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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Russell Westbrook | R. Westbrook | 24 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | +2 | +4.0 | +1.1 | |||||||
Paul George | P. George | 0 | 0 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 42 | +2 | +3.6 | +1.7 | |||||||
Steven Adams | S. Adams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | SAME | 0.0 | +2.0 | |||||||
Jerami Grant | J. Grant | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 34 | +1 | -0.6 | +0.7 | |||||||
Dennis Schroder | D. Schroder | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | SAME | +0.3 | -2.0 | |||||||
Andre Roberson | A. Roberson | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -20 | -1.5 | +2.4 | |||||||
Terrance Ferguson | T. Ferguson | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | +4 | -1.2 | -1.4 | |||||||
Markieff Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 | +2 | -1.5 | -0.4 | |||||||
Patrick Patterson | P. Patterson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +2 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |||||||
Nerlens Noel | N. Noel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | -2.3 | +3.9 | |||||||
Abdel Nader | A. Nader | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +5 | -3.5 | -0.7 | |||||||
Raymond Felton | R. Felton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.5 | -0.7 | |||||||
Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.8 | -1.1 | |||||||
Deonte Burton | D. Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.4 | +0.2 | |||||||
Donte Grantham | D. Grantham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -0.2 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +4.2 | +2.8 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 58 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1681 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Russell Westbrook | R. Westbrook | 24 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | +4.0 | +1.1 | ||||
Paul George | P. George | 0 | 0 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 40 | +3.6 | +1.7 | ||||
Steven Adams | S. Adams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | 0.0 | +2.0 | ||||
Jerami Grant | J. Grant | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 33 | -0.6 | +0.7 | ||||
Dennis Schroder | D. Schroder | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +0.3 | -2.0 | ||||
Andre Roberson | A. Roberson | 0 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 26 | -1.5 | +2.4 | ||||
Terrance Ferguson | T. Ferguson | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | -1.2 | -1.4 | ||||
Markieff Morris | M. Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -1.5 | -0.4 | ||||
Patrick Patterson | P. Patterson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -1.7 | -0.3 | ||||
Nerlens Noel | N. Noel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 | +3.9 | ||||
Abdel Nader | A. Nader | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 | -0.7 | ||||
Raymond Felton | R. Felton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | -0.7 | ||||
Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 | -1.1 | ||||
Deonte Burton | D. Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | +0.2 | ||||
Donte Grantham | D. Grantham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | -0.2 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.9 | +3.8 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 60 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1700 |
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