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UPDATED Mar. 20, 2019, at 9:56 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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Choose your forecast:

Choose your forecast:

Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Full-strength CARMELOCurrent CARMELOTeamConferenceProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsPlayoff CARMELO AdjustmentChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
18011766Warriors48-22West58-24+6.8+4976%57%
17151665Bucks53-19East61-21+9.0+3239%14%
16981459Raptors50-21East58-24+5.9+6342%16%
16921682Rockets45-26West53-29+3.8>99%+3612%5%
1672167276ers47-25East54-28+3.8+1710%2%
16711501Thunder42-29West49-33+3.6>99%+395%2%
16571645Celtics43-29East50-32+5.1>99%+279%2%
16361649Jazz42-29West50-32+4.9>99%+534%1%
16321636Nuggets47-22West55-27+4.6+213%<1%
16041567Trail Blazers43-27West51-31+3.6>99%+15<1%<1%
15871498Pacers44-28East48-34+3.2>99%+31<1%<1%
15441463Timberwolves32-39West37-45-1.0<1%+5<1%<1%
15191379Lakers31-40West36-46-2.2<1%+42<1%<1%
15081508Spurs42-29West48-34+1.6>99%+33<1%<1%
15071507Pistons36-34East42-40-0.598%+18<1%<1%
15021258Pelicans31-43West35-47-0.3+87
14931446Wizards30-41East35-47-2.42%+24<1%<1%
14881482Clippers42-30West47-35+0.9>99%+13<1%<1%
14861508Magic34-38East39-43-0.265%+16<1%<1%
14851388Grizzlies28-42West32-50-2.7+11
14731445Hornets31-39East35-47-1.75%+33<1%<1%
14731450Heat34-36East38-44-0.542%-7<1%<1%
14701416Mavericks28-42West32-50-2.2+2
14551461Nets37-36East40-42-0.988%+1<1%<1%
14381438Kings34-36West39-43-1.3<1%+20<1%<1%
13611258Bulls20-52East23-59-7.7+41
13411362Hawks24-48East26-56-6.5+2
13361289Suns17-55West20-62-8.6+33
12921191Cavaliers19-53East21-61-9.1+19
12411220Knicks14-58East16-66-9.0+8
Forecast from

Wednesday, March 20

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -153%115
76ers 47%118
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -7.576%102
Cavaliers 24%107
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 12%96
Magic -12.588%119
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -11.586%137
Knicks 14%116
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -5.571%
Grizzlies 29%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards -3.564%
Bulls 36%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 29%
Spurs -5.571%
9:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 30%
Thunder -5.571%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 19%
Trail Blazers -981%

Thursday, March 21

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -570%
Wizards 30%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 38%
Hornets -362%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -568%
Hawks 32%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 28%
Kings -672%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons -465%
Suns 35%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 12%
Warriors -12.588%

Friday, March 22

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 23%
Magic -7.577%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -1083%
Knicks 17%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -6.574%
Cavaliers 26%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 30%
Raptors -570%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 18%
Rockets -9.582%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 14%
Bucks -11.586%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 50%
Lakers PK50%

Saturday, March 23

6 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -2.561%
Hornets 39%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 33%
Wizards -4.567%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -7.576%
Hawks 24%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves -1.557%
Grizzlies 43%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -10.584%
Bulls 16%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 6%
Warriors -16.594%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 28%
Trail Blazers -5.572%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 20%
Kings -980%

Sunday, March 24

12 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -5.571%
Knicks 29%
4:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 5%
Bucks -18.595%
5 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -154%
Pacers 46%
6 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 11%
Raptors -1389%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -12.588%
Pelicans 12%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 24%
Celtics -776%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 9%
Warriors -1491%
9:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 28%
Lakers -5.572%

Monday, March 25

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -2.560%
Magic 40%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -570%
Grizzlies 30%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 7%
Jazz -15.593%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 23%
Trail Blazers -7.577%

Tuesday, March 26

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -9.583%
Cavaliers 17%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 41%
Hornets -2.559%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 7%
Raptors -1693%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 36%
Heat -3.564%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 22%
Pelicans -878%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 37%
Bucks -3.563%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 29%
Timberwolves -5.571%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 38%
Mavericks -362%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 18%
Nuggets -9.582%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 29%
Lakers -5.571%

Completed games

Tuesday, March 19

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -154%118
Hornets 46%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -879%121
Hawks 21%105
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -2.560%117
Timberwolves 40%107
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 14%101
Bucks -11.586%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 40%123
Kings -2.560%121
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 35%109
Clippers -465%115

Monday, March 18

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons -981%119
Cavaliers 19%126
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -465%116
Wizards 35%95
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 34%114
Celtics -466%105
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 14%92
Raptors -1186%128
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -153%105
Spurs 47%111
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 22%116
Thunder -879%107
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 30%129
Mavericks -5.570%125
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 43%116
Suns -257%101
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 30%98
Trail Blazers -570%106

Sunday, March 17

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers -154%123
Knicks 46%124
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 30%75
Heat -5.570%93
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 29%130
Bucks -5.571%125
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 45%107
Pistons -155%110
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 16%91
Magic -10.584%101
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 26%102
Kings -6.574%129
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 27%116
Clippers -673%119
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 21%102
Rockets -879%117

Saturday, March 16

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 13%120
Celtics -1287%129
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 40%128
Wizards -2.560%135
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 29%138
Pelicans -5.571%136
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 17%116
Mavericks -1083%121
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 44%110
Thunder -1.556%88
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 50%103
Spurs PK50%108
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 14%98
Jazz -11.586%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pacers 16%100
Nuggets -10.584%102

Friday, March 15

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 26%116
Wizards -6.574%110
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 19%97
Pistons -981%111
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 19%114
76ers -981%123
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -5.571%113
Heat 29%98
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 10%102
Rockets -13.590%108
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers -4.568%122
Pelicans 32%110
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 15%83
Spurs -1185%109
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 23%121
Clippers -7.577%128

Thursday, March 14

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 7%91
Magic -16.593%120
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 48%106
Pacers -0.552%108
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 24%120
Celtics -7.576%126
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 17%98
Raptors -1083%111
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 22%100
Jazz -878%120
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 9%99
Nuggets -14.591%100

Wednesday, March 13

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 14%96
Thunder -11.586%108
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 36%90
Wizards -3.564%100
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 45%74
Heat -155%108
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 43%111
Hawks -257%132
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 38%106
Rockets -362%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz -673%114
Suns 27%97

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