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The White Sox are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | TwinsTwins36-24 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
![]() | IndiansIndians35-25 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | ||
![]() | White SoxWhite Sox35-25 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | ||
![]() | RoyalsRoyals26-34 | 10.0 | — | — | ||
![]() | TigersTigers23-35 | 12.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/1Thursday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –7 | +0 | =1508 | 44% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –2 | +10 | =1539 | 56% | 6 | |
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 303 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +13 | +0 | =1530 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +16 | +10 | =1555 | 55% | 5 | |
9/29Tuesday, Sept. 293 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +37 | –2 | =1550 | 51% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +0 | +12 | =1544 | 49% | 1 | |
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –26 | +0 | =1498 | 48% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –15 | +10 | =1511 | 52% | 8 | |
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –20 | +0 | =1505 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –2 | +10 | =1522 | 52% | 9 | |
9/25Friday, Sept. 258 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +37 | –2 | =1558 | 57% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –19 | +8 | =1506 | 43% | 0 | |
9/24Thursday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +9 | +0 | =1527 | 49% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –11 | +10 | =1534 | 51% | 5 | |
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +33 | +0 | =1552 | 48% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +25 | +10 | =1569 | 52% | 3 | |
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 226:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –18 | +0 | =1502 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | –55 | +10 | =1487 | 48% | 5 | |
9/21Monday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +3 | –2 | =1523 | 50% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –15 | +9 | =1525 | 50% | 7 | |
9/20Sunday, Sept. 201:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –18 | +0 | =1506 | 51% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1512 | –23 | +10 | =1499 | 49% | 7 | |
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +8 | +0 | =1530 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +18 | +10 | =1543 | 52% | 0 | |
9/18Friday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –19 | –2 | =1503 | 50% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1512 | –20 | +12 | =1504 | 50% | 7 | |
9/17Thursday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | +19 | +0 | =1568 | 58% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –21 | +10 | =1512 | 42% | 4 | |
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –2 | +0 | =1545 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +33 | +10 | =1568 | 53% | 1 | |
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1549 | –15 | +0 | =1534 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –6 | +10 | =1527 | 49% | 6 | |
9/14Monday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1550 | –1 | –2 | =1547 | 55% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –20 | +10 | =1512 | 45% | 3 | |
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1440 | +18 | +0 | =1458 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –21 | +10 | =1509 | 57% | 5 | |
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | –3 | +0 | =1440 | 41% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –23 | +10 | =1504 | 59% | 14 | |
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1444 | –2 | –2 | =1440 | 33% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +36 | +10 | =1562 | 67% | 4 | |
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –12 | +0 | =1502 | 55% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +3 | +10 | =1470 | 45% | 1 | |
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –20 | –1 | =1494 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1456 | +14 | +12 | =1482 | 48% | 5 | |
9/6Sunday, Sept. 62:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +5 | +0 | =1519 | 63% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | –28 | +10 | =1425 | 37% | 2 | |
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +37 | +0 | =1550 | 64% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1444 | –5 | +10 | =1449 | 36% | 3 | |
9/4Friday, Sept. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –9 | +0 | =1502 | 57% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | –3 | +10 | =1452 | 43% | 4 | |
9/3Thursday, Sept. 38:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –18 | –2 | =1489 | 52% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1447 | +17 | +10 | =1474 | 48% | 6 | |
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –20 | +0 | =1491 | 42% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –2 | +10 | =1551 | 58% | 8 | |
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +3 | +0 | =1515 | 44% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +5 | +10 | =1557 | 56% | 3 | |
8/31Monday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +37 | –2 | =1546 | 49% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +3 | +7 | =1554 | 51% | 5 | |
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1451 | –11 | +0 | =1440 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –19 | +10 | =1500 | 59% | 5 | |
8/29Saturday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –4 | +0 | =1445 | 42% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –18 | +10 | =1503 | 58% | 6 | |
8/28Friday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1450 | +19 | +0 | =1469 | 45% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –17 | +12 | =1505 | 55% | 6 | |
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | +2 | +0 | =1460 | 41% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +3 | +10 | =1521 | 59% | 10 | |
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +5 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +31 | +11 | =1549 | 62% | 4 | |
8/23Sunday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –18 | +0 | =1490 | 39% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +34 | +10 | =1568 | 61% | 2 | |
8/22Saturday, Aug. 228:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –16 | +0 | =1490 | 41% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +21 | +10 | =1557 | 59% | 4 | |
8/21Friday, Aug. 218 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1502 | +2 | –1 | =1503 | 47% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –14 | +10 | =1525 | 53% | 1 | |
8/20Thursday, Aug. 202 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +19 | +0 | =1452 | 38% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +28 | +10 | =1538 | 62% | 9 | |
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1434 | +1 | +0 | =1435 | 42% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –14 | +10 | =1495 | 58% | 5 | |
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1436 | +0 | +0 | =1436 | 42% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | –16 | +10 | =1491 | 58% | 10 | |
8/17Monday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1438 | –6 | –2 | =1430 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –6 | +10 | =1499 | 60% | 7 | |
8/16Sunday, Aug. 162:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –14 | +0 | =1502 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +10 | =1505 | 51% | 7 | |
8/15Saturday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –20 | +0 | =1494 | 50% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –8 | +10 | =1497 | 50% | 3 | |
8/15Saturday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +1 | +5 | =1518 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +31 | +13 | =1541 | 53% | 1 | |
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –15 | +0 | =1481 | 55% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | –3 | +10 | =1450 | 45% | 5 | |
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –5 | +0 | =1489 | 56% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | –6 | +10 | =1449 | 44% | 4 | |
8/10Monday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +2 | –2 | =1496 | 57% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +8 | =1450 | 43% | 5 | |
8/9Sunday, Aug. 97 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +15 | +0 | =1549 | 52% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +29 | +10 | =1536 | 48% | 4 | |
8/8Saturday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –23 | +0 | =1508 | 52% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –13 | +10 | =1497 | 48% | 1 | |
8/7Friday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –16 | –2 | =1515 | 53% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –17 | +10 | =1491 | 47% | 2 | |
8/6Thursday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –10 | +0 | =1508 | 50% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +1 | +10 | =1511 | 50% | 3 | |
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +12 | –1 | =1528 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –2 | +9 | =1508 | 47% | 0 | |
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +29 | +0 | =1529 | 46% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +32 | +10 | =1561 | 54% | 2 | |
8/3Monday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –2 | –2 | =1495 | 44% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +2 | +15 | =1537 | 56% | 4 | |
8/2Sunday, Aug. 22:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –19 | +0 | =1477 | 53% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +10 | =1457 | 47% | 2 | |
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +3 | +0 | =1497 | 57% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | –12 | +10 | =1446 | 43% | 5 | |
7/31Friday, July 318:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –1 | =1492 | 56% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –6 | +7 | =1450 | 44% | 2 | |
7/29Wednesday, July 296:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +27 | +0 | =1518 | 51% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | –29 | +10 | =1513 | 49% | 0 | |
7/28Tuesday, July 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –41 | +10 | =1500 | 51% | 5 | |
7/28Tuesday, July 283:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –14 | +0 | =1480 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –19 | +12 | =1523 | 56% | 4 | |
7/26Sunday, July 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +0 | +0 | =1543 | 57% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | –9 | +10 | =1498 | 43% | 2 | |
7/25Saturday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –13 | +0 | =1533 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –5 | +10 | =1499 | 45% | 10 | |
7/24Friday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | –2 | =1543 | 51% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +32 | +10 | =1538 | 49% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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