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Each party’s seat count in scenarios where it wins the House in our Deluxe model’s 40,000 simulations. Higher bars represent more common outcomes.
2020 Election Coverage
Each party’s chances of winning every House seat
See how each party’s forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the House have changed over time. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll.
Leading candidate’s forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in the top 50 competitive districts. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome.
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