2019 MLB Predictions

The Tigers are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Twins Twins101-61	—	✓	✓
Indians Indians93-69	8.0	—	—
White Sox White Sox72-89	28.5	—	—
Royals Royals59-103	42.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers47-114	53.5	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1385	+13	+0	=1398	40%	3
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1461	–14	+24	=1471	60%	5
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1383	+3	+0	=1386	36%	4
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1462	–1	+24	=1485	64%	3
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1385	+17	+0	=1402	38%	1
9/28Saturday, Sept. 283:40 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1461	–1	+26	=1486	62%	7
9/26Thursday, Sept. 261:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Smeltzer	1543	–4	+0	=1539	69%	10
9/26Thursday, Sept. 261:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1386	–11	+24	=1399	31%	4
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.	MINTwins	Dobnak	1542	–5	+0	=1537	65%	5
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1388	+15	+24	=1427	35%	1
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1541	+16	–1	=1556	68%	4
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1388	+11	+26	=1425	32%	2
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1458	+4	+0	=1462	54%	3
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1386	+21	+24	=1431	46%	6
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1457	–2	+0	=1455	55%	5
9/21Saturday, Sept. 216:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1388	+9	+24	=1421	45%	3
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1454	–9	–1	=1444	55%	10
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1390	–3	+23	=1410	45%	1
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1391	+12	+0	=1403	24%	0
9/19Thursday, Sept. 197:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1555	+27	+24	=1606	76%	7
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1392	+6	+0	=1398	27%	1
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Civale	1554	–12	+24	=1566	73%	2
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Reininger	1393	+4	–1	=1396	29%	2
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1553	–33	+26	=1546	71%	7
9/16Monday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Means	1413	+35	+0	=1448	54%	2
9/16Monday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1391	+2	+24	=1417	46%	5
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Wojciechowski	1410	+1	+0	=1411	53%	8
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1393	–29	+24	=1388	47%	2
9/14Saturday, Sept. 146:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ynoa	1412	–9	+0	=1403	47%	4
9/14Saturday, Sept. 146:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1391	+10	+24	=1425	53%	8
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Brooks	1410	–13	–2	=1395	47%	6
9/13Friday, Sept. 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1393	+0	+24	=1417	53%	2
9/12Thursday, Sept. 125:20 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1586	–12	+0	=1574	70%	6
9/12Thursday, Sept. 125:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1394	+5	+24	=1423	30%	4
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1584	+0	+2	=1586	70%	10
9/12Thursday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1395	+21	+26	=1442	30%	4
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cortes Jr.	1586	–18	–3	=1565	73%	11
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 106:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1394	–25	+22	=1391	27%	12
9/8Sunday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1394	+7	+0	=1401	26%	1
9/8Sunday, Sept. 84:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1551	+5	+24	=1580	74%	3
9/7Saturday, Sept. 79:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1395	+2	+0	=1397	26%	2
9/7Saturday, Sept. 79:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1550	+2	+24	=1576	74%	10
9/6Friday, Sept. 610:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1394	+7	–4	=1397	28%	5
9/6Friday, Sept. 610:07 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bailey	1552	–12	+20	=1560	72%	4
9/6Friday, Sept. 61:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1551	+12	–4	=1559	71%	7
9/6Friday, Sept. 61:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1394	–11	+21	=1404	29%	3
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1393	+19	+0	=1412	47%	6
9/5Thursday, Sept. 51:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1430	–18	+24	=1436	53%	4
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 48:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1394	–25	+0	=1369	36%	4
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 48:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1429	+13	+24	=1466	64%	5
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1394	+8	–3	=1399	41%	5
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 38:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Montgomery	1429	+10	+26	=1465	59%	6
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1545	+12	+0	=1557	69%	4
9/2Monday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1395	+0	+24	=1419	31%	3
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1543	+10	+0	=1553	67%	8
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1396	+9	+24	=1429	33%	3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Perez	1545	–19	+0	=1526	63%	7
8/31Saturday, Aug. 316:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1394	+19	+24	=1437	37%	10
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1544	–3	–2	=1539	69%	13
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1396	–21	+24	=1399	31%	5
8/29Thursday, Aug. 291:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1556	+18	+0	=1574	70%	2
