2020 MLB Predictions

The Rangers are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Athletics Athletics36-24	—	✓	✓
Astros Astros29-31	7.0	✓	—
Mariners Mariners27-33	9.0	—	—
Angels Angels26-34	10.0	—	—
Rangers Rangers22-38	14.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	De Jong	1551	–46	+0	=1505	59%	4
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1458	–26	+10	=1442	41%	8
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1554	–5	+0	=1549	64%	1
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1455	–17	+10	=1448	36%	6
9/25Friday, Sept. 258:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1555	+2	+0	=1557	64%	4
9/25Friday, Sept. 258:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1453	–4	+10	=1459	36%	5
9/24Thursday, Sept. 248:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1552	–13	–4	=1535	53%	12
9/24Thursday, Sept. 248:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1456	+52	+7	=1515	47%	4
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Benjamin	1458	–16	+0	=1442	44%	3
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Young	1495	–20	+10	=1485	56%	7
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1460	–23	–2	=1435	43%	0
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1492	–14	+9	=1487	57%	7
9/21Monday, Sept. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1461	–15	+0	=1446	39%	5
9/21Monday, Sept. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1491	+21	+10	=1522	61%	8
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1459	–15	+0	=1444	44%	7
9/20Sunday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1493	–16	+10	=1487	56%	2
9/19Saturday, Sept. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1460	+51	+0	=1511	49%	3
9/19Saturday, Sept. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1492	+18	+10	=1520	51%	4
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Herget	1461	–17	–3	=1441	42%	2
9/18Friday, Sept. 189:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1491	–3	+10	=1498	58%	6
9/17Thursday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1462	–27	+0	=1435	35%	1
9/17Thursday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1555	–22	+10	=1543	65%	2
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1460	–21	+0	=1439	34%	1
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1556	–10	+10	=1556	66%	0
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1461	–12	+0	=1449	34%	1
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1555	–1	+9	=1563	66%	4
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1540	+7	+0	=1547	54%	3
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1460	+50	+10	=1520	46%	6
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1538	+8	+0	=1546	62%	10
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1462	–14	+10	=1458	38%	1
9/12Saturday, Sept. 125:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1540	–15	+0	=1525	60%	2
9/12Saturday, Sept. 125:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Goody	1460	–14	+10	=1456	40%	5
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1539	–4	–4	=1531	61%	10
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Garcia	1461	–15	+10	=1456	39%	6
9/10Thursday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Bundy	1489	+22	+0	=1511	58%	6
9/10Thursday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1462	–19	+10	=1453	42%	2
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1491	–8	+0	=1483	54%	3
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1460	–15	+10	=1455	46%	7
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Teheran	1494	–8	–1	=1485	46%	1
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1458	+45	+6	=1509	54%	7
9/7Monday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1460	–7	+0	=1453	45%	4
9/7Monday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1451	+28	+10	=1489	55%	8
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1461	–28	+0	=1433	45%	3
9/6Sunday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1450	+6	+10	=1466	55%	4
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1462	–20	+0	=1442	47%	3
9/5Saturday, Sept. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1449	+4	+10	=1463	53%	5
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Cody	1464	–18	–4	=1442	50%	3
9/4Friday, Sept. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kikuchi	1447	–16	+14	=1445	50%	6
9/3Thursday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1465	+48	+0	=1513	38%	4
9/3Thursday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Greinke	1566	+19	+10	=1595	62%	8
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1466	–13	+0	=1453	36%	1
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1566	–19	+10	=1557	64%	2
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Garcia	1464	–19	+0	=1445	34%	6
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1567	–20	+15	=1562	66%	5
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1597	+9	+0	=1606	70%	7
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1466	–19	+10	=1457	30%	2
8/29Saturday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stripling	1595	–21	+0	=1574	57%	7
8/29Saturday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1467	+50	+10	=1527	43%	4
8/28Friday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1598	–9	–4	=1585	64%	2
8/28Friday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1464	+8	+12	=1484	36%	6
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1538	–6	+0	=1532	60%	3
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1465	–17	+10	=1458	40%	1
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1536	+2	+0	=1538	61%	10
