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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Donovan Mitchell | D. Mitchell | 12 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | SAME | +1.5 | +0.1 | |||||||
Rudy Gobert | R. Gobert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | SAME | +0.3 | +4.7 | |||||||
Joe Ingles | J. Ingles | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 34 | +2 | +1.2 | +1.1 | |||||||
Ricky Rubio | R. Rubio | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | SAME | +0.6 | +0.9 | |||||||
Derrick Favors | D. Favors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 26 | SAME | -0.3 | +2.6 | |||||||
Jae Crowder | J. Crowder | 0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 28 | SAME | +0.3 | -0.6 | |||||||
Royce O'Neale | R. O'Neale | 0 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | SAME | -1.5 | +2.0 | |||||||
Dante Exum | D. Exum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -15 | -1.1 | -0.6 | |||||||
Kyle Korver | K. Korver | 0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | +4 | -0.2 | -1.0 | |||||||
Grayson Allen | G. Allen | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +7 | -2.0 | -2.7 | |||||||
Georges Niang | G. Niang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | -1.2 | -1.1 | |||||||
Thabo Sefolosha | T. Sefolosha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | +2.1 | |||||||
Ekpe Udoh | E. Udoh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | SAME | -1.3 | +3.2 | |||||||
Raul Neto | R. Neto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.4 | -0.4 | |||||||
Naz Mitrou-Long | N. Mitrou-Long | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | -1.5 | |||||||
Tyler Cavanaugh | T. Cavanaugh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.8 | -0.6 | |||||||
Tony Bradley | T. Bradley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -0.9 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +1.4 | +6.1 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 60 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1701 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Donovan Mitchell | D. Mitchell | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | +1.5 | +0.1 | ||||
Rudy Gobert | R. Gobert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | +0.3 | +4.7 | ||||
Joe Ingles | J. Ingles | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 32 | +1.2 | +1.1 | ||||
Ricky Rubio | R. Rubio | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | +0.6 | +0.9 | ||||
Derrick Favors | D. Favors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 26 | -0.3 | +2.6 | ||||
Jae Crowder | J. Crowder | 0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 28 | +0.3 | -0.6 | ||||
Royce O'Neale | R. O'Neale | 0 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 21 | -1.5 | +2.0 | ||||
Dante Exum | D. Exum | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | -1.1 | -0.6 | ||||
Kyle Korver | K. Korver | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | -0.2 | -1.0 | ||||
Grayson Allen | G. Allen | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | -2.7 | ||||
Georges Niang | G. Niang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -1.1 | ||||
Thabo Sefolosha | T. Sefolosha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | +2.1 | ||||
Ekpe Udoh | E. Udoh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.3 | +3.2 | ||||
Raul Neto | R. Neto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | ||||
Naz Mitrou-Long | N. Mitrou-Long | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | -1.5 | ||||
Tyler Cavanaugh | T. Cavanaugh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | -0.6 | ||||
Tony Bradley | T. Bradley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 | -0.3 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +1.4 | +6.4 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 61 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1708 |
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