8/29Thursday, Aug. 291:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1396	+5	+24	=1425	30%	0
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Civale	1555	–11	+0	=1544	68%	4
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1397	–5	+24	=1416	32%	2
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1553	–34	+1	=1520	62%	10
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1399	+10	+23	=1432	38%	1
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1400	+21	+0	=1421	33%	4
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Perez	1538	–21	+24	=1541	67%	7
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1401	–20	+0	=1381	26%	5
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1538	+0	+24	=1562	74%	8
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1398	–25	–3	=1370	23%	9
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1541	+11	+26	=1578	77%	6
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1398	–8	+0	=1390	19%	3
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1581	+32	+24	=1637	81%	6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1396	+3	+0	=1399	19%	2
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1583	+39	+24	=1646	81%	1
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1397	+16	+0	=1413	29%	3
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Sanchez	1582	–40	+24	=1566	71%	6
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1397	–19	–3	=1375	22%	4
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Miley	1582	–8	+20	=1594	78%	5
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1397	+17	+0	=1414	33%	4
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.	TBRays	Richards	1541	–26	+24	=1539	67%	5
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1398	–13	+0	=1385	25%	0
8/17Saturday, Aug. 176:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1541	+8	+24	=1573	75%	1
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1395	+3	–3	=1395	24%	2
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.	TBRays	Morton	1544	+25	+22	=1591	76%	0
8/15Thursday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Wisler	1460	+7	+0	=1467	54%	7
8/15Thursday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1397	+18	+24	=1439	46%	2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1461	+22	+0	=1483	61%	2
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1396	–17	+24	=1403	39%	3
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1459	–16	–2	=1441	49%	11
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1398	+25	+26	=1449	51%	6
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1438	+13	+0	=1451	53%	10
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1401	+6	+24	=1431	47%	2
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Montgomery	1436	+3	+0	=1439	49%	7
8/10Saturday, Aug. 106:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1404	+15	+24	=1443	51%	0
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1438	+24	+0	=1462	58%	2
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Jackson	1402	–22	+24	=1404	42%	5
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1439	–22	–3	=1414	44%	8
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1401	+33	+24	=1458	56%	10
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1452	+3	+0	=1455	53%	8
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1403	+6	+24	=1433	47%	1
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1454	–17	+0	=1437	56%	6
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1401	–29	+24	=1396	44%	10
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 61:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1453	–9	+0	=1444	51%	5
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 61:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1402	+8	+24	=1434	49%	3
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1451	+30	–2	=1479	56%	7
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1403	+14	+21	=1438	44%	4
8/4Sunday, Aug. 43:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1405	–18	+0	=1387	35%	4
8/4Sunday, Aug. 43:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Payano	1482	–13	+24	=1493	65%	9
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1406	+31	+0	=1437	43%	4
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Sampson	1481	–19	+24	=1486	57%	5
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1406	+9	–1	=1414	32%	4
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Lynn	1481	+36	+26	=1543	68%	5
7/31Wednesday, July 314:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1402	+5	+0	=1407	34%	9
7/31Wednesday, July 314:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Suarez	1506	–7	+24	=1523	66%	1
7/30Tuesday, July 3010:07 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1403	–26	+0	=1377	28%	1
7/30Tuesday, July 3010:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Canning	1505	+9	+24	=1538	72%	6
7/29Monday, July 2910:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1399	–20	–3	=1376	28%	7
7/29Monday, July 2910:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1509	+9	+24	=1542	72%	2
7/28Sunday, July 284:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1400	+29	+0	=1429	41%	2
7/28Sunday, July 284:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Wisler	1466	+3	+24	=1493	59%	3
7/27Saturday, July 274:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1402	+12	+0	=1414	37%	1
7/27Saturday, July 274:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1464	+17	+24	=1505	63%	8
7/26Friday, July 2610:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1403	+4	+0	=1407	41%	2
7/26Friday, July 2610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1463	–14	+24	=1473	59%	3
7/25Thursday, July 2510:10 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1405	–17	–4	=1384	38%	2
