Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

AL East
Orioles
Orioles
Red Sox
Red Sox
Yankees
Yankees
Rays
Rays
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
AL Central
White Sox
White Sox
Indians
Indians
Tigers
Tigers
Royals
Royals
Twins
Twins
AL West
Astros
Astros
Angels
Angels
Athletics
Athletics
Mariners
Mariners
Rangers
Rangers
NL East
Braves
Braves
Marlins
Marlins
Mets
Mets
Phillies
Phillies
Nationals
Nationals
NL Central
Cubs
Cubs
Reds
Reds
Brewers
Brewers
Pirates
Pirates
Cardinals
Cardinals
NL West
Diamondbacks
Dbacks
Rockies
Rockies
Dodgers
Dodgers
Padres
Padres
Giants
Giants

Our rolling game scores are generated using a version of Bill James’s game scores proposed by Tangotiger (and slightly modified by us) to isolate pitching performances. Like our team ratings, these pitcher game scores are normalized for eras and stadiums, so pitchers can be directly compared with one another throughout history. They’re also adjusted to take the opposing team’s offensive strength into account, so a pitcher earns more credit for a great start against a top team than against a mediocre one. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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