Updated Aug. 22, 2019 at 1:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals have an 84% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1550, up 7 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves76-52>99%82%
NationalsNationals69-576.084%16%
MetsMets66-609.038%2%
PhilliesPhillies66-609.023%<1%
MarlinsMarlins45-8029.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1550+47+0=159763%
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1470+12+24=150637%
8/23Friday, Aug. 232:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1550182=153048%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153514+24=154552%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 242:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
155020+0=153045%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1535+9+24=156855%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1550+11+0=156150%
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1535+1+24=156050%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
140714+1=139425%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1550+13+23=158675%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1407+6+0=141323%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1550+47+24=162177%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1436103=142332%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
155018+26=155868%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1436+9+0=144535%
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
155020+24=155465%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14365+0=143129%
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1550+11+24=158571%
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1527+62=153143%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157957%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1527+6+0=153343%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157957%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 41:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1527+6+0=153343%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157957%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+53=155248%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+7+26=156752%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155549%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+7+24=156551%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155549%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+7+24=156551%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155549%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+7+24=156551%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+51=155448%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+26=156752%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155549%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156551%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155549%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156551%
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+72=153945%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+21=157655%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 144:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+7+0=154145%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157955%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1534+7+0=154145%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157955%
9/16Monday, Sept. 167:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+53=155250%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155350%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155550%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155350%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 181:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155550%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155350%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+51=155464%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14364+22=145436%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155564%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14364+24=145636%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+0=155564%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14364+24=145636%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+22=151041%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+21=157659%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 241:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151241%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157959%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151241%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157959%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151241%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157959%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151241%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157959%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
155553=154745%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157955%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 284:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15555+0=155046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157954%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15555+0=155046%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1550+5+24=157954%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1547+9+0=155657%11
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1473+12+24=150943%1
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1549+9+0=155857%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1471+12+24=150743%4
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1545202=152353%13
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1475+5+24=150447%0
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1515+15+0=153051%8
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
154241+24=152549%16
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151420+0=149441%15
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
154313+24=155459%14
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1514121=150139%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1543+9+26=157861%2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 144:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1508+18+0=152643%7
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1540+10+24=157457%17
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
150910+0=149945%1
WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
153826+24=153655%3
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
151082=150048%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153744+22=151552%7
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153513+0=152240%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1525+42+24=159160%4
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1536+8+0=154448%3
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+10+24=155852%4
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1537+102=154549%6
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1523+3+26=155251%7
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 73:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
153630+0=150652%4
SFSFGiants
Anderson, Shaun
Anderson
147812+24=149048%1
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 69:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153413+0=152153%5
SFSFGiants
Menez, Conner
Menez
14802+24=150247%3
8/5Monday, Aug. 59:45 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1532473=148245%4
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1482+15+21=151855%0
8/4Sunday, Aug. 44:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1534+12+0=154655%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
151325+24=151245%7
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+19+0=155752%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1510+6+24=154048%18
8/2Friday, Aug. 29:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1536352=149946%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
15116+22=152754%0
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1530+25+0=155551%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153713+24=154849%4
7/30Tuesday, July 307 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+15+0=154353%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153843+24=151947%8
7/29Monday, July 297 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1530+132=154146%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1537+6+24=156754%6
7/28Sunday, July 281:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1588+15+0=160355%4
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1534+12+24=157045%11
7/27Saturday, July 274:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1586+7+0=159360%9
WSHWSHNationals
Grace, Matt
Grace
153634+24=152640%3
7/26Friday, July 267:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1585+132=159658%4
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153718+24=154342%2
7/25Thursday, July 254:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
149713+0=148433%8
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1538+48+24=161067%7
7/24Wednesday, July 247:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
14982+0=149640%0
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1537+7+24=156860%2
7/24Wednesday, July 241:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1499+16+0=151549%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153642+24=151851%3
7/23Tuesday, July 237:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15019+0=149239%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1534+11+23=156861%11
7/21Sunday, July 217 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
153634+0=150244%1
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15289+24=154356%7
7/20Saturday, July 207:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153416+0=151841%5
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+30+24=158359%3
7/19Friday, July 197:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1535+8+0=154347%3
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1528+10+24=156253%4
7/18Thursday, July 187:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+113=154049%13
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
15327+21=154651%4
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
153545+0=149059%2
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
1400+3+24=142741%9
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153340+1=149462%8
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
140220+26=140838%1
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153415+0=151949%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151111+24=152451%4
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+8+0=154145%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+39+24=157655%3
7/12Friday, July 126:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1531+10+5=154652%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151512+30=153348%0
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1440+3+0=144334%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1530+4+24=155866%5
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Sparkman, Glenn
Sparkman
144113+0=142827%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1529+47+24=160073%6
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1439+133=144940%7
WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153136+24=151960%4
7/4Thursday, July 411:05 a.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144311+0=143235%2
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153012+24=154265%5
7/3Wednesday, July 36:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
144410+0=143433%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1530+7+24=156167%3
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144591=143533%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1529+4+24=155767%3
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1528+46+0=157469%2
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
141710+24=143131%1
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
153032+0=149860%5
DETDETTigers
Soto, Gregory
Soto
141513+24=142640%7
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1529113=151560%3
DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1416+3+24=144340%1
6/27Thursday, June 277 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1528+9+0=153761%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14447+24=146139%5
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1527+1+0=152860%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
144514+24=145540%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+441=156864%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1447+1+23=147136%1
6/23Sunday, June 231:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1527+29+0=155656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Voth, Austin
Voth
152635+24=151544%3
6/22Saturday, June 227:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1525+5+0=153048%13
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15289+24=154352%9
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1526+121=153746%3
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1527+12+24=156354%4
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15176+0=151150%4
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152639+24=151150%7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15188+0=151039%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+41+24=159061%2
6/19Wednesday, June 191:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1520+8+2=153047%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1523+0+29=155253%6
6/16Sunday, June 161:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bradley, Archie
Bradley
152320+0=150346%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
15209+24=153554%15
6/15Saturday, June 154:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
152028+0=149239%10
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1523+20+24=156761%3
6/14Friday, June 147:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1521+9+0=153042%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1522+40+24=158658%7
6/13Thursday, June 137:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1520+312=154955%5
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152436+23=151145%0
6/11Tuesday, June 118:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1525+3+0=152860%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Banuelos, Manny
Banuelos
146228+24=145840%7
6/10Monday, June 108:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1522134=150555%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
146517+22=147045%1
6/9Sunday, June 94:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1521+17+0=153859%5
SDSDPadres
Perdomo, Luis
Perdomo
148329+24=147841%2
6/8Saturday, June 810 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1519+37+0=155657%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
1485+0+24=150943%1
6/7Friday, June 710:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152137+0=148451%4
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
148429+24=147949%5
6/6Thursday, June 610:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1522+94=152752%4
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1482+6+24=151248%5
6/5Wednesday, June 51:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Covey, Dylan
Covey
14648+0=145639%4
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152115+24=153061%6
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1465+01=146436%5
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1519+21+24=156464%9
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1518+31+0=154952%4
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1506+6+24=153648%1
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151637+0=147942%5
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1508+4+24=153658%2
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1519+19+0=153853%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150618+26=151447%9
5/29Wednesday, May 297:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151422+0=149242%14
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1520+2+24=154658%4
5/28Tuesday, May 287:20 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1513+203=153047%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+8+24=155353%4
5/27Monday, May 271 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
1425+1+0=142630%3
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1515+31+24=157070%2
5/26Sunday, May 261:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1427+22+0=144943%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151440+24=149857%9
5/25Saturday, May 254:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
142810+0=141831%0
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1512+17+24=155369%5
5/24Friday, May 247:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1429+02=142739%10
WSHWSHNationals
McGowin, Kyle
McGowin
151129+22=150461%12
5/23Thursday, May 2312:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1513+20+0=153352%4
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151216+24=152048%6
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1515+30+0=154546%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1510+39+24=157354%6
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151642+0=147440%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1509+10+24=154360%6
5/20Monday, May 207:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1517+212=153653%3
NYMNYMMets
Font, Wilmer
Font
150816+21=151347%5
5/19Sunday, May 197 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1538+16+0=155457%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151838+24=150443%5
5/18Saturday, May 187:15 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1539+6+0=154548%2
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1516+16+24=155652%5
5/17Friday, May 177:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+82=154245%14
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1520+31+24=157555%6
5/16Thursday, May 161:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1515+12+0=152751%6
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
151922+24=152149%7
5/15Wednesday, May 157:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Font, Wilmer
Font
15169+0=150743%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1517+16+24=155757%5
5/14Tuesday, May 147:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1515+4+3=152252%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151934+22=150748%2
5/12Sunday, May 124:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1521+15+0=153641%0
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1567+8+24=159959%6
5/11Saturday, May 119:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1519+32+0=155142%5
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1569+17+24=161058%2
5/10Friday, May 1010:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152018+0=150240%0
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156817+24=157560%5
5/9Thursday, May 910:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1517+124=152540%6
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1571+1+24=159660%0
5/8Wednesday, May 81:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
151929+0=149041%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15321+24=155559%7
5/7Tuesday, May 77:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1521+14+0=153550%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153019+24=153550%6
5/6Monday, May 67:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1523+303=155048%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1528+13+24=156552%5
5/5Sunday, May 52:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152520+0=150546%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152011+24=153354%7
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1523+13+0=153649%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15211+24=154451%8
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1525312=149243%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15203+26=154357%4
5/2Thursday, May 24:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
154029+0=151143%1
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1524+12+24=156057%2
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1538+12+0=155045%5
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1526+32+24=158255%1
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153711+0=152649%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152720+24=153151%2
4/29Monday, April 297:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153533=152944%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1529+19+24=157256%3
4/28Sunday, April 281:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14874+0=148344%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
152827+24=152556%7
4/27Saturday, April 274:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148411+0=147337%8
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1531+9+24=156463%3
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1483+82=148937%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+29+22=158363%3
4/24Wednesday, April 243:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153417+0=151744%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1507+27+24=155856%9
4/23Tuesday, April 238:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+17+0=155057%6
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
150831+24=150143%3
4/22Monday, April 228:40 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1534254=150548%5
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
150710+24=152152%7
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+3+0=153561%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+4+24=145839%0
4/20Saturday, April 206:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+35+0=157167%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14262+24=144833%9
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1537163=151858%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1425+10+26=146142%3
4/18Thursday, April 181:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
146612+0=145434%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1536+12+24=157266%4
4/17Wednesday, April 177:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
14673+0=146440%6
WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153523+24=153660%9
4/16Tuesday, April 167:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1464+122=147437%7
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1538+4+26=156863%3
4/14Sunday, April 141:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1501+14+0=151538%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1539+35+24=159862%3
4/13Saturday, April 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1502+2+0=150444%2
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153816+24=154656%3
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+153=151241%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1540+9+24=157359%3
4/10Wednesday, April 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153626+0=151046%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152614+24=153654%1
4/9Tuesday, April 97:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1533+12+0=154544%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+37+24=158956%6
4/8Monday, April 87:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1534151=151847%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15279+24=154253%4
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+36+0=156952%12
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1528+4+24=155648%9
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1534+9+2=154552%5
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152623+26=152948%6
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1532+82=153847%4
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1529+10+21=156053%0
4/3Wednesday, April 31:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+45+0=157254%8
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153112+24=154346%9
4/2Tuesday, April 27:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152417+0=150737%8
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+39+26=159963%2
3/31Sunday, March 311:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1526+7+0=153345%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+10+24=156755%6
3/30Saturday, March 301:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+11+2=153746%11
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1535+8+26=156954%8
3/28Thursday, March 281:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1523+522=157347%2
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1536+37+24=159753%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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