2020 MLB Predictions

The Dodgers have a 100% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers43-17	—	✓	✓
Padres Padres37-23	6.0	✓	—
Giants Giants29-31	14.0	—	—
Rockies Rockies26-34	17.0	—	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks25-35	18.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/27Tuesday, Oct. 278:08 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Snell	1563	+6	+2	=1571	41%	1
10/27Tuesday, Oct. 278:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1611	+8	+2	=1621	59%	3
10/25Sunday, Oct. 258:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1609	+23	+0	=1632	63%	4
10/25Sunday, Oct. 258:08 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1564	–2	+0	=1562	37%	2
10/24Saturday, Oct. 248:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1611	–6	+0	=1605	59%	7
10/24Saturday, Oct. 248:08 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1562	–4	+0	=1558	41%	8
10/23Friday, Oct. 238:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1609	+18	+2	=1629	58%	6
10/23Friday, Oct. 238:08 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Morton	1565	+21	+2	=1588	42%	2
10/21Wednesday, Oct. 218:08 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Snell	1562	+4	+0	=1566	39%	6
10/21Wednesday, Oct. 218:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1612	+13	+0	=1625	61%	4
10/20Tuesday, Oct. 208:11 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1564	+1	+5	=1570	38%	3
10/20Tuesday, Oct. 208:11 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1609	+22	+2	=1633	62%	8
10/18Sunday, Oct. 188:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1552	+28	+0	=1580	47%	3
10/18Sunday, Oct. 188:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1608	–12	+0	=1596	53%	4
10/17Saturday, Oct. 174:38 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1554	+19	+0	=1573	41%	1
10/17Saturday, Oct. 174:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1606	+16	+0	=1622	59%	3
10/16Friday, Oct. 169:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1604	–10	+0	=1594	59%	7
10/16Friday, Oct. 169:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Minter	1556	–11	+0	=1545	41%	3
10/15Thursday, Oct. 158:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1610	+25	+0	=1635	68%	2
10/15Thursday, Oct. 158:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wilson	1550	–10	+0	=1540	32%	10
10/14Wednesday, Oct. 146:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1606	–7	+0	=1599	60%	15
10/14Wednesday, Oct. 146:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1554	–10	+0	=1544	40%	3
10/13Tuesday, Oct. 136:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1552	+27	+0	=1579	41%	8
10/13Tuesday, Oct. 136:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1608	+17	+0	=1625	59%	7
10/12Monday, Oct. 128:08 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1548	+18	+7	=1573	38%	5
10/12Monday, Oct. 128:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1612	+16	+7	=1635	62%	1
10/8Thursday, Oct. 89:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1609	–11	+0	=1598	66%	12
10/8Thursday, Oct. 89:08 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Morejon	1531	–18	+0	=1513	34%	3
10/7Wednesday, Oct. 79:08 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1532	+3	+0	=1535	32%	5
10/7Wednesday, Oct. 79:08 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1608	+26	+0	=1634	68%	6
10/6Tuesday, Oct. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1534	+39	+7	=1580	41%	1
10/6Tuesday, Oct. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1606	+16	+7	=1629	59%	5
10/1Thursday, Oct. 110 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1508	+33	+0	=1541	33%	0
10/1Thursday, Oct. 110 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1605	+22	+10	=1637	67%	3
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 3010 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Suter	1509	+1	+1	=1511	28%	2
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 3010 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1604	+19	+15	=1638	72%	4
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1494	–13	+0	=1481	35%	0
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonzalez	1602	–22	+10	=1590	65%	5
9/26Saturday, Sept. 269:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1495	–19	+0	=1476	29%	6
9/26Saturday, Sept. 269:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1602	+19	+10	=1631	71%	7
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1496	+19	+1	=1516	33%	5
9/25Friday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1601	+27	+10	=1638	67%	9
9/24Thursday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1537	–1	+0	=1536	37%	1
9/24Thursday, Sept. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1599	+16	+10	=1625	63%	5
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1536	+10	+0	=1546	45%	6
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kelly	1601	–28	+10	=1583	55%	4
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:30 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1537	+3	+0	=1540	42%	2
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:30 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1599	–11	+9	=1597	58%	7
9/20Sunday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1601	+14	+0	=1615	68%	3
9/20Sunday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1475	–4	+10	=1481	32%	6
9/19Saturday, Sept. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1600	+24	+0	=1624	72%	6
9/19Saturday, Sept. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gonzalez	1476	–22	+10	=1464	28%	1
9/18Friday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Wood	1598	–20	+0	=1578	65%	15
9/18Friday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Castellani	1478	–14	+10	=1474	35%	6
9/17Thursday, Sept. 178:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1597	–10	–3	=1584	63%	9
9/17Thursday, Sept. 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1479	+4	+10	=1493	37%	3
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 164 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Graterol	1596	–19	+0	=1577	58%	7
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 164 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Morejon	1534	–22	+10	=1522	42%	5
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1595	+10	+0	=1605	57%	3
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 159:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1535	+8	+10	=1553	43%	1
9/14Monday, Sept. 149:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1597	+24	–1	=1620	59%	2
9/14Monday, Sept. 149:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1532	+12	+10	=1554	41%	7
9/13Sunday, Sept. 138 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1558	+21	+0	=1579	49%	1
9/13Sunday, Sept. 138 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Graterol	1595	–21	+10	=1584	51%	8
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1556	–20	+0	=1536	42%	7
9/12Saturday, Sept. 128:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	–12	+10	=1594	58%	5
9/10Thursday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1599	–6	+0	=1593	64%	2
9/10Thursday, Sept. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1492	–7	+10	=1495	36%	5
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1598	+26	+0	=1624	70%	6
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Clarke	1493	–24	+10	=1479	30%	4
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1597	+24	+0	=1621	68%	10
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1494	–7	+7	=1494	32%	9
9/6Sunday, Sept. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Castellani	1482	–10	+0	=1472	33%	7
9/6Sunday, Sept. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1599	–11	+10	=1598	67%	6
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1480	+17	+0	=1497	33%	5
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1602	+6	+10	=1618	67%	2
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1481	–6	–1	=1474	32%	6
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1600	–8	+10	=1602	68%	10
9/3Thursday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1498	–12	+0	=1486	30%	1
9/3Thursday, Sept. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1599	+22	+10	=1631	70%	5
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1498	+31	+0	=1529	36%	2
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1599	+23	+10	=1632	64%	3
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1499	–15	+0	=1484	35%	3
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1598	–11	+9	=1596	65%	6
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1597	+9	+0	=1606	70%	7
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1466	–19	+10	=1457	30%	2
8/29Saturday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1595	–21	+0	=1574	57%	7
8/29Saturday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1467	+50	+10	=1527	43%	4
8/28Friday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1598	–9	–4	=1585	64%	2
8/28Friday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1464	+8	+12	=1484	36%	6
8/27Thursday, Aug. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Ferguson	1597	–30	+0	=1567	64%	2
8/27Thursday, Aug. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1464	–6	+10	=1468	36%	0
8/27Thursday, Aug. 274:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1596	+21	+2	=1619	69%	7
8/27Thursday, Aug. 274:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1465	+1	+12	=1478	31%	0
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 259:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1598	–8	+0	=1590	65%	8
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1463	+5	+12	=1480	35%	10
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1491	–9	+0	=1482	35%	3
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1596	–18	+10	=1588	65%	11
8/22Saturday, Aug. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1491	+2	+0	=1493	36%	3
8/22Saturday, Aug. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1595	–11	+10	=1594	64%	4
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1493	+13	–3	=1503	34%	1
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+20	+7	=1621	66%	5
8/20Thursday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1593	+17	+0	=1610	73%	6
8/20Thursday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1438	–12	+10	=1436	27%	1
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1595	–6	–3	=1586	68%	4
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Walker	1436	+15	+7	=1458	32%	6
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1437	+25	+0	=1462	30%	1
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1594	+2	+10	=1606	70%	2
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1437	+2	–3	=1436	29%	9
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1594	–9	+9	=1594	71%	11
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1592	–9	+0	=1583	62%	8
8/16Sunday, Aug. 164:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1496	–10	+10	=1496	38%	3
8/15Saturday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1591	+22	+0	=1613	64%	6
8/15Saturday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1496	+5	+10	=1511	36%	5
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1590	+11	–1	=1600	63%	7
8/14Friday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1498	–2	+12	=1508	37%	4
8/13Thursday, Aug. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1511	+6	+0	=1517	40%	2
8/13Thursday, Aug. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1588	–8	+10	=1590	60%	11
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1512	+2	+0	=1514	39%	0
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1586	–5	+10	=1591	61%	6
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Richards	1510	–3	+0	=1507	38%	6
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1589	–4	+10	=1595	62%	2
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Perdomo	1508	–39	–1	=1468	33%	2
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1590	–9	+10	=1591	67%	1
8/9Sunday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Gausman	1455	–7	+0	=1448	27%	2
8/9Sunday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1590	+22	+10	=1622	73%	6
8/8Saturday, Aug. 89:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1453	+2	+0	=1455	28%	5
8/8Saturday, Aug. 89:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1591	+16	+10	=1617	72%	4
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Samardzija	1454	+8	–3	=1459	32%	2
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1590	–9	+11	=1592	68%	7
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1589	–3	+0	=1586	60%	7
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Richards	1507	–1	+10	=1516	40%	6
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1588	–14	+0	=1574	58%	5
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1508	+2	+10	=1520	42%	2
8/3Monday, Aug. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1589	+25	–2	=1612	63%	4
8/3Monday, Aug. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1506	+11	+7	=1524	37%	5
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1588	+12	+0	=1600	62%	3
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1505	+0	+10	=1515	38%	0
8/1Saturday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1586	–11	+0	=1575	59%	11
8/1Saturday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1507	–6	+10	=1511	41%	2
7/31Friday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–10	+0	=1577	57%	3
7/31Friday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1506	+13	+10	=1529	43%	5
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1586	–1	–3	=1582	61%	6
7/30Thursday, July 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1507	–7	+7	=1507	39%	3
7/29Wednesday, July 297 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1585	–16	+0	=1569	53%	4
7/29Wednesday, July 297 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1570	–33	+10	=1547	47%	2
7/28Tuesday, July 289:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1584	+28	–1	=1611	60%	5
7/28Tuesday, July 289:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1572	–41	+10	=1541	40%	2
7/26Sunday, July 2610 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Smyly	1452	–1	+0	=1451	32%	3
7/26Sunday, July 2610 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1586	–11	+10	=1585	68%	1
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1451	–3	+0	=1448	32%	5
7/25Saturday, July 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Wood	1588	–18	+10	=1580	68%	4
7/24Friday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Anderson	1452	+3	+0	=1455	31%	1
7/24Friday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1586	–5	+10	=1591	69%	9
7/23Thursday, July 2310 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cueto	1454	+2	–2	=1454	33%	1
7/23Thursday, July 2310 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1584	–17	+10	=1577	67%	8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments