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UPDATED Jan. 19, 2019, at 2:02 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:What’s new in our forecastCARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo history

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Choose your forecast:

Choose your forecast:

Regular SeasonReg. SeasonPlayoffs
Full-strength CARMELOCurrent CARMELOTeamConferenceProj. RecordProj. Point Diff/GChance of Making PlayoffsMake play-offsPlayoff CARMELO AdjustmentChance of Making FinalsMake FinalsChance of Winning FinalsWin Finals
17961793Warriors32-14West60-22+7.8>99%+5675%60%
16911480Raptors34-13East60-22+6.1>99%+4644%14%
16851563Rockets25-19West49-33+3.397%+287%4%
16841661Thunder26-18West50-32+4.598%+349%5%
16671677Bucks32-12East58-24+8.2>99%+3425%6%
16581661Celtics27-18East52-30+6.0>99%+3216%4%
1641163876ers30-16East53-29+3.9>99%+2312%2%
16321593Jazz26-21West50-32+4.498%+474%2%
16211616Nuggets30-14West53-29+4.2>99%+223%1%
15981454Pelicans21-25West41-41+1.835%+39<1%<1%
15781578Pacers29-15East50-32+3.8>99%+283%<1%
15711573Trail Blazers28-19West47-35+1.987%+27<1%<1%
15641472Timberwolves21-24West40-42-0.121%+11<1%<1%
15571425Lakers25-21West42-40+0.342%+37<1%<1%
15331505Wizards19-26East38-44-1.854%+34<1%<1%
15161438Grizzlies19-26West38-44-1.210%+15<1%<1%
15121496Spurs27-20West44-38+1.370%+20<1%<1%
14941492Clippers24-21West41-41-0.434%+13<1%<1%
14781451Hornets21-23East36-46-1.141%+33<1%<1%
14771489Pistons20-24East38-44-1.760%+8<1%<1%
14721432Heat21-22East38-44-1.156%+9<1%<1%
14691458Mavericks20-24West36-46-1.03%-6<1%<1%
14571464Nets24-23East39-43-1.176%+2<1%<1%
14311431Kings23-22West37-45-2.44%+10<1%<1%
14231425Magic19-26East33-49-3.713%+17<1%<1%
13381257Knicks10-34East20-62-8.1<1%-9<1%<1%
13371315Hawks14-30East26-56-7.1<1%+4<1%<1%
13331323Suns11-35West21-61-8.1<1%+19<1%<1%
13101274Bulls10-35East20-62-9.0<1%+34<1%<1%
12981159Cavaliers9-37East19-63-9.6<1%+2<1%<1%
Forecast from

Saturday, Jan. 19

3:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder 40%
76ers -2.560%
5 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 21%
Hornets -879%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 22%
Pacers -878%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -776%
Magic 24%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 34%
Pistons -466%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -775%
Hawks 25%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 26%
Raptors -6.574%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat -0.553%
Bulls 47%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 21%
Rockets -8.579%
10 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 2%
Nuggets -2398%

Sunday, Jan. 20

6 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 21%
Pacers -879%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 36%
Spurs -3.564%
7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 15%
Timberwolves -10.585%

Monday, Jan. 21

12:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -11.586%
Knicks 14%
1 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 47%
Cavaliers -153%
2 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Mavericks 15%
Bucks -1185%
2 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 35%
Wizards -465%
3 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic PK51%
Hawks 49%
3:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 33%
Nets -4.567%
5:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 38%
Grizzlies -362%
6 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 17%
Celtics -1083%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets 24%
76ers -7.576%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 29%
Jazz -5.571%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -1084%
Lakers 16%

Tuesday, Jan. 22

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 10%
Raptors -1490%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 25%
Thunder -6.575%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 48%
Mavericks -0.552%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves -1.555%
Suns 45%

Wednesday, Jan. 23

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors 43%
Pacers -257%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 4%
Celtics -2096%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -776%
Knicks 24%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers 34%
Heat -466%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 32%
Nets -4.568%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hawks 41%
Bulls -259%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 35%
Grizzlies -465%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 40%
Pelicans -2.560%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 18%
76ers -9.582%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets 38%
Jazz -362%

Thursday, Jan. 24

8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -6.574%
Wizards 26%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 11%
Thunder -1389%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers -4.568%
Suns 32%
10:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 39%
Lakers -361%

Friday, Jan. 25

7 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Wizards 42%
Magic -258%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat -569%
Cavaliers 31%
7:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 17%
Nets -1083%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Clippers -3.564%
Bulls 36%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 29%
Grizzlies -5.571%
8 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -154%
Rockets 46%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 14%
Bucks -11.586%
8:30 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 37%
Mavericks -363%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 20%
Jazz -8.580%
9 p.m. EasternCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 6%
Nuggets -17.594%

Completed games

Friday, Jan. 18

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 41%117
Magic -2.559%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 13%116
Celtics -11.587%122
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 28%93
Pistons -5.572%98
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 39%116
Timberwolves -2.561%113
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 4%99
Jazz -20.596%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -776%112
Clippers 24%94
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 40%112
Trail Blazers -2.560%128

Thursday, Jan. 17

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Knicks 17%100
Wizards -1083%101
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers 38%120
Pacers -362%96
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Kings 32%95
Hornets -568%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 31%109
Raptors -569%111
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 7%105
Nuggets -16.593%135
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Lakers 14%138
Thunder -1186%128

Wednesday, Jan. 16

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Magic 31%115
Pistons -569%120
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nets 23%145
Rockets -7.577%142
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -2.561%111
Grizzlies 39%101
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -0.551%108
Celtics 49%117
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 38%105
Mavericks -362%101
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 10%112
Trail Blazers -1490%129
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 25%140
Warriors -775%147
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Jazz 48%129
Clippers -0.552%109

Tuesday, Jan. 15

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Timberwolves 18%107
76ers -9.582%149
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Suns 14%97
Pacers -1186%131
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Thunder -14.591%126
Hawks 9%142
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Heat 16%86
Bucks -1084%124
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors 45%142
Nuggets -1.555%111
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 21%100
Lakers -879%107

Monday, Jan. 14

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics 48%102
Nets -0.552%109
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 35%94
Rockets -465%112
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 33%108
Spurs -4.567%93
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 19%94
Jazz -981%100
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 32%107
Kings -4.568%115
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 44%121
Clippers -1.556%117

Sunday, Jan. 13

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
76ers -1185%108
Knicks 15%105
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Raptors -2.560%140
Wizards 40%138
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bucks -570%133
Hawks 30%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Rockets -3.564%109
Magic 36%116
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Warriors -672%119
Mavericks 28%114
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Trail Blazers 19%113
Nuggets -981%116
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Cavaliers 11%101
Lakers -1389%95

Saturday, Jan. 12

FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pistons 18%109
Clippers -9.582%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Grizzlies 45%108
Heat -1.555%112
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Celtics -5.571%103
Magic 29%105
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Pelicans 46%106
Timberwolves -154%110
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Spurs 18%112
Thunder -9.582%122
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Nuggets -6.573%93
Suns 27%102
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Hornets 34%97
Kings -466%104
FINALCARMELO spreadWin prob.Score
Bulls 7%102
Jazz -1693%110

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