Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets have a 4% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1529, down 1 point from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves94-60>99%
NationalsNationals83-689.593%<1%
MetsMets79-7314.04%
PhilliesPhillies78-7314.51%
MarlinsMarlins53-9940.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1529+461=157455%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1500+17+24=154145%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1529+2+0=153151%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1500+3+24=152749%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152916+0=151349%
CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1500+0+24=152451%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1431+33=143134%
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15293+21=154766%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1431+9+0=144034%
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
15291+24=155266%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14318+0=142327%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1529+46+24=159973%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14314+0=142732%
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1529+2+24=155568%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1546+61=155152%
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152916+24=153748%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
15461+0=154549%
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15293+24=155051%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1546+4+0=155050%
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
15291+24=155250%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 183:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1528+2+0=153055%7
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148011+24=149345%4
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15269+0=151754%6
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
148214+24=149246%1
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1528114=151354%4
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
148017+24=148746%9
9/15Sunday, Sept. 157 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1588+19+0=160758%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15293+24=155042%2
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1589+1+0=159049%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1527+43+24=159451%3
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1587+52=159054%9
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1530+6+24=156046%2
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
1518+7+0=152548%1
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
152710+24=154152%11
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1521+10+0=153149%0
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152412+24=153651%9
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1522+23+0=154550%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15223+24=154350%3
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1523123=150839%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+43+24=158861%3
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15107+0=150342%10
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1523+11+24=155858%7
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150710+0=149743%5
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15264+24=154657%0
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1508133=149244%4
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152512+24=153756%5
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 41:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15234+0=151943%8
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
155713+24=156857%4
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1524+44+0=156843%10
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1557+39+24=162057%11
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1522+32=152345%7
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
155924+24=155955%3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 17 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15233+0=152051%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150517+24=151249%5
8/31Saturday, Aug. 314:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152110+0=151147%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1506+4+24=153453%3
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
151841=151341%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+43+26=157959%5
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153218+0=151439%4
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+47+24=159261%1
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+21+0=155249%10
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1522+14+24=156051%7
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1529+81=153649%5
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15244+26=154651%2
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1537+3+0=154051%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152516+24=153349%1
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1535+6+0=154149%9
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15273+24=154851%5
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
153443=152741%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1528+42+24=159459%1
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
155513+0=154247%0
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1527+11+24=156253%2
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155636+0=152046%3
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15262+24=154854%4
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1559+20+1=158057%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152317+23=152943%9
8/18Sunday, Aug. 182:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+0+0=152161%11
KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
143916+24=144739%5
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1520+41+0=156162%4
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1440+12+24=147638%1
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1522+113=153058%1
KCKCRoyals
Montgomery, Mike
Montgomery
1438+7+26=147142%4
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1520+1+0=152143%10
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1532+13+24=156957%8
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152120+0=150142%4
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15311+24=155458%6
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+71=152946%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1530+7+23=156054%5
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153513+0=152240%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1525+42+24=159160%4
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1536+8+0=154448%3
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+10+24=155852%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1537+102=154549%6
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1523+3+26=155251%7
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 712:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1441+3+0=144439%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152122+24=152361%7
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
144312+0=143134%0
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1520+5+24=154966%5
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144315+0=142840%4
NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
151946+24=149760%5
8/5Monday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
1444133=142829%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1518+42+22=158271%6
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1515+6+0=152150%13
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1486+12+24=152250%2
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1513+6+0=151951%7
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1487+2+24=151349%5
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1515212=149245%4
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1485+15+24=152455%8
8/1Thursday, Aug. 12:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1513+0+0=151357%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
144911+24=146243%0
7/31Wednesday, July 318:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1512+41+0=155358%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1450+26+24=150042%2
7/30Tuesday, July 308:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1511+31=151354%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1452+10+26=148846%2
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1486+3+0=148945%7
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151010+24=152455%8
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1488+12+0=150049%0
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150825+24=150751%3
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
1489+82=149545%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+3+24=153455%6
7/25Thursday, July 2512:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1479+3+0=148238%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1505+41+24=157062%4
7/24Wednesday, July 247:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1477+7+0=148442%7
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1508+6+24=153858%2
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1478+281=150548%2
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
150612+22=151652%5
7/21Sunday, July 214:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150726+0=148147%2
SFSFGiants
Menez, Conner
Menez
14836+24=150153%3
7/20Saturday, July 204:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
150446+0=145842%11
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1486+7+24=151758%4
7/19Friday, July 1910:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1505+40+0=154557%0
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14859+24=150043%1
7/18Thursday, July 189:45 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1506+64=150848%2
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1484+21+21=152652%3
7/17Wednesday, July 171:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
150210+0=149242%14
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154119+24=154658%4
7/16Tuesday, July 168:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1501252=147437%3
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15421+23=156463%2
7/14Sunday, July 141:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1500+43+0=154362%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14449+24=145938%2
7/13Saturday, July 136:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1498+3+0=150156%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144512+24=145744%2
7/12Friday, July 127:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15015+4=150053%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1443+6+28=147747%8
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+39+0=155152%8
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1503+11+24=153848%3
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15136+0=150746%5
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1502+6+24=153254%6
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151163=150240%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1505+41+26=157260%2
7/3Wednesday, July 37 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15798+0=157157%5
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15066+24=152443%1
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1581+5+0=158657%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1505+7+26=153843%4
6/30Sunday, June 307 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1530+9+0=153951%5
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1503+9+24=153649%8
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1529+10+0=153955%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150427+24=150145%4
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1527+303=155448%6
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1506+43+23=157252%2
6/27Thursday, June 271:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+4+0=151143%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1514+25+24=156357%6
6/26Wednesday, June 267:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15089+0=149946%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15138+24=152954%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
150946+0=146340%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15123+24=153360%7
6/24Monday, June 247:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1511193=148942%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1510+9+24=154358%13
6/23Sunday, June 232:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1512+42+0=155447%3
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1532+20+24=157653%5
6/22Saturday, June 222:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
15091+0=150843%10
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15354+24=155557%2
6/21Friday, June 212:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15089+0=149942%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15376+24=155558%4
6/20Thursday, June 208:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
1509433=146341%4
CHCCHCCubs
Chatwood, Tyler
Chatwood
153530+24=152959%7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151115+0=149642%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1524+2+24=155058%7
6/18Tuesday, June 187:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1508+39+0=154746%10
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1527+21+24=157254%2
6/17Monday, June 177:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1510+13=150840%3
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1525+28+24=157760%12
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15211+0=152049%4
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151111+24=152451%3
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152211+0=151146%7
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+8+24=154254%8
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1520+4+0=152451%9
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151216+24=152049%5
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1519+143=153043%5
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1513+37+25=157557%4
6/11Tuesday, June 117 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151012+0=149834%10
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1572+15+24=161166%4
6/11Tuesday, June 111:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+7+1=152038%5
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1570+11+24=160562%12
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
151820+0=149844%1
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+3+24=153756%6
6/8Saturday, June 87:15 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1520+7+0=152752%3
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150818+24=151448%5
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1517143=150040%5
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1511+37+24=157260%1
6/6Thursday, June 612:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
1452+3+0=145538%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1509+9+24=154262%7
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
145415+0=143939%0
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
150717+24=151461%7
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1451+28+0=147942%9
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+5+22=153758%3
6/2Sunday, June 24:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151314+0=149948%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151020+24=151452%7
6/1Saturday, June 110:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+36+0=155047%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+38+24=157153%6
5/31Friday, May 319:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1513+102=152151%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
151019+21=151249%4
5/30Thursday, May 3010 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151420+0=149433%0
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1576+13+24=161367%2
5/29Wednesday, May 2910:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1514+6+0=152037%8
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1576+15+24=161563%9
5/28Tuesday, May 2810:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151214+0=149835%7
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1578+2+24=160465%3
5/27Monday, May 278 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1513+404=154943%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1577+5+20=160257%9
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1427+17+0=144436%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1513+10+24=154764%4
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Carpenter, Ryan
Carpenter
142735+0=139233%4
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151220+24=151667%5
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
1426122=141231%9
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1514+12+24=155069%8
5/23Thursday, May 2312:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1513+20+0=153352%4
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151216+24=152048%6
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1515+30+0=154546%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1510+39+24=157354%6
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151642+0=147440%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1509+10+24=154360%6
5/20Monday, May 207:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1517+212=153653%3
NYMNYMMets
Font, Wilmer
Font
150816+21=151347%5
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1510+11+0=152164%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142222+24=142436%3
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151214+0=149858%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14203+24=144142%2
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+463=155766%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14181+26=144334%8
5/16Thursday, May 161:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1515+12+0=152751%6
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151922+24=152149%7
5/15Wednesday, May 157:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Font, Wilmer
Font
15169+0=150743%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1517+16+24=155757%5
5/14Tuesday, May 147:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1515+4+3=152252%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151934+22=150748%2
5/11Saturday, May 117 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142117+0=140426%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+44+24=158274%4
5/10Friday, May 107:10 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1423+93=142934%2
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+12+22=154666%11
5/8Wednesday, May 83:40 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Font, Wilmer
Font
15136+0=150747%2
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1490+13+24=152753%3
5/7Tuesday, May 710:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1512+9+0=152152%7
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14916+24=150948%6
5/6Monday, May 610 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1514+444=155453%0
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1489+23+24=153647%4
5/5Sunday, May 52:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151526+0=148940%2
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1528+11+24=156360%3
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+8+0=152446%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15272+24=154954%4
5/3Friday, May 38:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1517153=149943%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1525+0+24=154957%3
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149826+0=147240%0
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1516+4+24=154460%1
5/1Wednesday, May 17 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14974+0=149337%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1518+44+24=158663%0
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+30+0=152852%3
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151725+24=151648%4
4/29Monday, April 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149763=148841%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1518+12+24=155459%4
4/28Sunday, April 281:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15304+0=152650%2
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151615+24=152550%5
4/27Saturday, April 277:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15294+0=152546%8
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1518+11+24=155354%6
4/26Friday, April 267:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1525+131=153742%10
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1521+48+26=159558%2
4/24Wednesday, April 247 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15171+0=151650%6
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152429+24=151950%0
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152013+0=150744%0
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+7+24=155256%9
4/22Monday, April 227 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1522+64=152450%1
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151918+21=152250%5
4/21Sunday, April 212:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1521+16+0=153751%4
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153126+24=152949%6
4/20Saturday, April 202:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
152267+0=145534%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+15+24=156866%10
4/19Friday, April 198:15 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1521301=149042%5
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15309+24=154558%4
4/17Wednesday, April 171:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1522+5+0=152746%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1523+5+24=155254%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152512+0=151348%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152015+24=152952%14
4/15Monday, April 157 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+163=153744%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+35+21=157756%6
4/14Sunday, April 147 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+48+0=157454%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1519+6+24=154946%7
4/13Saturday, April 137:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152830+0=149844%7
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15175+24=153656%11
4/12Friday, April 127:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1526+0+0=152648%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15195+24=153852%2
4/11Thursday, April 117:20 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1524173=150443%6
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1521+11+23=155557%3
4/10Wednesday, April 107:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1515+3+0=151844%6
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1523+14+24=156156%9
4/9Tuesday, April 97:10 p.m.MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1511+4+1=151637%14
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1526+58+26=161063%8
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+36+0=156952%12
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1528+4+24=155648%9
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1534+9+2=154552%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152623+26=152948%6
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+82=153847%4
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1529+10+21=156053%0
4/3Wednesday, April 36:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1528+55+0=158366%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1436+3+24=146334%4
4/2Tuesday, April 27:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152729+0=149855%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1437+1+24=146245%5
4/1Monday, April 17:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1525213=150155%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1439+2+24=146545%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1526+7+0=153345%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+10+24=156755%6
3/30Saturday, March 301:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+11+2=153746%11
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1535+8+26=156954%8
3/28Thursday, March 281:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1523+522=157347%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+37+24=159753%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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