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UPDATED May 26, 2019, at 9:07 AM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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Chance of making ...
Full-strength CARMELOCurrent CARMELOPlayoff Exp. AdjustmentTeamConferenceConf. SemisMake Conf. SemisConf. FinalsMake Conf. FinalsFinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
17961806+8Raptors4-1, 4-3, 4-2East57%
18651693+14Warriors4-2, 4-2, 4-0West43%
17941800-2Bucks4-0, 4-1, 2-4East
16621606-1Trail Blazers4-1, 4-3, 0-4West
17731771+5Rockets4-1, 2-4West
1727171876ers4-1, 3-4East
16751676+2Celtics4-0, 1-4East
16691674-3Nuggets4-3, 3-4West
17081698-2Jazz1-4West
17001674+5Thunder1-4West
15711555+2Spurs3-4West
16211544-1Pacers0-4East
15131531-5Magic1-4East
15281511-1Pistons0-4East
15061508-2Clippers2-4West
14571464-4Nets1-4East
14821468+3HeatEast
15471457-2TimberwolvesWest
15171452+2HornetsEast
14451447-5KingsWest
15051420+2WizardsEast
14761409-1MavericksWest
15881394-4PelicansWest
15551361+9LakersWest
13561323-3HawksEast
14081321-5BullsEast
12411232-5KnicksEast
12971211-3CavaliersEast
14971156GrizzliesWest
13611078-5SunsWest
Forecast from

Thursday, May 30Finals

Game 1
9 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 23%
Raptors -7.577%

Sunday, June 2Finals

Game 2
8 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 29%
Raptors -5.571%

Wednesday, June 5Finals

Game 3
9 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 41%
Warriors -259%

Friday, June 7Finals

Game 4
9 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 39%
Warriors -361%

Monday, June 10Finals

Game 5
9 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 40%
Raptors -2.560%

Thursday, June 13Finals

Game 6
9 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 32%
Warriors -4.568%

Sunday, June 16Finals

Game 7
8 p.m. Eastern
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 45%
Raptors -155%

Completed games

Saturday, May 25Conference Finals

Game 6
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks 35%94
Raptors4-2 -465%100

Thursday, May 23Conference Finals

Game 5
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors3-2 38%105
Bucks -362%99

Tuesday, May 21Conference Finals

Game 4
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks2-2 36%102
Raptors -3.564%120

Monday, May 20Conference Finals

Game 4
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors4-0 44%119
Trail Blazers -1.556%117

Sunday, May 19Conference Finals

Game 3
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks2-1 37%112
Raptors -3.563%118

Saturday, May 18Conference Finals

Game 3
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors3-0 PK50%110
Trail Blazers 50%99

Friday, May 17Conference Finals

Game 2
FINAL
CARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 37%103
Bucks2-0 -3.563%125

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