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UPDATED Jan. 15, 2019, at 9:26 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:What’s new in our forecastCARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo history

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Choose your forecast:

Choose your forecast:

Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Full-strength CARMELOCurrent CARMELOTeamConferenceProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsPlayoff CARMELO AdjustmentChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
17821731Warriors29-14West58-24+7.0>99%+5567%53%
16961654Thunder26-16West53-29+5.4>99%+3315%9%
16841652Raptors33-12East60-22+6.4>99%+4343%15%
16781559Rockets25-18West49-33+3.197%+308%4%
16671551Celtics25-18East52-30+6.1>99%+3019%6%
16511656Bucks30-12East57-25+7.4>99%+3523%6%
1632165776ers29-16East52-30+3.5>99%+2611%2%
16291588Jazz24-21West49-33+4.195%+413%2%
16281626Nuggets29-13West54-28+4.5>99%+204%2%
16021584Pelicans21-23West43-39+2.350%+371%<1%
15761512Timberwolves21-23West41-41+0.229%+8<1%<1%
15731538Pacers29-14East51-31+4.0>99%+274%<1%
15661437Lakers23-21West42-40+0.335%+38<1%<1%
15611496Trail Blazers26-19West46-36+1.574%+25<1%<1%
15371500Wizards18-26East37-45-1.752%+24<1%<1%
15241436Grizzlies19-24West38-44-1.212%+19<1%<1%
15191478Spurs25-20West43-39+1.252%+18<1%<1%
15061504Clippers24-19West43-39+0.247%+15<1%<1%
14851459Hornets20-23East36-46-1.146%+29<1%<1%
14761474Pistons18-24East37-45-1.852%+6<1%<1%
14721471Heat21-20East38-44-0.862%+8<1%<1%
14701467Mavericks20-23West37-45-0.95%-6<1%<1%
14571454Nets22-23East38-44-1.362%-1<1%<1%
14301430Kings23-21West37-45-2.35%+9<1%<1%
14271431Magic19-24East35-47-3.526%+19<1%<1%
13371327Suns11-34West21-61-8.2<1%+20<1%<1%
13341220Knicks10-33East20-62-8.3<1%-8<1%<1%
13271142Hawks13-30East24-58-7.6<1%+4<1%<1%
13241308Bulls10-33East21-61-8.6<1%+35<1%<1%
12991203Cavaliers9-35East19-63-9.6<1%+1<1%<1%
Forecast from

Tuesday, Jan. 15

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 18%107
76ers -9.582%149
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 14%97
Pacers -1186%131
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -14.591%
Hawks 9%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 16%
Bucks -1084%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 45%
Nuggets -1.555%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 21%
Lakers -879%

Wednesday, Jan. 16

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 31%
Pistons -569%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 23%
Rockets -7.577%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -2.560%
Grizzlies 40%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -0.551%
Celtics 49%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 38%
Mavericks -362%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 10%
Trail Blazers -1490%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 25%
Warriors -775%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz 48%
Clippers -0.552%

Thursday, Jan. 17

3 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 17%
Wizards -1083%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -0.552%
Pacers 48%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 32%
Hornets -568%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 10%
Raptors -13.590%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 6%
Nuggets -1794%
9:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 13%
Thunder -11.587%

Friday, Jan. 18

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 42%
Magic -258%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 14%
Celtics -1186%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 35%
Pistons -465%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 34%
Timberwolves -466%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 5%
Jazz -1995%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -6.573%
Clippers 27%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 43%
Trail Blazers -257%

Saturday, Jan. 19

3:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 39%
76ers -361%
5 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 20%
Hornets -8.580%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 23%
Pacers -7.577%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -673%
Magic 27%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 36%
Pistons -3.564%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -7.578%
Hawks 22%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 10%
Raptors -13.590%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat -154%
Bulls 46%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 29%
Rockets -5.571%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 2%
Nuggets -2398%

Sunday, Jan. 20

6 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 22%
Pacers -7.578%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 37%
Spurs -3.563%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 12%
Timberwolves -1288%

Monday, Jan. 21

12:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -1287%
Knicks 13%
1 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls -0.553%
Cavaliers 47%
2 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 17%
Bucks -1083%
2 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 35%
Wizards -465%
3 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic -0.553%
Hawks 47%
3:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 33%
Nets -4.567%
5:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans -2.559%
Grizzlies 41%
6 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 16%
Celtics -10.584%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 23%
76ers -7.577%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 27%
Jazz -673%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -570%
Lakers 30%

Completed games

Monday, Jan. 14

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 48%102
Nets -0.552%109
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 35%94
Rockets -465%112
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 33%108
Spurs -4.567%93
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 19%94
Jazz -981%100
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 32%107
Kings -4.568%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 44%121
Clippers -1.556%117

Sunday, Jan. 13

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -1185%108
Knicks 15%105
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -2.560%140
Wizards 40%138
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -570%133
Hawks 30%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -3.564%109
Magic 36%116
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -672%119
Mavericks 28%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 19%113
Nuggets -981%116
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 11%101
Lakers -1389%95

Saturday, Jan. 12

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 18%109
Clippers -9.582%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 45%108
Heat -1.555%112
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -5.571%103
Magic 29%105
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 46%106
Timberwolves -154%110
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 18%112
Thunder -9.582%122
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -6.573%93
Suns 27%102
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 34%97
Kings -466%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 7%102
Jazz -1693%110

Friday, Jan. 11

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 6%123
76ers -16.594%121
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks 41%106
Wizards -259%113
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 15%105
Raptors -1185%122
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers -8.580%121
Knicks 20%106
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 5%113
Rockets -1895%141
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 31%119
Timberwolves -569%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 36%96
Trail Blazers -3.564%127
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 16%95
Jazz -10.584%113
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 4%109
Warriors -1996%146

Thursday, Jan. 10

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -153%99
Heat 47%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 21%100
Nuggets -879%121
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -672%147
Spurs 28%154
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 36%102
Kings -3.564%112

Wednesday, Jan. 9

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 19%108
Celtics -981%135
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -2.560%106
Wizards 40%123
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 13%100
Nets -1287%116
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 4%124
Pelicans -2096%140
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks 47%116
Rockets -153%109
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 26%86
Grizzlies -6.574%96
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 12%94
Mavericks -12.588%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 15%93
Jazz -1185%106
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 13%112
Trail Blazers -1287%124
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 44%100
Lakers -1.556%113

Tuesday, Jan. 8

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers -775%123
Cavaliers 25%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 17%115
76ers -9.583%132
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 5%101
Raptors -1895%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 50%103
Heat PK50%99
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 18%119
Thunder -9.582%117
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 48%111
Suns -0.552%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 27%109
Clippers -673%128
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 3%95
Warriors -21.597%122

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