Updated Sep. 15, 2019 at 10:22 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1429, down 4 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves93-58>99%
NationalsNationals82-669.593%<1%
MetsMets77-7215.05%
PhilliesPhillies76-7215.5<1%
MarlinsMarlins52-9740.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/16Monday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
142913=142534%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1513+4+24=154166%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 179:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+4+0=143336%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15133+24=153464%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1429+13+0=144239%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
151317+24=152061%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
1553261=152662%
MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14299+22=144238%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
155312+0=154163%
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14295+24=144837%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1553+18+0=157167%
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14291+24=145233%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+43=143035%
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
152810+21=153965%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1429+13+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1528+2+24=155466%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14299+0=142026%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1528+46+24=159874%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14295+0=142432%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1528+1+24=155368%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1429+21=143035%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1509+3+22=153465%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 286:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1429+2+0=143135%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1509+3+24=153665%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1429+2+0=143135%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1509+3+24=153665%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14307+0=142338%1
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1474+12+24=151062%2
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
142811+0=141735%4
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1475+29+24=152865%2
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1429+124=143743%0
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
147512+24=148757%1
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1519+1+0=152059%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1430+6+24=146041%2
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15173+0=151458%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1431+5+24=146042%5
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
15171+0=151660%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14319+24=144640%3
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1515113=150157%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14339+24=144843%3
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1433+11+0=144448%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1430+5+24=145952%9
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1431+3+0=143446%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+3+24=146054%2
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
1429213=140542%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+5+21=146158%0
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14332+0=143141%10
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14818+24=149759%7
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14338+0=142538%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1480+4+24=150862%6
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1432+4+0=143643%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148221+23=148457%4
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1433+7+0=144029%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1558+14+24=159671%9
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+9+0=144430%0
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1556+12+24=159270%7
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
143553=142731%6
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
155612+26=157069%7
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
150313+0=149057%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
143417+24=144143%4
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15016+0=149555%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1436+3+24=146345%0
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1499+22+0=152157%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1437+10+24=147143%5
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+303=152557%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1439+11+24=147443%3
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+43+0=155264%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14378+24=145336%3
8/24Saturday, Aug. 246:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150718+0=148953%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1440+4+24=146847%3
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151011=150861%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
143623+21=143439%19
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14365+0=143129%2
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1534+29+24=158771%3
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1438+10+0=144834%0
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1532+6+24=156266%5
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1439111=142731%1
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1531+5+26=156269%5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 183:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
14391+0=143841%6
COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
149418+24=150059%7
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
144117+0=142433%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1492+28+24=154467%11
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144284=143035%0
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1491+17+26=153465%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 153:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1596+14+0=161069%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1438+10+24=147231%13
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1594+8+0=160270%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14406+24=145830%1
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
1591362=155362%15
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1443+1+26=147038%1
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
15291+0=152861%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
144317+24=145039%4
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1531+28+0=155965%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144213+24=145335%7
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+14+0=154359%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+14+24=148141%4
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1533+104=153963%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144014+21=144737%9
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 712:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1441+3+0=144439%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152122+24=152361%7
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
144312+0=143134%0
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1520+5+24=154966%5
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144315+0=142840%4
NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
151946+24=149760%5
8/5Monday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
1444133=142829%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1518+42+22=158271%6
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1446+17+0=146336%2
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15403+24=156164%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 36:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14479+0=143835%6
TBTBRays
Castillo, Diego
Castillo
153916+23=154665%8
8/1Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1541+1+0=154261%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
14452+24=146739%5
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1540+17+0=155764%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144613+24=145736%4
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1539+01=153859%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1447+4+24=147541%1
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15136+0=150754%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1445+13+24=148246%11
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+8+0=152360%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144211+24=145540%5
7/27Saturday, July 276:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15133+0=151055%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1445+3+24=147245%2
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1515+392=155264%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144314+23=145236%3
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
14427+0=143543%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1457+4+24=148557%0
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1440+10+0=145047%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
145913+24=147053%1
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
144274=143145%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14579+21=146955%9
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1443+11+0=145427%0
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1586+13+24=162373%9
7/20Saturday, July 209:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144410+0=143426%6
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1586+5+24=161574%10
7/19Friday, July 1910:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1445114=143025%1
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1585+14+20=161975%2
7/18Thursday, July 1812:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1478+8+0=148652%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1444+8+24=147648%4
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1477+21+0=149855%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14456+24=146345%2
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Allen, Logan
Allen
147932=147449%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1442+11+26=147951%12
7/14Sunday, July 141:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1500+43+0=154362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14449+24=145938%2
7/13Saturday, July 136:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1498+3+0=150156%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144512+24=145744%2
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15015+4=150053%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+6+28=147747%8
7/7Sunday, July 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14434+0=143933%3
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+12+24=156667%4
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1442+6+0=144834%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1532+8+24=156466%4
7/5Friday, July 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1442+33=144233%0
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1531+7+24=156267%1
7/4Thursday, July 411:05 a.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144311+0=143235%2
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153012+24=154265%5
7/3Wednesday, July 36:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144410+0=143433%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1530+7+24=156167%3
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144591=143533%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1529+4+24=155767%3
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15116+0=150555%13
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14472+24=146945%6
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1513+4+0=151756%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1445+6+24=147544%9
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151553=150758%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144315+24=145242%6
6/27Thursday, June 277 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1528+9+0=153761%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14447+24=146139%5
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1527+1+0=152860%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144514+24=145540%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+441=156864%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1447+1+23=147136%1
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1445+3+0=144840%6
PHIPHIPhillies
De Los Santos, Enyel
De Los Santos
151221+24=151560%4
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144316+0=142736%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151410+24=152864%3
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1442103=142932%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1515+20+22=155768%1
6/20Thursday, June 207:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144018+0=142234%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15207+24=153766%6
6/19Wednesday, June 198:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1441+0+0=144135%1
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1520+5+24=154965%2
6/18Tuesday, June 188:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
14376+0=143132%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1523+14+24=156168%0
6/17Monday, June 178:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1438183=141731%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1522+11+21=155469%5
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14854+0=148154%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14397+24=145646%4
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14866+0=148052%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1438+5+24=146748%4
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1482113=146849%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1442+5+26=147351%0
6/12Wednesday, June 127:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1523+14+0=153763%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
143715+24=144637%9
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15218+0=151360%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
143922+24=144140%1
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1520143=150356%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14416+24=145944%1
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1516+3+0=151957%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1442+2+24=146843%6
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+15+0=153058%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1442+4+24=147042%0
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+303=154061%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1444+1+21=146639%1
6/6Thursday, June 62:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1446+11+0=145738%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
152710+24=154162%5
6/5Wednesday, June 57:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144212+0=143031%8
MILMILBrewers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
1530+15+24=156969%3
6/4Tuesday, June 47:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
143532=143031%16
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1537+7+24=156869%0
6/2Sunday, June 26:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1432+0+0=143237%9
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1486+15+24=152563%3
6/1Saturday, June 110 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1429+3+0=143242%9
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148925+24=148858%3
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1430+154=144140%2
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1488+1+22=151160%5
5/30Thursday, May 301:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
144620+0=142648%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
143213+24=144352%1
5/29Wednesday, May 297:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1447+29+0=147654%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14304+24=145046%4
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1451+62=145551%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14272+21=144649%11
5/27Monday, May 271 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1425+1+0=142630%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1515+31+24=157070%2
5/26Sunday, May 261:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1427+22+0=144943%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151440+24=149857%9
5/25Saturday, May 254:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142810+0=141831%0
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1512+17+24=155369%5
5/24Friday, May 247:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1429+02=142739%10
WSHWSHNationals
McGowin, Kyle
McGowin
151129+22=150461%12
5/23Thursday, May 231:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14275+0=142242%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1428+27+24=147958%2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14251+0=142445%6
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1429+3+24=145655%3
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1424+211=144445%5
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1431+21+26=147855%4
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+11+0=152164%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142222+24=142436%3
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151214+0=149858%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14203+24=144142%2
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+463=155766%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14181+26=144334%8
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153719+0=151861%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1419+0+24=144339%0
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+13+0=154961%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1420+24+26=147039%0
5/11Saturday, May 117 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142117+0=140426%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+44+24=158274%4
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1423+93=142934%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+12+22=154666%11
5/9Thursday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14241+0=142333%1
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153718+24=154367%4
5/8Wednesday, May 87:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14246+0=141830%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+8+24=156870%3
5/7Tuesday, May 78 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+18+0=144333%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1535+7+24=156667%5
5/6Monday, May 68:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1424183=140328%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+9+24=157072%5
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+4+0=151959%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1425+4+24=145341%1
5/4Saturday, May 46:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+6+0=151960%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14271+24=145040%2
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+73=151559%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14281+26=145341%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15489+0=153960%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1427+17+24=146840%4
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+221=156867%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14288+23=144333%4
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1429+3+0=143236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+24=152964%5
4/27Saturday, April 276:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+2+0=143234%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1519+3+24=154666%12
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+0=142735%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15179+24=153265%4
4/25Thursday, April 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+122=143932%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+29+23=157268%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14307+0=142337%2
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154555+24=151463%6
4/23Tuesday, April 236:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
142831=142430%3
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+1+26=157470%1
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+3+0=153561%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+4+24=145839%0
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+35+0=157167%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14262+24=144833%9
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1537163=151858%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+10+26=146142%3
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1521+12+0=153362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14275+24=144638%0
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15191+0=151860%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14285+24=144740%0
4/15Monday, April 157:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
151781=150857%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+8+24=146243%2
4/14Sunday, April 141:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15206+0=151459%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+24=145141%1
4/13Saturday, April 136:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15237+0=151658%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+7+24=145942%10
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152111=151959%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1430+3+21=145441%1
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14323+0=142938%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+0+24=151562%5
4/10Wednesday, April 106:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1432+5+0=143742%1
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149021+24=149358%2
4/9Tuesday, April 96:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14351+0=143435%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1488+27+24=153965%14
4/7Sunday, April 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+6+0=144237%3
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15167+24=153363%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1434+7+0=144138%4
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151815+24=152762%2
4/5Friday, April 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+11=143534%0
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1517+7+24=154866%4
4/3Wednesday, April 36:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1528+55+0=158366%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+3+24=146334%4
4/2Tuesday, April 27:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152729+0=149855%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+1+24=146245%5
4/1Monday, April 17:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1525213=150155%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+2+24=146545%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
151511+0=150457%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14374+24=145743%3
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15181+0=151758%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1434+0+24=145842%7
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+21+0=153760%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+3+24=146340%1
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1515+224=153359%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+8+24=146941%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

Comments