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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Damian Lillard | D. Lillard | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | +1 | +5.6 | -0.9 | |||||||
C.J. McCollum | C. McCollum | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | SAME | +2.1 | -1.4 | |||||||
Jusuf Nurkic | J. Nurkic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -30 | -0.1 | +3.4 | |||||||
Al-Farouq Aminu | A. Aminu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 30 | +1 | -0.2 | +1.5 | |||||||
Maurice Harkless | M. Harkless | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 26 | +2 | -0.7 | +1.6 | |||||||
Enes Kanter | E. Kanter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | +2 | +0.3 | -0.7 | |||||||
Rodney Hood | R. Hood | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 22 | SAME | 0.0 | -1.2 | |||||||
Seth Curry | S. Curry | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | SAME | +0.3 | -0.6 | |||||||
Evan Turner | E. Turner | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +1 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |||||||
Zach Collins | Z. Collins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +8 | -1.7 | +1.0 | |||||||
Jake Layman | J. Layman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | +8 | -1.0 | -0.4 | |||||||
Meyers Leonard | M. Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +6 | +0.3 | -0.5 | |||||||
Skal Labissiere | S. Labissiere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -1.8 | +0.1 | |||||||
Anfernee Simons | A. Simons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.8 | -2.1 | |||||||
Gary Trent Jr. | G. Trent Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.6 | -1.5 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +5.0 | -1.0 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 51 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1602 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Damian Lillard | D. Lillard | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | +5.6 | -0.9 | ||||
C.J. McCollum | C. McCollum | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | +2.1 | -1.4 | ||||
Jusuf Nurkic | J. Nurkic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 | -0.1 | +3.4 | ||||
Al-Farouq Aminu | A. Aminu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 29 | -0.2 | +1.5 | ||||
Maurice Harkless | M. Harkless | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 | -0.7 | +1.6 | ||||
Enes Kanter | E. Kanter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 26 | +0.3 | -0.7 | ||||
Rodney Hood | R. Hood | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0.0 | -1.2 | ||||
Seth Curry | S. Curry | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | +0.3 | -0.6 | ||||
Evan Turner | E. Turner | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2.1 | -0.3 | ||||
Zach Collins | Z. Collins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -1.7 | +1.0 | ||||
Jake Layman | J. Layman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 | -0.4 | ||||
Meyers Leonard | M. Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 | -0.5 | ||||
Skal Labissiere | S. Labissiere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | +0.1 | ||||
Anfernee Simons | A. Simons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | -2.1 | ||||
Gary Trent Jr. | G. Trent Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 | -1.5 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +5.4 | +1.0 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 57 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1662 |
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