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| playoff chances | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| playoff chances | |||||||||||
| playoff chances | |||||||||||
elo with top qb elo rating | 1-week change | current qb adj. | team | division | make div. round | make conf. champ | make super bowl | win super bowl | |||
| 1753 | +11 |  | Kansas CityKansas City15-4 | AFC West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||
| 1652 |  | San FranciscoSan Francisco15-4 | NFC West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | ||||
| 1647 |  | TennesseeTennessee11-8 | AFC South | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | ||||
| 1618 |  | Green BayGreen Bay14-4 | NFC North | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | ||||
| 1730 |  | BaltimoreBaltimore14-3 | AFC North | ✓ | — | — | — | ||||
| 1597 |  | MinnesotaMinnesota11-7 | NFC North | ✓ | — | — | — | ||||
| 1555 |  | SeattleSeattle12-6 | NFC West | ✓ | — | — | — | ||||
| 1559 |  | HoustonHouston11-7 | AFC South | ✓ | — | — | — | ||||
| 1671 |  | New OrleansNew Orleans13-4 | NFC South | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1601 |  | New EnglandNew England12-5 | AFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1530 |  | PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia9-8 | NFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1509 |  | BuffaloBuffalo10-7 | AFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1581 |  | L.A. RamsL.A. Rams9-7 | NFC West | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1532 |  | AtlantaAtlanta7-9 | NFC South | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1543 |  | DallasDallas8-8 | NFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1512 |  | ChicagoChicago8-8 | NFC North | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1502 |  | PittsburghPittsburgh8-8 | AFC North | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1480 |  | Tampa BayTampa Bay7-9 | NFC South | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1496 |  | DenverDenver7-9 | AFC West | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1449 |  | IndianapolisIndianapolis7-9 | AFC South | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1442 |  | L.A. ChargersL.A. Chargers5-11 | AFC West | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1465 |  | N.Y. JetsN.Y. Jets7-9 | AFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1403 |  | ArizonaArizona5-10-1 | NFC West | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1409 |  | ClevelandCleveland6-10 | AFC North | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1400 |  | JacksonvilleJacksonville6-10 | AFC South | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1421 |  | OaklandOakland7-9 | AFC West | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1476 |  | CarolinaCarolina5-11 | NFC South | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1387 |  | MiamiMiami5-11 | AFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1437 |  | DetroitDetroit3-12-1 | NFC North | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1341 |  | N.Y. GiantsN.Y. Giants4-12 | NFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1334 |  | CincinnatiCincinnati2-14 | AFC North | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 1282 |  | WashingtonWashington3-13 | NFC East | — | — | — | — | ||||
Forecast from
Completed
Super Bowl
Sunday, Feb. 2
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 37% | 20 | |
| Kansas City | -3.5 | 63% | 31 |
Conference championships
Sunday, Jan. 19
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 31% | 24 | |
| Kansas City | -5.5 | 69% | 35 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | 36% | 20 | |
| San Francisco | -4 | 64% | 37 |
Divisional round
Saturday, Jan. 11
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 33% | 10 | |
| San Francisco | -5 | 67% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 13% | 28 | |
| Baltimore | -13 | 87% | 12 |
Sunday, Jan. 12
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 17% | 31 | |
| Kansas City | -11 | 83% | 51 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 26% | 23 | |
| Green Bay | -7.5 | 74% | 28 |
Wild-card round
Saturday, Jan. 4
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 35% | 19 | |
| Houston | -4.5 | 65% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 31% | 20 | |
| New England | -5.5 | 69% | 13 |
Sunday, Jan. 5
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 23% | 26 | |
| New Orleans | -8.5 | 77% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 31% | 17 | |
| Philadelphia | -5.5 | 69% | 9 |
Week 17
Sunday, Dec. 29, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 43% | 28 | |
| Tampa Bay | -2 | 57% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 45% | 21 | |
| Minnesota | -1.5 | 55% | 19 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | -3.5 | 63% | 23 |
| Cincinnati | 37% | 33 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -12 | 85% | 23 |
| Detroit | 15% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | 14% | 21 | |
| Kansas City | -13 | 86% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 10% | 27 | |
| New England | -15 | 90% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | -11 | 83% | 42 |
| Carolina | 17% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | 26% | 13 | |
| Buffalo | -7.5 | 74% | 6 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 22% | 24 | |
| L.A. Rams | -9 | 78% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | -3 | 61% | 20 |
| Jacksonville | 39% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 31% | 15 | |
| Denver | -5.5 | 69% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | -6 | 70% | 34 |
| N.Y. Giants | 30% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 29% | 10 | |
| Baltimore | -3 | 71% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | -2.5 | 59% | 35 |
| Houston | 41% | 14 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 18% | 16 | |
| Dallas | -10.5 | 82% | 47 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | -1.5 | 55% | 26 |
| Seattle | 45% | 21 |
Week 16
Saturday, Dec. 21, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 46% | 23 | |
| Tampa Bay | -1 | 54% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 32% | 17 | |
| New England | -5 | 68% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | 34% | 31 | |
| San Francisco | -4.5 | 66% | 34 |
Sunday, Dec. 22, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | -9.5 | 80% | 31 |
| Cleveland | 20% | 15 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 32% | 6 | |
| Indianapolis | -5 | 68% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 38% | 35 | |
| Miami | -3.5 | 62% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 26% | 12 | |
| Atlanta | -7.5 | 74% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | -2 | 57% | 38 |
| Tennessee | 43% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 46% | 41 | |
| Washington | -1.5 | 54% | 35 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | -1 | 54% | 10 |
| N.Y. Jets | 46% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 17% | 17 | |
| Denver | -11 | 83% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 30% | 24 | |
| L.A. Chargers | -6 | 70% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 15% | 27 | |
| Seattle | -12 | 85% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 44% | 9 | |
| Philadelphia | -1.5 | 56% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -3.5 | 63% | 26 |
| Chicago | 37% | 3 |
Monday, Dec. 23, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | 35% | 23 | |
| Minnesota | -4.5 | 65% | 10 |
Week 15
Thursday, Dec. 12, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | 10% | 21 | |
| Baltimore | -15.5 | 90% | 42 |
Sunday, Dec. 15, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 37% | 13 | |
| Green Bay | -3.5 | 63% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 22% | 3 | |
| Kansas City | -8.5 | 78% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 36% | 24 | |
| Tennessee | -4 | 64% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 48% | 20 | |
| N.Y. Giants | -0.5 | 52% | 36 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -10.5 | 82% | 34 |
| Cincinnati | 18% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | -6 | 71% | 37 |
| Washington | 29% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | -4.5 | 66% | 30 |
| Carolina | 34% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | -7 | 73% | 38 |
| Detroit | 27% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | -4.5 | 66% | 24 |
| Arizona | 34% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 32% | 20 | |
| Oakland | -5 | 68% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -2 | 57% | 39 |
| L.A. Chargers | 43% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 17% | 29 | |
| San Francisco | -11 | 83% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | -1 | 54% | 21 |
| Dallas | 46% | 44 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 46% | 17 | |
| Pittsburgh | -1 | 54% | 10 |
Monday, Dec. 16, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 21% | 7 | |
| New Orleans | -9 | 79% | 34 |
Week 14
Thursday, Dec. 5, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 45% | 24 | |
| Chicago | -1.5 | 55% | 31 |
Sunday, Dec. 8, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | -4 | 64% | 24 |
| Buffalo | 36% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 41% | 20 | |
| Atlanta | -2.5 | 59% | 40 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 23% | 19 | |
| Cleveland | -8.5 | 77% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 23% | 38 | |
| Houston | -8.5 | 77% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 9% | 7 | |
| Minnesota | -16 | 91% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 43% | 35 | |
| Tampa Bay | -2 | 57% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 35% | 21 | |
| N.Y. Jets | -4.5 | 65% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 40% | 48 | |
| New Orleans | -3 | 60% | 46 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 13% | 15 | |
| Green Bay | -13.5 | 87% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | -1.5 | 55% | 45 |
| Jacksonville | 45% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 37% | 23 | |
| New England | -4 | 63% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | -4 | 64% | 23 |
| Arizona | 36% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | -3 | 61% | 42 |
| Oakland | 39% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 47% | 12 | |
| L.A. Rams | -1 | 53% | 28 |
Monday, Dec. 9, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 20% | 17 | |
| Philadelphia | -10 | 80% | 23 |
Week 13
Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | -6.5 | 73% | 24 |
| Detroit | 27% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 37% | 26 | |
| Dallas | -3.5 | 63% | 15 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | -6 | 70% | 26 |
| Atlanta | 30% | 18 |
Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 49% | 13 | |
| Pittsburgh | -0.5 | 51% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -7.5 | 75% | 31 |
| N.Y. Giants | 25% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | -5 | 76% | 6 |
| Cincinnati | 24% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | -6 | 70% | 31 |
| Miami | 30% | 37 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 32% | 17 | |
| Baltimore | -5 | 68% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 40% | 28 | |
| Jacksonville | -2.5 | 60% | 11 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 42% | 31 | |
| Indianapolis | -2 | 58% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 21% | 29 | |
| Carolina | -9.5 | 79% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | -3.5 | 62% | 34 |
| Arizona | 38% | 7 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | -0.5 | 52% | 20 |
| Denver | 48% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 17% | 9 | |
| Kansas City | -11 | 83% | 40 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -2.5 | 60% | 22 |
| Houston | 40% | 28 |
Monday, Dec. 2, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -0.5 | 51% | 30 |
| Seattle | 49% | 37 |
Week 12
Thursday, Nov. 21, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 40% | 17 | |
| Houston | -3 | 60% | 20 |
Sunday, Nov. 24, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 19% | 31 | |
| New Orleans | -10 | 81% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 22% | 3 | |
| Buffalo | -9 | 78% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | PK | 50% | 16 |
| Washington | 50% | 19 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 22% | 24 | |
| Cleveland | -9 | 78% | 41 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 24% | 14 | |
| Chicago | -8 | 76% | 19 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 49% | 3 | |
| N.Y. Jets | PK | 51% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | -8.5 | 77% | 16 |
| Cincinnati | 23% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 49% | 17 | |
| Philadelphia | -0.5 | 51% | 9 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 30% | 35 | |
| Atlanta | -6 | 70% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 37% | 20 | |
| Tennessee | -4 | 63% | 42 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 27% | 9 | |
| New England | -7 | 73% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | 40% | 8 | |
| San Francisco | -3 | 60% | 37 |
Monday, Nov. 25, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | -2 | 58% | 45 |
| L.A. Rams | 42% | 6 |
Week 11
Thursday, Nov. 14, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | PK | 50% | 7 |
| Cleveland | 50% | 21 |
Sunday, Nov. 17, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 37% | 29 | |
| Carolina | -4 | 63% | 3 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | -3 | 61% | 37 |
| Miami | 39% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -8 | 75% | 35 |
| Detroit | 25% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 15% | 23 | |
| Minnesota | -12 | 85% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 38% | 7 | |
| Baltimore | -3.5 | 62% | 41 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 44% | 13 | |
| Indianapolis | -2 | 56% | 33 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | -5.5 | 69% | 34 |
| Tampa Bay | 31% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | -0.5 | 51% | 34 |
| Washington | 49% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 15% | 26 | |
| San Francisco | -12 | 85% | 36 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 14% | 10 | |
| Oakland | -12.5 | 86% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -2 | 57% | 17 |
| Philadelphia | 43% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 35% | 7 | |
| L.A. Rams | -4.5 | 65% | 17 |
Monday, Nov. 18, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -5 | 68% | 24 |
| L.A. Chargers | 32% | 17 |
Week 10
Thursday, Nov. 7, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | 49% | 24 | |
| Oakland | PK | 51% | 26 |
Sunday, Nov. 10, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 36% | 27 | |
| Tampa Bay | -4 | 64% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 12% | 26 | |
| New Orleans | -14 | 88% | 9 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | -13 | 86% | 49 |
| Cincinnati | 14% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | PK | 50% | 16 |
| Cleveland | 50% | 19 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 19% | 13 | |
| Chicago | -10 | 81% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -4 | 64% | 32 |
| Tennessee | 36% | 35 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 37% | 27 | |
| N.Y. Jets | -3.5 | 63% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 20% | 16 | |
| Indianapolis | -9.5 | 80% | 12 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 29% | 16 | |
| Green Bay | -6 | 71% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | -2.5 | 60% | 12 |
| Pittsburgh | 40% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 46% | 28 | |
| Dallas | -1 | 54% | 24 |
Monday, Nov. 11, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 32% | 27 | |
| San Francisco | -5 | 68% | 24 |
Week 9
Thursday, Oct. 31, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | -8 | 75% | 28 |
| Arizona | 25% | 25 |
Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | -4.5 | 65% | 26 |
| Jacksonville | 35% | 3 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 36% | 14 | |
| Philadelphia | -4 | 64% | 22 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | -1 | 53% | 24 |
| Pittsburgh | 47% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -3 | 61% | 23 |
| Kansas City | 39% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | -1 | 53% | 18 |
| Miami | 47% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 46% | 20 | |
| Carolina | -1 | 54% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 20% | 9 | |
| Buffalo | -9.5 | 80% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 46% | 24 | |
| Oakland | -1 | 54% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 24% | 34 | |
| Seattle | -8 | 76% | 40 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | -2.5 | 59% | 19 |
| Denver | 41% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -3.5 | 62% | 11 |
| L.A. Chargers | 38% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -2 | 57% | 20 |
| Baltimore | 43% | 37 |
Monday, Nov. 4, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -7.5 | 75% | 37 |
| N.Y. Giants | 25% | 18 |
Week 8
Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 12% | 9 | |
| Minnesota | -14 | 88% | 19 |
Sunday, Oct. 27, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 12% | 9 | |
| New Orleans | -14 | 88% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 16% | 10 | |
| L.A. Rams | -11.5 | 84% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 26% | 13 | |
| Indianapolis | -7.5 | 74% | 15 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | 33% | 17 | |
| Chicago | -5 | 67% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 24% | 26 | |
| Detroit | -8 | 76% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | 40% | 15 | |
| Jacksonville | -3 | 60% | 29 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 42% | 31 | |
| Buffalo | -2.5 | 58% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | -7 | 74% | 27 |
| Atlanta | 26% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 34% | 23 | |
| Tennessee | -3.5 | 66% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 26% | 13 | |
| San Francisco | -6 | 74% | 51 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 14% | 13 | |
| New England | -11.5 | 86% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 27% | 24 | |
| Houston | -7 | 73% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -2.5 | 58% | 31 |
| Kansas City | 42% | 24 |
Monday, Oct. 28, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 22% | 14 | |
| Pittsburgh | -9 | 78% | 27 |
Week 7
Thursday, Oct. 17, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -4 | 64% | 30 |
| Denver | 36% | 6 |
Sunday, Oct. 20, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 42% | 27 | |
| N.Y. Giants | -2.5 | 58% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | -0.5 | 52% | 23 |
| Indianapolis | 48% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | -1 | 54% | 27 |
| Cincinnati | 46% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | -1 | 54% | 37 |
| Atlanta | 46% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 17% | 21 | |
| Buffalo | -11.5 | 83% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -2 | 57% | 42 |
| Detroit | 43% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 25% | 24 | |
| Green Bay | -6.5 | 75% | 42 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | -7.5 | 75% | 9 |
| Washington | 25% | 0 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | 45% | 20 | |
| Tennessee | -1.5 | 55% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | 35% | 30 | |
| Seattle | -4 | 65% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | 46% | 36 | |
| Chicago | -2.5 | 54% | 25 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 45% | 10 | |
| Dallas | -1.5 | 55% | 37 |
Monday, Oct. 21, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -8 | 75% | 33 |
| N.Y. Jets | 25% | 0 |
Week 6
Thursday, Oct. 10, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 10% | 14 | |
| New England | -15 | 90% | 35 |
Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 49% | 37 | |
| Tampa Bay | -0.5 | 51% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 18% | 17 | |
| Baltimore | -10.5 | 82% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 30% | 31 | |
| Kansas City | -6 | 70% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | -3.5 | 62% | 13 |
| Jacksonville | 38% | 6 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 45% | 20 | |
| Minnesota | -1.5 | 55% | 38 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | -1.5 | 56% | 32 |
| Cleveland | 44% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | -0.5 | 56% | 17 |
| Miami | 44% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | -2 | 57% | 33 |
| Arizona | 43% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 38% | 20 | |
| L.A. Rams | -3.5 | 62% | 7 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -2 | 58% | 22 |
| N.Y. Jets | 42% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | PK | 50% | 0 |
| Denver | 50% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 20% | 24 | |
| L.A. Chargers | -9.5 | 80% | 17 |
Monday, Oct. 14, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 31% | 22 | |
| Green Bay | -4.5 | 69% | 23 |
Week 5
Thursday, Oct. 3, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | 45% | 29 | |
| Seattle | -1.5 | 55% | 30 |
Sunday, Oct. 6, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 39% | 26 | |
| Cincinnati | -3 | 61% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 37% | 32 | |
| Houston | -4 | 63% | 53 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | -2.5 | 58% | 26 |
| Pittsburgh | 42% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 37% | 14 | |
| Tennessee | -3.5 | 63% | 7 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | -1 | 53% | 21 |
| Oakland | 47% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 40% | 27 | |
| Carolina | -3 | 60% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -2.5 | 59% | 28 |
| N.Y. Giants | 41% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -12.5 | 86% | 33 |
| Washington | 14% | 7 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | 14% | 6 | |
| Philadelphia | -11.5 | 86% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 36% | 24 | |
| New Orleans | -4 | 64% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 22% | 20 | |
| L.A. Chargers | -8.5 | 78% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | 37% | 34 | |
| Dallas | -3.5 | 63% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 18% | 19 | |
| Kansas City | -10.5 | 82% | 13 |
Monday, Oct. 7, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 37% | 3 | |
| San Francisco | -5 | 63% | 31 |
Week 4
Thursday, Sept. 26, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 39% | 34 | |
| Green Bay | -3 | 61% | 27 |
Sunday, Sept. 29, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 22% | 16 | |
| Houston | -9 | 78% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 28% | 40 | |
| Baltimore | -6.5 | 72% | 25 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -5 | 67% | 34 |
| Detroit | 33% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | -9 | 79% | 30 |
| Miami | 21% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -4.5 | 65% | 16 |
| Buffalo | 35% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 27% | 31 | |
| Indianapolis | -7 | 73% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 38% | 24 | |
| Atlanta | -3.5 | 62% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 44% | 3 | |
| N.Y. Giants | -1.5 | 56% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | -6 | 71% | 27 |
| Arizona | 29% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 17% | 55 | |
| L.A. Rams | -11 | 83% | 40 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 40% | 26 | |
| Denver | -3 | 60% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 41% | 6 | |
| Chicago | -2.5 | 59% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -1 | 53% | 10 |
| New Orleans | 47% | 12 |
Monday, Sept. 30, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 42% | 3 | |
| Pittsburgh | -2.5 | 58% | 27 |
Week 3
Thursday, Sept. 19, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | -5 | 67% | 7 |
| Jacksonville | 33% | 20 |
Sunday, Sept. 22, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 46% | 24 | |
| Indianapolis | -1 | 54% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | 31% | 28 | |
| Kansas City | -5.5 | 69% | 33 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 26% | 17 | |
| Buffalo | -7 | 74% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 26% | 16 | |
| Green Bay | -7.5 | 74% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | 30% | 27 | |
| Philadelphia | -6 | 70% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9% | 6 | |
| Dallas | -16 | 91% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Jets | 9% | 14 | |
| New England | -16.5 | 91% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 26% | 14 | |
| Minnesota | -7 | 74% | 34 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | 35% | 38 | |
| Arizona | -4.5 | 65% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 31% | 32 | |
| Tampa Bay | -5.5 | 69% | 31 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 34% | 27 | |
| L.A. Chargers | -4.5 | 66% | 20 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | 30% | 33 | |
| Seattle | -6 | 70% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 21% | 20 | |
| San Francisco | -9 | 79% | 24 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | -3 | 61% | 20 |
| Cleveland | 39% | 13 |
Monday, Sept. 23, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | -2.5 | 59% | 31 |
| Washington | 41% | 15 |
Week 2
Thursday, Sept. 12, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 30% | 20 | |
| Carolina | -6 | 70% | 14 |
Sunday, Sept. 15, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 19% | 17 | |
| Baltimore | -10 | 81% | 23 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | -0.5 | 52% | 28 |
| N.Y. Giants | 48% | 14 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -3.5 | 62% | 31 |
| Washington | 38% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 32% | 19 | |
| Tennessee | -5 | 68% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | 20% | 12 | |
| Houston | -10 | 80% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Chargers | -2.5 | 59% | 10 |
| Detroit | 41% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 44% | 16 | |
| Green Bay | -1.5 | 56% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | -10 | 81% | 43 |
| Miami | 19% | 0 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 42% | 28 | |
| Pittsburgh | -2.5 | 58% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | -1 | 53% | 41 |
| Cincinnati | 47% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -5.5 | 69% | 28 |
| Oakland | 31% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | -1 | 54% | 16 |
| Denver | 46% | 14 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | 44% | 9 | |
| L.A. Rams | -1.5 | 56% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | -1.5 | 55% | 20 |
| Atlanta | 45% | 24 |
Monday, Sept. 16, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 50% | 23 | |
| N.Y. Jets | PK | 50% | 3 |
Week 1
Thursday, Sept. 5, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | 36% | 10 | |
| Chicago | -4 | 64% | 3 |
Sunday, Sept. 8, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 41% | 12 | |
| Minnesota | -2.5 | 59% | 28 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | -3 | 61% | 59 |
| Miami | 39% | 10 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 45% | 17 | |
| N.Y. Jets | -1.5 | 55% | 16 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | -2.5 | 58% | 40 |
| Jacksonville | 42% | 26 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.A. Rams | -0.5 | 52% | 30 |
| Carolina | 48% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 40% | 43 | |
| Cleveland | -3 | 60% | 13 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 23% | 27 | |
| Philadelphia | -8.5 | 77% | 32 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 25% | 20 | |
| Seattle | -8 | 75% | 21 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 28% | 24 | |
| L.A. Chargers | -6.5 | 72% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | -0.5 | 51% | 27 |
| Arizona | 49% | 27 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Y. Giants | 26% | 17 | |
| Dallas | -7.5 | 74% | 35 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 45% | 31 | |
| Tampa Bay | -1 | 55% | 17 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 32% | 3 | |
| New England | -5 | 68% | 33 |
Monday, Sept. 9, 2019
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 32% | 28 | |
| New Orleans | -5 | 68% | 30 |
| FINAL Eastern | Elo point spread | Win prob. | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 49% | 16 | |
| Oakland | -0.5 | 51% | 24 |
Quarterback ratings
The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero.
AFC East
Miami
Miami
N.Y. Jets
N.Y. Jets
New England
New England
Buffalo
Buffalo
AFC North
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Baltimore
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Cleveland
Cleveland
AFC South
Tennessee
Tennessee
Jacksonville
Jacksonville
Houston
Houston
Indianapolis
Indianapolis
AFC West
Denver
Denver
Oakland
Oakland
Kansas City
Kansas City
L.A. Chargers
L.A. Chargers
NFC East
Washington
Washington
N.Y. Giants
N.Y. Giants
Dallas
Dallas
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
NFC North
Minnesota
Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit
Green Bay
Green Bay
Chicago
Chicago
NFC South
Atlanta
Atlanta
New Orleans
New Orleans
Carolina
Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
NFC West
Seattle
Seattle
Arizona
Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco
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