2020 MLB Predictions

The White Sox are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Twins Twins36-24	—	✓	✓
Indians Indians35-25	1.0	✓	—
White Sox White Sox35-25	1.0	✓	—
Royals Royals26-34	10.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers23-35	12.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/1Thursday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1515	–7	+0	=1508	44%	4
10/1Thursday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1531	–2	+10	=1539	56%	6
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 303 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1517	+13	+0	=1530	45%	3
9/30Wednesday, Sept. 303 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1529	+16	+10	=1555	55%	5
9/29Tuesday, Sept. 293 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1515	+37	–2	=1550	51%	4
9/29Tuesday, Sept. 293 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Luzardo	1532	+0	+12	=1544	49%	1
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Alzolay	1524	–26	+0	=1498	48%	10
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1516	–15	+10	=1511	52%	8
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Lester	1525	–20	+0	=1505	48%	5
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1514	–2	+10	=1522	52%	9
9/25Friday, Sept. 258 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Darvish	1523	+37	–2	=1558	57%	10
9/25Friday, Sept. 258 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1517	–19	+8	=1506	43%	0
9/24Thursday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1518	+9	+0	=1527	49%	4
9/24Thursday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Plesac	1535	–11	+10	=1534	51%	5
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1519	+33	+0	=1552	48%	2
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Bieber	1534	+25	+10	=1569	52%	3
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 226:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1520	–18	+0	=1502	52%	3
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 226:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Quantrill	1532	–55	+10	=1487	48%	5
9/21Monday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1522	+3	–2	=1523	50%	4
9/21Monday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Civale	1531	–15	+9	=1525	50%	7
9/20Sunday, Sept. 201:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1524	–18	+0	=1506	51%	3
9/20Sunday, Sept. 201:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lorenzen	1512	–23	+10	=1499	49%	7
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1522	+8	+0	=1530	48%	5
9/19Saturday, Sept. 197:07 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Bauer	1515	+18	+10	=1543	52%	0
9/18Friday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Stiever	1524	–19	–2	=1503	50%	1
9/18Friday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1512	–20	+12	=1504	50%	7
9/17Thursday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1549	+19	+0	=1568	58%	3
9/17Thursday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1523	–21	+10	=1512	42%	4
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1547	–2	+0	=1545	47%	5
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1525	+33	+10	=1568	53%	1
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Dobnak	1549	–15	+0	=1534	51%	2
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1523	–6	+10	=1527	49%	6
9/14Monday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1550	–1	–2	=1547	55%	1
9/14Monday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1522	–20	+10	=1512	45%	3
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1440	+18	+0	=1458	43%	2
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Stiever	1520	–21	+10	=1509	57%	5
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Fulmer	1443	–3	+0	=1440	41%	0
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1517	–23	+10	=1504	59%	14
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1444	–2	–2	=1440	33%	3
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1516	+36	+10	=1562	67%	4
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1514	–12	+0	=1502	55%	8
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1457	+3	+10	=1470	45%	1
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1515	–20	–1	=1494	52%	4
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Musgrove	1456	+14	+12	=1482	48%	5
9/6Sunday, Sept. 62:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1514	+5	+0	=1519	63%	8
9/6Sunday, Sept. 62:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Harvey	1443	–28	+10	=1425	37%	2
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1513	+37	+0	=1550	64%	5
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1444	–5	+10	=1449	36%	3
9/4Friday, Sept. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1511	–9	+0	=1502	57%	7
9/4Friday, Sept. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1445	–3	+10	=1452	43%	4
9/3Thursday, Sept. 38:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1509	–18	–2	=1489	52%	11
9/3Thursday, Sept. 38:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Duffy	1447	+17	+10	=1474	48%	6
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1511	–20	+0	=1491	42%	1
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1543	–2	+10	=1551	58%	8
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1512	+3	+0	=1515	44%	2
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Pineda	1542	+5	+10	=1557	56%	3
8/31Monday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1511	+37	–2	=1546	49%	8
8/31Monday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Hill	1544	+3	+7	=1554	51%	5
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1451	–11	+0	=1440	41%	2
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1509	–19	+10	=1500	59%	5
8/29Saturday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1449	–4	+0	=1445	42%	9
8/29Saturday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1511	–18	+10	=1503	58%	6
8/28Friday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Duffy	1450	+19	+0	=1469	45%	5
8/28Friday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1510	–17	+12	=1505	55%	6
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Williams	1458	+2	+0	=1460	41%	3
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1508	+3	+10	=1521	59%	10
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brault	1459	+5	+0	=1464	38%	0
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1507	+31	+11	=1549	62%	4
8/23Sunday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1508	–18	+0	=1490	39%	1
8/23Sunday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Darvish	1524	+34	+10	=1568	61%	2
8/22Saturday, Aug. 228:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1506	–16	+0	=1490	41%	7
8/22Saturday, Aug. 228:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1526	+21	+10	=1557	59%	4
8/21Friday, Aug. 218 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1502	+2	–1	=1503	47%	10
8/21Friday, Aug. 218 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Lester	1529	–14	+10	=1525	53%	1
8/20Thursday, Aug. 202 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1433	+19	+0	=1452	38%	0
8/20Thursday, Aug. 202 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1500	+28	+10	=1538	62%	9
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1434	+1	+0	=1435	42%	3
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Dunning	1499	–14	+10	=1495	58%	5
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1436	+0	+0	=1436	42%	4
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1497	–16	+10	=1491	58%	10
8/17Monday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1438	–6	–2	=1430	40%	2
8/17Monday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1495	–6	+10	=1499	60%	7
8/16Sunday, Aug. 162:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1516	–14	+0	=1502	49%	2
8/16Sunday, Aug. 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1493	+2	+10	=1505	51%	7
8/15Saturday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1514	–20	+0	=1494	50%	6
8/15Saturday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Foster	1495	–8	+10	=1497	50%	3
8/15Saturday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1512	+1	+5	=1518	47%	5
8/15Saturday, Aug. 151:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1497	+31	+13	=1541	53%	1
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1496	–15	+0	=1481	55%	7
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1443	–3	+10	=1450	45%	5
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1494	–5	+0	=1489	56%	8
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1445	–6	+10	=1449	44%	4
8/10Monday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1496	+2	–2	=1496	57%	1
8/10Monday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Fulmer	1442	+0	+8	=1450	43%	5
8/9Sunday, Aug. 97 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Bieber	1534	+15	+0	=1549	52%	5
8/9Sunday, Aug. 97 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1497	+29	+10	=1536	48%	4
8/8Saturday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Plesac	1531	–23	+0	=1508	52%	7
8/8Saturday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Foster	1500	–13	+10	=1497	48%	1
8/7Friday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Civale	1533	–16	–2	=1515	53%	0
8/7Friday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1498	–17	+10	=1491	47%	2
8/6Thursday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lindblom	1518	–10	+0	=1508	50%	8
8/6Thursday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1500	+1	+10	=1511	50%	3
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1517	+12	–1	=1528	53%	1
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1501	–2	+9	=1508	47%	0
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1500	+29	+0	=1529	46%	3
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1519	+32	+10	=1561	54%	2
8/3Monday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1499	–2	–2	=1495	44%	6
8/3Monday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Anderson	1520	+2	+15	=1537	56%	4
8/2Sunday, Aug. 22:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1496	–19	+0	=1477	53%	9
8/2Sunday, Aug. 22:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Junis	1446	+1	+10	=1457	47%	2
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Gonzalez	1494	+3	+0	=1497	57%	11
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bolanos	1448	–12	+10	=1446	43%	5
7/31Friday, July 318:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1493	+0	–1	=1492	56%	3
7/31Friday, July 318:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1449	–6	+7	=1450	44%	2
7/29Wednesday, July 296:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1491	+27	+0	=1518	51%	4
7/29Wednesday, July 296:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Plesac	1532	–29	+10	=1513	49%	0
7/28Tuesday, July 287:45 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1493	+2	+0	=1495	49%	3
7/28Tuesday, July 287:45 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Plutko	1531	–41	+10	=1500	51%	5
7/28Tuesday, July 283:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1494	–14	+0	=1480	44%	3
7/28Tuesday, July 283:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Civale	1530	–19	+12	=1523	56%	4
7/26Sunday, July 262:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1543	+0	+0	=1543	57%	14
7/26Sunday, July 262:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1497	–9	+10	=1498	43%	2
7/25Saturday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Dobnak	1546	–13	+0	=1533	55%	3
7/25Saturday, July 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1494	–5	+10	=1499	45%	10
7/24Friday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Berrios	1544	+1	–2	=1543	51%	10
7/24Friday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1496	+32	+10	=1538	49%	5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments