UPDATED Oct. 20, 2019, at 11:25 PM

2019 NFL Predictions

For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.

More NFL:Every team’s Elo historyCan you outsmart our forecasts?

average simulated seasonplayoff chancesplayoff chances
elo with top qb
elo rating
1-week changecurrent qb adj.teamdivision
record
sim. record
point diff.make playoffswin division1st-round byewin super bowl
1707
New EnglandNew England6-0AFC East13-3+231.799%88%81%26%
1675
+24
-38New OrleansNew Orleans6-1NFC South13-3+91.395%86%68%17%
1632
+17
Kansas CityKansas City5-2AFC West11-5+98.491%87%37%9%
1628
+32
MinnesotaMinnesota5-2NFC North11-5+115.471%31%17%6%
1619
+32
Green BayGreen Bay6-1NFC North12-4+81.784%61%39%8%
1609
+3
San FranciscoSan Francisco6-0NFC West12-4+132.887%70%50%8%
1595
+39
BaltimoreBaltimore5-2AFC North10-6+89.782%76%25%5%
1582
+36
L.A. RamsL.A. Rams4-3NFC West10-6+63.543%11%5%2%
1579
-84CarolinaCarolina4-2NFC South9-7+43.436%13%6%2%
1570
+27
DallasDallas4-3NFC East9-7+84.064%62%3%2%
1569
-28
HoustonHouston4-3AFC South9-7+55.564%39%17%3%
1554
+32
IndianapolisIndianapolis4-2AFC South10-6+36.168%48%21%3%
1552
-44
SeattleSeattle5-2NFC West10-6+10.044%19%9%2%
1540
-24
ChicagoChicago3-3NFC North8-8+9.219%5%2%<1%
1532
+8
BuffaloBuffalo5-1AFC East11-5+54.979%11%10%2%
1529
-36
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia3-4NFC East8-8+14.940%36%<1%<1%
1510
+24
-77JacksonvilleJacksonville3-4AFC South7-9-4.221%9%2%<1%
1480
-6
L.A. ChargersL.A. Chargers2-5AFC West6-10-32.95%3%<1%<1%
1479
-12
DetroitDetroit2-3-1NFC North7-8-1-15.410%2%<1%<1%
1467
ClevelandCleveland2-4AFC North7-9-21.326%15%2%<1%
1461
PittsburghPittsburgh2-4AFC North7-9-7.118%9%1%<1%
1460
+5
+2TennesseeTennessee3-4AFC South7-9-22.79%4%<1%<1%
1457
N.Y. JetsN.Y. Jets1-4AFC East7-9-43.612%<1%<1%<1%
1454
-8
OaklandOakland3-3AFC West8-8-49.324%9%3%<1%
1430
-32
DenverDenver2-5AFC West5-11-68.23%<1%<1%<1%
1428
Tampa BayTampa Bay2-4NFC South6-10-46.12%<1%<1%<1%
1416
-47
AtlantaAtlanta1-6NFC South4-12-131.5<1%<1%<1%<1%
1389
+16
ArizonaArizona3-3-1NFC West6-9-1-95.42%<1%<1%<1%
1338
-30
N.Y. GiantsN.Y. Giants2-5NFC East5-11-112.32%2%<1%<1%
1333
-16
WashingtonWashington1-6NFC East3-13-160.8<1%<1%<1%<1%
1298
-23
CincinnatiCincinnati0-7AFC North3-13-141.7<1%<1%<1%<1%
1218
-16
MiamiMiami0-6AFC East2-14-260.2<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 17

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -464%30
Denver 36%6

Sunday, Oct. 20

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 42%27
N.Y. Giants -2.558%21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston -0.552%23
Indianapolis 48%30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville -154%27
Cincinnati 46%17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams -154%37
Atlanta 46%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 17%21
Buffalo -11.583%31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota -257%42
Detroit 43%30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 25%24
Green Bay -6.575%42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco -7.575%9
Washington 25%0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers 45%20
Tennessee -1.555%23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore 35%30
Seattle -465%16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans 46%36
Chicago -2.554%25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia 45%10
Dallas -1.555%37

Monday, Oct. 21

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -875%
N.Y. Jets 25%

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 24

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 12%
Minnesota -1488%

Sunday, Oct. 27

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 14%
New Orleans -12.586%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 16%
L.A. Rams -11.584%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 26%
Indianapolis -7.574%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers 33%
Chicago -567%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 24%
Detroit -876%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets 45%
Jacksonville -1.555%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia 42%
Buffalo -2.558%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle -360%
Atlanta 40%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 41%
Tennessee -2.559%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 29%
San Francisco -671%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland 17%
New England -1183%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 27%
Houston -773%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay 40%
Kansas City -360%

Monday, Oct. 28

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 13%
Pittsburgh -1387%

Week 9

Thursday, Oct. 31

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco -6.572%
Arizona 28%

Sunday, Nov. 3

9:30 a.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston -5.569%
Jacksonville 31%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago 43%
Philadelphia -257%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis -1.555%
Pittsburgh 45%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota 41%
Kansas City -2.559%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets -774%
Miami 26%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee 36%
Carolina -464%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 19%
Buffalo -1081%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit 44%
Oakland -1.556%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 25%
Seattle -7.575%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland 47%
Denver -153%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay -361%
L.A. Chargers 39%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -154%
Baltimore 46%

Monday, Nov. 4

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas -876%
N.Y. Giants 24%

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 7

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers 46%
Oakland -154%

Sunday, Nov. 10

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 36%
Tampa Bay -464%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 14%
New Orleans -12.586%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore -8.578%
Cincinnati 22%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo -0.551%
Cleveland 49%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 30%
Green Bay -5.570%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit 34%
Chicago -4.566%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -4.566%
Tennessee 34%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 27%
N.Y. Jets -773%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 9%
Indianapolis -1691%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams -3.562%
Pittsburgh 38%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota 50%
Dallas PK50%

Monday, Nov. 11

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle 34%
San Francisco -4.566%

Week 11

Thursday, Nov. 14

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh 41%
Cleveland -2.559%

Sunday, Nov. 17

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 24%
Carolina -876%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo -1081%
Miami 19%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas -1.555%
Detroit 45%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 21%
Minnesota -9.579%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston 41%
Baltimore -2.559%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville 32%
Indianapolis -568%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans -7.575%
Tampa Bay 25%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets -1.556%
Washington 44%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 17%
San Francisco -1183%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 22%
Oakland -978%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -567%
Philadelphia 33%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago 36%
L.A. Rams -464%

Monday, Nov. 18

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -671%
L.A. Chargers 29%

Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 21

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis 40%
Houston -360%

Sunday, Nov. 24

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 29%
New Orleans -671%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 28%
Buffalo -6.572%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit -3.563%
Washington 37%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 14%
Cleveland -12.586%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 21%
Chicago -9.579%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 40%
N.Y. Jets -2.560%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh -4.565%
Cincinnati 35%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 44%
Atlanta -256%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville 42%
Tennessee -2.558%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas 24%
New England -876%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay 46%
San Francisco -154%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle 48%
Philadelphia -0.552%

Monday, Nov. 25

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore 44%
L.A. Rams -256%

Week 13

Thursday, Nov. 28

12:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago PK51%
Detroit 49%
4:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo 36%
Dallas -464%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans -876%
Atlanta 24%

Sunday, Dec. 1

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay -978%
N.Y. Giants 22%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets -464%
Cincinnati 36%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 18%
Kansas City -10.582%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia -1081%
Miami 19%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco 43%
Baltimore -257%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 31%
Jacksonville -5.569%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee 30%
Indianapolis -670%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 15%
Carolina -1285%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams -4.565%
Arizona 35%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland 43%
Pittsburgh -257%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers -0.553%
Denver 47%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -361%
Houston 39%

Monday, Dec. 2

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota -1.556%
Seattle 44%

Week 14

Thursday, Dec. 5

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas 46%
Chicago -154%

Sunday, Dec. 8

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore -0.551%
Buffalo 49%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina -4.565%
Atlanta 35%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 22%
Cleveland -978%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 24%
Houston -876%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit 23%
Minnesota -8.577%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis -2.560%
Tampa Bay 40%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 15%
N.Y. Jets -1285%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco 32%
New Orleans -568%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 12%
Green Bay -1488%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers 37%
Jacksonville -3.563%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City 32%
New England -5.568%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh -0.551%
Arizona 49%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee 42%
Oakland -2.558%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle 37%
L.A. Rams -3.563%

Monday, Dec. 9

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 20%
Philadelphia -1080%

Week 15

Thursday, Dec. 12

8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets 25%
Baltimore -875%

Sunday, Dec. 15

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo -0.552%
Pittsburgh 48%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago 32%
Green Bay -5.568%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 18%
Kansas City -10.582%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston -257%
Tennessee 43%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 26%
N.Y. Giants -774%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -1488%
Cincinnati 12%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia -5.569%
Washington 31%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle 37%
Carolina -3.563%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 35%
Detroit -4.565%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland -0.552%
Arizona 48%
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville 49%
Oakland -0.551%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 19%
San Francisco -1081%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams 44%
Dallas -256%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota -3.562%
L.A. Chargers 38%

Monday, Dec. 16

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis 26%
New Orleans -774%

Week 16

Sunday, Dec. 22

 Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo 21%
New England -9.579%
 Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit 49%
Denver -0.551%
 Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston -3.562%
Tampa Bay 38%
 Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams 38%
San Francisco -3.562%
 Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 38%
L.A. Chargers -3.562%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore -360%
Cleveland 40%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 45%
Indianapolis -1.555%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati -153%
Miami 47%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville -1.555%
Atlanta 45%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans -6.571%
Tennessee 29%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 43%
Washington -257%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh 43%
N.Y. Jets -257%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 22%
Seattle -978%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas 47%
Philadelphia -153%
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -1.555%
Chicago 45%

Monday, Dec. 23

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay 41%
Minnesota -2.559%

Week 17

Sunday, Dec. 29

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 40%
Tampa Bay -2.560%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago 30%
Minnesota -670%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland -4.566%
Cincinnati 34%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay -3.562%
Detroit 38%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis 48%
Jacksonville -0.552%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers 23%
Kansas City -8.577%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 4%
New England -2296%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans -1.556%
Carolina 44%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets 32%
Buffalo -568%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia -5.569%
N.Y. Giants 31%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh 25%
Baltimore -7.575%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee 28%
Houston -6.572%
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 15%
Dallas -1285%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 19%
L.A. Rams -1081%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 45%
Denver -1.555%
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco 50%
Seattle PK50%

Completed

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 10

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 10%14
New England -1590%35

Sunday, Oct. 13

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 49%37
Tampa Bay -0.551%26
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 18%17
Baltimore -10.582%23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston 30%31
Kansas City -670%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans -3.562%13
Jacksonville 38%6
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia 45%20
Minnesota -1.555%38
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle -1.556%32
Cleveland 44%28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington -0.556%17
Miami 44%16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta -257%33
Arizona 43%34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco 38%20
L.A. Rams -3.562%7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas -258%22
N.Y. Jets 42%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee PK50%0
Denver 50%16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh 20%24
L.A. Chargers -9.580%17

Monday, Oct. 14

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit 31%22
Green Bay -4.569%23

Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 3

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams 45%29
Seattle -1.555%30

Sunday, Oct. 6

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 39%26
Cincinnati -361%23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 37%32
Houston -463%53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore -2.558%26
Pittsburgh 42%23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo 37%14
Tennessee -3.563%7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago -153%21
Oakland 47%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville 40%27
Carolina -360%34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota -2.559%28
N.Y. Giants 41%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -12.586%33
Washington 14%7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets 14%6
Philadelphia -11.586%31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 36%24
New Orleans -464%31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 22%20
L.A. Chargers -8.578%13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay 37%34
Dallas -3.563%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis 18%19
Kansas City -10.582%13

Monday, Oct. 7

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland 37%3
San Francisco -563%31

Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 26

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia 39%34
Green Bay -361%27

Sunday, Sept. 29

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 22%16
Houston -978%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland 28%40
Baltimore -6.572%25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -567%34
Detroit 33%30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers -979%30
Miami 21%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -4.565%16
Buffalo 35%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 27%31
Indianapolis -773%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee 38%24
Atlanta -3.562%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 44%3
N.Y. Giants -1.556%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle -671%27
Arizona 29%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 17%55
L.A. Rams -1183%40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville 40%26
Denver -360%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota 41%6
Chicago -2.559%16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas -153%10
New Orleans 47%12

Monday, Sept. 30

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 42%3
Pittsburgh -2.558%27

Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 19

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee -567%7
Jacksonville 33%20

Sunday, Sept. 22

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 46%24
Indianapolis -154%27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore 31%28
Kansas City -5.569%33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 26%17
Buffalo -774%21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 26%16
Green Bay -7.574%27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit 30%27
Philadelphia -670%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Miami 9%6
Dallas -1691%31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Jets 9%14
New England -16.591%30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Oakland 26%14
Minnesota -774%34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Carolina 35%38
Arizona -4.565%20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 31%32
Tampa Bay -5.569%31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston 34%27
L.A. Chargers -4.566%20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans 30%33
Seattle -670%27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh 21%20
San Francisco -979%24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams -361%20
Cleveland 39%13

Monday, Sept. 23

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago -2.559%31
Washington 41%15

Week 2

Thursday, Sept. 12

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tampa Bay 30%20
Carolina -670%14

Sunday, Sept. 15

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Arizona 19%17
Baltimore -1081%23
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo -0.552%28
N.Y. Giants 48%14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dallas -3.562%31
Washington 38%21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis 32%19
Tennessee -568%17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jacksonville 20%12
Houston -1080%13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Chargers -2.559%10
Detroit 41%13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Minnesota 44%16
Green Bay -1.556%21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New England -1081%43
Miami 19%0
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seattle 42%28
Pittsburgh -2.558%26
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco -153%41
Cincinnati 47%17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -5.569%28
Oakland 31%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chicago -154%16
Denver 46%14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
New Orleans 44%9
L.A. Rams -1.556%27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Philadelphia -1.555%20
Atlanta 45%24

Monday, Sept. 16

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cleveland 50%23
N.Y. Jets PK50%3

Week 1

Thursday, Sept. 5

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Green Bay 36%10
Chicago -464%3

Sunday, Sept. 8

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Atlanta 41%12
Minnesota -2.559%28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Baltimore -361%59
Miami 39%10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buffalo 45%17
N.Y. Jets -1.555%16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Kansas City -2.558%40
Jacksonville 42%26
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
L.A. Rams -0.552%30
Carolina 48%27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Tennessee 40%43
Cleveland -360%13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Washington 23%27
Philadelphia -8.577%32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cincinnati 25%20
Seattle -875%21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Indianapolis 28%24
L.A. Chargers -6.572%30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Detroit -0.551%27
Arizona 49%27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
N.Y. Giants 26%17
Dallas -7.574%35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
San Francisco 45%31
Tampa Bay -155%17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Pittsburgh 32%3
New England -568%33

Monday, Sept. 9

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Houston 32%28
New Orleans -568%30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Denver 49%16
Oakland -0.551%24

Quarterback ratings

The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero.

AFC East
Miami
Miami
N.Y. Jets
N.Y. Jets
New England
New England
Buffalo
Buffalo
AFC North
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Baltimore
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Cleveland
Cleveland
AFC South
Tennessee
Tennessee
Jacksonville
Jacksonville
Houston
Houston
Indianapolis
Indianapolis
AFC West
Denver
Denver
Oakland
Oakland
Kansas City
Kansas City
L.A. Chargers
L.A. Chargers
NFC East
Washington
Washington
N.Y. Giants
N.Y. Giants
Dallas
Dallas
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
NFC North
Minnesota
Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit
Green Bay
Green Bay
Chicago
Chicago
NFC South
Atlanta
Atlanta
New Orleans
New Orleans
Carolina
Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
NFC West
Seattle
Seattle
Arizona
Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco
L.A. Rams
L.A. Rams

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