2020 MLB Predictions

The Diamondbacks are done for the season.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers43-17	—	✓	✓
Padres Padres37-23	6.0	✓	—
Giants Giants29-31	14.0	—	—
Rockies Rockies26-34	17.0	—	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks25-35	18.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1476	+6	+0	=1482	48%	3
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1497	–7	+10	=1500	52%	11
9/26Saturday, Sept. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1473	+25	+0	=1498	49%	10
9/26Saturday, Sept. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1500	–3	+10	=1507	51%	3
9/25Friday, Sept. 2510 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Santos	1475	–16	+0	=1459	46%	5
9/25Friday, Sept. 2510 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Clarke	1498	–21	+10	=1487	54%	11
9/25Friday, Sept. 256:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1477	+2	–3	=1476	41%	0
9/25Friday, Sept. 256:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1496	+29	+12	=1537	59%	4
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Benjamin	1458	–16	+0	=1442	44%	3
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1495	–20	+10	=1485	56%	7
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1460	–23	–2	=1435	43%	0
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1492	–14	+9	=1487	57%	7
9/20Sunday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1493	–12	+0	=1481	38%	2
9/20Sunday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1554	+4	+10	=1568	62%	3
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1494	–3	+0	=1491	42%	2
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1554	–12	+10	=1552	58%	3
9/18Friday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1492	+31	–3	=1520	42%	6
9/18Friday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1556	+13	+10	=1579	58%	3
9/17Thursday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1494	–13	+0	=1481	46%	3
9/17Thursday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1489	+7	+10	=1506	54%	7
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1492	–12	+0	=1480	43%	9
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1491	+26	+10	=1527	57%	6
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1491	–7	+0	=1484	49%	9
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1492	–12	+9	=1489	51%	8
9/13Sunday, Sept. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1451	+3	+0	=1454	44%	7
9/13Sunday, Sept. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1493	–7	+10	=1496	56%	3
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1448	+5	+0	=1453	38%	7
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1495	+34	+10	=1539	62%	3
9/11Friday, Sept. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1449	–12	–1	=1436	43%	3
9/11Friday, Sept. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1495	–16	+10	=1489	57%	4
9/10Thursday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1599	–6	+0	=1593	64%	2
9/10Thursday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1492	–7	+10	=1495	36%	5
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1598	+26	+0	=1624	70%	6
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Clarke	1493	–24	+10	=1479	30%	4
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1597	+24	+0	=1621	68%	10
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1494	–7	+7	=1494	32%	9
9/7Monday, Sept. 78:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1495	+36	+0	=1531	57%	2
9/7Monday, Sept. 78:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1471	+0	+10	=1481	43%	4
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1497	–17	+0	=1480	49%	2
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1470	+5	+10	=1485	51%	4
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1498	–6	+0	=1492	53%	3
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cahill	1468	–4	+10	=1474	47%	4
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Clarke	1497	–23	–2	=1472	49%	6
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Anderson	1469	+0	+9	=1478	51%	5
9/3Thursday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1498	–12	+0	=1486	30%	1
9/3Thursday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1599	+22	+10	=1631	70%	5
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1498	+31	+0	=1529	36%	2
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1599	+23	+10	=1632	64%	3
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1499	–15	+0	=1484	35%	3
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1598	–11	+9	=1596	65%	6
8/30Sunday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1463	+2	+0	=1465	47%	4
8/30Sunday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Clarke	1501	–26	+10	=1485	53%	1
8/29Saturday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cahill	1462	–4	+0	=1458	43%	5
8/29Saturday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1503	–8	+10	=1505	57%	2
8/28Friday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Anderson	1463	+6	–3	=1466	39%	4
8/28Friday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1502	+29	+12	=1543	61%	7
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1491	+11	+0	=1502	51%	8
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1503	–16	+10	=1497	49%	7
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1490	+19	+0	=1509	51%	5
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1504	–14	+10	=1500	49%	4
8/24Monday, Aug. 249:30 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Castellani	1489	–6	–2	=1481	49%	3
8/24Monday, Aug. 249:30 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Clarke	1505	–27	+7	=1485	51%	2
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1507	–9	+0	=1498	55%	1
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cahill	1461	–9	+10	=1462	45%	6
8/22Saturday, Aug. 229:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1510	+28	+0	=1538	60%	1
8/22Saturday, Aug. 229:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Anderson	1458	+0	+10	=1468	40%	5
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1512	–12	–1	=1499	55%	2
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1456	–3	+10	=1463	45%	6
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1514	–14	+0	=1500	44%	1
8/20Thursday, Aug. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1534	+1	+10	=1545	56%	5
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1516	+6	–3	=1519	49%	1
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1533	–15	+7	=1525	51%	4
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 186:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1537	+28	+0	=1565	58%	1
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 186:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1512	–13	+10	=1509	42%	10
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1538	+10	–3	=1545	50%	3
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1511	+24	+10	=1545	50%	4
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Richards	1505	–1	+0	=1504	50%	4
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1510	–14	+10	=1506	50%	5
8/15Saturday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Quantrill	1506	–27	+0	=1479	46%	6
8/15Saturday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1509	–14	+10	=1505	54%	7
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1508	+8	–2	=1514	49%	1
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1507	+4	+9	=1520	51%	5
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 123 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1505	–8	+0	=1497	50%	13
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 123 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1501	–17	+10	=1494	50%	7
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 118:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1506	+23	+0	=1529	53%	7
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1500	–1	+10	=1509	47%	8
8/10Monday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1504	–9	–3	=1492	45%	12
8/10Monday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1502	+19	+7	=1528	55%	8
8/9Sunday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1506	+4	+0	=1510	49%	5
8/9Sunday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1506	+3	+10	=1519	51%	9
8/8Saturday, Aug. 89:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1504	+1	+0	=1505	47%	3
8/8Saturday, Aug. 89:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1507	+10	+10	=1527	53%	2
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1506	–8	–2	=1496	47%	0
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1506	+0	+12	=1518	53%	3
8/6Thursday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Bielak	1569	–31	+0	=1538	51%	4
8/6Thursday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1505	+19	+10	=1534	49%	5
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1572	–10	+0	=1562	58%	7
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1502	–8	+10	=1504	42%	14
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1570	–23	+0	=1547	53%	8
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1504	+9	+12	=1525	47%	2
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1588	+12	+0	=1600	62%	3
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1505	+0	+10	=1515	38%	0
8/1Saturday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1586	–11	+0	=1575	59%	11
8/1Saturday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1507	–6	+10	=1511	41%	2
7/31Friday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–10	+0	=1577	57%	3
7/31Friday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1506	+13	+10	=1529	43%	5
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1586	–1	–3	=1582	61%	6
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1507	–7	+7	=1507	39%	3
7/29Wednesday, July 294:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1509	+7	+0	=1516	48%	4
7/29Wednesday, July 294:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1481	+37	+10	=1528	52%	7
7/28Tuesday, July 289:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1507	–6	–3	=1498	53%	4
7/28Tuesday, July 289:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1482	–19	+12	=1475	47%	1
7/27Monday, July 274 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1509	+0	+0	=1509	50%	2
7/27Monday, July 274 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1505	–6	+10	=1509	50%	6
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1508	+15	+0	=1523	51%	4
7/26Sunday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Richards	1506	–3	+10	=1513	49%	3
7/25Saturday, July 259:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1510	–5	+0	=1505	49%	1
7/25Saturday, July 259:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1504	+0	+10	=1514	51%	5
7/24Friday, July 249:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1512	+6	–2	=1516	49%	2
7/24Friday, July 249:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1502	+10	+10	=1522	51%	7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments