Updated Oct. 27, 2020 at 11:42 PM

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Chance of making …
Team rating
1-week change
Div. SeriesMake Div. Series
League champ.Make league champ.
World SeriesMake W.S.
Win World SeriesWin W.S.
Dodgers2-0, 3-0, 4-3, 4-2
NL West1612
Rays2-0, 3-2, 4-3, 2-4
AL East1561
Braves2-0, 3-0, 3-4
NL East1551
Astros2-0, 3-1, 3-4
AL West1557
Padres2-1, 0-3
NL West1528
AL West1527
AL East1562
NL East1469
AL Central1546
AL Central1528
AL Central1514
NL Central1518
AL East1487
NL Central1515
NL Central1510
NL Central1507
NL West1475
NL East1498
AL West1455
NL East1527
NL East1513
NL West1473
AL Central1455
AL West1493
AL East1436
NL West1500
AL East1492
AL Central1434
AL West1460
NL Central1448
Forecast from

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.