Our 2020 House forecast is final and no longer updating.

Updated 4 years ago

Fischbach is favored to win Minnesota’s 7th District

The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios the model thinks is possible.

Michelle Fischbach wins 81 in 100 Collin C. Peterson wins 19 in 100

Minnesota general

Biden is clearly favored to win

Minnesota senate

Smith is clearly favored to win

MN-1 house

Hagedorn is slightly favored to win

How the House forecast has changed

See how each candidate’s forecasted vote share and chances of winning the seat have changed over time. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll.

Chances of winning the seat

Popular vote margin

Which polls are influencing the forecast for Minnesota’s 7th District?

These polls have the biggest impact on the forecast for this race. Polls are weighted by recency, sample size and pollster rating.

Tarrance GroupFischbach+10
Tarrance GroupB/C
Fischbach +10

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