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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Joel Embiid | J. Embiid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 36 | SAME | +1.9 | +3.3 | |||||||
Ben Simmons | B. Simmons | 32 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 39 | SAME | +1.7 | +1.5 | |||||||
Jimmy Butler | J. Butler | 0 | 14 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 36 | SAME | +2.8 | +1.6 | |||||||
Tobias Harris | T. Harris | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 37 | SAME | +1.2 | -0.1 | |||||||
J.J. Redick | J. Redick | 0 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | SAME | +1.8 | -1.7 | |||||||
Mike Scott | M. Scott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.8 | |||||||
Boban Marjanovic | B. Marjanovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | SAME | -0.7 | +1.4 | |||||||
James Ennis | J. Ennis | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | SAME | -0.9 | -0.7 | |||||||
T.J. McConnell | T. McConnell | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | SAME | -1.2 | -1.0 | |||||||
Jonathon Simmons | J. Simmons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.4 | -1.2 | |||||||
Greg Monroe | G. Monroe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | +0.8 | |||||||
Jonah Bolden | J. Bolden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.8 | +0.9 | |||||||
Furkan Korkmaz | F. Korkmaz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.6 | -1.3 | |||||||
Zhaire Smith | Z. Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.7 | |||||||
Shake Milton | S. Milton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.7 | -0.9 | |||||||
Amir Johnson | A. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | +1.6 | |||||||
Haywood Highsmith | H. Highsmith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -0.2 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +5.6 | +3.2 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 62 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1727 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Joel Embiid | J. Embiid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 36 | +1.9 | +3.3 | ||||
Ben Simmons | B. Simmons | 32 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 39 | +1.7 | +1.5 | ||||
Jimmy Butler | J. Butler | 0 | 14 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 36 | +2.8 | +1.6 | ||||
Tobias Harris | T. Harris | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 37 | +1.2 | -0.1 | ||||
J.J. Redick | J. Redick | 0 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | +1.8 | -1.7 | ||||
Mike Scott | M. Scott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | -1.3 | -0.8 | ||||
Boban Marjanovic | B. Marjanovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -0.7 | +1.4 | ||||
James Ennis | J. Ennis | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -0.9 | -0.7 | ||||
T.J. McConnell | T. McConnell | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -1.2 | -1.0 | ||||
Jonathon Simmons | J. Simmons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | -1.2 | ||||
Greg Monroe | G. Monroe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | +0.8 | ||||
Jonah Bolden | J. Bolden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | +0.9 | ||||
Furkan Korkmaz | F. Korkmaz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | -1.3 | ||||
Zhaire Smith | Z. Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | -0.7 | ||||
Shake Milton | S. Milton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | -0.9 | ||||
Amir Johnson | A. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | +1.6 | ||||
Haywood Highsmith | H. Highsmith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | -0.2 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +5.6 | +3.2 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 62 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1727 |
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