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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Danilo Gallinari | D. Gallinari | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 33 | SAME | +2.5 | -0.3 | |||||||
Patrick Beverley | P. Beverley | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | SAME | +1.0 | +1.1 | |||||||
Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | SAME | +1.2 | -1.8 | |||||||
Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 28 | SAME | +1.1 | +0.2 | |||||||
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | SAME | -0.6 | -0.6 | |||||||
Lou Williams | L. Williams | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | SAME | +3.1 | -3.1 | |||||||
JaMychal Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24 | SAME | -1.6 | -0.8 | |||||||
Wilson Chandler | W. Chandler | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 25 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.5 | |||||||
Ivica Zubac | I. Zubac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | SAME | -2.1 | +1.8 | |||||||
Garrett Temple | G. Temple | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | SAME | -1.5 | +0.5 | |||||||
Jerome Robinson | J. Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | -1.5 | |||||||
Tyrone Wallace | T. Wallace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.8 | -0.2 | |||||||
Sindarius Thornwell | S. Thornwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.5 | +0.6 | |||||||
Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -0.6 | |||||||
Johnathan Motley | J. Motley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | -0.1 | |||||||
Angel Delgado | A. Delgado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | SAME | -2.3 | -0.1 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +1.8 | -1.7 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 41 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1507 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Danilo Gallinari | D. Gallinari | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 33 | +2.5 | -0.3 | ||||
Patrick Beverley | P. Beverley | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | +1.0 | +1.1 | ||||
Landry Shamet | L. Shamet | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | +1.2 | -1.8 | ||||
Montrezl Harrell | M. Harrell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 28 | +1.1 | +0.2 | ||||
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | -0.6 | -0.6 | ||||
Lou Williams | L. Williams | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | +3.1 | -3.1 | ||||
JaMychal Green | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24 | -1.6 | -0.8 | ||||
Wilson Chandler | W. Chandler | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 25 | -1.2 | -0.5 | ||||
Ivica Zubac | I. Zubac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | -2.1 | +1.8 | ||||
Garrett Temple | G. Temple | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | -1.5 | +0.5 | ||||
Jerome Robinson | J. Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | -1.5 | ||||
Tyrone Wallace | T. Wallace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 | -0.2 | ||||
Sindarius Thornwell | S. Thornwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 | +0.6 | ||||
Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | -0.6 | ||||
Johnathan Motley | J. Motley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | -0.1 | ||||
Angel Delgado | A. Delgado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +1.8 | -1.7 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 41 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1507 |
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