Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
The Reds are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CardinalsCardinals91-71 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
BrewersBrewers89-73 | 2.0 | ✓ | — | |||
CubsCubs84-78 | 7.0 | — | — | |||
RedsReds75-87 | 16.0 | — | — | |||
PiratesPirates69-93 | 22.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1492 | –31 | +0 | =1461 | 45% | 3 |
PITPirates | Williams | 1470 | +0 | +24 | =1494 | 55% | 1 | |
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. | CINReds | Sims | 1490 | –29 | +0 | =1461 | 46% | 4 |
PITPirates | Marvel | 1471 | –9 | +24 | =1486 | 54% | 2 | |
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1491 | +8 | –2 | =1497 | 51% | 5 |
PITPirates | Brault | 1470 | –1 | +24 | =1493 | 49% | 6 | |
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2612:35 p.m. | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1532 | +1 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1493 | +19 | +24 | =1536 | 50% | 3 | |
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m. | MILBrewers | Lyles | 1530 | –9 | +0 | =1521 | 54% | 9 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1495 | –24 | +24 | =1495 | 46% | 2 | |
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. | MILBrewers | Houser | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 46% | 4 |
CINReds | Gray | 1497 | +30 | +26 | =1553 | 54% | 2 | |
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m. | NYMMets | Stroman | 1530 | –4 | +0 | =1526 | 51% | 6 |
CINReds | Bauer | 1498 | –2 | +24 | =1520 | 49% | 3 | |
9/21Saturday, Sept. 214:10 p.m. | NYMMets | Wheeler | 1532 | +0 | +0 | =1532 | 51% | 2 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1497 | +2 | +24 | =1523 | 49% | 3 | |
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. | NYMMets | deGrom | 1529 | +46 | –1 | =1574 | 55% | 8 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1500 | +17 | +24 | =1541 | 45% | 1 | |
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1498 | –27 | +0 | =1471 | 40% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Lester | 1541 | –21 | +24 | =1544 | 60% | 2 | |
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1497 | +30 | +0 | =1527 | 41% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Darvish | 1542 | +23 | +24 | =1589 | 59% | 2 | |
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:05 p.m. | CINReds | Gausman | 1498 | –27 | –4 | =1467 | 37% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Hamels | 1541 | –3 | +24 | =1562 | 63% | 8 | |
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m. | CINReds | Bauer | 1497 | –5 | +0 | =1492 | 40% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1514 | +26 | +24 | =1564 | 60% | 1 | |
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1497 | +0 | +0 | =1497 | 46% | 0 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1513 | –10 | +24 | =1527 | 54% | 1 | |
9/13Friday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1496 | +22 | –3 | =1515 | 50% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Leake | 1514 | –16 | +20 | =1518 | 50% | 3 | |
9/12Thursday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1494 | –21 | +0 | =1473 | 47% | 11 |
SEAMariners | Dunn | 1465 | +6 | +24 | =1495 | 53% | 5 | |
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1495 | +31 | +0 | =1526 | 54% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1463 | +13 | +24 | =1500 | 46% | 5 | |
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m. | CINReds | Bauer | 1496 | –5 | –2 | =1489 | 50% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Sheffield | 1462 | +6 | +22 | =1490 | 50% | 4 | |
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m. | ARIDiamondbacks | Leake | 1524 | –21 | +0 | =1503 | 48% | 3 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1495 | –1 | +24 | =1518 | 52% | 4 | |
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. | ARIDiamondbacks | Young | 1522 | –9 | +0 | =1513 | 46% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1497 | +18 | +24 | =1539 | 54% | 0 | |
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m. | ARIDiamondbacks | Ray | 1521 | +11 | –2 | =1530 | 54% | 7 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1498 | –16 | +24 | =1506 | 46% | 5 | |
9/5Thursday, Sept. 512:35 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Vargas | 1509 | –1 | +0 | =1508 | 44% | 3 |
CINReds | Gray | 1497 | +29 | +24 | =1550 | 56% | 4 | |
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:40 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1511 | +44 | +0 | =1555 | 55% | 5 |
CINReds | Bauer | 1495 | –2 | +24 | =1517 | 45% | 8 | |
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:40 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1509 | –7 | +0 | =1502 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Sims | 1497 | –30 | +24 | =1491 | 48% | 2 | |
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:10 p.m. | PHIPhillies | Smyly | 1506 | –12 | –2 | =1492 | 46% | 7 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1500 | –1 | +22 | =1521 | 54% | 1 | |
9/1Sunday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1498 | +19 | +0 | =1517 | 44% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Ponce de Leon | 1541 | –6 | +24 | =1559 | 56% | 3 | |
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:05 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1499 | –20 | +0 | =1479 | 37% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1541 | +5 | +24 | =1570 | 63% | 4 | |
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1500 | +29 | +0 | =1529 | 48% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Wacha | 1540 | –22 | +24 | =1542 | 52% | 3 | |
8/31Saturday, Aug. 311:15 p.m. | CINReds | Bauer | 1502 | +6 | –1 | =1507 | 43% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1538 | –7 | +27 | =1558 | 57% | 10 | |
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. | CINReds | Wood | 1503 | –13 | +0 | =1490 | 57% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Dugger | 1434 | –17 | +24 | =1441 | 43% | 4 | |
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1501 | –6 | +0 | =1495 | 55% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 45% | 0 | |
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | +22 | +0 | =1521 | 57% | 8 |
MIAMarlins | Smith | 1437 | +10 | +24 | =1471 | 43% | 5 | |
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1498 | +30 | –3 | =1525 | 57% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1439 | +11 | +24 | =1474 | 43% | 3 | |
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:35 p.m. | CINReds | Bauer | 1499 | +13 | +0 | =1512 | 53% | 8 |
PITPirates | Agrazal | 1474 | –6 | +24 | =1492 | 47% | 9 | |
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. | CINReds | Wood | 1503 | –14 | +0 | =1489 | 50% | 0 |
PITPirates | Williams | 1470 | –4 | +24 | =1490 | 50% | 14 | |
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1505 | –11 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1469 | –16 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | 3 | |
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2112:35 p.m. | SDPadres | Strahm | 1481 | –6 | +0 | =1475 | 40% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +18 | +24 | =1546 | 60% | 4 | |
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. | SDPadres | Quantrill | 1482 | +9 | +0 | =1491 | 41% | 2 |
CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +28 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | 3 | |
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. | SDPadres | Lauer | 1481 | –5 | –2 | =1474 | 41% | 3 |
CINReds | Bauer | 1504 | +12 | +24 | =1540 | 59% | 2 | |
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1526 | +32 | +0 | =1558 | 55% | 5 |
CINReds | Wood | 1505 | –9 | +24 | =1520 | 45% | 4 | |
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:40 p.m. | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1528 | +9 | +0 | =1537 | 53% | 1 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1503 | –10 | +24 | =1517 | 47% | 6 | |
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1525 | –3 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | 13 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1506 | +27 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | 4 | |
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Wacha | 1525 | –24 | –3 | =1498 | 43% | 1 |
CINReds | Gray | 1505 | +23 | +22 | =1550 | 57% | 2 | |
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. | CINReds | Bauer | 1508 | +18 | +0 | =1526 | 43% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1540 | +10 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 17 | |
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. | CINReds | Wood | 1509 | –10 | +0 | =1499 | 45% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Ross | 1538 | –26 | +24 | =1536 | 55% | 3 | |
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1510 | –8 | –2 | =1500 | 48% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1537 | –44 | +22 | =1515 | 52% | 7 | |
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Lester | 1535 | –16 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | 6 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1512 | +24 | +24 | =1560 | 56% | 3 | |
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1538 | +23 | +0 | =1561 | 52% | 1 |
CINReds | Gray | 1509 | +18 | +24 | =1551 | 48% | 10 | |
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Darvish | 1540 | +6 | +0 | =1546 | 50% | 2 |
CINReds | Bauer | 1507 | +14 | +24 | =1545 | 50% | 5 | |
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Hamels | 1537 | +18 | –2 | =1553 | 53% | 12 |
CINReds | Wood | 1510 | –5 | +26 | =1531 | 47% | 5 | |
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1496 | –10 | +0 | =1486 | 44% | 4 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1508 | –5 | +24 | =1527 | 56% | 8 | |
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. | LAAAngels | Cole | 1497 | –10 | –2 | =1485 | 41% | 4 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1507 | +22 | +22 | =1551 | 59% | 7 | |
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:20 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1505 | +16 | +0 | =1521 | 43% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Teheran | 1531 | +14 | +24 | =1569 | 57% | 4 | |
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:20 p.m. | CINReds | Bauer | 1506 | +17 | +0 | =1523 | 44% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Keuchel | 1530 | +10 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | 5 | |
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. | CINReds | Wood | 1504 | –6 | +0 | =1498 | 43% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Gausman | 1532 | –9 | +24 | =1547 | 57% | 2 | |
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:20 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1505 | –2 | –2 | =1501 | 43% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1531 | +1 | +21 | =1553 | 57% | 4 | |
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:35 p.m. | PITPirates | Agrazal | 1487 | +5 | +0 | =1492 | 42% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +20 | +24 | =1548 | 58% | 4 | |
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Musgrove | 1484 | +11 | +0 | =1495 | 46% | 11 |
CINReds | Roark | 1507 | –5 | +24 | =1526 | 54% | 4 | |
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m. | PITPirates | McRae | 1485 | –1 | –3 | =1481 | 41% | 6 |
CINReds | Gray | 1505 | +18 | +24 | =1547 | 59% | 11 | |
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m. | COLRockies | Lambert | 1501 | –10 | +0 | =1491 | 45% | 2 |
CINReds | Wood | 1505 | –6 | +24 | =1523 | 55% | 3 | |
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m. | COLRockies | Gonzalez | 1502 | –21 | +0 | =1481 | 44% | 1 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1503 | –5 | +24 | =1522 | 56% | 3 | |
7/26Friday, July 266:40 p.m. | COLRockies | Marquez | 1498 | +18 | –2 | =1514 | 44% | 12 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1507 | +24 | +24 | =1555 | 56% | 2 | |
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m. | CINReds | Sims | 1508 | –33 | +0 | =1475 | 42% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Chacin | 1514 | –7 | +24 | =1531 | 58% | 5 | |
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1505 | –9 | +0 | =1496 | 42% | 14 |
MILBrewers | Davies | 1518 | +8 | +24 | =1550 | 58% | 6 | |
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +15 | –2 | =1516 | 45% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Anderson | 1519 | +12 | +20 | =1551 | 55% | 5 | |
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1519 | +12 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | 3 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1505 | –10 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | 1 | |
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1520 | +13 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +25 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | 3 | |
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 52% | 12 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1505 | –25 | +24 | =1504 | 48% | 11 | |
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1517 | –10 | –2 | =1505 | 48% | 7 |
CINReds | Roark | 1506 | –7 | +22 | =1521 | 52% | 4 | |
7/17Wednesday, July 172:20 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1508 | +14 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Darvish | 1534 | +0 | +24 | =1558 | 55% | 5 | |
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1509 | –9 | +0 | =1500 | 44% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Mills | 1533 | –17 | +24 | =1540 | 56% | 4 | |
7/15Monday, July 158:05 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1507 | +26 | –3 | =1530 | 44% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1535 | +15 | +24 | =1574 | 56% | 3 | |
7/14Sunday, July 143:10 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1508 | –19 | +0 | =1489 | 46% | 9 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1512 | –17 | +24 | =1519 | 54% | 10 | |
7/13Saturday, July 138:10 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1505 | –1 | +0 | =1504 | 45% | 17 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1515 | –1 | +24 | =1538 | 55% | 9 | |
7/12Friday, July 128:40 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1505 | +7 | +4 | =1516 | 44% | 2 |
COLRockies | Gray | 1514 | +14 | +28 | =1556 | 56% | 3 | |
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m. | CLEIndians | Bauer | 1536 | +8 | +0 | =1544 | 54% | 11 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1509 | –18 | +24 | =1515 | 46% | 1 | |
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m. | CLEIndians | Bieber | 1534 | +11 | –1 | =1544 | 53% | 7 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1511 | –12 | +26 | =1525 | 47% | 2 | |
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1520 | +24 | +0 | =1544 | 49% | 0 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1510 | +17 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | 1 | |
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Chacin | 1521 | –2 | +0 | =1519 | 48% | 0 |
CINReds | Gray | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | 3 | |
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1522 | +7 | +0 | =1529 | 49% | 4 |
CINReds | Roark | 1507 | +4 | +24 | =1535 | 51% | 5 | |
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m. | MILBrewers | Houser | 1521 | –16 | –2 | =1503 | 48% | 8 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1508 | –17 | +24 | =1515 | 52% | 6 | |
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Lester | 1535 | –7 | +0 | =1528 | 51% | 6 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1507 | –12 | +24 | =1519 | 49% | 8 | |
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Quintana | 1532 | –11 | +0 | =1521 | 46% | 6 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1510 | +18 | +24 | =1552 | 54% | 0 | |
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m. | CHCCubs | Hamels | 1534 | +20 | –2 | =1552 | 53% | 3 |
CINReds | Gray | 1508 | +0 | +22 | =1530 | 47% | 6 | |
6/26Wednesday, June 268:07 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1510 | +5 | +0 | =1515 | 46% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Barria | 1507 | +11 | +24 | =1542 | 54% | 5 | |
6/25Tuesday, June 2510:07 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1511 | –13 | –2 | =1496 | 45% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Heaney | 1506 | +5 | +22 | =1533 | 55% | 5 | |
6/23Sunday, June 232:10 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1512 | –9 | +0 | =1503 | 41% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1522 | +19 | +24 | =1565 | 59% | 7 | |
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1514 | +23 | +0 | =1537 | 49% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Chacin | 1521 | +2 | +24 | =1547 | 51% | 6 | |
6/21Friday, June 218:10 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1511 | +2 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | 11 |
MILBrewers | Anderson | 1524 | +6 | +24 | =1554 | 56% | 7 | |
6/20Thursday, June 208 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1508 | –2 | –2 | =1504 | 43% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Nelson | 1527 | +10 | +20 | =1557 | 57% | 1 | |
6/19Wednesday, June 1912:35 p.m. | HOUAstros | Cole | 1577 | +19 | +0 | =1596 | 62% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1507 | –19 | +24 | =1512 | 38% | 3 | |
6/18Tuesday, June 187:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1579 | +41 | +0 | =1620 | 64% | 3 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1505 | –12 | +24 | =1517 | 36% | 4 | |
6/17Monday, June 177:10 p.m. | HOUAstros | Miley | 1580 | –11 | –3 | =1566 | 52% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +23 | +24 | =1551 | 48% | 3 | |
6/16Sunday, June 161 p.m. | TEXRangers | Jurado | 1490 | –7 | +0 | =1483 | 43% | 3 |
CINReds | Gray | 1502 | +5 | +24 | =1531 | 57% | 11 | |
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Minor | 1489 | +38 | +0 | =1527 | 50% | 4 |
CINReds | Roark | 1503 | –1 | +24 | =1526 | 50% | 3 | |
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m. | TEXRangers | Chavez | 1486 | –18 | –3 | =1465 | 43% | 7 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1506 | –18 | +24 | =1512 | 57% | 1 | |
6/12Wednesday, June 121:10 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1503 | –14 | +0 | =1489 | 42% | 7 |
CLEIndians | Plesac | 1533 | –15 | +24 | =1542 | 58% | 2 | |
6/11Tuesday, June 117 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +23 | +0 | =1527 | 44% | 1 |
CLEIndians | Bauer | 1532 | +11 | +26 | =1569 | 56% | 2 | |
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +6 | +0 | =1509 | 41% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1527 | +22 | +24 | =1573 | 59% | 3 | |
6/8Saturday, June 84:05 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1504 | +2 | +0 | =1506 | 45% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Pivetta | 1526 | –10 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | 4 | |
6/7Friday, June 77:05 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1505 | –18 | –3 | =1484 | 41% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1525 | +1 | +22 | =1548 | 59% | 4 | |
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1507 | –16 | +2 | =1493 | 44% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1524 | –12 | +26 | =1538 | 56% | 3 | |
6/4Tuesday, June 48:15 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1505 | +22 | +0 | =1527 | 49% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Cabrera | 1525 | –20 | +26 | =1531 | 51% | 1 | |
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m. | WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1518 | +31 | +0 | =1549 | 52% | 4 |
CINReds | Gray | 1506 | +6 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | 1 | |
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m. | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1516 | –37 | +0 | =1479 | 42% | 5 |
CINReds | Roark | 1508 | +4 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | 2 | |
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m. | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1519 | +19 | +0 | =1538 | 53% | 3 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1506 | –18 | +26 | =1514 | 47% | 9 | |
5/29Wednesday, May 2912:35 p.m. | PITPirates | Brault | 1488 | –24 | +0 | =1464 | 42% | 7 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1508 | –15 | +24 | =1517 | 58% | 2 | |
5/28Tuesday, May 286:40 p.m. | PITPirates | Lyles | 1490 | –5 | +0 | =1485 | 48% | 6 |
CINReds | Sims | 1506 | –32 | +24 | =1498 | 52% | 11 | |
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Keller | 1493 | –12 | +0 | =1481 | 43% | 1 |
CINReds | Gray | 1504 | +4 | +24 | =1532 | 57% | 8 | |
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Kingham | 1490 | –38 | –2 | =1450 | 36% | 8 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1506 | +25 | +22 | =1553 | 64% | 5 | |
5/26Sunday, May 262:20 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1503 | +2 | +0 | =1505 | 41% | 10 |
CHCCubs | Quintana | 1538 | +5 | +24 | =1567 | 59% | 2 | |
5/25Saturday, May 252:20 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1504 | –13 | +0 | =1491 | 42% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Darvish | 1537 | –11 | +24 | =1550 | 58% | 8 | |
5/24Friday, May 242:20 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1503 | –10 | +1 | =1494 | 38% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1539 | +14 | +24 | =1577 | 62% | 5 | |
5/22Wednesday, May 221:10 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +29 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | 9 |
MILBrewers | Davies | 1536 | +12 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | 11 | |
5/21Tuesday, May 217:40 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1502 | –3 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Gonzalez | 1538 | +0 | +23 | =1561 | 59% | 0 | |
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m. | LADDodgers | Ryu | 1571 | +11 | +0 | =1582 | 58% | 8 |
CINReds | Roark | 1503 | –4 | +24 | =1523 | 42% | 3 | |
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m. | LADDodgers | Buehler | 1573 | +16 | +0 | =1589 | 62% | 0 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1501 | –19 | +24 | =1506 | 38% | 4 | |
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m. | LADDodgers | Hill | 1571 | –5 | –2 | =1564 | 56% | 6 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1503 | –7 | +24 | =1520 | 44% | 0 | |
5/16Thursday, May 166:40 p.m. | CHCCubs | Quintana | 1537 | –2 | +0 | =1535 | 47% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1502 | +29 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | 4 | |
5/15Wednesday, May 156:40 p.m. | CHCCubs | Darvish | 1538 | –19 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | 5 |
CINReds | Gray | 1501 | –1 | +24 | =1524 | 51% | 6 | |
5/14Tuesday, May 146:40 p.m. | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1537 | +11 | +0 | =1548 | 54% | 3 |
CINReds | Roark | 1502 | –3 | +22 | =1521 | 46% | 1 | |
5/12Sunday, May 124:05 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1503 | –18 | +0 | =1485 | 46% | 5 |
SFGiants | Bumgarner | 1461 | +26 | +24 | =1511 | 54% | 6 | |
5/11Saturday, May 119:05 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1502 | –3 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | 5 |
SFGiants | Samardzija | 1462 | +6 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | 4 | |
5/10Friday, May 1010:15 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | +27 | –1 | =1525 | 55% | 7 |
SFGiants | Rodriguez | 1465 | +4 | +21 | =1490 | 45% | 0 | |
5/9Thursday, May 93:37 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1497 | –7 | +0 | =1490 | 42% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Bassitt | 1511 | +7 | +24 | =1542 | 58% | 0 | |
5/8Wednesday, May 810:07 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1498 | +3 | +0 | =1501 | 45% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Anderson | 1510 | –1 | +24 | =1533 | 55% | 5 | |
5/7Tuesday, May 710:07 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1499 | –24 | –4 | =1471 | 41% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1509 | +3 | +22 | =1534 | 59% | 2 | |
5/6Monday, May 612:35 p.m. | SFGiants | Pomeranz | 1464 | –4 | +0 | =1460 | 42% | 4 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1497 | –1 | +24 | =1520 | 58% | 12 | |
5/5Sunday, May 54:10 p.m. | SFGiants | Samardzija | 1463 | +4 | +0 | =1467 | 38% | 6 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1498 | +28 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 5 | |
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m. | SFGiants | Rodriguez | 1465 | +8 | +0 | =1473 | 45% | 2 |
CINReds | Roark | 1496 | –10 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | 9 | |
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m. | SFGiants | Beede | 1464 | –20 | –2 | =1442 | 38% | 12 |
CINReds | Gray | 1497 | +6 | +21 | =1524 | 62% | 11 | |
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1498 | –26 | +0 | =1472 | 40% | 0 |
NYMMets | Syndergaard | 1516 | +4 | +24 | =1544 | 60% | 1 | |
5/1Wednesday, May 17 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1497 | –4 | +0 | =1493 | 37% | 1 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1518 | +44 | +24 | =1586 | 63% | 0 | |
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1498 | +30 | +0 | =1528 | 52% | 3 |
NYMMets | Vargas | 1517 | –25 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | 4 | |
4/29Monday, April 297:10 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1497 | –6 | –3 | =1488 | 41% | 5 |
NYMMets | Wheeler | 1518 | +12 | +24 | =1554 | 59% | 4 | |
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1498 | +5 | +0 | =1503 | 41% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1534 | +9 | +24 | =1567 | 59% | 5 | |
4/27Saturday, April 272:15 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1499 | –23 | +0 | =1476 | 43% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1532 | –29 | +24 | =1527 | 57% | 6 | |
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1494 | –8 | –2 | =1484 | 36% | 12 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1537 | +17 | +26 | =1580 | 64% | 1 | |
4/25Thursday, April 256:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Teheran | 1518 | +3 | +0 | =1521 | 47% | 2 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1493 | +29 | +24 | =1546 | 53% | 4 | |
4/24Wednesday, April 246:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Soroka | 1517 | –5 | +0 | =1512 | 50% | 3 |
CINReds | Roark | 1495 | –5 | +24 | =1514 | 50% | 1 | |
4/23Tuesday, April 236:40 p.m. | ATLBraves | Gausman | 1518 | +15 | +0 | =1533 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Gray | 1493 | +5 | +22 | =1520 | 48% | 7 | |
4/21Sunday, April 214:10 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1494 | –22 | +0 | =1472 | 46% | 3 |
SDPadres | Lucchesi | 1479 | –3 | +24 | =1500 | 54% | 4 | |
4/20Saturday, April 208:40 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1493 | +29 | +0 | =1522 | 54% | 4 |
SDPadres | Lauer | 1480 | –8 | +24 | =1496 | 46% | 2 | |
4/19Friday, April 1910:10 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1492 | –10 | +0 | =1482 | 46% | 3 |
SDPadres | Strahm | 1482 | +1 | +24 | =1507 | 54% | 2 | |
4/18Thursday, April 1810:10 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1490 | –5 | –1 | =1484 | 45% | 4 |
SDPadres | Paddack | 1483 | +12 | +26 | =1521 | 55% | 1 | |
4/17Wednesday, April 173:10 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1491 | +4 | +0 | =1495 | 34% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1564 | +20 | +24 | =1608 | 66% | 3 | |
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1492 | –19 | +0 | =1473 | 36% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Maeda | 1562 | –11 | +24 | =1575 | 64% | 6 | |
4/15Monday, April 1510 p.m. | CINReds | Castillo | 1493 | +30 | –4 | =1519 | 39% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1562 | +13 | +24 | =1599 | 61% | 4 | |
4/14Sunday, April 144 p.m. | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1530 | +14 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | 9 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1494 | –7 | +0 | =1487 | 42% | 5 | |
4/13Saturday, April 137:10 p.m. | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1532 | –13 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | 2 |
CINReds | Roark | 1493 | –8 | +2 | =1487 | 45% | 5 | |
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1432 | –3 | +0 | =1429 | 38% | 0 |
CINReds | Gray | 1491 | +0 | +24 | =1515 | 62% | 5 | |
4/10Wednesday, April 106:40 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Richards | 1432 | +5 | +0 | =1437 | 42% | 1 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1490 | –21 | +24 | =1493 | 58% | 2 | |
4/9Tuesday, April 96:40 p.m. | MIAMarlins | Urena | 1435 | –1 | +0 | =1434 | 35% | 0 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1488 | +27 | +24 | =1539 | 65% | 14 | |
4/7Sunday, April 71:35 p.m. | CINReds | DeSclafani | 1489 | +0 | +0 | =1489 | 44% | 5 |
PITPirates | Archer | 1501 | +3 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 7 | |
4/6Saturday, April 61:35 p.m. | CINReds | Roark | 1490 | –5 | +0 | =1485 | 42% | 5 |
PITPirates | Williams | 1500 | +18 | +24 | =1542 | 58% | 6 | |
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m. | CINReds | Gray | 1491 | –5 | +0 | =1486 | 46% | 0 |
PITPirates | Musgrove | 1499 | –7 | +24 | =1516 | 54% | 2 | |
4/4Thursday, April 47:05 p.m. | CINReds | Mahle | 1492 | –24 | –2 | =1466 | 47% | 0 |
PITPirates | Lyles | 1498 | –38 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | 2 | |
4/3Wednesday, April 312:35 p.m. | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1532 | –4 | +0 | =1528 | 48% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1493 | +23 | +24 | =1540 | 52% | 0 | |
4/2Tuesday, April 26:40 p.m. | MILBrewers | Chacin | 1531 | +16 | +0 | =1547 | 54% | 4 |
CINReds | DeSclafani | 1494 | +0 | +24 | =1518 | 46% | 3 | |
4/1Monday, April 16:40 p.m. | MILBrewers | Davies | 1530 | –2 | –2 | =1526 | 51% | 4 |
CINReds | Roark | 1495 | –1 | +24 | =1518 | 49% | 3 | |
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Williams | 1498 | +18 | +5 | =1521 | 49% | 5 |
CINReds | Roark | 1497 | +0 | +29 | =1526 | 51% | 0 | |
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m. | PITPirates | Taillon | 1499 | +23 | –2 | =1520 | 47% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1496 | +22 | +24 | =1542 | 53% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments