Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Indians have a 41% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1553, up 2 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins91-58>99%98%
IndiansIndians87-634.541%2%
White SoxWhite Sox65-8426.0
RoyalsRoyals55-9536.5
TigersTigers44-10446.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1391+191=140931%
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155333+26=154669%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1391+6+0=139727%
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155312+24=156573%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13912+0=138922%
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1553+28+24=160578%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150953=150143%
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155324+24=155357%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15094+0=150538%
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1553+13+24=159062%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 226:30 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150910+0=149943%
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155333+24=154457%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155312+0=154153%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1453+43+24=152047%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1553+28+0=158168%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145329+24=144832%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155324+0=152958%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14533+24=147442%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
155323=154845%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1553+8+24=158555%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 284:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15532+0=155145%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1553+8+24=158555%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15532+0=155145%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1553+8+24=158555%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154413+0=153141%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1552+18+24=159459%7
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Thorpe, Lewis
Thorpe
154215+0=152749%9
CLECLEIndians
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
155444+24=153451%5
9/14Saturday, Sept. 141:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
154181=153240%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1556+24+25=160560%0
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155532+0=152354%4
LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
148011+24=149346%3
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155332+0=152156%8
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
148228+24=147844%0
9/9Monday, Sept. 910:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1551+184=156558%6
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1484+1+20=150542%2
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1549+25+0=157453%5
MINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154413+24=155547%2
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155113+0=153844%3
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1543+10+24=157756%5
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
1548333=151241%6
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1546+11+21=157859%2
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1453+2+0=145537%7
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155226+24=155063%1
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1453+7+0=146032%6
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1551+17+24=159268%8
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
145224+0=142827%6
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1553+24+24=160173%5
9/2Monday, Sept. 27:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
1453113=143933%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15519+21=156367%11
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155331+0=152241%2
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+23+24=158359%8
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155424+0=153049%6
TBTBRays
Castillo, Diego
Castillo
153420+24=153851%9
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1557+143=156855%0
TBTBRays
Pruitt, Austin
Pruitt
153221+21=153245%4
8/29Thursday, Aug. 291:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1556+18+0=157470%2
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1396+5+24=142530%0
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155511+0=154468%4
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
13975+24=141632%2
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155334+1=152062%10
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1399+10+23=143238%1
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Skoglund, Eric
Skoglund
14317+0=142427%9
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1555+17+24=159673%8
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143215+0=141726%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1554+18+24=159674%4
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1433+14+0=144736%1
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155325+22=155064%4
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155513+0=154247%0
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1527+11+24=156253%2
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155636+0=152046%3
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15262+24=154854%4
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1559+20+1=158057%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152317+23=152943%9
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1557+16+0=157346%8
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15847+24=160154%4
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155721+0=153639%5
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1583+7+24=161461%6
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155814+0=154440%2
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1583+7+24=161460%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
1553382=151336%19
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
15883+24=160964%5
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 141:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
153816+0=152239%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1555+21+24=160061%1
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1537+41+0=157847%7
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1556+19+24=159953%6
8/12Monday, Aug. 127 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1538+163=155149%5
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155520+21=155651%6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155324+0=152943%7
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1538+16+24=157857%3
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155437+0=151743%1
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1537+6+24=156757%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1552+20+0=157252%6
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15396+24=155748%2
8/8Thursday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1551+153=156349%7
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1540+5+24=156951%5
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 74:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1484+39+0=152349%1
CLECLEIndians
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
154946+24=152751%5
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148513+2=147439%0
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154823+26=155161%2
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1484+313=151245%1
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
154930+24=154355%0
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1499+8+0=150738%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1548+19+24=159162%6
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1501+10+0=151147%2
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
154637+24=153353%7
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cole, Taylor
Cole
150242=149637%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1545+16+24=158563%7
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+29+0=160657%7
CLECLEIndians
Salazar, Danny
Salazar
154713+24=155843%1
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157928+0=155150%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154419+24=154950%10
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+31+0=160953%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1545+18+23=158647%0
7/28Sunday, July 282:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1548+10+0=155861%6
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1445+11+24=148039%9
7/27Saturday, July 277:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1546+13+0=155964%9
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144710+24=146136%1
7/26Friday, July 268:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154424+0=152055%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1449+11+24=148445%3
7/25Thursday, July 258:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
1543373=150355%5
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1450+0+21=147145%4
7/24Wednesday, July 247:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1541+10+0=155155%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1464+29+24=151745%0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1542+8+0=155061%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146313+24=147439%2
7/22Monday, July 227:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1541+162=155557%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Borucki, Ryan
Borucki
1465+17+22=150443%3
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
14474+0=144337%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154025+24=153963%5
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+8+0=145440%1
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
154239+24=152760%0
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1447+63=145032%5
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1540+16+24=158068%10
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1410+29+0=143932%3
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+9+24=157268%6
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1412+15+0=142730%2
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+15+24=157770%7
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
141335+0=137829%0
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153728+24=153371%8
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1414+33=141434%6
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153635+24=152566%8
7/14Sunday, July 141:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1543+14+0=155748%3
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1535+13+24=157252%4
7/13Saturday, July 137:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1541+8+0=154947%6
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1537+11+24=157253%2
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1539+1+4=154445%5
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1539+14+29=158255%3
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1536+8+0=154454%11
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150918+24=151546%1
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1534+111=154453%7
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
151112+26=152547%2
7/4Thursday, July 41:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153223+0=150957%8
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
14405+24=145943%4
7/3Wednesday, July 38:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1531+11+0=154259%4
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1442+11+24=147741%0
7/2Tuesday, July 28:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1529+141=154260%9
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1443+5+21=146940%5
6/30Sunday, June 301:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1529+4+0=153367%2
BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
140215+24=141133%0
6/29Saturday, June 294:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153410+0=152463%0
BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1397+11+24=143237%13
6/28Friday, June 287:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1539+19+0=155865%0
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1392+35+26=145335%13
6/26Wednesday, June 261:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1448+3+0=145133%3
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+8+24=157167%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
1446+6+0=145234%8
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1541+2+24=156766%6
6/24Monday, June 247:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1447+133=145740%2
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
154037+24=152760%3
6/23Sunday, June 231 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1421+2+0=142333%3
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153914+24=154967%8
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1422+17+0=143938%0
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
153834+24=152862%2
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1423+29+0=145233%6
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1537+16+21=157467%7
6/20Thursday, June 202:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15382+0=153648%2
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1485+39+24=154852%4
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153638+0=149850%10
TEXTEXRangers
Palumbo, Joe
Palumbo
148712+24=149950%4
6/18Tuesday, June 188:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153320+0=151351%10
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14907+24=150749%3
6/17Monday, June 178:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1536+233=155654%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+18+21=152746%7
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1534+12+0=154661%8
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1424+22+24=147039%0
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15334+0=152964%4
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
142518+24=143136%2
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153036+1=149561%13
DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142731+21=141739%4
6/12Wednesday, June 121:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150314+0=148942%7
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153315+24=154258%2
6/11Tuesday, June 117 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+23+0=152744%1
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1532+11+26=156956%2
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
156931+0=153847%7
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1533+0+24=155753%6
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15729+0=156357%4
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153143+24=151243%8
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1573142=155754%2
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152920+24=153346%5
6/6Thursday, June 67 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+11+0=155749%5
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1530+12+24=156651%4
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154721+0=152652%7
CLECLEIndians
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
152940+24=151348%9
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1549121=153648%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15272+24=154952%5
6/2Sunday, June 22:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152926+0=150348%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1464+26+24=151452%2
6/1Saturday, June 12:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
152744+0=148351%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
146611+24=147949%2
5/31Friday, May 318:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1530+14+0=154459%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
146310+24=147741%6
5/30Thursday, May 308:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1533+73=153761%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146026+24=145839%10
5/29Wednesday, May 296:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1531+2+0=153348%14
BOSBOSRed Sox
Weber, Ryan
Weber
155535+24=154452%9
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152935+0=149436%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1556+12+24=159264%5
5/27Monday, May 274 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
1531433=148539%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155410+20=156461%12
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
154019+0=152143%6
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1533+12+24=156957%3
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1538+9+0=154747%6
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1535+10+24=156953%2
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+36+0=157553%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15331+24=155647%3
5/23Thursday, May 236:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1537273=150748%7
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153637+24=152352%2
5/22Wednesday, May 221:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1518+10+0=152851%7
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153841+24=152149%2
5/21Tuesday, May 216:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1516+10+0=152643%5
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+10+24=157357%3
5/20Monday, May 206:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
151581=150640%6
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1541+10+24=157560%4
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ramirez, Yefry
Ramirez
14159+0=140630%0
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
153913+24=155070%10
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1416+19+0=143538%1
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153844+24=151862%4
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+4+0=141735%5
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154139+24=152665%1
5/16Thursday, May 166:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Straily, Dan
Straily
141422=141027%7
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1540+18+24=158273%14
5/14Tuesday, May 142:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1537+8+0=154561%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146121+24=146439%0
5/13Monday, May 138:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1539104=152555%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1459+9+22=149045%5
5/12Sunday, May 124:07 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153841+0=149745%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15112+24=153355%3
5/11Saturday, May 114:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1539+14+0=155354%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
151011+24=152346%3
5/10Friday, May 109:37 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Anderson, Cody
Anderson
1540474=148943%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1509+5+24=153857%4
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
145611+0=144533%0
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1538+4+24=156667%5
5/8Wednesday, May 86:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1457+9+0=146638%3
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15389+24=155362%5
5/7Tuesday, May 76:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14562+0=145441%2
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
153943+24=152059%0
5/6Monday, May 66:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145172=144230%9
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1544+22+24=159070%1
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149116+0=147543%10
CLECLEIndians
Anderson, Cody
Anderson
154845+24=152757%0
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14926+0=148638%4
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+2+24=157362%5
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
149212=148941%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154616+23=155359%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15489+0=153960%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1427+17+24=146840%4
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+221=156867%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14288+23=144333%4
4/28Sunday, April 287 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1549+2+0=155145%1
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157714+24=158755%4
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154918+0=153142%3
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
157616+24=158458%4
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15478+0=153942%6
HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15787+24=159558%3
4/25Thursday, April 258:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1546+223=156543%2
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+13+24=161757%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14307+0=142337%2
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154555+24=151463%6
4/23Tuesday, April 236:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
142831=142430%3
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+1+26=157470%1
4/21Sunday, April 217 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+17+0=153246%11
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155011+24=156354%5
4/20Saturday, April 207:50 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
1514+0+0=151439%8
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+20+24=159561%7
4/20Saturday, April 204:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+51=152043%4
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15498+25=156657%8
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15485+0=154353%1
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15044+24=152447%0
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154711+0=153651%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1506+1+24=153149%2
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1546+204=156255%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15072+24=152945%4
4/14Sunday, April 142:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1547+2+0=154961%8
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+4+24=147439%9
4/13Saturday, April 137:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154960+0=148958%0
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144433+24=143542%3
4/12Friday, April 128:15 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1552+23=155159%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1441+23+24=148841%8
4/11Thursday, April 111:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
155119+0=153258%4
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1450+4+24=147842%0
4/10Wednesday, April 101:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1553+22+0=157563%1
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1448+11+24=148337%4
4/9Tuesday, April 91:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15511+1=155160%8
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
1450+3+26=147940%2
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1478+2+0=148036%1
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1550+9+24=158364%3
4/6Saturday, April 64:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
147912+0=146735%2
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1549+2+24=157565%7
4/5Friday, April 57:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14803+0=147740%2
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154822+24=155060%3
4/4Thursday, April 46:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
148142=147534%1
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+21+24=159266%4
4/3Wednesday, April 31:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1455+12+2=146934%8
CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1550+8+26=158466%3
4/1Monday, April 14 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
145613=145233%3
CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1549+4+21=157467%5
3/31Sunday, March 312:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1552+9+0=156155%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15085+24=152745%9
3/30Saturday, March 302:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1551+15+2=156854%2
MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1509+4+26=153946%1
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1553+73=155751%0
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1508+18+24=155049%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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