7/25Thursday, July 2510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Swanson	1461	–19	+24	=1466	62%	10
7/24Wednesday, July 241:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1512	–9	+0	=1503	63%	4
7/24Wednesday, July 241:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1406	–17	+24	=1413	37%	0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1511	+36	+0	=1547	62%	3
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1407	+27	+26	=1460	38%	2
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Waguespack	1466	+0	+0	=1466	55%	3
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1406	+5	+24	=1435	45%	4
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Thornton	1465	+3	+0	=1468	55%	7
7/20Saturday, July 206:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1407	+2	+24	=1433	45%	5
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1462	+26	–3	=1485	59%	12
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1410	–12	+23	=1421	41%	1
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1410	+29	+0	=1439	32%	3
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1539	+9	+24	=1572	68%	6
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1412	+15	+0	=1427	30%	2
7/17Wednesday, July 177:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1538	+15	+24	=1577	70%	7
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1413	–35	+0	=1378	29%	0
7/16Tuesday, July 167:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plesac	1537	–28	+24	=1533	71%	8
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1414	+3	–3	=1414	34%	6
7/15Monday, July 157:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1536	–35	+24	=1525	66%	8
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1412	–9	+0	=1403	44%	12
7/14Sunday, July 142:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Flynn	1442	–23	+24	=1443	56%	8
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1413	+26	+0	=1439	44%	1
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1440	+13	+24	=1477	56%	4
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1414	+18	+4	=1436	44%	5
7/12Friday, July 128:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1439	+11	+28	=1478	56%	8
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1550	+20	+0	=1570	69%	6
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1415	–12	+24	=1427	31%	3
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1549	–13	+0	=1536	64%	10
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1416	–5	+24	=1435	36%	6
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1548	–2	–2	=1544	70%	9
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1417	–41	+22	=1398	30%	6
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1414	+25	+0	=1439	43%	11
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1467	–2	+24	=1489	57%	5
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Alexander	1415	–1	+0	=1414	40%	6
7/3Wednesday, July 38:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Detwiler	1466	–7	+24	=1483	60%	9
7/3Wednesday, July 32:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1416	+3	+3	=1422	40%	5
7/3Wednesday, July 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1465	–3	+29	=1491	60%	7
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1528	+46	+0	=1574	69%	2
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1417	–10	+24	=1431	31%	1
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Voth	1530	–32	+0	=1498	60%	5
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1415	–13	+24	=1426	40%	7
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1529	–11	–3	=1515	60%	3
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1416	+3	+24	=1443	40%	1
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1490	–17	+0	=1473	52%	3
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1418	+17	+24	=1459	48%	1
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1488	+40	+0	=1528	59%	4
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1419	+25	+24	=1468	41%	1
6/25Tuesday, June 257 p.m.	TEXRangers	Chavez	1487	–14	–1	=1472	55%	5
6/25Tuesday, June 257 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1420	–9	+25	=1436	45%	3
6/23Sunday, June 231 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1421	+2	+0	=1423	33%	3
6/23Sunday, June 231 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plesac	1539	–14	+24	=1549	67%	8
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1422	+17	+0	=1439	38%	0
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Civale	1538	–34	+24	=1528	62%	2
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1423	+29	+0	=1452	33%	6
6/21Friday, June 217:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1537	+16	+21	=1574	67%	7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1423	–10	+0	=1413	33%	7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1484	+30	+24	=1538	67%	8
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1422	+0	+0	=1422	41%	5
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Keller	1486	–22	+23	=1487	59%	4
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1534	+12	+0	=1546	61%	8
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1424	+22	+24	=1470	39%	0
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1533	–4	+0	=1529	64%	4
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1425	–18	+24	=1431	36%	2
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1530	–36	+1	=1495	61%	13
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1427	–31	+21	=1417	39%	4
6/13Thursday, June 138 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1429	+31	+0	=1460	56%	3
6/13Thursday, June 138 p.m.	KCRoyals	Bailey	1438	–19	+0	=1419	44%	7
6/12Wednesday, June 128 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1428	–4	+0	=1424	43%	3
6/12Wednesday, June 128 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1439	+8	+24	=1471	57%	2
6/11Tuesday, June 118:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1429	+17	–1	=1445	47%	2
