Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have a 5% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1484, down 6 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros32-1698%96%
AthleticsAthletics23-259.017%2%
AngelsAngels22-259.56%<1%
MarinersMariners23-2710.05%<1%
RangersRangers22-238.55%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 218:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
148416+0=146844%
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1475+7+24=150656%
5/22Wednesday, May 222:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1484+14+0=149852%
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147518+24=148148%
5/24Friday, May 2410 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
148422=148042%
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15162+22=153658%
5/25Saturday, May 254:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1484+24+0=150844%
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1516+8+24=154856%
5/26Sunday, May 264:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1484+0+0=148443%
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15165+24=153557%
5/27Monday, May 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1475183=145441%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1484+14+21=151959%
5/28Tuesday, May 2810 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147511+0=146444%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
5/29Wednesday, May 293:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1475+7+0=148247%
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
14842+24=150653%
5/30Thursday, May 3010:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1501+23=150045%
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1484+24+24=153255%
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150149%
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1484+0+24=150851%
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150149%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
6/2Sunday, June 24:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150149%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
6/3Monday, June 310:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+03=158661%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150939%
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150939%
6/5Wednesday, June 510:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150939%
6/6Thursday, June 63:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150939%
6/7Friday, June 710:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148244%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152556%
6/8Saturday, June 810:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148544%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152556%
6/9Sunday, June 94:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148544%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152556%
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148339%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+23=156061%
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156161%
6/13Thursday, June 131:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156161%
6/14Friday, June 149:37 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+14=148142%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+22=153958%
6/15Saturday, June 159:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148542%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154158%
6/16Sunday, June 164:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148542%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154158%
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
144913=144541%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+21=150659%
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144841%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150959%
6/19Wednesday, June 196:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144841%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150959%
6/20Thursday, June 2010:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+13=141036%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150964%
6/21Friday, June 2110:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150963%
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150963%
6/23Sunday, June 234:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+0=141337%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150963%
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148338%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156662%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156461%
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148232%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
7/2Tuesday, July 210:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152611=152452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150748%
7/3Wednesday, July 310:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150948%
7/4Thursday, July 44:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152552%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150948%
7/5Friday, July 510:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+13=151451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%
7/6Saturday, July 610:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%
7/7Sunday, July 74:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%
7/12Friday, July 1210:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+4=148944%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+28=152956%
7/13Saturday, July 139:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148544%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152556%
7/14Sunday, July 144:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148544%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152556%
7/16Tuesday, July 1610:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148542%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+26=154358%
7/17Wednesday, July 173:37 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148542%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154158%
7/19Friday, July 1910:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+03=149848%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+23=150852%
7/20Saturday, July 209:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150149%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150149%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
7/22Monday, July 2210:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+14=147245%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150955%
7/23Tuesday, July 2310:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150955%
7/24Wednesday, July 243:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147645%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150955%
7/25Thursday, July 2510:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+24=142939%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150961%
7/26Friday, July 2610:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143339%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150961%
7/27Saturday, July 274:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143339%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150961%
7/28Sunday, July 284:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143339%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150961%
7/30Tuesday, July 308:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148348%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+22=149852%
7/31Wednesday, July 318:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148548%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150052%
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148533%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+21=161067%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 610:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+11=148347%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150753%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148446%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150954%
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153553%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+26=151147%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150946%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 114:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153754%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150946%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148354%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+26=145946%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148554%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145746%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148554%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145746%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148348%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+26=149652%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 173:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149451%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148549%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+24=149451%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156161%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156161%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156161%
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
147113=146744%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150756%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 249:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
14711+0=147044%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150956%
8/26Monday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
157123=156658%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150942%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156959%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150941%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 284:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15712+0=156959%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150941%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 298:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+14=148148%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+21=149752%
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148548%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150052%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148548%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150052%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 13:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148548%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+24=150052%
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:20 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+13=148239%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156261%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148539%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156261%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+11=148432%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+23=161268%
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148532%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161368%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150049%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150751%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150249%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150249%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+04=145242%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150958%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145642%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150958%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145642%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150958%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148345%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148357%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148557%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148557%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1412+1+24=143743%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+02=158761%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150739%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158961%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150939%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2610:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+13=151451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%
9/27Friday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 289:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150949%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1485+54=148643%9
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+39+24=153857%10
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+6+0=154352%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1483+21+24=152848%7
5/18Saturday, May 1810:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1534+15+0=154955%18
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1487+6+24=151745%4
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153115+0=151648%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+16+24=152952%1
5/16Thursday, May 1610 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1529173=150951%11
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149113+26=150449%6
5/14Tuesday, May 1410:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15093+0=150649%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14901+24=151351%4
5/13Monday, May 1310:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1510+113=151848%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1489+20+20=152952%6
5/12Sunday, May 121:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+16+0=150845%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155231+24=154555%11
5/11Saturday, May 111:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149319+0=147438%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155017+24=155762%9
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149692=148538%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15485+24=156762%14
5/9Thursday, May 96:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14978+0=148937%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15647+24=158163%3
5/8Wednesday, May 86:30 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1493+9+0=150239%10
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156815+24=157761%1
5/7Tuesday, May 76:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1494+13+0=150737%4
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+4+24=159563%5
5/6Monday, May 66:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1495132=148036%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15668+24=158264%7
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149116+0=147543%10
CLECLEIndians
Anderson, Cody
Anderson
154845+24=152757%0
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14926+0=148638%4
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+2+24=157362%5
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
149212=148941%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154616+23=155359%2
5/1Wednesday, May 16:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1528+2+0=153048%11
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1496+21+24=154152%0
4/30Tuesday, April 3010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1527+131=153954%6
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149711+26=151246%5
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1469+2+0=147142%14
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15022+24=152458%1
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+37+0=150146%15
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15072+24=152954%1
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
146521+0=144439%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15068+24=152261%5
4/25Thursday, April 2510:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146753=145939%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1503+13+21=153761%14
4/24Wednesday, April 243:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150418+0=148646%0
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1482+9+24=151554%1
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
1506+3+1=151050%3
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1480+1+26=150750%6
4/21Sunday, April 214:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1507+2+0=150946%6
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1498+12+24=153454%8
4/20Saturday, April 209:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15063+0=150346%6
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1499+7+24=153054%5
4/19Friday, April 1910:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1504+12+0=151647%5
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1500+12+24=153653%3
4/18Thursday, April 1810:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1503203=148045%11
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
15029+21=151455%10
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15485+0=154353%1
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15044+24=152447%0
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154711+0=153651%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1506+1+24=153149%2
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1546+204=156255%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15072+24=152945%4
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+19+0=159958%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+13+24=154542%2
4/13Saturday, April 139:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+24+0=160363%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150919+24=151437%1
4/12Friday, April 1210:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1577152=156054%10
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1511+4+20=153546%6
4/11Thursday, April 111:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1510+3+0=151359%7
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144216+24=145041%6
4/10Wednesday, April 108:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15093+0=150656%6
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1443+1+24=146844%5
4/9Tuesday, April 98:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+12+0=151956%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+8+24=147644%3
4/8Monday, April 88:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505192=148457%13
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144630+21=143743%5
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1503+1+0=150453%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1457+3+24=148447%5
4/6Saturday, April 62:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1500+4+0=150454%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14609+24=147546%2
4/5Friday, April 52:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1502+1+1=150452%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+10+24=149248%10
4/2Tuesday, April 210:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1503+0+0=150346%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1501+7+24=153254%2
4/1Monday, April 110:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
150483=149349%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149919+24=150451%6
3/31Sunday, March 314:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15589+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1497+5+24=152647%10
3/30Saturday, March 309:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15591+0=155855%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1496+2+24=152245%6
3/29Friday, March 2910:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15583+0=155555%7
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1497+0+24=152145%6
3/28Thursday, March 287 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1562+424=160060%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1493+8+28=152940%12
3/21Thursday, March 215:30 a.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14923+0=148947%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
151910+0=150953%4
3/20Wednesday, March 205:30 a.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1491+103=149844%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1521+16+0=153756%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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