=151250%0
4/6Saturday, April 68:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1549+17+0=156658%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149914+24=150942%5
4/5Friday, April 57:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
1552153=153453%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
14968+24=151247%15
4/3Wednesday, April 33:40 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1498+17+0=151551%1
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1482+5+24=151149%4
4/2Tuesday, April 210:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1496+20+0=151651%8
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14841+24=150749%5
4/1Monday, April 110:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1493111=148145%10
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1487+3+24=151455%3
3/31Sunday, March 314:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
149411+0=148331%7
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1566+28+24=161869%8
3/30Saturday, March 309:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
14974+0=149339%5
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156313+24=157461%18
3/29Friday, March 2910:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1495+16+0=151141%5
LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
156415+24=157359%4
3/28Thursday, March 284 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1497+272=152242%5
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15625+24=158158%12

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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