Updated Aug. 8, 2020 at 1:27 AM

2020 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox have a 77% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1500, up 6 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins10-498%68%
IndiansIndians8-72.588%20%
White SoxWhite Sox8-62.077%11%
TigersTigers6-52.519%1%
RoyalsRoyals5-105.59%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/8Saturday, Aug. 82:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153123+0=150852%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Foster, Matt
Foster
150013+10=149748%
8/9Sunday, Aug. 97 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1531+15+0=154651%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1500+29+10=153949%
8/10Monday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1500+32=150158%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+1+8=144842%
8/11Tuesday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15004+0=149657%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+1+10=145043%
8/12Wednesday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
150014+0=148656%
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14394+10=144544%
8/14Friday, Aug. 148:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1512+492=155957%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151043%
8/15Saturday, Aug. 152:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151246%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1500+29+10=153954%
8/16Sunday, Aug. 162:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1512+0+0=151250%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1500+3+10=151350%
8/17Monday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
143942=143340%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
15004+10=150660%
8/18Tuesday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14391+0=143842%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
150014+10=149658%
8/19Wednesday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+1+0=144040%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151060%
8/20Thursday, Aug. 202 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+1+0=144040%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151060%
8/21Friday, Aug. 218:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+01=149944%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+12=153956%
8/22Saturday, Aug. 228:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150045%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+10=153755%
8/23Sunday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150045%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+10=153755%
8/25Tuesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146043%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+11=151157%
8/26Wednesday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146043%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151057%
8/28Friday, Aug. 288:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144741%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+12=151259%
8/29Saturday, Aug. 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144741%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151059%
8/30Sunday, Aug. 302:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144741%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151059%
8/31Monday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+02=149841%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+7=155959%
9/1Tuesday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150041%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+10=156259%
9/2Wednesday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150041%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+10=156259%
9/3Thursday, Sept. 38:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+02=149856%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+10=145744%
9/4Friday, Sept. 48:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150056%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+10=145744%
9/5Saturday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150056%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+10=145744%
9/6Sunday, Sept. 62:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150056%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+10=145744%
9/8Tuesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+01=149954%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+12=147246%
9/9Wednesday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150054%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+10=147046%
9/11Friday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+12=143840%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151060%
9/12Saturday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+1+0=144040%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151060%
9/13Sunday, Sept. 132:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1439+1+0=144040%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151060%
9/14Monday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+02=155056%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151044%
9/15Tuesday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155256%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151044%
9/16Wednesday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155256%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151044%
9/17Thursday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155256%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151044%
9/18Friday, Sept. 187:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+02=149846%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1516+0+12=152854%
9/19Saturday, Sept. 196:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150046%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1516+0+10=152654%
9/20Sunday, Sept. 201:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150046%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1516+0+10=152654%
9/21Monday, Sept. 216:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+02=149844%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15311+9=153956%
9/22Tuesday, Sept. 226:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150044%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15311+10=154056%
9/23Wednesday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150044%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15311+10=154056%
9/24Thursday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+0=150044%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15311+10=154056%
9/25Friday, Sept. 258:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1527+02=152553%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+8=150847%
9/26Saturday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152753%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151047%
9/27Sunday, Sept. 273:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152753%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1500+0+10=151047%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
8/7Friday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1533162=151553%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
149817+10=149147%2
8/6Thursday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lindblom, Josh
Lindblom
151810+0=150850%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1500+1+10=151150%3
8/5Wednesday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1517+121=152853%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
15012+9=150847%0
8/4Tuesday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1500+29+0=152946%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1519+32+10=156154%2
8/3Monday, Aug. 38:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
149922=149544%6
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1520+2+15=153756%4
8/2Sunday, Aug. 22:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
149619+0=147753%9
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1446+1+10=145747%2
8/1Saturday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1494+3+0=149757%11
KCKCRoyals
Bolanos, Ronald
Bolanos
144812+10=144643%5
7/31Friday, July 318:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1493+01=149256%3
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14496+7=145044%2
7/29Wednesday, July 296:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1491+27+0=151851%4
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153229+10=151349%0
7/28Tuesday, July 287:45 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1493+2+0=149549%3
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153141+10=150051%5
7/28Tuesday, July 283:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
149414+0=148044%3
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
153019+12=152356%4
7/26Sunday, July 262:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1543+0+0=154357%14
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
14979+10=149843%2
7/25Saturday, July 252:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Dobnak, Randy
Dobnak
154613+0=153355%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
14945+10=149945%10
7/24Friday, July 248:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1544+12=154351%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1496+32+10=153849%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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