Updated Aug. 8, 2020 at 1:27 AM

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Angels have a 34% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1499, up 2 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AthleticsAthletics10-495%53%
AstrosAstros6-73.591%42%
AngelsAngels5-95.034%3%
RangersRangers4-85.022%2%
MarinersMariners5-105.57%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/8Saturday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
14998+0=149153%
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
147616+10=147047%
8/9Sunday, Aug. 92:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1499+7+0=150647%
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1476+43+10=152953%
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1531+12=153054%
LAALAAAngels
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
14994+7=150246%
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15313+0=152851%
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1499+13+10=152249%
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1531+9+0=154054%
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1499+5+10=151446%
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1591+211=161163%
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1499+7+12=151837%
8/15Saturday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
159110+0=158161%
LAALAAAngels
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
14994+10=150539%
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15914+0=158759%
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1499+13+10=152241%
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1453+12=145241%
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1499+5+10=151459%
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 184 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1453+2+0=145541%
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1499+7+10=151659%
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 1910 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+12=149855%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1453+1+8=146245%
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:45 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150055%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1453+1+10=146445%
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+11=149944%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+10=154256%
8/22Saturday, Aug. 224:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150044%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+10=154256%
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150044%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+10=154256%
8/24Monday, Aug. 249:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+14=149639%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+0+7=157461%
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 259:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150039%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+0+10=157761%
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 269:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150039%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+0+10=157761%
8/27Thursday, Aug. 273:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150039%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+0+10=157761%
8/28Friday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1440+21=144141%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+7=150759%
8/29Saturday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1440+2+0=144240%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151060%
8/30Sunday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1440+2+0=144240%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151060%
8/31Monday, Aug. 314:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1440+2+0=144240%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151060%
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1507+01=150649%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+12=151251%
9/3Thursday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+0=150750%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151050%
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+03=156458%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151042%
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+0+0=156758%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151042%
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1567+0+0=156758%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151042%
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+11=149952%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+6=148248%
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150052%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+10=148648%
9/10Thursday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150052%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+10=148648%
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+13=149748%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+9=151152%
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150048%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+10=151252%
9/13Sunday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150048%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+10=151252%
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150449%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+9=150951%
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 1610 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150449%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151051%
9/17Thursday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150449%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151051%
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147345%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151055%
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:15 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147645%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151055%
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147645%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151055%
9/21Monday, Sept. 21TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147645%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+10=151055%
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+1=150148%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+9=151652%
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150047%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1507+0+10=151753%
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+1=150136%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1591+1+10=160264%
9/26Saturday, Sept. 269:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150036%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1591+1+10=160264%
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1499+1+0=150036%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1591+1+10=160264%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1500+74=150356%3
TEXTEXRangers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
147518+6=146344%4
8/6Thursday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1498+7+0=150555%6
SEASEAMariners
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1444+16+10=147045%1
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
14992+0=149753%6
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1443+26+10=147947%7
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 410 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1498+71=150456%5
SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1444+6+10=146044%3
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
James, Josh
James
156925+0=154456%6
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
14995+10=150444%5
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1570+10+0=158060%4
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1497+6+10=151340%5
7/31Friday, July 319:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
156961=156260%9
LAALAAAngels
Andriese, Matt
Andriese
149914+10=149540%6
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1444+27+0=147144%8
LAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1501+6+10=151756%5
7/29Wednesday, July 2910 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1442+12+0=145441%10
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1503+6+10=151959%7
7/28Tuesday, July 289:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Sheffield, Justus
Sheffield
1444+43=144542%2
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
15006+8=150258%10
7/27Monday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1502+6+0=150846%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+0+10=153754%3
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1503+6+0=150946%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1526+3+10=153954%6
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1501+0+0=150143%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1528+11+10=154957%1
7/24Friday, July 2410 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1503+32=150443%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1527+17+10=155457%7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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