Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins have a <1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1424, up 4 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
PhilliesPhillies28-1962%46%
BravesBraves26-222.550%33%
MetsMets21-256.522%11%
NationalsNationals19-289.020%10%
MarlinsMarlins13-3113.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1424+211=144445%
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1431+21+29=148155%
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14241+0=142345%
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1431+2+24=145755%
5/23Thursday, May 231:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14245+0=141941%
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1431+27+24=148259%
5/24Friday, May 247:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1424+12=142339%
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151639+22=149961%
5/25Saturday, May 254:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142411+0=141331%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1516+16+24=155669%
5/26Sunday, May 261:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1424+21+0=144537%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153963%
5/27Monday, May 271 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14241+0=142330%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1516+30+24=157070%
5/28Tuesday, May 287:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1461+42=146353%
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14245+21=144047%
5/29Wednesday, May 297:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+24+0=148555%
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1424+1+24=144945%
5/30Thursday, May 301:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
14617+0=145452%
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142411+24=143748%
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1424+214=144143%
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
148313+22=149257%
6/1Saturday, June 110:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142438%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150862%
6/2Sunday, June 26:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142438%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150862%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+02=142231%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156469%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156469%
6/6Thursday, June 62:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142431%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156469%
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+33=151860%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+21=144540%
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152160%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144840%
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152160%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144840%
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152613=152260%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144840%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152561%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
6/12Wednesday, June 127:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152561%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149356%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+26=145044%
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149657%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144843%
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149657%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144843%
6/17Monday, June 178:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142133%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+21=154667%
6/18Tuesday, June 188:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154967%
6/19Wednesday, June 198:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154967%
6/20Thursday, June 207:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154967%
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142132%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154968%
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
151611=151459%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+23=144741%
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151559%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
6/27Thursday, June 277:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151559%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152461%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+01=142334%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153966%
7/3Wednesday, July 36:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142434%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153966%
7/4Thursday, July 411:05 a.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142434%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153966%
7/5Friday, July 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142133%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154567%
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154567%
7/7Sunday, July 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154567%
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+4=151559%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+28=145241%
7/13Saturday, July 136:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151159%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
7/14Sunday, July 141:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151159%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148255%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+26=145045%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144845%
7/18Thursday, July 1812:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144845%
7/19Friday, July 1910:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+04=142027%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+20=159473%
7/20Saturday, July 209:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142427%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159873%
7/21Sunday, July 214:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142427%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159873%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+04=142042%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+21=147758%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142442%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148058%
7/24Wednesday, July 248:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142442%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+24=148058%
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150859%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+23=144741%
7/27Saturday, July 276:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151059%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151059%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151059%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+01=153662%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
7/31Wednesday, July 317:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 36:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142432%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+23=156068%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142431%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156169%
8/5Monday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142134%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+22=153366%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153565%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153565%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 712:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153565%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+34=151760%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+21=144540%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152160%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144840%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152160%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144840%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152160%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144840%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157267%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+26=145033%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157467%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144833%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 153:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157467%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144833%
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+04=142034%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+26=153666%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153465%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 183:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153465%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+01=142333%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+26=154767%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154567%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154567%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152661%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+21=144539%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 246:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149957%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144843%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144842%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144842%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144842%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142133%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+26=154167%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142434%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153966%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142434%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153966%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142437%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+23=151963%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142436%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152064%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142436%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152064%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
144913=144550%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+21=144550%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 76:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144850%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144850%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14491+0=144850%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144850%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153762%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144838%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154063%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144837%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154063%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144837%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154063%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144837%
9/13Friday, Sept. 1310:15 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+04=142041%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148759%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 149:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142441%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148759%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142441%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148759%
9/16Monday, Sept. 169:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142134%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153466%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 179:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153465%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153465%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
151611=151460%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+22=144640%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151559%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151559%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144841%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142135%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+21=153265%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153565%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153565%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142435%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153565%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+01=142333%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154967%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 286:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+11+0=152164%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142222+24=142436%3
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151214+0=149858%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14203+24=144142%2
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+463=155766%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14181+26=144334%8
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Stanek, Ryne
Stanek
153719+0=151861%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1419+0+24=144339%0
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.TBTBRays
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1536+13+0=154961%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1420+24+26=147039%0
5/11Saturday, May 117 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142117+0=140426%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+44+24=158274%4
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1423+93=142934%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+12+22=154666%11
5/9Thursday, May 92:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14241+0=142333%1
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153718+24=154367%4
5/8Wednesday, May 87:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14246+0=141830%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+8+24=156870%3
5/7Tuesday, May 78 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+18+0=144333%2
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1535+7+24=156667%5
5/6Monday, May 68:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1424183=140328%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1537+9+24=157072%5
5/5Sunday, May 51:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1515+4+0=151959%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1425+4+24=145341%1
5/4Saturday, May 46:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1513+6+0=151960%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14271+24=145040%2
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1511+73=151559%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14281+26=145341%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15489+0=153960%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1427+17+24=146840%4
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1547+221=156867%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14288+23=144333%4
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1429+3+0=143236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+24=152964%5
4/27Saturday, April 276:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+2+0=143234%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1519+3+24=154666%12
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+0=142735%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15179+24=153265%4
4/25Thursday, April 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+122=143932%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+29+23=157268%1
4/24Wednesday, April 241:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14307+0=142337%2
CLECLEIndians
Rodriguez, Jefry
Rodriguez
154555+24=151463%6
4/23Tuesday, April 236:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
142831=142430%3
CLECLEIndians
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1547+1+26=157470%1
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+3+0=153561%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+4+24=145839%0
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+35+0=157167%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14262+24=144833%9
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1537163=151858%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+10+26=146142%3
4/17Wednesday, April 177:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1521+12+0=153362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14275+24=144638%0
4/16Tuesday, April 167:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15191+0=151860%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14285+24=144740%0
4/15Monday, April 157:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
151781=150857%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+8+24=146243%2
4/14Sunday, April 141:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15206+0=151459%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+24=145141%1
4/13Saturday, April 136:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15237+0=151658%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+7+24=145942%10
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152111=151959%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1430+3+21=145441%1
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14323+0=142938%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+0+24=151562%5
4/10Wednesday, April 106:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1432+5+0=143742%1
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149021+24=149358%2
4/9Tuesday, April 96:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14351+0=143435%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1488+27+24=153965%14
4/7Sunday, April 71:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+6+0=144237%3
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15167+24=153363%4
4/6Saturday, April 67:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1434+7+0=144138%4
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151815+24=152762%2
4/5Friday, April 57:20 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1435+11=143534%0
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1517+7+24=154866%4
4/3Wednesday, April 36:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1528+55+0=158366%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+3+24=146334%4
4/2Tuesday, April 27:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152729+0=149855%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+1+24=146245%5
4/1Monday, April 17:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1525213=150155%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+2+24=146545%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
151511+0=150457%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14374+24=145743%3
3/30Saturday, March 306:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15181+0=151758%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1434+0+24=145842%7
3/29Friday, March 297:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1516+21+0=153760%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+3+24=146340%1
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1515+224=153359%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+8+24=146941%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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