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1467	–16	+10	=1461	39%	3
8/24Monday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1537	–7	–4	=1526	50%	2
8/24Monday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1466	+51	+6	=1523	50%	3
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1468	+11	+0	=1479	55%	1
8/23Sunday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1442	–10	+10	=1442	45%	4
8/22Saturday, Aug. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1471	–20	+0	=1451	49%	1
8/22Saturday, Aug. 229:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Sheffield	1439	+10	+10	=1459	51%	10
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1473	–12	–3	=1458	54%	4
8/21Friday, Aug. 219:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Margevicius	1437	–18	+10	=1429	46%	7
8/20Thursday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1474	–16	+0	=1458	40%	7
8/20Thursday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lamet	1510	+10	+10	=1530	60%	8
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1476	+49	–3	=1522	51%	3
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Paddack	1508	–2	+7	=1513	49%	6
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 184:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Morejon	1507	–22	+0	=1485	48%	6
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 184:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1477	+12	+10	=1499	52%	4
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Davies	1504	+6	–3	=1507	56%	14
8/17Monday, Aug. 179:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1480	–21	+7	=1466	44%	4
8/16Sunday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1481	–8	+0	=1473	44%	6
8/16Sunday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1496	+12	+10	=1518	56%	10
8/15Saturday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1480	–22	+0	=1458	39%	6
8/15Saturday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1498	+26	+10	=1534	61%	4
8/14Friday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1479	+42	–1	=1520	53%	3
8/14Friday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Castellani	1498	–10	+12	=1500	47%	2
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Walker	1442	+12	+0	=1454	48%	4
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1477	–18	+10	=1469	52%	7
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1443	+26	+0	=1469	46%	2
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 119:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1476	+10	+10	=1496	54%	4
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Dunn	1440	+0	–4	=1436	45%	10
8/10Monday, Aug. 109:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1479	–18	+10	=1471	55%	2
8/9Sunday, Aug. 92:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Heaney	1497	+6	+0	=1503	46%	3
8/9Sunday, Aug. 92:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1478	+42	+10	=1530	54%	7
8/8Saturday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1499	–8	+0	=1491	53%	0
8/8Saturday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1476	–16	+10	=1470	47%	2
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1500	+7	–4	=1503	56%	3
8/7Friday, Aug. 79:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1475	–18	+6	=1463	44%	4
8/6Thursday, Aug. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1476	+12	+0	=1488	43%	4
8/6Thursday, Aug. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1529	+0	+10	=1539	57%	6
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1477	–18	+0	=1459	38%	4
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 59:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1528	+5	+10	=1543	62%	6
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1479	+43	+1	=1523	51%	1
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 49:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1526	–16	+7	=1517	49%	5
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Allard	1477	–18	+0	=1459	47%	9
8/2Sunday, Aug. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Samardzija	1458	+14	+10	=1482	53%	5
8/1Saturday, Aug. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lyles	1479	–15	+0	=1464	50%	3
8/1Saturday, Aug. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Smyly	1456	+1	+10	=1467	50%	7
7/31Friday, July 319 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1482	+18	–2	=1498	55%	2
7/31Friday, July 319 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1453	–1	+10	=1462	45%	9
7/29Wednesday, July 294:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1509	+7	+0	=1516	48%	4
7/29Wednesday, July 294:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1481	+37	+10	=1528	52%	7
7/28Tuesday, July 289:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1507	–6	–3	=1498	53%	4
7/28Tuesday, July 289:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gibson	1482	–19	+12	=1475	47%	1
7/26Sunday, July 262:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1489	–7	+0	=1482	47%	5
7/26Sunday, July 262:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Kluber	1484	+11	+10	=1505	53%	2
7/25Saturday, July 254:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gray	1488	+22	+0	=1510	50%	3
7/25Saturday, July 254:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Minor	1485	+17	+10	=1512	50%	2
7/24Friday, July 248:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1489	+25	–3	=1511	47%	0
7/24Friday, July 248:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Lynn	1484	+36	+10	=1530	53%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments