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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Kawhi Leonard | K. Leonard | 0 | 7 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 39 | SAME | +3.5 | +0.6 | |||||||
Kyle Lowry | K. Lowry | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | SAME | +3.3 | +0.9 | |||||||
Pascal Siakam | P. Siakam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 33 | SAME | +1.1 | +1.8 | |||||||
Danny Green | D. Green | 0 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 28 | SAME | +1.0 | +1.8 | |||||||
Marc Gasol | M. Gasol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 31 | SAME | -0.1 | +2.7 | |||||||
Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | SAME | +1.2 | +0.1 | |||||||
Serge Ibaka | S. Ibaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | SAME | -0.9 | +0.7 | |||||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | SAME | -0.7 | -0.4 | |||||||
OG Anunoby | O. Anunoby | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | SAME | -1.1 | -0.4 | |||||||
Patrick McCaw | P. McCaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.1 | -0.5 | |||||||
Jodie Meeks | J. Meeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.0 | -1.7 | |||||||
Malcolm Miller | M. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.3 | |||||||
Jeremy Lin | J. Lin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -1.3 | |||||||
Eric Moreland | E. Moreland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.7 | +2.6 | |||||||
Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.6 | +1.3 | |||||||
Jordan Loyd | J. Loyd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | -1.1 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +6.6 | +5.4 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 68 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1807 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Kawhi Leonard | K. Leonard | 0 | 7 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 39 | +3.5 | +0.6 | ||||
Kyle Lowry | K. Lowry | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | +3.3 | +0.9 | ||||
Pascal Siakam | P. Siakam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 33 | +1.1 | +1.8 | ||||
Danny Green | D. Green | 0 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 28 | +1.0 | +1.8 | ||||
Marc Gasol | M. Gasol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 31 | -0.1 | +2.7 | ||||
Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | +1.2 | +0.1 | ||||
Serge Ibaka | S. Ibaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -0.9 | +0.7 | ||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | -0.7 | -0.4 | ||||
OG Anunoby | O. Anunoby | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -1.1 | -0.4 | ||||
Patrick McCaw | P. McCaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 | -0.5 | ||||
Jodie Meeks | J. Meeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | -1.7 | ||||
Malcolm Miller | M. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -0.3 | ||||
Jeremy Lin | J. Lin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -1.3 | ||||
Eric Moreland | E. Moreland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 | +2.6 | ||||
Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 | +1.3 | ||||
Jordan Loyd | J. Loyd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | -1.1 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +6.6 | +5.4 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 68 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1807 |
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