2020 MLB Predictions

The Angels are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Athletics Athletics36-24	—	✓	✓
Astros Astros29-31	7.0	✓	—
Mariners Mariners27-33	9.0	—	—
Angels Angels26-34	10.0	—	—
Rangers Rangers22-38	14.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1494	–13	+0	=1481	35%	0
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonzalez	1602	–22	+10	=1590	65%	5
9/26Saturday, Sept. 269:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1495	–19	+0	=1476	29%	6
9/26Saturday, Sept. 269:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1602	+19	+10	=1631	71%	7
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1496	+19	+1	=1516	33%	5
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1601	+27	+10	=1638	67%	9
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1493	+0	+0	=1493	38%	5
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1532	+36	+10	=1578	62%	2
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1492	+8	–1	=1499	43%	4
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1533	+6	+9	=1548	57%	2
9/21Monday, Sept. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1461	–15	+0	=1446	39%	5
9/21Monday, Sept. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1491	+21	+10	=1522	61%	8
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1459	–15	+0	=1444	44%	7
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1493	–16	+10	=1487	56%	2
9/19Saturday, Sept. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1460	+51	+0	=1511	49%	3
9/19Saturday, Sept. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1492	+18	+10	=1520	51%	4
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Herget	1461	–17	–3	=1441	42%	2
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1491	–3	+10	=1498	58%	6
9/17Thursday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1494	–13	+0	=1481	46%	3
9/17Thursday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1489	+7	+10	=1506	54%	7
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1492	–12	+0	=1480	43%	9
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1491	+26	+10	=1527	57%	6
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1491	–7	+0	=1484	49%	9
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1492	–12	+9	=1489	51%	8
9/13Sunday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1491	+15	+0	=1506	55%	5
9/13Sunday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Castellani	1480	–19	+10	=1471	45%	3
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1489	–7	+0	=1482	48%	5
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1482	+4	+10	=1496	52%	2
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1491	+4	–3	=1492	47%	4
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1480	+21	+9	=1510	53%	8
9/10Thursday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1489	+22	+0	=1511	58%	6
9/10Thursday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1462	–19	+10	=1453	42%	2
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1491	–8	+0	=1483	54%	3
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1460	–15	+10	=1455	46%	7
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1494	–8	–1	=1485	46%	1
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1458	+45	+6	=1509	54%	7
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1564	–16	–3	=1545	58%	5
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1491	–7	+7	=1491	42%	9
9/5Saturday, Sept. 510:50 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Peters	1490	–29	–3	=1458	34%	7
9/5Saturday, Sept. 510:50 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1565	–3	+7	=1569	66%	6
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Bielak	1567	–46	+0	=1521	52%	9
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1489	+5	+10	=1504	48%	10
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1568	–8	–3	=1557	56%	5
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1487	+18	+10	=1515	44%	6
9/3Thursday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1523	+41	+0	=1564	58%	0
9/3Thursday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1486	+13	+10	=1509	42%	2
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1520	+8	–1	=1527	55%	11
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1488	–7	+12	=1493	45%	4
8/31Monday, Aug. 314:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1446	+23	+0	=1469	47%	2
8/31Monday, Aug. 314:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1489	–6	+10	=1493	53%	1
8/30Sunday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1445	+0	+0	=1445	42%	2
8/30Sunday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1491	+4	+10	=1505	58%	1
8/29Saturday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1448	+12	+0	=1460	42%	3
8/29Saturday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1487	+20	+10	=1517	58%	16
8/28Friday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Margevicius	1449	–19	–1	=1429	39%	2
8/28Friday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1487	+9	+12	=1508	61%	3
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1483	–5	+0	=1478	42%	12
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Bielak	1568	–41	+10	=1537	58%	5
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 254:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1484	–37	+0	=1447	35%	3
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 254:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1567	–23	+10	=1554	65%	6
8/24Monday, Aug. 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1486	–7	–4	=1475	40%	4
8/24Monday, Aug. 249:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1565	–24	+7	=1548	60%	11
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1487	+20	+0	=1507	42%	4
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1536	+16	+10	=1562	58%	5
8/22Saturday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1486	+5	+0	=1491	41%	4
8/22Saturday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1537	+10	+10	=1557	59%	3
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1487	+10	–1	=1496	44%	3
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1536	–6	+10	=1540	56%	5
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:45 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1489	–34	+0	=1455	49%	5
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1454	–3	+10	=1461	51%	10
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:45 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1492	–1	–2	=1489	54%	2
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1451	+5	+8	=1464	46%	7
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 184 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cahill	1448	–8	+0	=1440	38%	8
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 184 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1495	+21	+10	=1526	62%	2
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Anderson	1449	+3	–2	=1450	42%	6
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1494	+2	+10	=1506	58%	7
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1592	–9	+0	=1583	62%	8
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1496	–10	+10	=1496	38%	3
8/15Saturday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1591	+22	+0	=1613	64%	6
8/15Saturday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1496	+5	+10	=1511	36%	5
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1590	+11	–1	=1600	63%	7
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1498	–2	+12	=1508	37%	4
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1531	+9	+0	=1540	54%	8
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1499	+5	+10	=1514	46%	4
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1534	–4	+0	=1530	51%	0
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1497	+14	+10	=1521	49%	6
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1535	+0	–2	=1533	55%	9
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1496	–4	+7	=1499	45%	10
8/9Sunday, Aug. 92:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1497	+6	+0	=1503	46%	3
8/9Sunday, Aug. 92:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1478	+42	+10	=1530	54%	7
8/8Saturday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1499	–8	+0	=1491	53%	0
8/8Saturday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1476	–16	+10	=1470	47%	2
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1500	+7	–4	=1503	56%	3
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1475	–18	+6	=1463	44%	4
8/6Thursday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1498	+7	+0	=1505	55%	6
8/6Thursday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Walker	1444	+16	+10	=1470	45%	1
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1499	–2	+0	=1497	53%	6
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1443	+26	+10	=1479	47%	7
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 410 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1498	+7	–1	=1504	56%	5
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 410 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1444	+6	+10	=1460	44%	3
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	James	1569	–25	+0	=1544	56%	6
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1499	–5	+10	=1504	44%	5
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1570	+10	+0	=1580	60%	4
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1497	+6	+10	=1513	40%	5
7/31Friday, July 319:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1569	–6	–1	=1562	60%	9
7/31Friday, July 319:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Andriese	1499	–14	+10	=1495	40%	6
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1444	+27	+0	=1471	44%	8
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1501	+6	+10	=1517	56%	5
7/29Wednesday, July 2910 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1442	+12	+0	=1454	41%	10
7/29Wednesday, July 2910 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1503	+6	+10	=1519	59%	7
7/28Tuesday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1444	+4	–3	=1445	42%	2
7/28Tuesday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1500	–6	+8	=1502	58%	10
7/27Monday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1502	+6	+0	=1508	46%	0
7/27Monday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1527	+0	+10	=1537	54%	3
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1503	+6	+0	=1509	46%	4
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1526	+3	+10	=1539	54%	6
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1501	+0	+0	=1501	43%	4
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1528	+11	+10	=1549	57%	1
7/24Friday, July 2410 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1503	+3	–2	=1504	43%	3
7/24Friday, July 2410 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1527	+17	+10	=1554	57%	7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments