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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
James Harden | J. Harden | 12 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 40 | SAME | +7.7 | +0.3 | |||||||
Chris Paul | C. Paul | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +3.5 | +1.5 | |||||||
Clint Capela | C. Capela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 36 | SAME | -0.1 | +2.1 | |||||||
P.J. Tucker | P. Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 37 | SAME | -0.5 | +1.5 | |||||||
Eric Gordon | E. Gordon | 1 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | SAME | +1.3 | -1.6 | |||||||
Danuel House | D. House | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 21 | SAME | +0.2 | -0.6 | |||||||
Austin Rivers | A. Rivers | 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | SAME | -0.2 | -1.3 | |||||||
Gerald Green | G. Green | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | SAME | -0.2 | -2.1 | |||||||
Kenneth Faried | K. Faried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 17 | SAME | -0.7 | -0.1 | |||||||
Iman Shumpert | I. Shumpert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.5 | |||||||
Nene Hilario | N. Hilario | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | SAME | -1.9 | +1.9 | |||||||
Gary Clark | G. Clark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | SAME | -1.7 | -0.1 | |||||||
Isaiah Hartenstein | I. Hartenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.0 | +1.2 | |||||||
Vince Edwards | V. Edwards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.5 | -1.2 | |||||||
Trevon Duval | T. Duval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.3 | -1.8 | |||||||
Chris Chiozza | C. Chiozza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.3 | |||||||
Michael Frazier | M. Frazier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +8.6 | +2.3 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 65 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1773 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
James Harden | J. Harden | 12 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 40 | +7.7 | +0.3 | ||||
Chris Paul | C. Paul | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +3.5 | +1.5 | ||||
Clint Capela | C. Capela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 36 | -0.1 | +2.1 | ||||
P.J. Tucker | P. Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 37 | -0.5 | +1.5 | ||||
Eric Gordon | E. Gordon | 1 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +1.3 | -1.6 | ||||
Danuel House | D. House | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 21 | +0.2 | -0.6 | ||||
Austin Rivers | A. Rivers | 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -0.2 | -1.3 | ||||
Gerald Green | G. Green | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -0.2 | -2.1 | ||||
Kenneth Faried | K. Faried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||||
Iman Shumpert | I. Shumpert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | -0.5 | ||||
Nene Hilario | N. Hilario | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -1.9 | +1.9 | ||||
Gary Clark | G. Clark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.7 | -0.1 | ||||
Isaiah Hartenstein | I. Hartenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | +1.2 | ||||
Vince Edwards | V. Edwards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | -1.2 | ||||
Trevon Duval | T. Duval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 | -1.8 | ||||
Chris Chiozza | C. Chiozza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -0.3 | ||||
Michael Frazier | M. Frazier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | -0.3 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +8.6 | +2.3 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 65 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1773 |
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