Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1462, the same as last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros98-53>99%
AthleticsAthletics90-607.597%<1%
RangersRangers74-7724.0
AngelsAngels68-8229.5
MarinersMariners62-8835.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1462+182=147849%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147414+24=148451%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1462+2+0=146442%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1474+20+24=151858%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146216+0=144642%
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1474+2+24=150058%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1462132=144751%
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1413+1+24=143849%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1462+4+0=146649%
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1413+35+24=147251%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1462+18+0=148054%
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+14+24=145146%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1590+442=163271%
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14624+22=148029%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1590+10+0=160068%
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146216+24=147032%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2610:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
156153=155361%
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
146213+24=147339%
9/27Friday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1561+3+0=156460%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1462+3+24=148940%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 289:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1561+3+0=156460%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1462+3+24=148940%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1561+3+0=156460%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1462+3+24=148940%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1454+1+0=145544%10
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1461+9+24=149456%11
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
145514+0=144146%1
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
146018+24=146654%2
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
1454274=142342%9
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14629+24=147758%7
9/12Thursday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149421+0=147347%11
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1465+6+24=149553%5
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1495+31+0=152654%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1463+13+24=150046%5
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
149652=148950%3
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1462+6+22=149050%4
9/8Sunday, Sept. 82:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
146413+0=145124%1
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+37+24=165076%21
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146414+0=145023%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1588+50+24=166277%2
9/6Friday, Sept. 68:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
McClain, Reggie
McClain
1466+4+0=147037%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
158746+24=156563%7
9/5Thursday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1466+161=148134%9
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158712+23=159866%11
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
146814+0=145438%1
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153418+24=154062%6
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:20 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
146933=146335%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1533+14+24=157165%5
9/1Sunday, Sept. 13:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146616+0=145045%11
TEXTEXRangers
Martin, Brett
Martin
147013+24=148155%3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
146711+0=145644%2
TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
1470+4+24=149856%3
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1468+21+0=148951%3
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14688+24=148449%6
8/29Thursday, Aug. 298:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1467134=145039%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+34+21=152561%3
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 284:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1584+11+0=159564%7
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1468+1+24=149336%3
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1583+8+0=159165%7
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147012+24=148235%0
8/26Monday, Aug. 2610 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
158293=157060%5
SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1471+6+24=150140%4
8/25Sunday, Aug. 254:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1472+18+0=149047%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1469+17+24=151053%3
8/24Saturday, Aug. 249:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1471+15+0=148651%7
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
147114+24=148149%5
8/23Friday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
147223=146746%4
SEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1469+5+22=149654%7
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 211:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gearrin, Cory
Gearrin
1470+0+0=147033%6
TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1537+31+24=159267%7
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1468+6+0=147440%7
TBTBRays
Castillo, Diego
Castillo
153918+24=154560%4
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1465+183=148042%9
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
154228+24=153858%3
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146120+0=144139%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Font, Wilmer
Font
1479+14+24=151761%0
8/17Saturday, Aug. 173:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
McClain, Reggie
McClain
1460+7+0=146745%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
14801+24=150355%3
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1462+72=146744%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Waguespack, Jacob
Waguespack
1478+6+26=151056%7
8/15Thursday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1460+7+0=146754%7
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1397+18+24=143946%2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1461+22+0=148361%2
DETDETTigers
Jackson, Edwin
Jackson
139617+24=140339%3
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1459162=144149%11
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1398+25+26=144951%6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 114:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
15416+0=153558%1
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
14603+24=148142%0
8/10Saturday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+27+0=156763%5
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14606+24=147837%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
1539492=148847%5
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1462+19+26=150753%3
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 76:40 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1478+8+0=148653%2
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146118+24=146747%3
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 610:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1476+81=148349%9
SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1463+6+22=149151%4
8/4Sunday, Aug. 42:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Tuivailala, Sam
Tuivailala
1464+7+0=147127%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1583+35+24=164273%3
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1466+22+0=148840%0
HOUHOUAstros
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
158048+24=155660%9
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146713+0=145431%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15792+21=159869%10
7/31Wednesday, July 318:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1468+0+0=146840%7
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+34+24=153860%9
7/30Tuesday, July 308:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1467+172=148248%8
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148210+22=149452%5
7/28Sunday, July 284:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1400+29+0=142941%2
SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1466+3+24=149359%3
7/27Saturday, July 274:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1402+12+0=141437%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1464+17+24=150563%8
7/26Friday, July 2610:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1403+4+0=140741%2
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146314+24=147359%3
7/25Thursday, July 2510:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
VerHagen, Drew
VerHagen
1405174=138438%2
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
146119+24=146662%10
7/24Wednesday, July 243:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1479+38+0=151752%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1460+18+24=150248%5
7/23Tuesday, July 2310:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Martin, Brett
Martin
147612+0=146447%7
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14623+24=148353%2
7/22Monday, July 2210:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1478134=146144%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1460+15+24=149956%7
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
151017+0=149352%9
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146310+24=147748%3
7/20Saturday, July 209:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1508+5+0=151353%6
SEASEAMariners
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
1465+2+24=149147%2
7/19Friday, July 1910:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1512+173=152655%0
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1461+9+23=149345%10
7/17Wednesday, July 173:37 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
146318+0=144536%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
153917+24=154664%10
7/16Tuesday, July 1610:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1465+18+0=148339%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15376+26=155761%9
7/14Sunday, July 144:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14669+0=145741%3
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151113+24=152259%6
7/13Saturday, July 139:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1468+6+0=147444%2
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150919+24=151456%9
7/12Friday, July 1210:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1472+15+4=149146%0
LAALAAAngels
Cole, Taylor
Cole
150516+28=151754%13
7/7Sunday, July 74:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15314+0=152754%7
SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1473+3+24=150046%4
7/6Saturday, July 610:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+2+0=153554%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1472+11+24=150746%6
7/5Friday, July 510:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
153253=152456%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147315+24=148244%2
7/4Thursday, July 44:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
151410+0=150450%5
SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1474+4+24=150250%4
7/3Wednesday, July 310:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15123+0=150950%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1476+11+24=151150%2
7/2Tuesday, July 210:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1513+71=151952%4
SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1475+9+22=150648%5
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1476+13+0=148933%1
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1567+21+24=161267%6
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147614+0=146227%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1566+42+24=163273%6
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1477+83=148236%1
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15659+24=158064%2
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1478+11+0=148942%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1519+6+24=154958%4
6/26Wednesday, June 268 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Carasiti, Matt
Carasiti
1477+6+0=148343%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152111+24=153457%2
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1474+142=148640%8
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1524+4+26=155460%3
6/23Sunday, June 234:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Ynoa, Gabriel
Ynoa
13974+0=139337%3
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147113+24=148263%13
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Cashner, Andrew
Cashner
1395+7+0=140237%8
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14742+24=149663%4
6/21Friday, June 2110:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Gilmartin, Sean
Gilmartin
13953+0=139233%9
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1473+16+24=151367%10
6/20Thursday, June 2010:10 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1397+153=140938%2
SEASEAMariners
Scott, Tayler
Scott
14721+24=149562%5
6/19Wednesday, June 196:40 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+22+0=146845%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1470+10+24=150455%8
6/18Tuesday, June 1810:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144215+0=142741%9
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14749+24=148959%0
6/17Monday, June 1710:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1441+93=144742%6
SEASEAMariners
Scott, Tayler
Scott
1476+3+21=150058%4
6/16Sunday, June 164:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1474+14+0=148843%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Tanner
Anderson
15206+24=153857%3
6/15Saturday, June 159:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Bautista, Gerson
Bautista
1476+5+0=148140%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1517+13+24=155460%11
6/14Friday, June 149:37 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1473+64=147540%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1521+5+22=154860%2
6/13Thursday, June 131:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
147412+0=146237%5
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
154514+24=155563%10
6/12Wednesday, June 128:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Bautista, Gerson
Bautista
1472+4+0=147635%9
MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+14+24=158565%6
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1473+122=148341%5
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154622+23=154759%6
6/9Sunday, June 94 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1470+2+0=147243%9
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
15026+24=152057%3
6/8Saturday, June 810:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1472+1+0=147344%3
LAALAAAngels
Ramirez, Noe
Ramirez
149910+24=151356%12
6/7Friday, June 710:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1470+43=147141%6
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1502+12+24=153859%2
6/6Thursday, June 63:40 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1585+42+0=162769%8
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14716+24=148931%7
6/5Wednesday, June 510:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15904+0=158663%1
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1465+7+24=149637%14
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
158911+0=157862%11
SEASEAMariners
Moore, Andrew
Moore
14672+24=148938%5
6/3Monday, June 310 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
1588493=153656%4
SEASEAMariners
Gearrin, Cory
Gearrin
1468+5+24=149744%2
6/2Sunday, June 24:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
15036+0=149748%13
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1472+12+24=150852%3
6/1Saturday, June 17:15 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1501+11+0=151253%6
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14736+24=149147%3
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1502+6+0=150851%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1472+2+24=149849%4
5/30Thursday, May 3010:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
150053=149247%9
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1475+13+24=151253%3
5/29Wednesday, May 293:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Leclerc, Jose
Leclerc
14784+0=147447%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
14762+24=149853%7
5/28Tuesday, May 2810 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147520+0=145541%11
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1479+16+24=151959%4
5/27Monday, May 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1477+113=148550%2
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
147711+21=148750%6
5/26Sunday, May 264:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1479+0+0=147941%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15226+24=154059%7
5/25Saturday, May 254:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1480+23+0=150343%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1521+8+24=155357%6
5/24Friday, May 2410 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
148232=147741%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15202+22=154059%6
5/22Wednesday, May 222:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1483+13+0=149652%1
TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
147717+24=148448%2
5/21Tuesday, May 218:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
148416+0=146844%3
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1475+7+24=150656%5
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1485+54=148643%9
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+39+24=153857%10
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1537+6+0=154352%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1483+21+24=152848%7
5/18Saturday, May 1810:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1534+15+0=154955%18
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1487+6+24=151745%4
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153115+0=151648%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1489+16+24=152952%1
5/16Thursday, May 1610 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1529173=150951%11
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149113+26=150449%6
5/14Tuesday, May 1410:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15093+0=150649%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14901+24=151351%4
5/13Monday, May 1310:10 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1510+113=151848%5
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1489+20+20=152952%6
5/12Sunday, May 121:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+16+0=150845%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Velazquez, Hector
Velazquez
155231+24=154555%11
5/11Saturday, May 111:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149319+0=147438%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
155017+24=155762%9
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149692=148538%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15485+24=156762%14
5/9Thursday, May 96:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14978+0=148937%1
NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
15647+24=158163%3
5/8Wednesday, May 86:30 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1493+9+0=150239%10
NYYNYYYankees
Loaisiga, Jonathan
Loaisiga
156815+24=157761%1
5/7Tuesday, May 76:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1494+13+0=150737%4
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1567+4+24=159563%5
5/6Monday, May 66:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1495132=148036%3
NYYNYYYankees
Sabathia, CC
Sabathia
15668+24=158264%7
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
149116+0=147543%10
CLECLEIndians
Anderson, Cody
Anderson
154845+24=152757%0
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
14926+0=148638%4
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+2+24=157362%5
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
149212=148941%1
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154616+23=155359%2
5/1Wednesday, May 16:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1528+2+0=153048%11
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1496+21+24=154152%0
4/30Tuesday, April 3010:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1527+131=153954%6
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149711+26=151246%5
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1469+2+0=147142%14
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15022+24=152458%1
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+37+0=150146%15
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15072+24=152954%1
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
146521+0=144439%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15068+24=152261%5
4/25Thursday, April 2510:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146753=145939%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1503+13+21=153761%14
4/24Wednesday, April 243:40 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150418+0=148646%0
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1482+9+24=151554%1
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
1506+3+1=151050%3
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
1480+1+26=150750%6
4/21Sunday, April 214:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1507+2+0=150946%6
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1498+12+24=153454%8
4/20Saturday, April 209:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15063+0=150346%6
LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1499+7+24=153054%5
4/19Friday, April 1910:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1504+12+0=151647%5
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1500+12+24=153653%3
4/18Thursday, April 1810:07 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1503203=148045%11
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
15029+21=151455%10
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15485+0=154353%1
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15044+24=152447%0
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
154711+0=153651%4
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1506+1+24=153149%2
4/15Monday, April 1510:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1546+204=156255%6
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15072+24=152945%4
4/14Sunday, April 144:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1580+19+0=159958%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+13+24=154542%2
4/13Saturday, April 139:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+24+0=160363%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
150919+24=151437%1
4/12Friday, April 1210:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1577152=156054%10
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1511+4+20=153546%6
4/11Thursday, April 111:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1510+3+0=151359%7
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
144216+24=145041%6
4/10Wednesday, April 108:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15093+0=150656%6
KCKCRoyals
Fillmyer, Heath
Fillmyer
1443+1+24=146844%5
4/9Tuesday, April 98:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+12+0=151956%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1444+8+24=147644%3
4/8Monday, April 88:15 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1505192=148457%13
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144630+21=143743%5
4/7Sunday, April 72:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1503+1+0=150453%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1457+3+24=148447%5
4/6Saturday, April 62:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1500+4+0=150454%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
14609+24=147546%2
4/5Friday, April 52:10 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1502+1+1=150452%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1458+10+24=149248%10
4/2Tuesday, April 210:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1503+0+0=150346%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1501+7+24=153254%2
4/1Monday, April 110:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
150483=149349%3
SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
149919+24=150451%6
3/31Sunday, March 314:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
15589+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1497+5+24=152647%10
3/30Saturday, March 309:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
15591+0=155855%5
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1496+2+24=152245%6
3/29Friday, March 2910:10 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15583+0=155555%7
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1497+0+24=152145%6
3/28Thursday, March 287 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1562+424=160060%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1493+8+28=152940%12
3/21Thursday, March 215:30 a.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
14923+0=148947%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Estrada, Marco
Estrada
151910+0=150953%4
3/20Wednesday, March 205:30 a.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1491+103=149844%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1521+16+0=153756%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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