Our 2020 House forecast is final and no longer updating.

Updated 4 years ago

Boebert is slightly favored to win Colorado’s 3rd District

The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios the model thinks is possible.

Lauren Boebert wins 61 in 100 Diane E. Mitsch Bush wins 39 in 100

Colorado general

Biden is clearly favored to win

Colorado senate

Hickenlooper is favored to win

CO-6 house

Crow is clearly favored to win

How the House forecast has changed

See how each candidate’s forecasted vote share and chances of winning the seat have changed over time. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll.

Chances of winning the seat

Popular vote margin

Which polls are influencing the forecast for Colorado’s 3rd District?

These polls have the biggest impact on the forecast for this race. Polls are weighted by recency, sample size and pollster rating.

DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentBush+1
Expedition StrategiesBush+2
GQR ResearchBush+1
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentB/C
Bush +1
Expedition StrategiesBush +2
GQR ResearchB
Bush +1

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