6/11Tuesday, June 118:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1438	+4	+26	=1468	53%	3
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1544	+23	+0	=1567	68%	12
6/9Sunday, June 91:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1431	–20	+24	=1435	32%	2
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1548	+5	+0	=1553	67%	3
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Farmer	1427	–26	+24	=1425	33%	9
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1547	–14	–1	=1532	57%	6
6/7Friday, June 77:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1429	+31	+24	=1484	43%	3
6/6Thursday, June 61:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1542	–18	+0	=1524	60%	6
6/6Thursday, June 61:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1430	–3	+24	=1451	40%	1
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.	TBRays	Morton	1541	+17	+0	=1558	62%	4
6/5Wednesday, June 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1432	+17	+24	=1473	38%	0
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1543	+33	–1	=1575	70%	6
6/4Tuesday, June 47:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1429	–26	+23	=1426	30%	9
6/2Sunday, June 21:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1430	+32	+0	=1462	38%	4
6/2Sunday, June 21:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1514	+12	+24	=1550	62%	7
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1431	+1	+0	=1432	32%	5
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Soroka	1513	+29	+24	=1566	68%	10
5/31Friday, May 317:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1428	+16	–1	=1443	36%	8
5/31Friday, May 317:20 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1516	+5	+26	=1547	64%	2
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1426	–29	+0	=1397	42%	4
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Means	1410	+18	+24	=1452	58%	2
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1425	+30	+0	=1455	51%	3
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1412	+12	+24	=1448	49%	0
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1426	+3	–2	=1427	48%	3
5/27Monday, May 271:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ynoa	1411	+8	+20	=1439	52%	5
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1427	+17	+0	=1444	36%	3
5/26Sunday, May 261:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1513	+10	+24	=1547	64%	4
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1427	–35	+0	=1392	33%	4
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1512	–20	+24	=1516	67%	5
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1426	–12	–2	=1412	31%	9
5/24Friday, May 247:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1514	+12	+24	=1550	69%	8
5/23Thursday, May 231:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1427	–5	+0	=1422	42%	5
5/23Thursday, May 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1428	+27	+24	=1479	58%	2
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1425	–1	+0	=1424	45%	6
5/22Wednesday, May 227:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1429	+3	+24	=1456	55%	3
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1424	+21	–1	=1444	45%	5
5/21Tuesday, May 217:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1431	+21	+29	=1481	55%	4
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1513	–5	+0	=1508	54%	4
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1432	+27	+24	=1483	46%	1
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1511	+5	+0	=1516	58%	7
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1434	+5	+24	=1463	42%	2
5/16Thursday, May 161:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1508	+9	–2	=1515	54%	17
5/16Thursday, May 161:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1438	+27	+24	=1489	46%	3
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1586	+35	+0	=1621	73%	5
5/15Wednesday, May 157:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1438	–12	+24	=1450	27%	1
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Miley	1584	–13	+0	=1571	69%	11
5/14Tuesday, May 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1440	–28	+24	=1436	31%	4
5/13Monday, May 137:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Peacock	1582	–13	–3	=1566	61%	8
5/13Monday, May 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1442	+27	+21	=1490	39%	1
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1440	+1	+0	=1441	36%	5
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Perez	1530	–16	+24	=1538	64%	3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Soto	1442	–4	+0	=1438	39%	3
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1529	–35	+24	=1518	61%	8
5/11Saturday, May 112:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1440	+23	+0	=1463	40%	5
5/11Saturday, May 112:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1530	–19	+24	=1535	60%	3
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1441	–10	–3	=1428	32%	0
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1529	+10	+23	=1562	68%	6
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Bard	1498	–4	+0	=1494	57%	13
5/9Thursday, May 91:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1444	–25	+24	=1443	43%	0
5/8Wednesday, May 87:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1501	+8	+0	=1509	53%	3
5/8Wednesday, May 87:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1442	+23	+24	=1489	47%	10
5/7Tuesday, May 77:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Canning	1499	–4	–2	=1493	54%	5
5/7Tuesday, May 77:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1443	–1	+26	=1468	46%	2
5/5Sunday, May 51 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1454	+16	+0	=1470	48%	2
5/5Sunday, May 51 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1441	+17	+24	=1482	52%	5
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Bailey	1450	–21	+0	=1429	45%	15
5/4Saturday, May 44:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1446	–3	+24	=1467	55%	3
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1450	–15	–3	=1432	42%	3
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1445	+19	+24	=1488	58%	4
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1446	–3	+0	=1443	32%	3
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1519	+28	+24	=1571	68%	7
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1444	+12	–1	=1455	37%	3
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1521	–1	+26	=1546	63%	1
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1446	+18	+2	=1466	47%	1
4/28Sunday, April 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1454	+8	+26	=1488	53%	4
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1447	+1	–3	=1445	42%	11
4/26Friday, April 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1453	+25	+23	=1501	58%	12
4/25Thursday, April 257:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1448	–9	+0	=1439	36%	3
4/25Thursday, April 257:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1539	–23	+24	=1540	64%	7
4/24Wednesday, April 247:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1449	–1	+0	=1448	35%	4
4/24Wednesday, April 247:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1538	–5	+24	=1557	65%	11
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1448	+7	+0	=1455	39%	4
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Velazquez	1539	–27	+24	=1536	61%	2
4/23Tuesday, April 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1445	+16	–1	=1460	31%	7
4/23Tuesday, April 231:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1542	+31	+23	=1596	69%	4
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1455	+2	+2	=1459	49%	3
4/21Sunday, April 211:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1444	–2	+26	=1468	51%	4
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1453	+22	+0	=1475	52%	7
4/19Friday, April 197:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1446	–6	+24	=1464	48%	3
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Nova	1455	+5	–2	=1458	48%	7
4/18Thursday, April 181:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1445	+3	+24	=1472	52%	9
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1504	+14	+0	=1518	57%	3
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1446	+1	+24	=1471	43%	2
4/16Tuesday, April 166:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1503	+0	+0	=1503	52%	5
4/16Tuesday, April 166:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1447	+15	+23	=1485	48%	3
4/14Sunday, April 142:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1448	–1	+0	=1447	34%	4
4/14Sunday, April 142:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1514	+25	+24	=1563	66%	6
4/13Saturday, April 132:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1448	+3	–1	=1450	38%	3
4/13Saturday, April 132:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Pineda	1513	+1	+26	=1540	62%	4
4/11Thursday, April 111:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1551	–19	+0	=1532	58%	4
4/11Thursday, April 111:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1450	+4	+24	=1478	42%	0
4/10Wednesday, April 101:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1553	+22	+0	=1575	63%	1
4/10Wednesday, April 101:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+11	+24	=1483	37%	4
4/9Tuesday, April 91:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1551	–1	+1	=1551	60%	8
4/9Tuesday, April 91:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1450	+3	+26	=1479	40%	2
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1448	+23	+0	=1471	50%	1
4/7Sunday, April 71:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1448	–2	+24	=1470	50%	3
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1449	–21	+2	=1430	47%	4
4/6Saturday, April 61:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Moore	1447	–20	+26	=1453	53%	7
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1450	+7	–3	=1454	48%	4
4/4Thursday, April 41:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1446	+2	+22	=1470	52%	5
4/3Wednesday, April 34:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1444	+12	+0	=1456	34%	2
4/3Wednesday, April 34:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1564	–16	+24	=1572	66%	1
4/2Tuesday, April 26:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	+1	+0	=1443	28%	3
4/2Tuesday, April 26:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1566	+13	+24	=1603	72%	1
4/1Monday, April 16:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Ross	1443	+1	–2	=1442	34%	1
4/1Monday, April 16:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1566	–29	+24	=1561	66%	3
3/31Sunday, March 311:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Moore	1442	–25	+0	=1417	39%	4
3/31Sunday, March 311:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Thornton	1484	–11	+24	=1497	61%	3
3/30Saturday, March 303:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1443	+4	+0	=1447	42%	0
3/30Saturday, March 303:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1482	–6	+24	=1500	58%	3
3/29Friday, March 297:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1445	+14	+0	=1459	42%	0
3/29Friday, March 297:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Shoemaker	1480	+8	+24	=1512	58%	6
3/28Thursday, March 283:37 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1443	–4	–2	=1437	40%	2
3/28Thursday, March 283:37 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1482	+2	+24	=1508	60%	0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

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2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

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Comments